Paul Dorosh, Bart Minten, Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse
BOOK LAUNCH
Virtual Event - Ethiopia’s agri-food system: Past trends, present challenges, and future scenarios
SEP 22, 2020 - 08:30 AM TO 10:00 AM EDT
IFPRI's flagship report reviews the major food policy issues, developments, and decisions of 2017, and highlights challenges and opportunities for 2018 at the global and regional levels. This year's report looks at the impacts of greater global integration—including the movement of goods, investment, people, and knowledge—and the threat of current antiglobalization pressures. Drawing on recent research, IFPRI researchers and other distinguished food policy experts consider a range of timely topics:
■ How can the global food system deliver food security for all in the face of the radical changes taking place today?
■ What is the role of trade in improving food security, nutrition, and sustainability?
■ How can international investment best contribute to local food security and better food systems in developing countries?
■ Do voluntary and involuntary migration increase or decrease food security in source countries and host countries?
■ What opportunities does greater data availability open up for improving agriculture and food security?
■ How does reform of developed-country farm support policies affect global food security?
■ How can global governance structures better address problems of food security and nutrition?
■ What major trends and events affected food security and nutrition across the globe in 2017?
The 2018 Global Food Policy Report also presents data tables and visualizations for several key food policy indicators, including country-level data on hunger, agricultural spending and research investment, and projections for future agricultural production and consumption. In addition to illustrative figures, tables, and a timeline of food policy events in 2017, the report includes the results of a global opinion poll on globalization and the current state of food policy.
The economic impact of agricultural development on poverty reduction and welf...Caroline Chenqi Zhou
This study employs quantitative and qualitative methods to identify the relationship between agricultural development, poverty reduction, and income inequality. Building upon the World Bank’s Enabling the Business of Agriculture study (2016) and data from the World Development Indicators (2015) for the years 2000 to 2014, we test two hypotheses. The first pertains to agricultural development and poverty reduction to assess to what extent agricultural development reduces poverty. The second, in a similar fashion, addresses the relationship between agricultural development and income inequality. To supplement our quantitative analysis of these questions, we include a case study of agricultural development, agricultural policy reforms, and their impact in Vietnam and Tanzania. We find evidence that agricultural development reduces poverty.
IFPRI's flagship report reviews the major food policy issues, developments, and decisions of 2017, and highlights challenges and opportunities for 2018 at the global and regional levels. This year's report looks at the impacts of greater global integration—including the movement of goods, investment, people, and knowledge—and the threat of current antiglobalization pressures. Drawing on recent research, IFPRI researchers and other distinguished food policy experts consider a range of timely topics:
■ How can the global food system deliver food security for all in the face of the radical changes taking place today?
■ What is the role of trade in improving food security, nutrition, and sustainability?
■ How can international investment best contribute to local food security and better food systems in developing countries?
■ Do voluntary and involuntary migration increase or decrease food security in source countries and host countries?
■ What opportunities does greater data availability open up for improving agriculture and food security?
■ How does reform of developed-country farm support policies affect global food security?
■ How can global governance structures better address problems of food security and nutrition?
■ What major trends and events affected food security and nutrition across the globe in 2017?
The 2018 Global Food Policy Report also presents data tables and visualizations for several key food policy indicators, including country-level data on hunger, agricultural spending and research investment, and projections for future agricultural production and consumption. In addition to illustrative figures, tables, and a timeline of food policy events in 2017, the report includes the results of a global opinion poll on globalization and the current state of food policy.
The economic impact of agricultural development on poverty reduction and welf...Caroline Chenqi Zhou
This study employs quantitative and qualitative methods to identify the relationship between agricultural development, poverty reduction, and income inequality. Building upon the World Bank’s Enabling the Business of Agriculture study (2016) and data from the World Development Indicators (2015) for the years 2000 to 2014, we test two hypotheses. The first pertains to agricultural development and poverty reduction to assess to what extent agricultural development reduces poverty. The second, in a similar fashion, addresses the relationship between agricultural development and income inequality. To supplement our quantitative analysis of these questions, we include a case study of agricultural development, agricultural policy reforms, and their impact in Vietnam and Tanzania. We find evidence that agricultural development reduces poverty.
The Future in Mind: Aspirations and Forward-Looking Behaviour in Rural Ethiopiaessp2
Africa Meeting of the Econometric Society
June 29 – July 1, 2017
Ecole Supérieure de Banque, Algiers
Tanguy Bernard (Bordeaux/IFPRI) Stefan Dercon (Oxford)
Kate Orkin (Oxford) Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse (IFPRI)
Luc Christiaensen
Will Martin
POLICY SEMINAR
Agriculture, Structural Transformation and Poverty Reduction
Some New Insights
OCT 22, 2018 - 12:15 PM TO 01:45 PM EDT
Presentation hold by Jean-François Maystadt, Researcher at the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), as part of the second panel of the 30th edition of the Brussels Briefing on “Agricultural resilience in the face of crisis and shocks", organized by CTA in collaboration with the ACP Secretariat, the EC/DEVCO, Concord, and IFPRI on 4th March 2013.
More on: http://brusselsbriefings.net/
Johan Swinnen
GLOBAL FOOD POLICY REPORT
GLOBAL LAUNCH EVENT - 2021 Global Food Policy Report: Transforming Food Systems After COVID-19
APR 13, 2021 - 09:30 AM TO 11:00 AM EDT
“IFPRI Egypt Webinars” is a special edition of the IFPRI Egypt Seminar Series funded by USAID. This webinar took place under the title of “COVID-19 and social protection: from effective crisis protection to self-reliance”
Establishing the effects of COVID-19 on agribusiness and food systems in East...Francois Stepman
The ripple effect of COVID-19 on Agribusiness value chains - Sydney Kurai Zharare: DevPact.
15 April 2020. FANRPAN and the Graça Machel Trust (GMT) in conjunction with its African Women in Agribusiness Network, organised a Webinar o establish the effects of COVID-19 on food systems and agribusiness in the Eastern and Southern African (ESA) region.
A presentation by John Hoddinott from the 2009 BASIS Conference on "Escaping Poverty Traps: Connecting the Chronically Poor to the Economic Growth Agenda."
South Sudan's Jonglei State's Agricultural and Food Security Strategy Present...L. Bill Emerson
South Sudan's Largest State Jonglei's Strategic Plan by L. Bill Emerson -- For Elected Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry (MAF), Delivery to Jonglei Council of Ministers (CoM), Approval by Jonglei Congressional Representatives & Signature of Governor of Jonglei State, H.E Lt. Gen. Eng. Kuol Manyang Juuk. Then forwarded to Republic of South Sudan in Juba where National Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry will use in their 5 year national strategic plan.
RAPID Assessment of the Socio-Economic Impact of COVID-19Francois Stepman
15 April 2020. FANRPAN and the Graça Machel Trust (GMT) in conjunction with its African Women in Agribusiness Network, organised a Webinar o establish the effects of COVID-19 on food systems and agribusiness in the Eastern and Southern African (ESA) region.
"Partnering for Impact: IFPRI-European Research Collaboration for Improved Food and Nutrition Security" presentation by Sherman Robinson, IFPRI, on 25 November 2013 in Brussels, Belgium.
The Future in Mind: Aspirations and Forward-Looking Behaviour in Rural Ethiopiaessp2
Africa Meeting of the Econometric Society
June 29 – July 1, 2017
Ecole Supérieure de Banque, Algiers
Tanguy Bernard (Bordeaux/IFPRI) Stefan Dercon (Oxford)
Kate Orkin (Oxford) Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse (IFPRI)
Luc Christiaensen
Will Martin
POLICY SEMINAR
Agriculture, Structural Transformation and Poverty Reduction
Some New Insights
OCT 22, 2018 - 12:15 PM TO 01:45 PM EDT
Presentation hold by Jean-François Maystadt, Researcher at the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), as part of the second panel of the 30th edition of the Brussels Briefing on “Agricultural resilience in the face of crisis and shocks", organized by CTA in collaboration with the ACP Secretariat, the EC/DEVCO, Concord, and IFPRI on 4th March 2013.
More on: http://brusselsbriefings.net/
Johan Swinnen
GLOBAL FOOD POLICY REPORT
GLOBAL LAUNCH EVENT - 2021 Global Food Policy Report: Transforming Food Systems After COVID-19
APR 13, 2021 - 09:30 AM TO 11:00 AM EDT
“IFPRI Egypt Webinars” is a special edition of the IFPRI Egypt Seminar Series funded by USAID. This webinar took place under the title of “COVID-19 and social protection: from effective crisis protection to self-reliance”
Establishing the effects of COVID-19 on agribusiness and food systems in East...Francois Stepman
The ripple effect of COVID-19 on Agribusiness value chains - Sydney Kurai Zharare: DevPact.
15 April 2020. FANRPAN and the Graça Machel Trust (GMT) in conjunction with its African Women in Agribusiness Network, organised a Webinar o establish the effects of COVID-19 on food systems and agribusiness in the Eastern and Southern African (ESA) region.
A presentation by John Hoddinott from the 2009 BASIS Conference on "Escaping Poverty Traps: Connecting the Chronically Poor to the Economic Growth Agenda."
South Sudan's Jonglei State's Agricultural and Food Security Strategy Present...L. Bill Emerson
South Sudan's Largest State Jonglei's Strategic Plan by L. Bill Emerson -- For Elected Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry (MAF), Delivery to Jonglei Council of Ministers (CoM), Approval by Jonglei Congressional Representatives & Signature of Governor of Jonglei State, H.E Lt. Gen. Eng. Kuol Manyang Juuk. Then forwarded to Republic of South Sudan in Juba where National Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry will use in their 5 year national strategic plan.
RAPID Assessment of the Socio-Economic Impact of COVID-19Francois Stepman
15 April 2020. FANRPAN and the Graça Machel Trust (GMT) in conjunction with its African Women in Agribusiness Network, organised a Webinar o establish the effects of COVID-19 on food systems and agribusiness in the Eastern and Southern African (ESA) region.
"Partnering for Impact: IFPRI-European Research Collaboration for Improved Food and Nutrition Security" presentation by Sherman Robinson, IFPRI, on 25 November 2013 in Brussels, Belgium.
Similar to Paul Dorosh, Bart Minten and Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse, "Ethiopia's Agri-Food System: Past Trends, Present Challenges, and Future Scenarios"
Putting Children First: Session 2.1.A Adrian Gauci & Kalkidan Assefa - Nutrit...The Impact Initiative
Putting Children First: Identifying solutions and taking action to tackle poverty and inequality in Africa.
Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, 23-25 October 2017
This three-day international conference aimed to engage policy makers, practitioners and researchers in identifying solutions for fighting child poverty and inequality in Africa, and in inspiring action towards change. The conference offered a platform for bridging divides across sectors, disciplines and policy, practice and research.
The Emerging “Quiet Revolution” in African Agrifood Systems: Challenges for Mozambique - David Tschirley, Michael Dolislager, Jason Snyder, Thomas Reardon
Presentation at MSU/IFPRI conference on “Agricultural Public Investments, Policies, and Markets for Mozambique’s Food Security and Economic Transformation”, Maputo, Mozambique, 20 November 2014
What determines public budgets for agricultural growth in the developing world?IFPRI-PIM
Webinar by Tewodaj Mogues, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) on Sept 26, 2017. See abstract here: https://pim.cgiar.org/2017/09/18/webinar-what-determines-public-budgets-for-agricultural-growth-in-the-developing-world/ Fourth webinar in PIM's 2017 series (https://pim.cgiar.org/2017/05/11/pim-monthly-webinars-may-october-2017/)
Impact of the Adoption of Improved Varieties of Household Income of Farmers i...BRNSS Publication Hub
In Benin, maize occupies a strategic place in the agricultural sector due to its growing importance in national
consumption and trade with neighboring countries. This study aims to analyze the impact of the adoption of
improved maize varieties on the income and expenditure of maize farmers in the South Atlantic Department
of Benin. The data used were collected from 144 maize growers in the Atlantic Department. Maize farmers
with or without improved varieties were selected randomly. The average treatment effect method with
propensity score matching was used to estimate the impact of the adoption of improved maize varieties
on household income and expenditure. Maize growers using four impact indicators: (i) Netincome; (ii)
school expenses; (iii) health expenditure; and (iv) food expenditures. The results showed that the adoption
of improved maize varieties led to an improvement in annual netincome (a relative effect of 8.78%), health
expenditure (a relative effect of 15.88%), and expenditure on education (a relative effect of 16.08%). On
the other hand, the adoption of improved varieties of maize has no significant influence on the expenditure
invested in the dietof household members. It shows that the adoption of improved varieties of maize by
which has a positive impact on the netincome, health expenditure, and household education expenditure.
Impact of the Adoption of Improved Varieties of Household Income of Farmers i...BRNSS Publication Hub
In Benin, maize occupies a strategic place in the agricultural sector due to its growing importance in national consumption and trade with neighboring countries. This study aims to analyze the impact of the adoption of improved maize varieties on the income and expenditure of maize farmers in the South Atlantic Department of Benin. The data used were collected from 144 maize growers in the Atlantic Department. Maize farmers with or without improved varieties were selected randomly. The average treatment effect method with propensity score matching was used to estimate the impact of the adoption of improved maize varieties on household income and expenditure. Maize growers using four impact indicators: (i) Netincome; (ii) school expenses; (iii) health expenditure; and (iv) food expenditures. The results showed that the adoption of improved maize varieties led to an improvement in annual netincome (a relative effect of 8.78%), health expenditure (a relative effect of 15.88%), and expenditure on education (a relative effect of 16.08%). On the other hand, the adoption of improved varieties of maize has no significant influence on the expenditure invested in the dietof household members. It shows that the adoption of improved varieties of maize by which has a positive impact on the netincome, health expenditure, and household education expenditure.
Prof. V. Okoruwa's presentation given the the Africa Agriculture Week.
The role of agriculture in an economy is a major factor in determining the economy‟s state of development (Hazell and Diano, 2005). Most African countries are mainly agrarian since agriculture contributes immensely to their economies. Agriculture‟s contribution to GDP in the Africa is between 30% and 40% on the average. The sector accounts for almost 60% of total export earnings in the continent, provides the dominant occupation for about 65% of Africa‟s population and has been growing on the average at about 3.3% each year since 2000 (IFPRI, 2009). Despite this impressive contribution of agriculture to Africa‟s economy, the sector remains largely under-developed. Most farmers are still at the subsistence level and small scale, having less than 2ha of land. The level of technology is also low, production remains weather-dependent and consequently, farmers‟ incomes are low. Poor market access, weak infrastructure and limited ability to influence government policy also characterize the sector (Quartey et al, 2012). Majority of Africa's agricultural population live in rural areas and the rural population comprises over 60% of the entire population. Further, over 600 million people in sub-Saharan Africa are youths under the age of 30 years and about 65% of this number, work in subsistence agriculture. Rural agricultural workers are among the poorest in Africa with poverty rate averaged at about 50% (UN/ECA, 2010).
Agriculture has the potential to serve as a strong
"Evaluating Mozambique’s Agricultural Investment Plan", James Thurlow, presented at Workshop on Transformation of Agri-food Systems and Commercialization of Smallholder Agriculture in Mozambique: Evidence, Challenges and Implications
Maputo, Mozambique, December 9, 2013
Lessons from Ethiopia's Productive Safety Net Programme, presented by Alemaye...IFPRIMaSSP
Lessons from Ethiopia's Productive Safety Net Programme (PSNP), presented by Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse, IFPRI Ethiopia, 11 Feb 2020: BRACC resilience learning event 11-12 Feb 2020, Lilongwe, Malawi
Similar to Paul Dorosh, Bart Minten and Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse, "Ethiopia's Agri-Food System: Past Trends, Present Challenges, and Future Scenarios" (20)
These set of slides were presented at the BEP Seminar "Targeting in Development Projects: Approaches, challenges, and lessons learned" held last Oct. 2, 2023 in Cairo, Egypt
Caitlin Welsh
POLICY SEMINAR
Food System Repercussions of the Russia-Ukraine War
2023 Borlaug Dialogue Breakout session
Co-organized by IFPRI and CGIAR
OCT 26, 2023 - 1:10 TO 2:10PM EDT
Joseph Glauber
POLICY SEMINAR
Food System Repercussions of the Russia-Ukraine War
2023 Borlaug Dialogue Breakout session
Co-organized by IFPRI and CGIAR
OCT 26, 2023 - 1:10 TO 2:10PM EDT
Antonina Broyaka
POLICY SEMINAR
Food System Repercussions of the Russia-Ukraine War
2023 Borlaug Dialogue Breakout session
Co-organized by IFPRI and CGIAR
OCT 26, 2023 - 1:10 TO 2:10PM EDT
Bofana, Jose. 2023. Mapping cropland extent over a complex landscape: An assessment of the best approaches across the Zambezi River basin. PowerPoint presentation given during the Project Inception Workshop, VIP Grand Hotel, Maputo, Mozambique, April 20, 2023
Mananze, Sosdito. 2023. Examples of remote sensing application in agriculture monitoring. PowerPoint presentation given during the Project Inception Workshop, VIP Grand Hotel, Maputo, Mozambique, April 20, 2023
Seoul National University (SNU). 2023. Statistics from Space: Next-Generation Agricultural Production Information for Enhanced Monitoring of Food Security in Mozambique. Component 4. Crop analytics for forecasting yields. PowerPoint presentation given during the Project Inception Workshop, VIP Grand Hotel, Maputo, Mozambique, April 20, 2023
International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). 2023. Statistics from Space: Next-Generation Agricultural Production Information for Enhanced Monitoring of Food Security in Mozambique. PowerPoint presentation given during the Project Kickoff Meeting (virtual), January 12, 2023
International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). 2023. Statistics from Space: Next-Generation Agricultural Production Information for Enhanced Monitoring of Food Security in Mozambique. Component 1. Stakeholder engagement for impacts. PowerPoint presentation given during the Project Inception Workshop, VIP Grand Hotel, Maputo, Mozambique, April 20, 2023
Centro de Estudos de Políticas e Programas Agroalimentares (CEPPAG). 2023. Statistics from Space: Next-Generation Agricultural Production Information for Enhanced Monitoring of Food Security in Mozambique. Component 3. Digital collection of groundtruthing data. PowerPoint presentation given during the Project Inception Workshop, VIP Grand Hotel, Maputo, Mozambique, April 20, 2023
ITC/University of Twente. 2023. Statistics from Space: Next-Generation Agricultural Production Information for Enhanced Monitoring of Food Security in Mozambique. Component 2. Enhanced area sampling frames. PowerPoint presentation given during the Project Inception Workshop, VIP Grand Hotel, Maputo, Mozambique, April 20, 2023
Christina Justice
IFPRI-AMIS SEMINAR SERIES
A Look at Global Rice Markets: Export Restrictions, El Niño, and Price Controls
Co-organized by IFPRI and Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS)
OCT 18, 2023 - 9:00 TO 10:30AM EDT
Fousseini Traoré
IFPRI-AMIS SEMINAR SERIES
A Look at Global Rice Markets: Export Restrictions, El Niño, and Price Controls
Co-organized by IFPRI and Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS)
OCT 18, 2023 - 9:00 TO 10:30AM EDT
Abdullah Mamun and Joseph Glauber
IFPRI-AMIS SEMINAR SERIES
A Look at Global Rice Markets: Export Restrictions, El Niño, and Price Controls
Co-organized by IFPRI and Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS)
OCT 18, 2023 - 9:00 TO 10:30AM EDT
Shirley Mustafa
IFPRI-AMIS SEMINAR SERIES
A Look at Global Rice Markets: Export Restrictions, El Niño, and Price Controls
Co-organized by IFPRI and Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS)
OCT 18, 2023 - 9:00 TO 10:30AM EDT
Joseph Glauber
IFPRI-AMIS SEMINAR SERIES
A Look at Global Rice Markets: Export Restrictions, El Niño, and Price Controls
Co-organized by IFPRI and Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS)
OCT 18, 2023 - 9:00 TO 10:30AM EDT
Lead authors Jonathan Mockshell and Danielle Resnick presented these slides at the Virtual Book Launch of the Political Economy and Policy Analysis (PEPA) Sourcebook on October 10, 2023.
An output of the Myanmar Strategy Support Program, with USAID and Michigan State University. Presented by Paul Dorosh, Director, Development Strategy and Governance Unit, International Food Policy Research Institute and Nilar Aung, Research Specialist, Michigan State University.
Bedru Balana, Research Fellow, IFPRI, presented these slides at the AAAE2023 Conference, Durban, South Africa, 18-21 September 2023. The authors acknowledged the contributions of CGIAR Initiative on National Policies and Strategies, Google, the International Rescue Committee, IFPRI, and USAID.
Sara McHattie
IFPRI-AMIS SEMINAR SERIES
Facilitating Anticipatory Action with Improved Early Warning Guidance
Co-organized by IFPRI and Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS)
SEP 26, 2023 - 9:00 TO 10:30AM EDT
More from International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) (20)
Donate to charity during this holiday seasonSERUDS INDIA
For people who have money and are philanthropic, there are infinite opportunities to gift a needy person or child a Merry Christmas. Even if you are living on a shoestring budget, you will be surprised at how much you can do.
Donate Us
https://serudsindia.org/how-to-donate-to-charity-during-this-holiday-season/
#charityforchildren, #donateforchildren, #donateclothesforchildren, #donatebooksforchildren, #donatetoysforchildren, #sponsorforchildren, #sponsorclothesforchildren, #sponsorbooksforchildren, #sponsortoysforchildren, #seruds, #kurnool
Jennifer Schaus and Associates hosts a complimentary webinar series on The FAR in 2024. Join the webinars on Wednesdays and Fridays at noon, eastern.
Recordings are on YouTube and the company website.
https://www.youtube.com/@jenniferschaus/videos
ZGB - The Role of Generative AI in Government transformation.pdfSaeed Al Dhaheri
This keynote was presented during the the 7th edition of the UAE Hackathon 2024. It highlights the role of AI and Generative AI in addressing government transformation to achieve zero government bureaucracy
Jennifer Schaus and Associates hosts a complimentary webinar series on The FAR in 2024. Join the webinars on Wednesdays and Fridays at noon, eastern.
Recordings are on YouTube and the company website.
https://www.youtube.com/@jenniferschaus/videos
This session provides a comprehensive overview of the latest updates to the Uniform Administrative Requirements, Cost Principles, and Audit Requirements for Federal Awards (commonly known as the Uniform Guidance) outlined in the 2 CFR 200.
With a focus on the 2024 revisions issued by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), participants will gain insight into the key changes affecting federal grant recipients. The session will delve into critical regulatory updates, providing attendees with the knowledge and tools necessary to navigate and comply with the evolving landscape of federal grant management.
Learning Objectives:
- Understand the rationale behind the 2024 updates to the Uniform Guidance outlined in 2 CFR 200, and their implications for federal grant recipients.
- Identify the key changes and revisions introduced by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) in the 2024 edition of 2 CFR 200.
- Gain proficiency in applying the updated regulations to ensure compliance with federal grant requirements and avoid potential audit findings.
- Develop strategies for effectively implementing the new guidelines within the grant management processes of their respective organizations, fostering efficiency and accountability in federal grant administration.
Understanding the Challenges of Street ChildrenSERUDS INDIA
By raising awareness, providing support, advocating for change, and offering assistance to children in need, individuals can play a crucial role in improving the lives of street children and helping them realize their full potential
Donate Us
https://serudsindia.org/how-individuals-can-support-street-children-in-india/
#donatefororphan, #donateforhomelesschildren, #childeducation, #ngochildeducation, #donateforeducation, #donationforchildeducation, #sponsorforpoorchild, #sponsororphanage #sponsororphanchild, #donation, #education, #charity, #educationforchild, #seruds, #kurnool, #joyhome
Presentation by Jared Jageler, David Adler, Noelia Duchovny, and Evan Herrnstadt, analysts in CBO’s Microeconomic Studies and Health Analysis Divisions, at the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists Summer Conference.
Monitoring Health for the SDGs - Global Health Statistics 2024 - WHOChristina Parmionova
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Paul Dorosh, Bart Minten and Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse, "Ethiopia's Agri-Food System: Past Trends, Present Challenges, and Future Scenarios"
1. Ethiopia’s
Agri-Food System
Past Trends, Present Challenges,
and Future Scenarios
Paul Dorosh and Bart Minten (eds.)
IFPRI Webinar
September 22, 2020
Funding for this work and the overall
Ethiopian Strategy Support Program
(ESSP) was provided by USAID, the
European Union, and DFID.
2. Plan of Presentation
Production, Markets and Consumption
Poverty and Safety Nets
Land Constraints, Public Investment and Implications
for Development Strategy
3. Production, Markets,
and Consumption
Bart Minten
Senior Research Fellow
Former Program Leader Ethiopia Strategy Support
Program (ESSP)
International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
4. Source: Calculated from CSA data.
Rapid growth but contribution of area expansion smaller over time
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
%
grain area yield Linear (grain area) Linear (yield)
1. Agricultural Production
5. 1. Agricultural Production
Rapid growth in chemical fertilizer use
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
08/09
09/10
10/11
11/12
12/13
13/14
14/15
15/16
16/17
17/18
18/19
Milliontons
CSA farmer reports
Import
Source: Calculated from CSA data.
7. 2. Agricultural Markets
Marketing margins declining
Source: Calculated from CSA data.
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
2001
2006
2011
Real2011Birr/quintal
Addis
Mekelle
Linear (Addis)
Maize markets price differences
(Addis Ababa and Mekelle compared with surplus area Nekemte)
8. 2. Agricultural Markets
Despite large food imports, Ethiopia a net agricultural
exporter in most years
Source: Calculated from CSA data.
(2.0)
(1.5)
(1.0)
(0.5)
-
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0BillionUSD
ag. imports
ag. exports
net exports
10. 3. Food Consumption
Prices of nutritious foods on the rise
Source: Calculated from CSA data.
-60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80
Grains, roots and tubers
Legumes and nuts
Dairy products
Eggs
Flesh foods and others/small animal protein
Vitamin A dark green leafy vegetables
Other Vitamin A rich vegetables and fruits
Other fruits and vegetables
Oils and fats
Sugar and honey
%
Price changes (2018 compared to 2005, %)
11. Poverty and Safety Nets
Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse
Senior Research Fellow
Program Leader Ethiopia Strategy Support Program
(ESSP)
International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
12. Ethiopian households, particularly rural ones, are subject to a variety of
shocks – drought, flooding, pests, human and animal health, economic;
Drought is the most common and recurrent
Examples – 1984/85, 2002/03, 2015/16;
Shocks can and do the onset/persistence of poverty through transitory
and/or long-term impact – case of drought
a third of surveyed households during (2008-2016) report Loss of income and
reduced consumption
12-36 months old children affected by the 1984/85 drought/famine are
significantly shorter, by at least 5 cm, as adults (20 years later);
Shocks
13. The PSNP – Features
Focus – Rural PSNP, recent urban one introduced
The PSNP – Objectives and Components
• Aims to smooth consumption (protect assets) through transfers in
chronically food insecure communities (targeting)
• Has two components: Public Works (PWs) and Direct Support (DS);
• Builds community assets – soil and water conservation (SWC),
irrigation, roads, schools, clinics… – through PWs projects
The PSNP – Duration, Size
• Multi-year, multi-donor – coordination between GoE and donors;
• Large – up to 8 million beneficiaries; Budget ~US$0.5 billion/year
The PSNP – M&E
• Independent and collaborative monitoring and evaluation in the
design;
14. The PSNP – Impact Summary
Food security
• Improved food gap – 0.2 months per 100 Birr of transfers,
particularly in the highlands;
• Improved household level (calorie) availability and dietary diversity at
the household level.
Enhanced resilience (see chart on subsequent slide)
Economy-wide effects - the benefits of PSNP significantly exceed
the cost of PSNP transfers due to multipliers via local and national
markets (see next slide)
15. The PSNP – Impact Summary
PSNP transfers reduce vulnerability and improve resilience (2006-2014)
Local Economy Impact: PSNP generated income multipliers ranging
from 1 to 2.4 ETB per ETB transferred depending on the kebele (eight
LEWIE models);
16. PSNP - Challenges
Improvements were not seen at the child level.
• Little change in child nutritional outcomes due to PSNP;
• Child diet quality remains poor.
Livelihoods and asset creation (OFSP, HABP…) – mixed evidence;
• Targeting – geographic and community, proved problematic in the lowlands;
• Graduation – difficult, less understood;
• The PSNP4 (the current phase of PSNP) attempts to address some of these
through nutrition sensitive interventions, livelihoods component (with a livelihoods
transfer ‘scale-up’), other innovations (TDS, Social workers, …);
Considerable food security and vulnerability remains – even with PSNP;
17. COVID-19 and the PSNP
COVID-19 - Incidence
Partial lock down in response to the pandemic and the supportive measures
by the government have negative and positive economic consequences,
respectively;
Significant income losses reported in both rural and urban areas;
Both the rural and urban PSNP are helping in mitigating the negative
impact on incomes and food security.
Updated on September 20, 2020
Total cases
Cases per
1 million
population
Total
deaths
Deaths per
1 million
population
Total tests
Tests per 1
million
population
68,131 590 1089 9 1,194,795 10339
18. Land Constraints,
Public Investment and
Implications for
Development Strategy
Paul Dorosh
Division Director
Development Strategy and Governance Division
International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI)
19. Will Further Agricultural Growth Promote
Poverty Reduction Given Structural Change?
Key factors
Growth of agricultural supply relative to demand (price effects
on agricultural incomes)
Structural change in economy: Number of farmers (and
agricultural workers) declines as a share of total population.
Changing structure of demand: share of agricultural/food
products in total demand falls as incomes rise.
20. Ethiopia: Sources of Foreign Exchange
Total imports of goods averaged US$
15.4 billion between 2015/16 and
2019/20, more than double 2010/11
levels.
Foreign exchange earnings from
merchandise exports were on
average only 20 percent of the
value of imports.
Foreign capital inflows, private
transfers and FDI together averaged
US$11 bn in 2015/16-19/20 (71% of
merchandise imports).
Source: IMF (various years).
Ethiopia: Balance of Payments, 2004/05-2019/20
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
2004/05 2006/07 2008/09 2010/11 2012/13 2014/15 2016/17 2018/19
billionUS$
Foreign Capital Inflows Foreign Direct Investment Public Transfers
Net Servs + Priv Transfers Exports
Imports
21. Satellite data of groundcover over time were used to estimate how various factors
(elevation, terrain, precipitation, access to markets) affect the change in the
proportion of area in cropland.
In 2010-13, in the highlands 40.5% of land was cropland compared with only
15.9% in the lowlands.
There is little potential for cropland expansion in the highlands,
though lowland cropland could potentially expand to 34.5% of area.
Source: Schmidt and Thomas (2020) using MODIS Land Cover type product.
Major Land Constraints in the Highlands
Average share of area cropped, 2010–2013 Cropped area expansion potential in Ethiopia
22. Model Simulations:
Drivers of Agricultural and Economic Growth
Land (varies by region / agroecology):
• 0.6% annual growth in most scenarios (1.8% in moisture-sufficient
lowlands; 0.7% in moisture-sufficient highlands)
Labor (and rates of urbanization)
• Historical population growth rates 2007-15: urban 4.6%, rural 2.1%,
overall 2.5%
Capital (and rates of investment by sector)
• Determined by domestic and foreign savings
• Private and public investment choices
Technical change (changes in TFP)
23. Agricultural growth is likely to decelerate
• Growing land constraints are only partly offset by cultivating more of
the moisture-sufficient lowlands
• Urbanization slows rural labor force growth (but rural population is
still growing)
With rapid growth in the non-agricultural economy, demand
for agricultural products will continue to rise.
• Increased agricultural production can prevent an increase in real
food prices that would harm the poor.
The share of downstream activities in the broader
agri-food system is likely to grow over time
Transformation of the Agri-Food System
24. Public Investments and Poverty Reduction
Model simulations indicate that urban investments
generate faster economic growth and structural
transformation
But, in spite of rapid urbanization and structural
transformation, the bulk of the poor will likely be living in
rural areas with livelihoods dependent on agriculture and
the rural non-farm economy.
As a result, agricultural and rural non-farm
investments will likely remain most effective at
reducing poverty at least through the mid-2020’s.
25. Poverty* Impacts of Investments (2016-40)
Source: Ethiopia CGE model results
* Defining poor households as the lowest 40% in the income distribution.
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
2016 2020 2024 2028 2032 2036 2040
(%-pointdeviationfrombaseline)
Urban investments Agricultural investment Rural nonfarm investment
Agriculture invt more pro-poor
than urban invt through 2023-
24
Annual per capita consumption growth for poor households
(%-point deviation from baseline)
26. Poverty* Impacts of Investments (2016-40)
Source: Ethiopia CGE model results
* Defining poor households as the lowest 40% in the income distribution.
Annual per capita consumption growth for poor households
(%-point deviation from baseline)
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
2016 2020 2024 2028 2032 2036 2040
(%-pointdeviationfrombaseline)
Urban investments Agricultural investment Rural nonfarm investment
Agriculture invt more pro-poor
than urban invt through 2023-
24
Rural non-farm invt is more pro-poor
than urban invt through 2025-26
27. Although agro-ecologies differ, the basic ingredients for
Ethiopia’s success are applicable to other African countries.
Sustained commitment to the agriculture sector through
public investments in agricultural research, extension, rural
roads, and ensuring wide access to fertilizer and improved
seeds.
Avoidance of market distortions such as imposition of official
market prices and large-scale imports, which have taxed
producers in many other African countries.
Safety nets that effectively target food-insecure households.
Policies and programs to promote macroeconomic and
political stability.
Implications for Policy in Other Countries