The document discusses the importance of foresight in public policy, emphasizing the need for long-term planning to address complex socio-economic challenges faced by governments. It details the methodologies employed by the Malaysian Foresight Institute, including horizon scanning, stakeholder participation, and scenario development, to evaluate future trends and inform policy decisions. Furthermore, it highlights ongoing projects and thematic areas, such as environmental sustainability and family structure, that will shape Malaysia's development trajectory towards achieving a developed nation status by 2020.

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Exploring Future Possibilities

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The Need For Foresight
Why Foresight?
There is a need for governments & policy makers to
take a long-term view, as the choices and decisions
made today will have an impact on the lives of future
generations. However the short-term nature of the
electoral cycle and the limits of ministerial &
departmental boundaries makes it difficult to address
long-term as well as trans-disciplinary challenges.
The limits of projections of future trends using past
data combined with the inherent uncertainty of the
future, suggest that there is a need to focus on medium
to long-term time horizons as the context for short-
term responses.

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Aspects & Characteristics of Foresight
Foresight or future oriented work is nothing new and
has been used in decision making contexts since the
1950s. Recently, the use of such methods in policy has
grown due to increased occurrences of unexpected
events such as flooding & economic crises; the
increasing rapidity of social and economic change as
well as the complex nature of contemporary problems
such as obesity, climate change & social exclusion.
Foresight refers to systematic and purposeful processes
of future-oriented deliberation between participants
with a view to identifying actions to be taken, or goals
to be pursued for better future outcomes.
General Foresight Approaches
• Anticipation – Identification of plausible future
developments by systematically identifying potential
threats and opportunities through the use of scenarios &
horizon scanning.
• Participation – Participative processes since knowledge
is widely distributed & there is a need for a trans–
disciplinary stakeholders engagement to include
government, industry, academia and the wider public.
Participation can also increase support for and
implementation of the outcomes.
• Action - Foresight anticipates plausible futures & feeds
insights to help decision makers take action. Action
includes but not limited to creating policy goals, setting
priorities, building networks & aiding participants to
develop or adjust strategy.

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Global & National Foresight
A recognized tool for public policy & planning, foresight has been used and promoted by the likes of UNIDO, UNEP &
WEF. Most developed countries conduct national foresight exercises of some form, driven by the escalation in
industrial and economic competition and increasing pressures on government spending. The European Commission
(EC) has been influential in promoting technology foresight by supporting Candidate Countries to develop a full
Foresight capability.
Although foresight in the 1990s had a technology focus,
to date there has been a global trend towards increased
participation and the inclusion of broader socio-
economic challenges as seen in the foresight
programme in the UK, Germany and Japan. One of the
merits of broader models of foresight is their ability to
take account of scientific, economic, social and
environmental factors.
In the UK, Foresight was launched in 1994, based within
the Government Office of Science which is chaired by
the Chief Scientist. The UK foresight model is well
recognized internationally, and foresight programmes in
Europe, US, Japan and Latin America have been inspired
by them.
Closer to home; South Korea’s Foresight are conducted
regularly in support of National Science & Technology
Council. Whereas Singapore established their foresight
oriented programme as part of the National Security
Coordination Secretariat at the Prime Minister's Office.
0
200
400
600
800
International
Europe
LatinAmerica
NorthAmerica
Asia
Oceania
Levels 0&1 Levels 2&3
Mapping Foresight
R. Popper (2011)

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In Malaysian context, foresight will enable the bridging of
the various development plans as well as providing a
framework and guidance toward creating better future
oriented policies.
The participatory process of foresight will ensure
harmonization & offer techniques to think beyond normal
planning horizons to spot potential discontinuities from
current trends. Futures thinking will enable identification
of opportunities & risks to help policy makers identify
strategies that are robust to a variety of outcomes,
examining the unintended consequences of policy options
and to shape long-term action.
They are not meant to replace existing processes, but
complement them and increase their effectiveness.
Foresight for Socio Economic Planning

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Foresight & Malaysian Futures
The future scenarios for Malaysia were developed over a period of time synthesizing the perspectives of senior
executives from leading organizations, as well as thought leaders, scenario practitioners and public figures in the
country. Based on the scenarios developed, a common theme was derived. The common theme identified provides a
foundation for identifying the broad areas to be considered which will affect Malaysia in the future.
Green Futures is an encompassing theme whereby in moving
forward there is a need to sustain the environment as well as
conserve the natural ecosystem and resources, thus curbing
the negative impacts of development.
In propelling the country forward in achieving developed
nation status, Mobility & interconnectivity is of great
importance since it will be the pulse of the nation
development.
In no uncertain terms Security & sustainability could be
compromised in developing a positive futures for the country
Cross cutting issues like innovation, human capital, education
as well as technology figures prominently in futures thinking.
Therefore serve to highlight its importance in addressing
Malaysian Futures.
“myForesight activities will be guided by these future themes”

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Foresight Projects & Activities
myForesight® projects and activities are undertaken to realize the goals and
objectives of the Malaysian Foresight Institute as well as upholding the
national vision, mission and aspiration. It will also be guided by futures
trends, issues & themes.
The selection of these projects ensures that it draws upon a range of
disciplines and deal with key issues for the economy, society and
environment; where science & technology offers valuable insights &
solutions. By looking ahead further than is traditional we want to assist the
Government to strike the right balance between long-term thinking &
tackling issues that need immediate attention. Our goal is that any
Foresight project must:
• Looking ahead at least 10 years;
• Future-oriented and preferably based upon science & technology;
• Trans-disciplinary, and policy issues that cut across
ministries/departmental boundaries;
• Can produce results that can influence Government policy;
• Will not duplicate work taking place elsewhere;
• Has support in and commitment from key stakeholders.
Ideas may arise from within myForesight® itself, as a result of consultation
with government departments or from discussions with the research
community. The myForesight® Governance Board also feeds into the
process.
A wholesome approach in looking at various issues

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“initiate future oriented subject or topic for discussions and attention”
myForesight® promotes the use of futures thinking by combining well known foresight
methodologies with futures analysis in developing strategies and policies which are
resilient to different future outcomes as well as exploring future possibilities.
myForesight® will do this in three ways:
• Horizon & Trend Scanning: Framework in continuous monitoring of trends to pick up
weak signals and emerging issues;
• Foresight Projects: Looking at major issues 10-20 years into the future, which provide
futures and evidence analysis to fill a specific gap in existing policy understanding;
• Capacity building: Training, toolkits and networks to strengthen futures thinking
capacity and share best practice within and across government.
This will be supported by myForesight® creation of network for foresight aficionados and
experts. Leveraging on international expertise and promoting Malaysia’s competencies
in foresight internationally.
It is our aim that the work we do will be used to stimulate & inform the development of
more effective strategies, policies and priorities at regional, national and international
levels. Therefore programmes and activities will be created to enable the mainstreaming
of foresight findings, tools and methodologies. myForesight® will also be promoting the
sharing of knowledge and information as well as a reference point for foresight
activities in Malaysia
Foresight Projects & Activities

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myForesight - Malaysian Foresight Institute

10. Programmes & Activities
The diverse nature of myForesight activities reflects the complexity of dealing with issues and trends of the future and
will require the involvement of various stakeholders. Already in the pipeline are activities dealing with technology, youth
and social development.

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Highlights on Programmes & Activities
Green Technology Scenarios 2030 is a project to be undertaken in collaboration with
Ministry of Energy, Green Technology & Water. It is a prelude to the creation of the
country’s National Green Technology Roadmaps across 9 pre selected sectors.
There is a need to have a wholesome approach in development of green technology in the country to support the green
economy/green futures. The following are highlights of myForesight® preliminary assessment.
• A review of 22 policies from multiple ministries/agencies related to green technology in selected sectors shows high
emphasis on energy and waste sector;
• The policies shows lack of quantifiable targets set to achieve in the future;
• There is no an integrated model of green technology that can be implemented – to break the barriers of every
ministries / agencies;
• High content of Science, Technology and Innovation (STI) across nine (9) sectors of Green Technology which can be
potentially developed.

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Highlights on Programmes & Activities
The nation’s effort to achieve a developed status by 2020 will have an impact towards the
family institution. Coupled with the changing social structure, “technology intrusiveness”
as well as other influential trends, this initiative will enable us to foresee the future of
families in Malaysia for the next 20 to 30 years & analyse its potential impact to the
national development.
Family & home life are in tremendous flux, driven by changing family formats,
aging, evolving norms around marriage and diversity—and, increasingly, new
technologies. In the decades ahead, the confluence of these social and
technological trends will begin to change the very nature and function of homes,
give family members new roles, and further alter family dynamics.
These trends & value changes are diminishing the role of families as the
prevailing demographic and social structure. At its extreme, it is likely to
produce results that are demographically & economically harmful, with falling
workforces and rising dependent senior populations. Policy and planning
responses may help stem the tide of this trend and could include attention to
livability of cities for families, more government support etc.
With the current situation there are challenges
ahead to the family institution and the role it will
play in enabling the achievement of Vision 2020;
establishing a united “Bangsa Malaysia”

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Other Programmes & Activities
Based on myForesight® horizon scanning activities, the report captures & integrates local and
global megatrends ; exploring the links between key trends and the drivers of change that will
shape the future of Malaysia. It covers multiple perspectives including social, technology,
economy, environment as well as culture & values.
As part of the institute’s mainstreaming activities, a “Foresight Club” will be created among
youth/university students to promote & inculcate foresight & futures thinking. A pilot project
is now being conducted with the final year students of UTHM in co-supervising their Projek
Sarjana Muda.
Other programmes and activities by myForesight® are more operational in nature and is conducted continuously and
periodically to support the institute’s goals and objectives.
The institute will continue to play its role in providing institutional support to the National
Science & Research Council. A planned review of the priority areas is already in the works to
enable improved mechanism in soliciting experts opinion and review.
One of the major outreach tool of the institute, myForesight® periodical publication provides
the means to disseminate and promote foresight and futures studies. This includes insight into
trends, stakeholders views as well as experts and thought leaders interview on issues of
tomorrow.

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Other Programmes & Activities
Future Rail 2030 involves identification of future mobility trends and needs as well as the
consultation of multidisciplinary stakeholders. This body of work provides the basis for the
development of National Rail Industry Development Roadmap conducted by MIGHT & SPAD.
The following are past and completed projects that was undertaken by myForesight® for the last 2 years.
Identification of National R&D Priority areas for the National Science & Research Council. This
will enable an efficient utilization of funds allocated for technology research in the country by
identifying future needs & current capacity.
This project involves the engagement of students in 10 universities nationwide provides an
insights into the minds of youths. The outcome provides valuable inputs into the development
of spin off programs & activities for the youth.

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As part of the institute’s mainstreaming of methodology and findings, myForesight has been actively organizing as well as
invited to participate and share their body of work with various stakeholders, both local and international.
Other Programmes & Activities

16. THANK YOU
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Exploring Future Possibilities