The document summarizes research on the future of Ethiopia's agriculture through 2040 based on economy-wide modeling. Key findings include: - Agricultural growth will decelerate due to binding land constraints, while demand for food rises with urbanization. - Investing in rural non-farm activities provides the largest gains for rural GDP and reduces poverty the most. - Urban investments drive faster overall growth but reduce welfare for rural households. - Continued public and private investments in agriculture, rural infrastructure, and technology are needed to boost yields and incomes.