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NewBase Energy News 15 February 2018 - Issue No. 1142 Senior Editor Eng. Khaled Al Awadi
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Ne base 16 feruary 2018 energy news issue 1142 by khaled al awadi
1.
Copyright © 2018
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 1 NewBase Energy News 15 February 2018 - Issue No. 1142 Senior Editor Eng. Khaled Al Awadi NewBase For discussion or further details on the news below you may contact us on +971504822502, Dubai, UAE UAE: ADNOC implements In-Country Value programme WAM/MOHD AAMIR/Nour Salman The Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, ADNOC, announced today, that it has launched the implementation phase of its new In-Country Value, ICV, strategy, aimed at increasing the company’s ICV contribution and strengthening its relationship with the UAE’s private sector. All business partnerships with ADNOC now include an ICV assessment as part of the tender evaluation and award process. The ADNOC ICV strategy seeks to stimulate private sector partnerships and opportunities resulting from ADNOC’s 2030 growth strategy, catalyse socio- economic development, improve knowledge transfer and create additional employment for UAE nationals. It reinforces the company’s commitment to supporting local businesses and their role in driving economic diversification and GDP growth. ADNOC’s AED400 billion capital spend across its entire value chain, over the next five years, will create multiple opportunities for local companies to grow alongside ADNOC, as international companies work more closely with local SMEs to maximise the use of local products, manufacturing and assembly facilities, services and infrastructure. Dr. Sultan bin Ahmad Sultan Al Jaber, Minister of State and ADNOC Group CEO said, "In line with the directives of the country’s leadership, ADNOC is committed to engaging with and supporting the local private sector. As one of the backbones of the UAE and Abu Dhabi economies, ADNOC provides the stimulus for economic growth, supports GDP diversification and drives employment. "Our ICV strategy will further strengthen our partnerships with the local private sector and drive even more opportunities for local businesses to benefit and grow alongside us, as well as employment opportunities for Emiratis. It is a win-win situation for the nation, the economy, our suppliers and for ADNOC."
2.
Copyright © 2018
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 2 The criteria which will be utilised to assess suppliers’ ICV contribution include goods and services sourced locally, employment and development opportunities for Emiratis, in country spend of subcontractors, supplier’s investment in the UAE, and expat contribution in the UAE. As part of the ongoing development of the ICV strategy, ADNOC will undertake a series of strategic initiatives including identifying strategic suppliers and collaborating with them to develop their long-term ICV strategies. Identifying appropriate categories for which only local small and medium companies will be invited to take part in the tender process, providing high- level visibility of ADNOC’s future spend to incentivise and encourage supplier to enhance their investment in the UAE, and facilitating focused training programmes for Emiratis to increase the employability of local workforce. To support the roll out of its implementation plan, ADNOC is hosting a series of workshops with suppliers to introduce them to the company’s ICV guidelines and policies and explain how suppliers’ ICV contributions will be certified. ADNOC has appointed a group of leading certifying bodies who will be responsible for verifying the ICV performance of all suppliers on an annual basis, or when required.
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Copyright © 2018
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 3 Saudi Arabia and Russia Cooperate on LNG, nuclear & chemicals The National - Jennifer Gnana Russia and Saudi Arabia are expected to finalise a major agreement in the LNG sector as the oil market's biggest producers look to boost their co-operation in the face of growing prominence of the US shale sector. "I think today you will also see a big announcement between Saudi Aramco and a major LNG project in Russia, but let's wait for the announcement," Kirill Dmitriev, the head of Russian Direct Investment Fund, said in Riyadh on Wednesday morning. Neither side had issued a statement on the LNG development at the time of going to press. A Russian-Chinese fund may participate in Saudi Aramco's planned initial public offering of 5 per cent of the company, as part of its ongoing diversification efforts, added Mr Dmitriev. The partnership between Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil exporter and Russia, the largest sovereign producer outside of Opec follows a precedent set by the unlikely allies in 2016, when they joined hands to undertake production cuts to prop up global oil prices. Saudi Arabia and Russia have through 2017 undertaken the lion's share of output curbs of around 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) and have agreed to an extension to the end of 2018. Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak also said Wednesday that he discussed his country's involvement in possibly developing two nuclear reactors in Saudi Arabia by 2019. Saudi Arabia plans to deploy 17 gigawatts of atomic power through 16 reactors by 2040. Among other partnerships discussed between the two sides, include an engagement on climate policy, with energy ministers from both sides agreeing to meet in Jeddah in April to discuss their energy co-operation further, he added. Plans to develop a synthetic rubber production facility in the kingdom through a joint venture between Saudi Aramco and Russian petrochemical firm Sibur were also discussed, added Mr Novak. The ties between the oil market's biggest rivals were strengthened after the visit of Saudi Arabia's King Salman to Moscow in October, when both sides discussed plans to set up a $1 billion dollar fund to invest in joint energy projects. Saudi Arabia's interest in Russian natural gas was underscored when the kingdom's Energy and Industry Minister Khalid Al Falih made an appearance alongside President Vladimir Putin in December for the unveiling of the Arctic Yamal LNG plant - the world's coldest such facility. At the opening, Mr Putin offered to sell Russian gas so that Saudi Arabia "could save its oil". Mr Al Falih was reported to have replied, "That's why I'm here."
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Copyright © 2018
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 4 Russia, according to the BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2017, has the world's second-largest reserves of natural gas after Iran and is the world's second-largest producer of the fuel, which is being increasingly substituted for oil in Saudi stations. Saudi Arabia, which had burnt fuel oil to generate power is increasingly moving to gas-powered electricity to free up crude for export as well as to meet growing demand, particularly during summer months.
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Copyright © 2018
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 5 Oman: Sultanate crude oil production rises in January 2018 Oman Observer The Sultanate’s total crude oil and condensates production during January 2018 stood at 29,978,550 barrels, a daily average by 967,050 barrels, according to the monthly report issued by the Ministry of Oil and Gas. The total quantities of crude oil exported abroad during January 2018 stood at 25,064,578 barrels, a daily average of 808,535 barrels, comprising a rise by 1.90 per cent compared to December 2017 when calculating the daily average. With the beginning of 2018, the demand for Omani crude oil by China grew by 26.55 per cent, compared with the quantities in December 2017. China’s share of total exported Omani crude oil hit 76.11 per cent in January 2018. In the same trend, India’s imports of the Omani oil rose by 7.77 per cent, compared with its share in December 2017. Taiwan’s imports rose slightly by 0.07 per cent. The year 2018 began with an increase in the prices of crude oil for reference oils around the world during January 2018 compared with the December 2017. The average price of West Texas crude grade (March delivery 2018) in The New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) stood at $ 63.62 per barrel, comprising a rise by $ 5.64, compared with December 2017. The average price of North Sea Brent grade reached $ 69.8 a barrel in London Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), constituting a rise by $4.99 per barrel over December 2017. The trading of Oman Crude Oil Future Contract at Dubai Mercantile Exchange (DME Oman) rose by 7.7 percent compared with January 2018. Oman oil price (March Delivery 2018) stood at $ 66.32 a barrel, comprising a rise by $ 4.75 compared to February delivery 2018. It averaged between $ 64.19 a barrel and $ 68.10 a barrel. The report pointed out that the rise in crude oil prices during January trading 2018 is attributed to several factors that directly affected prices as the outbreak of some domestic political unrest in the
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Copyright © 2018
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 6 Islamic Republic of Iran led to rising of fears of speculators in the oil markets from the spread of these disturbances and their expansion, which may adversely affect the oil supplies. Other key factors that contributed to the improvement in prices were the publication of data indicating a continuing decline in the number of US drilling platforms against low levels of commercial oil inventories in the United States (US). Further, other factors are represented in the depreciation of the US dollar, as well as statement of the Saudi Arabia and other producers in relation to their commitment of oil production cuts agreement after 2018 if there is a need for positive support and improvement of oil prices during January 2018.
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Copyright © 2018
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 7 Iraq: Genel Energy publish oil reserves and resources update Source: Genel Energy Genel Energy has announced the completion of competent person's reports ('CPRs') relating to the oil reserves and resources at Taq Taq, Bina Bawi, and Miran. McDaniel and Associates have updated the CPR relating to the Taq Taq field (Genel 44% working interest, joint operator). RPS Energy Consultants, as part of its work on the updated CPRs for the Bina Bawi and Miran West fields (Genel 100% and operator), has finalised its evaluation of the oil resources at both fields. Murat Özgül, Chief Executive of Genel, said: 'The 40% replacement of 1P reserves at Taq Taq follows the success of well TT-29w, and reflects the stability in cash-generative production that we have seen from the field in the second half of 2017. The significant increase in high-value Bina Bawi 2C oil resources offers a tangible opportunity for near-term value creation.'
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Copyright © 2018
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 8 Taq Taq oil reserves Taq Taq gross 2P reserves as of 31 December 2017 are estimated by McDaniel at 54.7 MMbbls, compared to 59.1 MMbbls as of 28 February 2017, with the difference being production in the intervening period, partly offset by a small upward technical revision. The CPR results in a 12% reserves replacement for 2P and 40% reserves replacement at the higher confidence 1P level as a result of stabilising production and the integration of well TT-29w. A reconciliation from the reserves reported in the CPR released in February 2017 to the updated estimates in the CPR published today, is shown in the following table: Bina Bawi and Miran oil resources Bina Bawi gross 2C light (c.45? API) oil resources as of 31 December 2017 are estimated by RPS at 37.1 MMbbls, compared to 13 MMbbls as of July 2013. The increase reflects higher recovery factors than initially estimated due to integrating learnings from analogue carbonate fields of similar oil quality. As the high-quality Bina Bawi oil is in close proximity to export infrastructure, the field represents a potentially attractive near-term development candidate for the Company. Miran West gross 2C heavy (c.15? API) oil resources as of 31 December 2017 are estimated by RPS at 23.7 MMbbls, compared to 52 MMbbls as of April 2013. Volumes have reduced as RPS has adjusted its view on the oil water contact uncertainty range and also adjusted its view on reservoir properties, including data from MW-5 drilled in July 2013. Because of field experience at Taq Taq, Genel management has taken the view that it is unlikely that any matrix will contribute to primary depletion at Miran and, as such, has taken a more conservative view and will only record 18.5 MMbbls of viable 2C contingent resources at the field. Appendix Summary of Contingent Resources - Development unclarified (Gross 100% working interest basis) attributable to the Bina Bawi and Miran West fields as of 31 December 2017.
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Copyright © 2018
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 9 U.S. proved reserves of N. gas up, oil reserves unchanged Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, U.S. Crude Oil and Natural Gas Proved Reserves The United States had 341.1 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) of natural gas proved reserves as of the end of 2016, an increase of 5% from 2015, according to EIA’s recently released U.S. Crude Oil and Natural Gas Proved Reservesreport. U.S. crude oil and lease condensate proved reserves remained virtually unchanged from their 2015 level, at 35.2 billion barrels.
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Copyright © 2018
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 10 Proved reserves are those volumes of oil and natural gas that geological and engineering data demonstrate with reasonable certainty to be recoverable in future years from known reservoirs under existing economic and operating conditions. Changes in proved reserves from year to year reflect new discoveries, either in new fields, new reservoirs in old fields, or extensions of existing reservoirs; net revisions and other adjustments to previous reserve estimates; and reductions from annual production of each fuel. Pennsylvania had the largest net increase in natural gas proved reserves of all states between 2015 and 2016, adding 6.1 Tcf of natural gas proved reserves in the Marcellus Shale play in the Appalachian Basin. Following a record high set in 2015, U.S. production of natural gas decreased 1% between 2015 and 2016—the first annual decline in U.S. natural gas production in 10 years. The share of natural gas proved reserves from shale compared with total natural gas increased from 54% to 62% in 2016 because gas reserves were added in several shales, including the Wolfcamp, Marcellus, Eagle Ford, Utica, Woodford, and Haynesville shales. Texas had the largest net increase in proved reserves of crude oil and lease condensate of all states between 2015 and 2016, adding 941 million barrels of proved crude oil and lease condensate reserves, mostly from development in the Permian Basin. Operators drilled and completed long horizontal wells into the stacked oil-bearing formations of the Spraberry Trend and the Wolfcamp Shale. Between 2015 and 2016, U.S. production of crude oil and lease condensate decreased by 6%. More information about changes in proved reserves of natural gas, crude oil, and lease condensate is available in EIA’s U.S. Crude Oil and Natural Gas Proved Reserves, Year-end 2016 report. Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, U.S. Crude Oil and Natural Gas Proved Reserves Note: Click for larger versions of the natural gas and crude oil maps.
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NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 11 NewBase February 16 - 2018 Khaled Al Awadi NewBase For discussion or further details on the news below you may contact us on +971504822502 , Dubai , UAE Oil Set for First Weekly Gain This Month as U.S. Dollar Weakens Bloomberg + NewBase U.S. crude for March delivery was up 16 cents, or 0.3 percent, at $61.50 a barrel by 0200 GMT, after settling up 74 cents on Thursday. For the week, the contract has risen nearly 4 percent after losing nearly 10 percent last week. Brent crude was up 26 cents, or 0.4 percent, at $64.59 after settling down 3 cents. Brent is up nearly 3 percent for the week after falling more than 8 percent last week. "Oil is getting support from a rebound in global stock markets and a weak dollar, but the upside is limited due to a projection for rising U.S. production," said Tomomichi Akuta, senior economist at Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting in Tokyo. "The market is quiet due to a slew of holidays in Asia." Oil price special coverage
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Copyright © 2018
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 12 The dollar languished near a three-year low against a basket of currencies on Friday, headed for its biggest weekly loss in two years. A weaker dollar often boosts prices for oil and other dollar- denominated commodities. Asian shares extended their recovery from two-month lows into a fifth day on Friday as Wall Street's market volatility gauge fell, although Chinese and most Southeast Asian financial markets were closed for the Lunar New Year holiday. Oil producers led by Saudi Arabia and Russia aim to draft an agreement on a long-term alliance by the end of this year, United Arab Emiratesenergy minister Suhail al-Mazroui said on Thursday. OPEC and non-OPEC producers including Russia have been restraining production by a total 1.8 million barrels per day in a bid to prop up prices under a deal that is to expire at the end of 2018. The move comes at a time when Asian demand is on the rise. Indiaimported a record 4.93 million bpd in January to feed its expanded refining capacity and meet rising demand, data showed. Oil won support earlier in the week after Saudi Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih said OPEC hopes to keep limiting crude output to leave the market tight. However, surging U.S. production is offsetting OPEC's efforts to curb supplies. U.S. crude output hit a record 10.27 million barrels per day last week, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday, making it a bigger producer than Saudi Arabia. Oil headed for its first weekly gain this month as a weaker dollar boosted the allure of commodities priced in the U.S. currency. Futures in New York rose as much as 0.8 percent Friday after the greenback slumped to a three- year low. Crude prices are on course for a 3.9 percent gain this week, recovering almost half of last week’s losses when a global equity rout spread to other risk assets. A rebound in stocks from the U.S. to Asia is also boosting confidence the markets are stabilizing. Oil’s recovery this week has helped push up prices for 2018, after year-to-date gains were wiped out in last week’s rout. While the market had started off the year with its best month in more than a
13.
Copyright © 2018
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 13 decade, a strengthening dollar as well as concerns U.S. shale production will offset the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries’ efforts to drain a global glut had dragged on prices. “A weaker dollar is playing a major role here,” Satoru Yoshida, a Tokyo-based commodity analyst at Rakuten Securities Inc., said by phone. “Coupled with a rise in equities, there is a growing mood in the market to invest in risk assets, which is influencing the crude markets.” West Texas Intermediate for March delivery added as much as 48 cents to $61.82 on the New York Mercantile Exchange and traded at $61.53 at 4:55 p.m. in Tokyo. The contract is up 3.9 percent this week. Total volume traded was about 96 percent above the 100-day average. Brent for April settlement climbed 26 cents to trade at $64.59 on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The global benchmark traded at a $3.19 premium to WTI for the same month. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, a gauge of the greenback against 10 major peers, fell 0.1 percent on Friday, on course for the lowest level since Dec. 2014. The index has declined 2 percent this week. In equities, the S&P 500 Index topped 2,700 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed above 25,000 on Thursday, while Japanese stocks extended the global rally. OPEC, Russia to Discuss New Oil-Inventory Measurements in April OPEC will soon discuss with Russia a new way to measure oil inventories as producers meet to review their supply-cuts agreement that expires at the end of 2018. Oil producers involved in the supply reductions, which have helped lift crude prices to three-year highs, will discuss which inventory levels to consider when they meet in April, Saudi Arabia Energy Minister Khalid Al-Falih told reporters in Riyadh on Wednesday. More coordination is needed to assess inventories, Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said at the same meeting. Russia, OPEC and their allies first committed to output cuts in November 2016 to reduce global inventories to their five-year average. They extended the limits last November, and crude stockpiles in industrialized nations have shrunk to the lowest since 2014. The inventories were about 52 million barrels above the five-year average in December, a drop of 80 percent from a year earlier, according to the International Energy Agency. One possible new measurement would be to assess how long existing inventories would meet demand, or forward-day cover, Al-Falih said. Finding reliable data for inventories remains a challenge, he said. Oil Jumps Most This Year as Buildup Slows in U.S. Storage Tanks Crude climbed the most since December as a recent buildup in U.S. storage tanks and terminals appears to be slowing down. Futures gained 2.4 percent in New York on Wednesday after a government report showed American oil inventories rose by 1.84 million barrels last week. That was lower than all but two of 11 estimates in a Bloomberg survey, and was also less of an increase than in the previous two weeks. At the nation’s biggest pipeline hub, stockpiles have fallen for eight straight weeks. “It shows a pretty healthy balance in the market,” said Matt Sallee, who helps manage $16 billion in oil-related assets at Tortoise Capital Advisors LLC. “The fact that we only built 1.8 million would indicate a fairly tight market.”
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Copyright © 2018
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 14 Typically, U.S. crude stockpiles accrue at this time of year as refiners perform maintenance that takes key equipment offline, depressing demand for oil. Also helping improve the mood after oil lost almost 9 percent this month through Tuesday were bullish statements from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. OPEC Secretary General Mohammad Barkindo said at a conference in Riyadh that oil supplies are on the road to coming back into balance with demand. Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Khalid Al- Falih said the volatility in the market is “unfortunate” and that OPEC and its partners are trying to stabilize the market. Although crude stockpiles rose, the build “was lower than market expectations and so fairly bullish,” said Adam Wise, who oversees an $8 billion energy portfolio at John Hancock Financial Services Inc. in Boston. “The market was looking for confirmatory evidence that U.S. production growth is causing an oversupply situation. But, today’s lower-than-anticipated build is more supportive than negative.” West Texas Intermediate for March delivery added $1.41 to settle at $60.60 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Total volume traded was about 35 percent above the 100-day average. Brent for April settlement edged higher by $1.64 to end the session at $64.36 on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange and traded at a $3.85 premium to WTI for the same month. Emptying Cushing Stockpiles at the Cushing, Oklahoma, pipeline and storage nexus declined by 3.64 million barrels last week, the steepest drop since Jan. 12, the EIA report showed. Gasoline inventories climbed by 3.6 million barrels, while distillate stockpiles fell by 459,000 barrels. Crude production reached a new record 10.27 million barrels a day. Additionally, cargoes of foreign crude landing at East Coast ports fell to the lowest since July, the report showed.
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NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 15 NewBase Special Coverage News Agencies News Release February 06-2018 U.S. imports of solar photovoltaic modules mainly come from Asia Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Form EIA-63B, Annual Photovoltaic Cell/Module Shipments Updated February 14, 2018, at 2:30 p.m. to correct the date of the tariff approval. Solar photovoltaic (PV) module imports into the United States have increased significantly in recent years and represent a sizable portion of installed solar capacity. In 2016, U.S. imports of solar modules measured in direct current (DC) totaled 13 gigawatts (GWDC)—up from 2 GWDC in 2010—with two-thirds of 2016 imports coming from Malaysia, China, and South Korea. Import capacity is reported in direct current because it reflects the panel capacity, while operating capacity in the United States is reported as it is delivered to the grid in alternating current (AC). Because of losses associated with converting DC to AC, capacity values reported in AC typically are 10% to 30% lower than those reported in DC capacity. The United States installed 8 GWAC of utility-scale solar PV in 2016 and another 3 GWAC of small-scale solar capacity. That amount was roughly equivalent to about 14 GW of DC capacity, meaning many of the PV systems installed in 2016 probably used imported panels when adjusted for DC-to-AC conversion losses. In January 2018, the United States approved safeguard tariffs on imported silicon solar cells and modules. Solar cells are the individual units or wafers that convert sunlight directly into electricity, while a collection of interconnected cells in a sealed package is referred to as a module or panel.
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Copyright © 2018
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 16 Solar panels are installed in arrays, or rows of panels, that—along with other hardware like an inverter—make up an installation. The import tariffs will apply for the next four years, starting at 30% of the cell or module price and declining each year by 5 percentage points until reaching 15% in the fourth year. The first 2.5 GWDC of imported unassembled solar cells will be exempt from the safeguard tariff each year, but these represent a small fraction of what is imported into the United States. U.S. solar imports include all types of PV modules—including crystalline silicon, thin film, and concentrator types—although most systems installed in the United States are crystalline silicon. Panel chemistries other than crystalline silicon are not affected by the tariff. The International Trade Commission (ITC) instituted the cases for solar PV tariffs in May 2017 after two global solar manufacturers headquartered in the United States, Suniva and SolarWorld, petitioned for import relief through Section 201 of the Trade Act of 1974. Previous trade restrictions have been used in the past to address imports of solar cells and modules. In 2012, the ITC issued orders to place duties on PV cells manufactured in China. In 2014, the ITC issued new tariffs for PV cells manufactured in China and Taiwan. These previous anti-dumping and countervailing duties targeted specific countries, but the more recent tariffs affect nearly all major sources of PV imports. After 2014, some manufacturing companies located in China and Taiwan outsourced their production to other countries not covered by the anti-dumping duties. As a result, the United States began to see increased imports primarily from Malaysia, as well as from South Korea, Singapore, and Germany. Source: National Renewable Energy Laboratory, U.S. Solar Photovoltaic System Cost Benchmark Solar PV modules only represent a portion of the total equipment—which includes the inverter and other hardware—required to install a solar PV system. Soft costs, which include labor, permitting, inspection, and interconnection, also add to the system cost. The U.S. Department of Energy’s National Renewable Energy Laboratory estimates that the module portion of total installed costs ranged from 22% for residential systems to 45% for fixed-axis utility-scale systems in 2016.
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Copyright © 2018
NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 17 Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Form EIA-63B, Annual Photovoltaic Cell/Module Shipments, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, Solar Spot Price Index The price for PV modules has fallen by nearly 40% since 2012. In 2012, the average module price in the United States was $1.15 per watt ($/WDC). In 2016, the average price was $0.72/WDC, based on data collected by EIA. In addition, the global spot price for solar modules continued to decline through 2017, suggesting a further decline in the average U.S. imports price for 2017. At the start of 2017, the global spot price for monocrystalline solar modules were about $0.72/WDC, and by the last week of December 2017 the spot price was $0.45/WDC.
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NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 18 NewBase For discussion or further details on the news below you may contact us on +971504822502, Dubai, UAE The Editor :”Khaled Al Awadi” Your partner in Energy Services NewBase energy news is produced daily (Sunday to Thursday) and sponsored by Hawk Energy Service – Dubai, UAE. For additional free subscription emails please contact Hawk Energy Khaled Malallah Al Awadi, Energy Consultant MS & BS Mechanical Engineering (HON), USA Emarat member since 1990 ASME member since 1995 Hawk Energy member 2010 Mobile: +97150-4822502 khdmohd@hawkenergy.net khdmohd@hotmail.com Khaled Al Awadi is a UAE National with a total of 28 years of experience in the Oil & Gas sector. Currently working as Technical Affairs Specialist for Emirates General Petroleum Corp. “Emarat“ with external voluntary Energy consultation for the GCC area via Hawk Energy Service as a UAE operations base , Most of the experience were spent as the Gas Operations Manager in Emarat , responsible for Emarat Gas Pipeline Network Facility & gas compressor stations . Through the years, he has developed great experiences in the designing & constructing of gas pipelines, gas metering & regulating stations and in the engineering of supply routes. Many years were spent drafting, & compiling gas transportation, operation & maintenance agreements along with many MOUs for the local authorities. He has become a reference for many of the Oil & Gas Conferences held in the UAE and Energy program broadcasted internationally, via GCC leading satellite Channels. NewBase : For discussion or further details on the news above you may contact us on +971504822502 , Dubai , UAE NewBase February 2018 K. Al Awadi
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NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 19 Thank you for sharing with us your comments and thoughts on the above issue, similarly we would like to share with our daily publications on Energy news via own NewBase Energy News - call us for details khdmohd@hawkenergy.net Your Energy Consultant for the GCC area Khaled Al Awadi
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NewBase www.hawkenergy.net Edited by Khaled Al Awadi – Energy Consultant All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or otherwise copied without the written permission of the authors. This includes internal distribution. All reasonable endeavours have been used to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this publication. However, no warranty is given to the accuracy of its content. Page 20 For Your Recruitments needs and Top Talents, please seek our approved agents below
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