SlideShare a Scribd company logo
NPV for Asset Management Engineers WA Integrated Asset Management, 1 December 2016
NPVForAMEngineers.docx 1
Net Present Value for Asset Management
Engineers
Hein Aucamp
WA Integrated Asset Management
WA Integrated Asset Management is an
Infrastructure Asset Management company
serving Local Government and the mining
sector based in Perth, Western Australia.
www.waiam.com.au
A confession
I have a confession to make. About 3 or 4 years ago I was embarrassed because I got this wrong. My
background is engineering. If my background had been accounting, I would probably have been safer.
Different dollar values in Asset Management
Somehow I had drifted into thinking that a Net Present Value calculation does nothing more than
remove inflation from future dollar values. But it does more than that: it compares those future dollars
to a proper use of money.
And to those of us in Asset Management, it is not always obvious that a comparison is involved.
When we wear our Asset Management hats, we are usually not consciously making comparisons
about how well the money is being used. We are usually focused on how to manage the assets we
have got and which are aging, and about which we have no choice.
One difficulty with Asset Management is that we are dealing with different dollar values depending
on the documents we are using:
 Asset Management Plans, with their 20 year projections, are in current dollar values. Every
single figure, now and in the future, represents the purchasing power of a dollar in this
financial year.
 Financial budgets, on the other hand, are in nominal real dollar values. Future estimates in
income are the actual dollars that will be collected. Inflation is included. The dollar amounts
will be higher, but their purchasing power will be eroded by inflation.
So we need to be careful. For example, the Long Term Financial Plan contains information from both
Asset Management Plans and budgets, with their different dollar value figures. In the LTFP you have
a choice whether to use current dollar values or nominal real dollar values. So the LFTP has to have
an adjustment of either the Asset Management Plan figures or of the expected budgets to be able to
relate them to each other.
My specific difficulty was in calculating an Asset Renewal Funding Ratio (ARFR) from 10 years of
current dollar values in an Asset Management Plan. I got confused because inflation was already
stripped out, so I thought an NPV adjustment was not required, and that a simple sum would do.1
1
The ARFR is defined in the IPWEA AIFMG and also required of Councils in Western Australia by the DLG
Asset Management Framework and Guidelines.
NPV for Asset Management Engineers WA Integrated Asset Management, 1 December 2016
NPVForAMEngineers.docx 2
The Present Value and Net Present Value formulas
So let’s have a look at these formulas and understand precisely how to use them depending on what
we are trying to achieve.
As you know, the Present Value formula gives us the value in today’s dollars of a future amount. But
even when we use these exact words, we can mean slightly different things by value in today’s
dollars.
This is the formula: 𝑃𝑉 =
𝑉
(1+𝑖) 𝑛:
 V is the nominal (face) value n years from today.
 i is the discounting rate.
And as you also know, the Net Present Value formula is the sum2
of more than one future value to
allow us to relate a future income or expense stream to a figure in today’s dollars.
When we use these formulas, we need to get i right, because it differs depending on what we are
doing. There are 3 different parts making up i, and we need to choose between them.
Here are the three parts:
 The total discounting rate: let’s call it it.
 The inflationary part of the discounting rate: let’s call it ii.
 The real part of the discounting rate: let’s call it ir.
It will be easier for us to start with ii.
The inflationary part of the discounting rate ii
This represents the erosion of value because of inflation. In 2012 (around the time I made my mistake
with NPV), the AIFMG gave an example of 3.5%.
If you are adding or removing inflation to relate Asset Management Plan figures to budgetary figures,
use only ii, and use it in the Present Value (not the Net Present Value) formula.
For example, if you were in 2012, you would have taken a 2016 budget figure of $1,000 and
calculated it to be
$1,000
(1+0.035)4 = $871.44 in 2012 dollars.
When you apply adjustments to individual items, such as columns of yearly figures in a spreadsheet,
you will almost always be either multiplying or dividing by the Present Value formula using ii as the
discounting rate.
The total discounting rate it and the real discounting rate ir
The total discounting rate it is the interest rate achievable in a safe investment. In 2012 an example of
8.0% was given in the AIFMG. The 10 year bond rate is often used. It is larger than inflation.
The real part ir is the portion of it which is net over inflation. You calculate this by division, not by
subtraction: (1 + 𝑖 𝑟) =
(1+ 𝑖 𝑡)
(1+𝑖𝑖)
. In 2012, it would have been
(1+ 0.080)
(1+ 0.035)
= 1.0435, which means ir was
4.35%.
2
Technically it could also be a single figure, but this doesn’t often occur in Asset Management calculations.
NPV for Asset Management Engineers WA Integrated Asset Management, 1 December 2016
NPVForAMEngineers.docx 3
The reason that these terms (it and ir) are important is the implicit comparison I mentioned earlier.
The NPV formula does not simply relate a future stream of incomes or expenditures to present day
values. It takes something additional into account. If I keep my money this year, and if I follow good
investment practices which beat inflation, it will be worth more next year in real terms.
E.g. if I had $1,000 in 2012, and invested it at the bond rate, in 2013 it would have been worth:
 $1,000 * (1 + 0.08) = $1,080 in nominal real dollars.
 $1,000 * (1 + 0.0435) = $1,043.50 in 2012 current dollars.
On the other hand, if I had kept the $1,000 without investing it, in 2013 it would have been worth:
 $1,000 in nominal real dollars.
 $1,000 / (1 + 0.035) = $966.18 in 2012 dollars.
When the Net Present Value formula is prescribed (as it is for the Asset Renewal Funding Ratio), it
includes this implied comparison. It includes as a reference whether proper use is being made of the
money, and whether the money is beating inflation by as much as it should be.
So if you are adding values together to evaluate future income or expense streams, you will almost
always use ir or it (and not ii) in a Net Present Value formula:
 Use ir if you are adding current dollar values (e.g. projections in the Asset Management Plan).
 Use it if you are adding nominal future dollar values (e.g. future budgets which include
inflation).
 Use either ir or it when adding figures from your Long Term Financial Plan, depending on
whether it is written in current dollars or nominal future dollars.
Summary
In general, the summary below will apply. But make sure that you aren’t dealing with an exceptional
case.
Activity Formula to Use Discount Rate to Use
Adjusting individual figures to add or remove inflation Present Value ii
Summing real nominal dollar figures in future years Net Present Value it
Summing current dollar figures in future years Net Present Value ir
Note about Excel Present Value formula
Be careful of the Excel PV() formula. It works differently from the one I have presented above. It
sums the specified value over n years, instead of calculating one value n years in the future.

More Related Content

What's hot

Risk and Returns
Risk and ReturnsRisk and Returns
Risk and Returns
Mikee Bylss
 
Risk And Return Relationship PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Risk And Return Relationship PowerPoint Presentation SlidesRisk And Return Relationship PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Risk And Return Relationship PowerPoint Presentation Slides
SlideTeam
 
Chap.12 cost of capital
Chap.12 cost of capitalChap.12 cost of capital
Chap.12 cost of capital
Ou Vanna
 
Portfolio Risk And Return Analysis PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Portfolio Risk And Return Analysis PowerPoint Presentation Slides Portfolio Risk And Return Analysis PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Portfolio Risk And Return Analysis PowerPoint Presentation Slides
SlideTeam
 
Hw12 fin. mgmt.
Hw12 fin. mgmt.Hw12 fin. mgmt.
Hw12 fin. mgmt.
PureHoneyBee
 
6. risk and return
6. risk and return6. risk and return
6. risk and return
Mohsin Phulpoto
 
Risk and return, corporate finance, chapter 11
Risk and return, corporate finance, chapter 11Risk and return, corporate finance, chapter 11
Risk and return, corporate finance, chapter 11
Tumennast Sukhbaatar
 
Risk and return
Risk and returnRisk and return
Risk and return
Jubayer Alam Shoikat
 
Chapter v
Chapter vChapter v
Chapter v
artipradhan
 
Risk and Return Analysis .ppt By Sumon Sheikh
Risk and Return Analysis .ppt By Sumon SheikhRisk and Return Analysis .ppt By Sumon Sheikh
Risk and Return Analysis .ppt By Sumon Sheikh
Sumon Sheikh
 
Measurement of Risk and Calculation of Portfolio Risk
Measurement of Risk and Calculation of Portfolio RiskMeasurement of Risk and Calculation of Portfolio Risk
Measurement of Risk and Calculation of Portfolio Risk
Dhrumil Shah
 
Ch 5
Ch 5Ch 5
Aflac: An Owners Manual for Investors
Aflac: An Owners Manual for InvestorsAflac: An Owners Manual for Investors
Aflac: An Owners Manual for Investors
OneMarlandRoad
 
Risk and return
Risk and returnRisk and return
Risk and return
Mustafa El Awady
 
Risk Return Trade Off PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Risk Return Trade Off PowerPoint Presentation SlidesRisk Return Trade Off PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Risk Return Trade Off PowerPoint Presentation Slides
SlideTeam
 
Basic concepts in decision making (EE&FA/C)
Basic concepts in decision making (EE&FA/C)Basic concepts in decision making (EE&FA/C)
Basic concepts in decision making (EE&FA/C)
Barani Dharan
 

What's hot (16)

Risk and Returns
Risk and ReturnsRisk and Returns
Risk and Returns
 
Risk And Return Relationship PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Risk And Return Relationship PowerPoint Presentation SlidesRisk And Return Relationship PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Risk And Return Relationship PowerPoint Presentation Slides
 
Chap.12 cost of capital
Chap.12 cost of capitalChap.12 cost of capital
Chap.12 cost of capital
 
Portfolio Risk And Return Analysis PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Portfolio Risk And Return Analysis PowerPoint Presentation Slides Portfolio Risk And Return Analysis PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Portfolio Risk And Return Analysis PowerPoint Presentation Slides
 
Hw12 fin. mgmt.
Hw12 fin. mgmt.Hw12 fin. mgmt.
Hw12 fin. mgmt.
 
6. risk and return
6. risk and return6. risk and return
6. risk and return
 
Risk and return, corporate finance, chapter 11
Risk and return, corporate finance, chapter 11Risk and return, corporate finance, chapter 11
Risk and return, corporate finance, chapter 11
 
Risk and return
Risk and returnRisk and return
Risk and return
 
Chapter v
Chapter vChapter v
Chapter v
 
Risk and Return Analysis .ppt By Sumon Sheikh
Risk and Return Analysis .ppt By Sumon SheikhRisk and Return Analysis .ppt By Sumon Sheikh
Risk and Return Analysis .ppt By Sumon Sheikh
 
Measurement of Risk and Calculation of Portfolio Risk
Measurement of Risk and Calculation of Portfolio RiskMeasurement of Risk and Calculation of Portfolio Risk
Measurement of Risk and Calculation of Portfolio Risk
 
Ch 5
Ch 5Ch 5
Ch 5
 
Aflac: An Owners Manual for Investors
Aflac: An Owners Manual for InvestorsAflac: An Owners Manual for Investors
Aflac: An Owners Manual for Investors
 
Risk and return
Risk and returnRisk and return
Risk and return
 
Risk Return Trade Off PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Risk Return Trade Off PowerPoint Presentation SlidesRisk Return Trade Off PowerPoint Presentation Slides
Risk Return Trade Off PowerPoint Presentation Slides
 
Basic concepts in decision making (EE&FA/C)
Basic concepts in decision making (EE&FA/C)Basic concepts in decision making (EE&FA/C)
Basic concepts in decision making (EE&FA/C)
 

Viewers also liked

business resume august 2016
business resume august 2016business resume august 2016
business resume august 2016
Bryson Ricks
 
TEX ZIPPER - Global Nominations - 15Aug2016
TEX ZIPPER - Global Nominations - 15Aug2016TEX ZIPPER - Global Nominations - 15Aug2016
TEX ZIPPER - Global Nominations - 15Aug2016
Khải Khanh Huỳnh
 
Fretiac
FretiacFretiac
Resume 2016a
Resume 2016aResume 2016a
Resume 2016a
Dave Warnes
 
EME ARI VERONA 2010
EME  ARI VERONA  2010EME  ARI VERONA  2010
A Inveja Mata
A Inveja MataA Inveja Mata
A Inveja Mata
site curiosidades
 
Entornos personales de aprendizaje
Entornos personales de aprendizajeEntornos personales de aprendizaje
Entornos personales de aprendizaje
Claau'u Dgz
 
Power de la caza del tesoro y la webquest
Power de la caza del tesoro y la webquestPower de la caza del tesoro y la webquest
Power de la caza del tesoro y la webquest
Alejandra Gimenes
 
Catedrala
CatedralaCatedrala
Convocatoria Alumni Awards 2017 BC
Convocatoria Alumni Awards 2017 BCConvocatoria Alumni Awards 2017 BC
Convocatoria Alumni Awards 2017 BC
Alumni Awards Mexico
 
Semana 1 historia_de_la_ingeniera[1]
Semana 1 historia_de_la_ingeniera[1]Semana 1 historia_de_la_ingeniera[1]
Semana 1 historia_de_la_ingeniera[1]
Harry Acero
 
ENJ-300 Valor de la Autopsia en la Investigacion Criminal
ENJ-300 Valor de la Autopsia en la Investigacion CriminalENJ-300 Valor de la Autopsia en la Investigacion Criminal
ENJ-300 Valor de la Autopsia en la Investigacion Criminal
ENJ
 
II Sesión Ordinaria del Consejo Académico 2016 - 2018 de la Academia de Ingen...
II Sesión Ordinaria del Consejo Académico 2016 - 2018 de la Academia de Ingen...II Sesión Ordinaria del Consejo Académico 2016 - 2018 de la Academia de Ingen...
II Sesión Ordinaria del Consejo Académico 2016 - 2018 de la Academia de Ingen...
Academia de Ingeniería de México
 
Du web + des archives + de la généalogie
Du web + des archives + de la généalogieDu web + des archives + de la généalogie
Du web + des archives + de la généalogie
daieuxdailleurs
 
Estrategias ludicas creativas
Estrategias  ludicas creativasEstrategias  ludicas creativas
Estrategias ludicas creativas
Victhor Manuelle
 

Viewers also liked (17)

business resume august 2016
business resume august 2016business resume august 2016
business resume august 2016
 
1991_11_13ABGgsa
1991_11_13ABGgsa1991_11_13ABGgsa
1991_11_13ABGgsa
 
TEX ZIPPER - Global Nominations - 15Aug2016
TEX ZIPPER - Global Nominations - 15Aug2016TEX ZIPPER - Global Nominations - 15Aug2016
TEX ZIPPER - Global Nominations - 15Aug2016
 
Fretiac
FretiacFretiac
Fretiac
 
Resume 2016a
Resume 2016aResume 2016a
Resume 2016a
 
EME ARI VERONA 2010
EME  ARI VERONA  2010EME  ARI VERONA  2010
EME ARI VERONA 2010
 
A Inveja Mata
A Inveja MataA Inveja Mata
A Inveja Mata
 
Entornos personales de aprendizaje
Entornos personales de aprendizajeEntornos personales de aprendizaje
Entornos personales de aprendizaje
 
Power de la caza del tesoro y la webquest
Power de la caza del tesoro y la webquestPower de la caza del tesoro y la webquest
Power de la caza del tesoro y la webquest
 
Catedrala
CatedralaCatedrala
Catedrala
 
Convocatoria Alumni Awards 2017 BC
Convocatoria Alumni Awards 2017 BCConvocatoria Alumni Awards 2017 BC
Convocatoria Alumni Awards 2017 BC
 
Semana 1 historia_de_la_ingeniera[1]
Semana 1 historia_de_la_ingeniera[1]Semana 1 historia_de_la_ingeniera[1]
Semana 1 historia_de_la_ingeniera[1]
 
ENJ-300 Valor de la Autopsia en la Investigacion Criminal
ENJ-300 Valor de la Autopsia en la Investigacion CriminalENJ-300 Valor de la Autopsia en la Investigacion Criminal
ENJ-300 Valor de la Autopsia en la Investigacion Criminal
 
Strategije i modelovanje
Strategije i modelovanjeStrategije i modelovanje
Strategije i modelovanje
 
II Sesión Ordinaria del Consejo Académico 2016 - 2018 de la Academia de Ingen...
II Sesión Ordinaria del Consejo Académico 2016 - 2018 de la Academia de Ingen...II Sesión Ordinaria del Consejo Académico 2016 - 2018 de la Academia de Ingen...
II Sesión Ordinaria del Consejo Académico 2016 - 2018 de la Academia de Ingen...
 
Du web + des archives + de la généalogie
Du web + des archives + de la généalogieDu web + des archives + de la généalogie
Du web + des archives + de la généalogie
 
Estrategias ludicas creativas
Estrategias  ludicas creativasEstrategias  ludicas creativas
Estrategias ludicas creativas
 

Similar to Net Present Value for Asset Management Engineers

18 ratio analysis_theory
18 ratio analysis_theory18 ratio analysis_theory
18 ratio analysis_theory
rushank1
 
· Select and respond to 3 posts listed below. Advance the conversa.docx
· Select and respond to 3 posts listed below. Advance the conversa.docx· Select and respond to 3 posts listed below. Advance the conversa.docx
· Select and respond to 3 posts listed below. Advance the conversa.docx
LynellBull52
 
Ratio analysis theory-prime
Ratio analysis  theory-primeRatio analysis  theory-prime
Ratio analysis theory-prime
Sahil Shaikh
 
Financial management
Financial managementFinancial management
Financial management
Dharmik
 
Budgeting for planning and control
Budgeting for planning and controlBudgeting for planning and control
Budgeting for planning and control
Hendrygoh
 
Chapter 3 - Financial Benchmarking for Inventory Turns and Working Capital
Chapter 3 - Financial Benchmarking for Inventory Turns and Working CapitalChapter 3 - Financial Benchmarking for Inventory Turns and Working Capital
Chapter 3 - Financial Benchmarking for Inventory Turns and Working Capital
Solventure
 
Operating Ratios asPerformanceMeasure s 11C H A P T E RTHE.docx
Operating Ratios asPerformanceMeasure s 11C H A P T E RTHE.docxOperating Ratios asPerformanceMeasure s 11C H A P T E RTHE.docx
Operating Ratios asPerformanceMeasure s 11C H A P T E RTHE.docx
hopeaustin33688
 
Capital Budget Appraisal.
Capital Budget Appraisal.Capital Budget Appraisal.
Capital Budget Appraisal.
ArhamAli38
 
Capital budgeting
Capital budgetingCapital budgeting
Capital budgeting
Deep Khannewala
 
Steps to basic_company_financial_analysis
Steps to basic_company_financial_analysisSteps to basic_company_financial_analysis
Steps to basic_company_financial_analysis
Ibrahim Hussain
 
Futurum stated and effective interest rate
Futurum   stated and effective interest rateFuturum   stated and effective interest rate
Futurum stated and effective interest rate
Futurum2
 
Stated and effective interest rate
Stated and effective interest rateStated and effective interest rate
Stated and effective interest rate
Futurum2
 
Budgeting for planning and control almira zhafira
Budgeting for planning and  control almira zhafiraBudgeting for planning and  control almira zhafira
Budgeting for planning and control almira zhafira
AlmiraZhafira
 
Budgeting for planning and control almira zhafira
Budgeting for planning and  control almira zhafiraBudgeting for planning and  control almira zhafira
Budgeting for planning and control almira zhafira
AlmiraZhafira
 
FIN 430 — Finance Theory and PracticeProject AssignmentsCalculat.docx
FIN 430 — Finance Theory and PracticeProject AssignmentsCalculat.docxFIN 430 — Finance Theory and PracticeProject AssignmentsCalculat.docx
FIN 430 — Finance Theory and PracticeProject AssignmentsCalculat.docx
ssuser454af01
 
Budgeting for planning and control
Budgeting for planning and controlBudgeting for planning and control
Budgeting for planning and control
Valentine Lim
 
WMBA 6050 Accounting .docx
WMBA 6050 Accounting .docxWMBA 6050 Accounting .docx
WMBA 6050 Accounting .docx
ericbrooks84875
 
Higher National Diploma
Higher National DiplomaHigher National Diploma
Higher National Diploma
Sandy Harwell
 
Capitalbudgeting
CapitalbudgetingCapitalbudgeting
Capitalbudgeting
tootimothy
 
Budgeting For Planning and Control
Budgeting For Planning and ControlBudgeting For Planning and Control
Budgeting For Planning and Control
SudarmanAng
 

Similar to Net Present Value for Asset Management Engineers (20)

18 ratio analysis_theory
18 ratio analysis_theory18 ratio analysis_theory
18 ratio analysis_theory
 
· Select and respond to 3 posts listed below. Advance the conversa.docx
· Select and respond to 3 posts listed below. Advance the conversa.docx· Select and respond to 3 posts listed below. Advance the conversa.docx
· Select and respond to 3 posts listed below. Advance the conversa.docx
 
Ratio analysis theory-prime
Ratio analysis  theory-primeRatio analysis  theory-prime
Ratio analysis theory-prime
 
Financial management
Financial managementFinancial management
Financial management
 
Budgeting for planning and control
Budgeting for planning and controlBudgeting for planning and control
Budgeting for planning and control
 
Chapter 3 - Financial Benchmarking for Inventory Turns and Working Capital
Chapter 3 - Financial Benchmarking for Inventory Turns and Working CapitalChapter 3 - Financial Benchmarking for Inventory Turns and Working Capital
Chapter 3 - Financial Benchmarking for Inventory Turns and Working Capital
 
Operating Ratios asPerformanceMeasure s 11C H A P T E RTHE.docx
Operating Ratios asPerformanceMeasure s 11C H A P T E RTHE.docxOperating Ratios asPerformanceMeasure s 11C H A P T E RTHE.docx
Operating Ratios asPerformanceMeasure s 11C H A P T E RTHE.docx
 
Capital Budget Appraisal.
Capital Budget Appraisal.Capital Budget Appraisal.
Capital Budget Appraisal.
 
Capital budgeting
Capital budgetingCapital budgeting
Capital budgeting
 
Steps to basic_company_financial_analysis
Steps to basic_company_financial_analysisSteps to basic_company_financial_analysis
Steps to basic_company_financial_analysis
 
Futurum stated and effective interest rate
Futurum   stated and effective interest rateFuturum   stated and effective interest rate
Futurum stated and effective interest rate
 
Stated and effective interest rate
Stated and effective interest rateStated and effective interest rate
Stated and effective interest rate
 
Budgeting for planning and control almira zhafira
Budgeting for planning and  control almira zhafiraBudgeting for planning and  control almira zhafira
Budgeting for planning and control almira zhafira
 
Budgeting for planning and control almira zhafira
Budgeting for planning and  control almira zhafiraBudgeting for planning and  control almira zhafira
Budgeting for planning and control almira zhafira
 
FIN 430 — Finance Theory and PracticeProject AssignmentsCalculat.docx
FIN 430 — Finance Theory and PracticeProject AssignmentsCalculat.docxFIN 430 — Finance Theory and PracticeProject AssignmentsCalculat.docx
FIN 430 — Finance Theory and PracticeProject AssignmentsCalculat.docx
 
Budgeting for planning and control
Budgeting for planning and controlBudgeting for planning and control
Budgeting for planning and control
 
WMBA 6050 Accounting .docx
WMBA 6050 Accounting .docxWMBA 6050 Accounting .docx
WMBA 6050 Accounting .docx
 
Higher National Diploma
Higher National DiplomaHigher National Diploma
Higher National Diploma
 
Capitalbudgeting
CapitalbudgetingCapitalbudgeting
Capitalbudgeting
 
Budgeting For Planning and Control
Budgeting For Planning and ControlBudgeting For Planning and Control
Budgeting For Planning and Control
 

Recently uploaded

Literature Review Basics and Understanding Reference Management.pptx
Literature Review Basics and Understanding Reference Management.pptxLiterature Review Basics and Understanding Reference Management.pptx
Literature Review Basics and Understanding Reference Management.pptx
Dr Ramhari Poudyal
 
Harnessing WebAssembly for Real-time Stateless Streaming Pipelines
Harnessing WebAssembly for Real-time Stateless Streaming PipelinesHarnessing WebAssembly for Real-time Stateless Streaming Pipelines
Harnessing WebAssembly for Real-time Stateless Streaming Pipelines
Christina Lin
 
spirit beverages ppt without graphics.pptx
spirit beverages ppt without graphics.pptxspirit beverages ppt without graphics.pptx
spirit beverages ppt without graphics.pptx
Madan Karki
 
PPT on GRP pipes manufacturing and testing
PPT on GRP pipes manufacturing and testingPPT on GRP pipes manufacturing and testing
PPT on GRP pipes manufacturing and testing
anoopmanoharan2
 
哪里办理(csu毕业证书)查尔斯特大学毕业证硕士学历原版一模一样
哪里办理(csu毕业证书)查尔斯特大学毕业证硕士学历原版一模一样哪里办理(csu毕业证书)查尔斯特大学毕业证硕士学历原版一模一样
哪里办理(csu毕业证书)查尔斯特大学毕业证硕士学历原版一模一样
insn4465
 
在线办理(ANU毕业证书)澳洲国立大学毕业证录取通知书一模一样
在线办理(ANU毕业证书)澳洲国立大学毕业证录取通知书一模一样在线办理(ANU毕业证书)澳洲国立大学毕业证录取通知书一模一样
在线办理(ANU毕业证书)澳洲国立大学毕业证录取通知书一模一样
obonagu
 
14 Template Contractual Notice - EOT Application
14 Template Contractual Notice - EOT Application14 Template Contractual Notice - EOT Application
14 Template Contractual Notice - EOT Application
SyedAbiiAzazi1
 
Understanding Inductive Bias in Machine Learning
Understanding Inductive Bias in Machine LearningUnderstanding Inductive Bias in Machine Learning
Understanding Inductive Bias in Machine Learning
SUTEJAS
 
Technical Drawings introduction to drawing of prisms
Technical Drawings introduction to drawing of prismsTechnical Drawings introduction to drawing of prisms
Technical Drawings introduction to drawing of prisms
heavyhaig
 
sieving analysis and results interpretation
sieving analysis and results interpretationsieving analysis and results interpretation
sieving analysis and results interpretation
ssuser36d3051
 
Hierarchical Digital Twin of a Naval Power System
Hierarchical Digital Twin of a Naval Power SystemHierarchical Digital Twin of a Naval Power System
Hierarchical Digital Twin of a Naval Power System
Kerry Sado
 
RAT: Retrieval Augmented Thoughts Elicit Context-Aware Reasoning in Long-Hori...
RAT: Retrieval Augmented Thoughts Elicit Context-Aware Reasoning in Long-Hori...RAT: Retrieval Augmented Thoughts Elicit Context-Aware Reasoning in Long-Hori...
RAT: Retrieval Augmented Thoughts Elicit Context-Aware Reasoning in Long-Hori...
thanhdowork
 
Exception Handling notes in java exception
Exception Handling notes in java exceptionException Handling notes in java exception
Exception Handling notes in java exception
Ratnakar Mikkili
 
一比一原版(UMich毕业证)密歇根大学|安娜堡分校毕业证成绩单专业办理
一比一原版(UMich毕业证)密歇根大学|安娜堡分校毕业证成绩单专业办理一比一原版(UMich毕业证)密歇根大学|安娜堡分校毕业证成绩单专业办理
一比一原版(UMich毕业证)密歇根大学|安娜堡分校毕业证成绩单专业办理
zwunae
 
Building Electrical System Design & Installation
Building Electrical System Design & InstallationBuilding Electrical System Design & Installation
Building Electrical System Design & Installation
symbo111
 
BPV-GUI-01-Guide-for-ASME-Review-Teams-(General)-10-10-2023.pdf
BPV-GUI-01-Guide-for-ASME-Review-Teams-(General)-10-10-2023.pdfBPV-GUI-01-Guide-for-ASME-Review-Teams-(General)-10-10-2023.pdf
BPV-GUI-01-Guide-for-ASME-Review-Teams-(General)-10-10-2023.pdf
MIGUELANGEL966976
 
Unbalanced Three Phase Systems and circuits.pptx
Unbalanced Three Phase Systems and circuits.pptxUnbalanced Three Phase Systems and circuits.pptx
Unbalanced Three Phase Systems and circuits.pptx
ChristineTorrepenida1
 
PROJECT FORMAT FOR EVS AMITY UNIVERSITY GWALIOR.ppt
PROJECT FORMAT FOR EVS AMITY UNIVERSITY GWALIOR.pptPROJECT FORMAT FOR EVS AMITY UNIVERSITY GWALIOR.ppt
PROJECT FORMAT FOR EVS AMITY UNIVERSITY GWALIOR.ppt
bhadouriyakaku
 
ACRP 4-09 Risk Assessment Method to Support Modification of Airfield Separat...
ACRP 4-09 Risk Assessment Method to Support Modification of Airfield Separat...ACRP 4-09 Risk Assessment Method to Support Modification of Airfield Separat...
ACRP 4-09 Risk Assessment Method to Support Modification of Airfield Separat...
Mukeshwaran Balu
 
Advanced control scheme of doubly fed induction generator for wind turbine us...
Advanced control scheme of doubly fed induction generator for wind turbine us...Advanced control scheme of doubly fed induction generator for wind turbine us...
Advanced control scheme of doubly fed induction generator for wind turbine us...
IJECEIAES
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Literature Review Basics and Understanding Reference Management.pptx
Literature Review Basics and Understanding Reference Management.pptxLiterature Review Basics and Understanding Reference Management.pptx
Literature Review Basics and Understanding Reference Management.pptx
 
Harnessing WebAssembly for Real-time Stateless Streaming Pipelines
Harnessing WebAssembly for Real-time Stateless Streaming PipelinesHarnessing WebAssembly for Real-time Stateless Streaming Pipelines
Harnessing WebAssembly for Real-time Stateless Streaming Pipelines
 
spirit beverages ppt without graphics.pptx
spirit beverages ppt without graphics.pptxspirit beverages ppt without graphics.pptx
spirit beverages ppt without graphics.pptx
 
PPT on GRP pipes manufacturing and testing
PPT on GRP pipes manufacturing and testingPPT on GRP pipes manufacturing and testing
PPT on GRP pipes manufacturing and testing
 
哪里办理(csu毕业证书)查尔斯特大学毕业证硕士学历原版一模一样
哪里办理(csu毕业证书)查尔斯特大学毕业证硕士学历原版一模一样哪里办理(csu毕业证书)查尔斯特大学毕业证硕士学历原版一模一样
哪里办理(csu毕业证书)查尔斯特大学毕业证硕士学历原版一模一样
 
在线办理(ANU毕业证书)澳洲国立大学毕业证录取通知书一模一样
在线办理(ANU毕业证书)澳洲国立大学毕业证录取通知书一模一样在线办理(ANU毕业证书)澳洲国立大学毕业证录取通知书一模一样
在线办理(ANU毕业证书)澳洲国立大学毕业证录取通知书一模一样
 
14 Template Contractual Notice - EOT Application
14 Template Contractual Notice - EOT Application14 Template Contractual Notice - EOT Application
14 Template Contractual Notice - EOT Application
 
Understanding Inductive Bias in Machine Learning
Understanding Inductive Bias in Machine LearningUnderstanding Inductive Bias in Machine Learning
Understanding Inductive Bias in Machine Learning
 
Technical Drawings introduction to drawing of prisms
Technical Drawings introduction to drawing of prismsTechnical Drawings introduction to drawing of prisms
Technical Drawings introduction to drawing of prisms
 
sieving analysis and results interpretation
sieving analysis and results interpretationsieving analysis and results interpretation
sieving analysis and results interpretation
 
Hierarchical Digital Twin of a Naval Power System
Hierarchical Digital Twin of a Naval Power SystemHierarchical Digital Twin of a Naval Power System
Hierarchical Digital Twin of a Naval Power System
 
RAT: Retrieval Augmented Thoughts Elicit Context-Aware Reasoning in Long-Hori...
RAT: Retrieval Augmented Thoughts Elicit Context-Aware Reasoning in Long-Hori...RAT: Retrieval Augmented Thoughts Elicit Context-Aware Reasoning in Long-Hori...
RAT: Retrieval Augmented Thoughts Elicit Context-Aware Reasoning in Long-Hori...
 
Exception Handling notes in java exception
Exception Handling notes in java exceptionException Handling notes in java exception
Exception Handling notes in java exception
 
一比一原版(UMich毕业证)密歇根大学|安娜堡分校毕业证成绩单专业办理
一比一原版(UMich毕业证)密歇根大学|安娜堡分校毕业证成绩单专业办理一比一原版(UMich毕业证)密歇根大学|安娜堡分校毕业证成绩单专业办理
一比一原版(UMich毕业证)密歇根大学|安娜堡分校毕业证成绩单专业办理
 
Building Electrical System Design & Installation
Building Electrical System Design & InstallationBuilding Electrical System Design & Installation
Building Electrical System Design & Installation
 
BPV-GUI-01-Guide-for-ASME-Review-Teams-(General)-10-10-2023.pdf
BPV-GUI-01-Guide-for-ASME-Review-Teams-(General)-10-10-2023.pdfBPV-GUI-01-Guide-for-ASME-Review-Teams-(General)-10-10-2023.pdf
BPV-GUI-01-Guide-for-ASME-Review-Teams-(General)-10-10-2023.pdf
 
Unbalanced Three Phase Systems and circuits.pptx
Unbalanced Three Phase Systems and circuits.pptxUnbalanced Three Phase Systems and circuits.pptx
Unbalanced Three Phase Systems and circuits.pptx
 
PROJECT FORMAT FOR EVS AMITY UNIVERSITY GWALIOR.ppt
PROJECT FORMAT FOR EVS AMITY UNIVERSITY GWALIOR.pptPROJECT FORMAT FOR EVS AMITY UNIVERSITY GWALIOR.ppt
PROJECT FORMAT FOR EVS AMITY UNIVERSITY GWALIOR.ppt
 
ACRP 4-09 Risk Assessment Method to Support Modification of Airfield Separat...
ACRP 4-09 Risk Assessment Method to Support Modification of Airfield Separat...ACRP 4-09 Risk Assessment Method to Support Modification of Airfield Separat...
ACRP 4-09 Risk Assessment Method to Support Modification of Airfield Separat...
 
Advanced control scheme of doubly fed induction generator for wind turbine us...
Advanced control scheme of doubly fed induction generator for wind turbine us...Advanced control scheme of doubly fed induction generator for wind turbine us...
Advanced control scheme of doubly fed induction generator for wind turbine us...
 

Net Present Value for Asset Management Engineers

  • 1. NPV for Asset Management Engineers WA Integrated Asset Management, 1 December 2016 NPVForAMEngineers.docx 1 Net Present Value for Asset Management Engineers Hein Aucamp WA Integrated Asset Management WA Integrated Asset Management is an Infrastructure Asset Management company serving Local Government and the mining sector based in Perth, Western Australia. www.waiam.com.au A confession I have a confession to make. About 3 or 4 years ago I was embarrassed because I got this wrong. My background is engineering. If my background had been accounting, I would probably have been safer. Different dollar values in Asset Management Somehow I had drifted into thinking that a Net Present Value calculation does nothing more than remove inflation from future dollar values. But it does more than that: it compares those future dollars to a proper use of money. And to those of us in Asset Management, it is not always obvious that a comparison is involved. When we wear our Asset Management hats, we are usually not consciously making comparisons about how well the money is being used. We are usually focused on how to manage the assets we have got and which are aging, and about which we have no choice. One difficulty with Asset Management is that we are dealing with different dollar values depending on the documents we are using:  Asset Management Plans, with their 20 year projections, are in current dollar values. Every single figure, now and in the future, represents the purchasing power of a dollar in this financial year.  Financial budgets, on the other hand, are in nominal real dollar values. Future estimates in income are the actual dollars that will be collected. Inflation is included. The dollar amounts will be higher, but their purchasing power will be eroded by inflation. So we need to be careful. For example, the Long Term Financial Plan contains information from both Asset Management Plans and budgets, with their different dollar value figures. In the LTFP you have a choice whether to use current dollar values or nominal real dollar values. So the LFTP has to have an adjustment of either the Asset Management Plan figures or of the expected budgets to be able to relate them to each other. My specific difficulty was in calculating an Asset Renewal Funding Ratio (ARFR) from 10 years of current dollar values in an Asset Management Plan. I got confused because inflation was already stripped out, so I thought an NPV adjustment was not required, and that a simple sum would do.1 1 The ARFR is defined in the IPWEA AIFMG and also required of Councils in Western Australia by the DLG Asset Management Framework and Guidelines.
  • 2. NPV for Asset Management Engineers WA Integrated Asset Management, 1 December 2016 NPVForAMEngineers.docx 2 The Present Value and Net Present Value formulas So let’s have a look at these formulas and understand precisely how to use them depending on what we are trying to achieve. As you know, the Present Value formula gives us the value in today’s dollars of a future amount. But even when we use these exact words, we can mean slightly different things by value in today’s dollars. This is the formula: 𝑃𝑉 = 𝑉 (1+𝑖) 𝑛:  V is the nominal (face) value n years from today.  i is the discounting rate. And as you also know, the Net Present Value formula is the sum2 of more than one future value to allow us to relate a future income or expense stream to a figure in today’s dollars. When we use these formulas, we need to get i right, because it differs depending on what we are doing. There are 3 different parts making up i, and we need to choose between them. Here are the three parts:  The total discounting rate: let’s call it it.  The inflationary part of the discounting rate: let’s call it ii.  The real part of the discounting rate: let’s call it ir. It will be easier for us to start with ii. The inflationary part of the discounting rate ii This represents the erosion of value because of inflation. In 2012 (around the time I made my mistake with NPV), the AIFMG gave an example of 3.5%. If you are adding or removing inflation to relate Asset Management Plan figures to budgetary figures, use only ii, and use it in the Present Value (not the Net Present Value) formula. For example, if you were in 2012, you would have taken a 2016 budget figure of $1,000 and calculated it to be $1,000 (1+0.035)4 = $871.44 in 2012 dollars. When you apply adjustments to individual items, such as columns of yearly figures in a spreadsheet, you will almost always be either multiplying or dividing by the Present Value formula using ii as the discounting rate. The total discounting rate it and the real discounting rate ir The total discounting rate it is the interest rate achievable in a safe investment. In 2012 an example of 8.0% was given in the AIFMG. The 10 year bond rate is often used. It is larger than inflation. The real part ir is the portion of it which is net over inflation. You calculate this by division, not by subtraction: (1 + 𝑖 𝑟) = (1+ 𝑖 𝑡) (1+𝑖𝑖) . In 2012, it would have been (1+ 0.080) (1+ 0.035) = 1.0435, which means ir was 4.35%. 2 Technically it could also be a single figure, but this doesn’t often occur in Asset Management calculations.
  • 3. NPV for Asset Management Engineers WA Integrated Asset Management, 1 December 2016 NPVForAMEngineers.docx 3 The reason that these terms (it and ir) are important is the implicit comparison I mentioned earlier. The NPV formula does not simply relate a future stream of incomes or expenditures to present day values. It takes something additional into account. If I keep my money this year, and if I follow good investment practices which beat inflation, it will be worth more next year in real terms. E.g. if I had $1,000 in 2012, and invested it at the bond rate, in 2013 it would have been worth:  $1,000 * (1 + 0.08) = $1,080 in nominal real dollars.  $1,000 * (1 + 0.0435) = $1,043.50 in 2012 current dollars. On the other hand, if I had kept the $1,000 without investing it, in 2013 it would have been worth:  $1,000 in nominal real dollars.  $1,000 / (1 + 0.035) = $966.18 in 2012 dollars. When the Net Present Value formula is prescribed (as it is for the Asset Renewal Funding Ratio), it includes this implied comparison. It includes as a reference whether proper use is being made of the money, and whether the money is beating inflation by as much as it should be. So if you are adding values together to evaluate future income or expense streams, you will almost always use ir or it (and not ii) in a Net Present Value formula:  Use ir if you are adding current dollar values (e.g. projections in the Asset Management Plan).  Use it if you are adding nominal future dollar values (e.g. future budgets which include inflation).  Use either ir or it when adding figures from your Long Term Financial Plan, depending on whether it is written in current dollars or nominal future dollars. Summary In general, the summary below will apply. But make sure that you aren’t dealing with an exceptional case. Activity Formula to Use Discount Rate to Use Adjusting individual figures to add or remove inflation Present Value ii Summing real nominal dollar figures in future years Net Present Value it Summing current dollar figures in future years Net Present Value ir Note about Excel Present Value formula Be careful of the Excel PV() formula. It works differently from the one I have presented above. It sums the specified value over n years, instead of calculating one value n years in the future.