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V     Valuehunt
                                                                                    Morning Notes – 04 January 2013

 Market Commentary
 Price to Earning (P/E) ratio – is it an effective tool for finding undervalued stocks?
 In our first morning note for the year 2013, we mentioned that Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) market index SENSEX’s Price to Earning (P/E) is
 17x. This means Indian market is trading at 17 times the earnings of top thirty companies in this country. In simple words, if there are
 constant earnings for the next 17 years by all these companies, investor will recover his cost of investment at the end of 17th year. There can
 be two other scenarios – one, earnings can grow at certain positive rate or two, earnings can grow at negative rate. When P/E ratio is more,
 the growth in its earnings is remote possibility. But when the same ratio is low, there is lot of possibility of upside movement in the market
 price. Hence it is better to invest when P/E is low but when other fundamentals are strong and sound.
 CP-Artha Model Portfolio
 Our holdings:
        1. Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd

        2. FDC Ltd
        3. Menon Bearings Ltd
        4. Jindal Poly Films Ltd
        5. Parrys Sugar Industries Ltd

        6. Kilitch Drugs India Ltd
        7. Fairfield Atlas Ltd
        8. Liberty Phosphate Ltd
        9. Rossell India Ltd




Contact Us:
E-Mail : dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
V         Valuehunt
                                                                                                                Morning Notes – 04 January 2013

Global Indices                                        Nifty Movement                            FII & DII Turnover                                   Currency

                 Close                    Change               6,100
                             Points                                          6,009                                                    Buy     Sell                       Change (%)
                 Price                       (%)                             0.27%
                                                                                                FII (Rs.mn)                     30,895      16,921   INR - USD   54.49        Unch
Nifty             6,009           16.2        0.3




                                                       Nifty
                                                               5,900                            Change (%)                            32%     37%    INR - EUR   71.01        (1.8)
Sensex           19,764           50.5        0.3
                                                                                                DII (Rs.mn)                       9,965     19,024   INR - GBP   87.61        (1.5)
Nikkei           10,395           72.2        0.7
                                                                                                Change (%)                        (22%)       13%    JPY – USD   87.67          0.6
Straight Time     3,225           23.1        0.7
                                                               5,700
Hang Seng        23,388           85.6        0.4                                            **FII – Foreign Institutional Investor
                                                                 27-Dec-12      3-Jan-13
                                                                                             **DII – Domestic Institutional Investor
Shanghai          2,269           35.9        1.6
FTSE 100          6,047           19.9        0.3
CAC 40            3,721        (12.7)       (0.3)   Special Situation Stocks
DAX               7,756        (22.3)       (0.3)
DJIA             13,391        (21.2)       (0.1)
S&P 500           1,459           (3.0)     (0.2)
                                                    Company                            Special Situation                  Comments
NASDAQ            3,100        (11.7)       (0.4)
                                                    Genus Power                            Demerger                     Company approved Scheme of Arrangement
                                                    Infrastructures Ltd                                                 ("Scheme") for amalgamation of Genus Paper
Sectoral Indices                                                                                                        Products Limited with the Company and demerger of
                                                                                                                        'Non Power Infrastructure Undertaking' of the
                 Close Price        Change (%)
 Realty                   2,194             1.1
                                                                                                                        Company into Genus Paper & Boards Limited
 Oil & Gas                8,764             1.4
 Metal                   11,405             0.2
 Bankex                  14,682            (0.1)
 Capital Goods           11,105            (0.4)    Nouveau Global                         Demerger                     Company decides to raise Rs 100 crores by way of
 Power                    2,023            (0.1)    Ventures Ltd                                                        equity or debt and to discuss future plan of Nouveau
 IT                       5,744             1.1
                                                                                                                        Global Ventures Ltd after the demerger of the two
 Auto                    11,621            (0.1)
 FMCG                     5,901            (0.5)                                                                        division of the Company (Nouveau Global Ventures
 HeathCare                8,193             0.1                                                                         Ltd) i.e. Agriculture division into Pearl Agriculture Ltd
                                                                                                                        and Electronics division into Pearl Electronics Ltd



Contact Us:
 Contact Us:
E-Mail ::dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
 E-Mail dhananjayan@artha-cap.com | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
V        Valuehunt
                                                                                                                    Morning Notes – 04 January 2013

 Nifty Gainers                                         Headline News

                                                     Economic Times                                                       Business Standard
                              Close    Change (%)
 Company
                              Price                   Why economists don't foresee stronger US growth                     Technology claims Goldman Sachs MF's arbitrage schemes
 Dr Reddy's Labs          1,882.30           2.43
 Cairn India                327.50           2.34     2013 to be a better year for $100 bn Indian IT                      Growth in mopeds, competition in SCVs key concerns for
 Bharti Airtel              328.00           2.16       industry than 2012: Infosys                                          TVS: JM Financial
 ONGC                       279.80           1.89     Inter-ministerial  group     to                     study   TRAI
 DLF                        238.90           1.57
                                                                                                                           Mukesh Ambani 18th richest man in world: Bloomberg
                                                        recommendations on broadcasting
                                                                                                                           Court takes cognisance of defamation plea against Jindal
                                                      CCI approves stake buy by PNB in MetLife India
                                                                                                                           Gold loan firms rally on hopes of higher LTV ratio
 Nifty Losers                                         Punj Lloyd arm bids for construction biz
                                                                                                                           JLR to meet sales expectations: BofA Merrill Lynch
                                                      JSW Steel hikes prices of all products by 2%
                              Close
 Company                               Change (%)                                                                          SBI hits 52-week high
                              Price                   Magma expects CV, equipment finance to grow
 Tata Power Co.              110.15         (1.65)                                                                         Credit Suisse cuts 2013 price outlooks for US oil, gold
 Lupin                       608.85         (0.98)
                                                      Suzuki Motorcycle sales up 24% in Dec
 Punjab Natl.Bank            896.80         (0.96)    In tough 2012, automobile industry gets new drivers                 Steel Strips Wheels surges on expectation of higher sales
 Sun Pharma.Inds.            733.85         (0.95)
 Hero Motocorp            1,887.95          (0.91)   Business Line                                                        Money Control

                                                      FII flows take Nifty past 6,000 to 2-year high                      Sensex likely to touch 21,700 by year-end: HSBC
                                                      Look beyond short-term pressures on profitability                   Global IT spending to reach $3.7trn in 2013: Gartner
  Commodity
                                                      NTPC to order 7 m.t. additional coal in Jan                         Early signs of bearish talks emerge even as equities party
                                 Rs.   Change (%)     IndianOil wants to process heavier, cheaper crude                   Govt to notify 30% investment ceiling norm for LIC soon
 Crude (Rs/Bbl)               5,077           0.5
                                                      Abbott completes spin-off; biopharma co to be called
 Gold (Rs/10 grms)           30,946          (0.3)                                                                         ONGC pays Rs 2,961 cr dividend to the govt
 Silver (Rs/Kg)              58,738          (0.3)      AbbVie
 Copper (Rs/Kg)                 449          (0.2)
                                                                                                                           Disclose price sensitive info to bourses first: Sebi to cos
                                                      Tata Power cuts supply to Rajasthan discoms for
Note: MCX near month Futures Price                      payment default                                                    GoM meeting on Coal Regulator bill postponed again

                                                     Note : Click on article to read the respective news



Contact Us:
E-Mail : dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
V       Valuehunt
                                                                                                        Morning Notes – 04 January 2013

 Insider Trading                                                                              Bulk Deal (BSE/NSE)
                                                            Shares Trans.       Holdin                                                           Buy
                                      Transaction    Buy                                    Company               Client Name                             Quantity     %
Company          Buyer / Seller                                                 g after                                                         /Sale
                                         Date       /Sale     Quantity      %
                                                                                Trans.
                                                                                            Zodiac Cloth              INDIA CAPITAL FUND LTD     S        1,840,873   175.03
                 Gordhan P
Baba Arts Ltd                         12/12/2012     B         80,000              55.9
                 Tanwani

                                                                                            Zodiac Cloth              NEMISH SHANTILAL SHAH      B          405,124     175
Genus Power                           17/12/2012
                 Vivekshil Dealers
Infrastructure                             -         B         37,008              9.73
                 Pvt Ltd
s Ltd                                 19/12/2012                                                                      AKASH MANEK
                                                                                            Zodiac Cloth                                         B        2,025,000     175
                                                                                                                      BHANSHALI

Intellivate      Olumpus                                                                    ** Weighted Average
Capital          Construction Pvt     10/12/2012     B         51,200              5.16
Ventures Ltd     Ltd
                                                                                             Corporate Action
Microsec                              12/12/2012                                            Company                       Ex-Date              Purpose                Rs.
                 Topview Enclaves
Financial                                  -         B         20,858              15.7
                 LLP
Services Ltd                          20/12/2012
                                                                                            NELCO                         4-Jan-13             Dividend                     1

Mohit            Simmi Rajesh
                                      4/12/2012      B         45,000              0.92
Industries Ltd   Nandwani
                                                                                            Global Capital               10-Jan-13      Consolidation of Shares             -

Surana                                29/11/2012
                 Surana Infocom Pvt
Telecom and                                -         B         25,594              3.36
                 Ltd                                                                        Siemens                      16-Jan-13             Dividend                     6
Power Ltd                             21/12/2012




Disclaimer:
Reports prepared by CP-Artha Financial Advisory Private Ltd contain selected information and do not purport to be complete. The reports based on publicly available
information and data ("the Information") believed to be accurate and complete. Possible errors or incompleteness of the Information do not constitute grounds for liability,
neither with regard to indirect nor to direct or consequential damages. CP-Artha Financial Advisory Private Ltd, their shareholders and employees are not liable for the
accuracy and completeness of the statements, estimations and the conclusions derived from the Information contained in these documents.

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Morning news _views_-_04012013

  • 1. V Valuehunt Morning Notes – 04 January 2013 Market Commentary Price to Earning (P/E) ratio – is it an effective tool for finding undervalued stocks? In our first morning note for the year 2013, we mentioned that Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) market index SENSEX’s Price to Earning (P/E) is 17x. This means Indian market is trading at 17 times the earnings of top thirty companies in this country. In simple words, if there are constant earnings for the next 17 years by all these companies, investor will recover his cost of investment at the end of 17th year. There can be two other scenarios – one, earnings can grow at certain positive rate or two, earnings can grow at negative rate. When P/E ratio is more, the growth in its earnings is remote possibility. But when the same ratio is low, there is lot of possibility of upside movement in the market price. Hence it is better to invest when P/E is low but when other fundamentals are strong and sound. CP-Artha Model Portfolio Our holdings: 1. Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd 2. FDC Ltd 3. Menon Bearings Ltd 4. Jindal Poly Films Ltd 5. Parrys Sugar Industries Ltd 6. Kilitch Drugs India Ltd 7. Fairfield Atlas Ltd 8. Liberty Phosphate Ltd 9. Rossell India Ltd Contact Us: E-Mail : dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
  • 2. V Valuehunt Morning Notes – 04 January 2013 Global Indices Nifty Movement FII & DII Turnover Currency Close Change 6,100 Points 6,009 Buy Sell Change (%) Price (%) 0.27% FII (Rs.mn) 30,895 16,921 INR - USD 54.49 Unch Nifty 6,009 16.2 0.3 Nifty 5,900 Change (%) 32% 37% INR - EUR 71.01 (1.8) Sensex 19,764 50.5 0.3 DII (Rs.mn) 9,965 19,024 INR - GBP 87.61 (1.5) Nikkei 10,395 72.2 0.7 Change (%) (22%) 13% JPY – USD 87.67 0.6 Straight Time 3,225 23.1 0.7 5,700 Hang Seng 23,388 85.6 0.4 **FII – Foreign Institutional Investor 27-Dec-12 3-Jan-13 **DII – Domestic Institutional Investor Shanghai 2,269 35.9 1.6 FTSE 100 6,047 19.9 0.3 CAC 40 3,721 (12.7) (0.3) Special Situation Stocks DAX 7,756 (22.3) (0.3) DJIA 13,391 (21.2) (0.1) S&P 500 1,459 (3.0) (0.2) Company Special Situation Comments NASDAQ 3,100 (11.7) (0.4) Genus Power Demerger Company approved Scheme of Arrangement Infrastructures Ltd ("Scheme") for amalgamation of Genus Paper Sectoral Indices Products Limited with the Company and demerger of 'Non Power Infrastructure Undertaking' of the Close Price Change (%) Realty 2,194 1.1 Company into Genus Paper & Boards Limited Oil & Gas 8,764 1.4 Metal 11,405 0.2 Bankex 14,682 (0.1) Capital Goods 11,105 (0.4) Nouveau Global Demerger Company decides to raise Rs 100 crores by way of Power 2,023 (0.1) Ventures Ltd equity or debt and to discuss future plan of Nouveau IT 5,744 1.1 Global Ventures Ltd after the demerger of the two Auto 11,621 (0.1) FMCG 5,901 (0.5) division of the Company (Nouveau Global Ventures HeathCare 8,193 0.1 Ltd) i.e. Agriculture division into Pearl Agriculture Ltd and Electronics division into Pearl Electronics Ltd Contact Us: Contact Us: E-Mail ::dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080 E-Mail dhananjayan@artha-cap.com | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
  • 3. V Valuehunt Morning Notes – 04 January 2013 Nifty Gainers Headline News Economic Times Business Standard Close Change (%) Company Price  Why economists don't foresee stronger US growth  Technology claims Goldman Sachs MF's arbitrage schemes Dr Reddy's Labs 1,882.30 2.43 Cairn India 327.50 2.34  2013 to be a better year for $100 bn Indian IT  Growth in mopeds, competition in SCVs key concerns for Bharti Airtel 328.00 2.16 industry than 2012: Infosys TVS: JM Financial ONGC 279.80 1.89  Inter-ministerial group to study TRAI DLF 238.90 1.57  Mukesh Ambani 18th richest man in world: Bloomberg recommendations on broadcasting  Court takes cognisance of defamation plea against Jindal  CCI approves stake buy by PNB in MetLife India  Gold loan firms rally on hopes of higher LTV ratio Nifty Losers  Punj Lloyd arm bids for construction biz  JLR to meet sales expectations: BofA Merrill Lynch  JSW Steel hikes prices of all products by 2% Close Company Change (%)  SBI hits 52-week high Price  Magma expects CV, equipment finance to grow Tata Power Co. 110.15 (1.65)  Credit Suisse cuts 2013 price outlooks for US oil, gold Lupin 608.85 (0.98)  Suzuki Motorcycle sales up 24% in Dec Punjab Natl.Bank 896.80 (0.96)  In tough 2012, automobile industry gets new drivers  Steel Strips Wheels surges on expectation of higher sales Sun Pharma.Inds. 733.85 (0.95) Hero Motocorp 1,887.95 (0.91) Business Line Money Control  FII flows take Nifty past 6,000 to 2-year high  Sensex likely to touch 21,700 by year-end: HSBC  Look beyond short-term pressures on profitability  Global IT spending to reach $3.7trn in 2013: Gartner Commodity  NTPC to order 7 m.t. additional coal in Jan  Early signs of bearish talks emerge even as equities party Rs. Change (%)  IndianOil wants to process heavier, cheaper crude  Govt to notify 30% investment ceiling norm for LIC soon Crude (Rs/Bbl) 5,077 0.5  Abbott completes spin-off; biopharma co to be called Gold (Rs/10 grms) 30,946 (0.3)  ONGC pays Rs 2,961 cr dividend to the govt Silver (Rs/Kg) 58,738 (0.3) AbbVie Copper (Rs/Kg) 449 (0.2)  Disclose price sensitive info to bourses first: Sebi to cos  Tata Power cuts supply to Rajasthan discoms for Note: MCX near month Futures Price payment default  GoM meeting on Coal Regulator bill postponed again Note : Click on article to read the respective news Contact Us: E-Mail : dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
  • 4. V Valuehunt Morning Notes – 04 January 2013 Insider Trading Bulk Deal (BSE/NSE) Shares Trans. Holdin Buy Transaction Buy Company Client Name Quantity % Company Buyer / Seller g after /Sale Date /Sale Quantity % Trans. Zodiac Cloth INDIA CAPITAL FUND LTD S 1,840,873 175.03 Gordhan P Baba Arts Ltd 12/12/2012 B 80,000 55.9 Tanwani Zodiac Cloth NEMISH SHANTILAL SHAH B 405,124 175 Genus Power 17/12/2012 Vivekshil Dealers Infrastructure - B 37,008 9.73 Pvt Ltd s Ltd 19/12/2012 AKASH MANEK Zodiac Cloth B 2,025,000 175 BHANSHALI Intellivate Olumpus ** Weighted Average Capital Construction Pvt 10/12/2012 B 51,200 5.16 Ventures Ltd Ltd Corporate Action Microsec 12/12/2012 Company Ex-Date Purpose Rs. Topview Enclaves Financial - B 20,858 15.7 LLP Services Ltd 20/12/2012 NELCO 4-Jan-13 Dividend 1 Mohit Simmi Rajesh 4/12/2012 B 45,000 0.92 Industries Ltd Nandwani Global Capital 10-Jan-13 Consolidation of Shares - Surana 29/11/2012 Surana Infocom Pvt Telecom and - B 25,594 3.36 Ltd Siemens 16-Jan-13 Dividend 6 Power Ltd 21/12/2012 Disclaimer: Reports prepared by CP-Artha Financial Advisory Private Ltd contain selected information and do not purport to be complete. The reports based on publicly available information and data ("the Information") believed to be accurate and complete. Possible errors or incompleteness of the Information do not constitute grounds for liability, neither with regard to indirect nor to direct or consequential damages. CP-Artha Financial Advisory Private Ltd, their shareholders and employees are not liable for the accuracy and completeness of the statements, estimations and the conclusions derived from the Information contained in these documents.