The document discusses threats to the success of the National Strategy for Trusted Identities in Cyberspace (NSTIC) identity ecosystem project. It summarizes discussions from workshops in 2011 and 2012 where participants identified potential failures that could undermine NSTIC by 2016. The top threats were seen as a poor user experience and imbalance among the different forces needed to sustain an identity ecosystem like technology, economics, policy and culture. Budget cuts from the looming "fiscal cliff" also posed risks by threatening funding and engagement from government agencies involved in the project.