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V     Valuehunt
                                                                          Morning Notes – 05 February 2013

Market Commentary
Good Morning!!
Market is falling as we predicted. Some of our portfolio stocks are touching 52 week low. Many would wonder what to do if our
portfolio holdings is touching year’s low. If investors are comfortable with their fundamentals, don’t mind what market is saying.
Better question the wisdom of the market and go against it. In the recent market rally, only index stocks had gone up. Not many
mid cap stocks had participated in this rally. So one can foresee market fall from here.
Implied Risk Premium for Indian Equities
Equity Risk Premium for SENSEX as on the end of 4thFeb 2013 is 3.626% with Risk Free Rate of Return (Rf) 7.94% & default spread
adjusted Rf 9.94%. Hence the cost of equity for SENSEX is 15.096%. Equity investors in Indian equity market can expect a minimum
return of 15.096%.
CP-Artha Model Portfolio
Our holdings:
        οƒ˜     Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd               οƒ˜   Fairfield Atlas Ltd
        οƒ˜     FDC Ltd                                                 οƒ˜   Liberty Phosphate Ltd
        οƒ˜     Menon Bearings Ltd                                      οƒ˜   Rossell India Ltd
        οƒ˜     Jindal Poly Films Ltd                                   οƒ˜   Aarti Drugs
        οƒ˜     Parrys Sugar Industries Ltd                             οƒ˜   Ador Fontech




Contact Us:
E-Mail : dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
V         Valuehunt
                                                                                                          Morning Notes – 05 February 2013

Global Indices                                       Nifty Movement                            FII & DII Turnover                                    Currency

                 Close                   Change               6,200
                             Points                                         5,987                                                    Buy      Sell                       Change (%)
                 Price                      (%)                             (0.19%)
                                                                                               FII (Rs.mn)                     34,891       26,322   INR - USD   53.03        (0.3)
Nifty             5,987        (11.6)      (0.2)




                                                      Nifty
                                                              6,000                            Change (%)                             5%       3%    INR - EUR   72.24        (0.4)
Sensex           19,751        (30.0)      (0.2)
                                                                                               DII (Rs.mn)                       7,468      13,391   INR - GBP   83.26        (0.3)
Nikkei           11,260           69.0       0.6
                                                                                               Change (%)                            (3%)   (28%)    JPY – USD   92.63        (0.2)
Straight Time     3,297            6.2       0.2
                                                              5,800
Hang Seng        23,685        (36.8)      (0.2)                28-Jan-13      4-Feb-13     **FII – Foreign Institutional Investor
Shanghai          2,428            9.1       0.4                                            **DII – Domestic Institutional Investor
FTSE 100          6,246      (100.4)       (1.6)
CAC 40            3,659      (113.6)       (3.0)   Special Situation Stocks
DAX               7,638      (195.1)       (2.5)
DJIA             13,880      (129.7)       (0.9)
S&P 500           1,495        (17.5)      (1.1)
                                                   Company                            Special Situation                  Comments
NASDAQ            3,131        (47.9)      (1.5)




Sectoral Indices

                 Close Price        Change (%)
 Realty                   2,202           (0.5)
 Oil & Gas                9,270           (1.1)
 Metal                   10,407           (1.1)                                                                        Stock dropped more than 13% after Q3 results
 Bankex                  14,389           (0.5)    Avanti Feeds Ltd                   Plungers
 Capital Goods           10,378           (0.6)
                                                                                                                       - but the fundamentals seems to be in place
 Power                    1,926           (1.4)
 IT                       6,352           (0.2)
 Auto                    10,937            0.5
 FMCG                     5,917           (0.3)
 HeathCare                7,966           (1.4)




Contact Us:
 Contact Us:
E-Mail ::dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
 E-Mail dhananjayan@artha-cap.com | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
V        Valuehunt
                                                                                                           Morning Notes – 05 February 2013

 Nifty Gainers                                         Headline News

                                                     Economic Times                                              Business Standard
                              Close    Change (%)
 Company
                              Price                  οƒ˜ Coal India inks fuel supply pacts with 3 power firms      οƒ˜ Diageo to buy half of Mallya's South Africa beer biz
 Tata Motors                292.00           3.67
 UltraTech Cem.           1,897.35           3.24    οƒ˜ Rajasthan Royals 'intend' to appeal ED order              οƒ˜ Noel Tata does a Trent at Tata International
 HDFC                       798.25           2.61    οƒ˜ Expect to register 2% growth this fiscal: General         οƒ˜ Trade liberalisation not helping India's exports, show data
 Asian Paints             4,642.95           2.21       Motors
 DLF                        270.95           1.14                                                                οƒ˜ Private forecasters predict normal monsoon in 2013
                                                     οƒ˜ Nestle to buy 26% stake in Indocon Agro
                                                                                                                 οƒ˜ Deccan case: IDFC mulls legal action to protect its interest
                                                     οƒ˜ Will start selling in 10 new markets in Latin America,
                                                                                                                 οƒ˜ FMCG volumes decline, but margins hold fort in third
 Nifty Losers                                           Africa by March: Hero MotoCorp
                                                                                                                    quarter
                                                     οƒ˜ SKS Microfinance eyes Rs 60 crore profit next fiscal
                              Close                                                                              οƒ˜ We have got Rs 1,120 cr by out-licensing our innovation:
 Company                               Change (%)
                              Price                  οƒ˜ Banks likely to post healthy treasury profits in Q4          Glenn Saldanha
 Bank of Baroda              804.15         (7.36)
 IDFC                        158.75         (5.42)
                                                     οƒ˜ Bombay Dyeing got nod for developing mill land            οƒ˜ Budget won't be the sole ratings driver, says Fitch
                                                        illegally
 JP Associates                79.60         (4.56)                                                               οƒ˜ Refrain from miss-selling: Chidambaram to insurance firms
 Ranbaxy Labs.               433.30         (3.44)
                                                     Business Line                                               Money Control
 BHEL                        219.05         (2.64)

                                                     οƒ˜ Board will take final call on Jet stake buy: Etihad CEO   οƒ˜ Economy to grow slower at 5.6% in 2012-13: NCAER
                                                     οƒ˜ Rajasthan Royals faces Rs 100-cr ED penalty for forex     οƒ˜ Equity funds fail to capitalise on Jan rally; outlook muted
  Commodity                                             violations                                               οƒ˜ Tata Motors to soothe vendors with payment for low-
                                                     οƒ˜ ONGC Tripura’s first unit of 363 MW set to go on             rollout
                                 Rs.   Change (%)
                                                        stream                                                   οƒ˜ Positive on market; bets on BoB: Ambit Capital
 Crude (Rs/Bbl)               5,137          (0.9)
 Gold (Rs/10 grms)           30,760           0.5    οƒ˜ Court directs Dunlop to deposit Rs 10 crore               οƒ˜ Over 97.46 lakh pledged shares of SpiceJet released
 Silver (Rs/Kg)              58,422           0.1
                                                     οƒ˜ Jubilant Foodworks net up 28% at Rs 37.71 cr
 Copper (Rs/Kg)                 445           0.3                                                                οƒ˜ Nissan India raises vehicle prices by 1.5-2.5%
                                                     οƒ˜ Shell India to challenge I-T order on tax liabilities
Note: MCX near month Futures Price
                                                                                                                 οƒ˜ India business to de-growth in next one quarter: Onmobile

                                                     Note : Click on article to read the respective news




Contact Us:
E-Mail : dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
V       Valuehunt                                                                                Morning Notes – 05 February 2013

 Insider Trading                                                                              Bulk Deal (BSE/NSE)
                                                              Shares Trans.       Holdin                                                       Buy
                                        Transaction    Buy                                  Company               Client Name                            Quantity       %
Company          Buyer / Seller                                                   g after                                                     /Sale
                                           Date       /Sale    Quantity       %
                                                                                  Trans.
                                                                                                                      ALBULA INVESTMENT
                                                                                            AQUA LOGIST                                         S        3,000,000      12.15
                                                                                                                      FUND LTD
Adani Power
                 Adani Agro Pvt Ltd     16/01/2013     B       651,701               1.43
Ltd
                                                                                                                      ANTRIKSH VYAPAAR
                                                                                            IFB Agro                                            B            221,177   209.46
                                                                                                                      LIMITED
Excel            Arpit Lakhmendra
                                        18/01/2013     B        28,823               1.14
Infoways Ltd     Khurana
                                                                                            IFB Agro                  BHAVESH SHAH              S            126,198   209.12

Genus Power                             15/01/2013                                          ** Weighted Average
                 Vivekshil Dealers
Infrastructure                               -         B        64,776               9.96
                 Pvt Ltd
s Ltd                                   17/01/2013
                                                                                             Corporate Action
                                        17/01/2013                                          Company                       Ex-Date             Purpose                  Rs.
Graphite India   The Bond
                                             -         B        36,186               8.37
Ltd              Company Ltd
                                        18/01/2013
                                                                                            BHEL                          5-Feb-13        Interim Dividend                    -
                 Aberdeen Asset
Gujarat Gas
                 Management Asia        14/01/2013     B       179,890               14.3
Company Ltd
                 Ltd
                                                                                            EID Parry                     5-Feb-13        Interim Dividend                    -


Vakrangee        Life Insurance
                                        17/01/2013     B      1,000,000              5.12
Softwares Ltd    Corporation of India                                                       HIL                           5-Feb-13        Interim Dividend                  7.5




Disclaimer:
Reports prepared by CP-Artha Financial Advisory Private Ltd contain selected information and do not purport to be complete. The reports based on publicly available
information and data ("the Information") believed to be accurate and complete. Possible errors or incompleteness of the Information do not constitute grounds for liability,
neither with regard to indirect nor to direct or consequential damages. CP-Artha Financial Advisory Private Ltd, their shareholders and employees are not liable for the
accuracy and completeness of the statements, estimations and the conclusions derived from the Information contained in these documents.

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Morning news &_views_-_05022013

  • 1. V Valuehunt Morning Notes – 05 February 2013 Market Commentary Good Morning!! Market is falling as we predicted. Some of our portfolio stocks are touching 52 week low. Many would wonder what to do if our portfolio holdings is touching year’s low. If investors are comfortable with their fundamentals, don’t mind what market is saying. Better question the wisdom of the market and go against it. In the recent market rally, only index stocks had gone up. Not many mid cap stocks had participated in this rally. So one can foresee market fall from here. Implied Risk Premium for Indian Equities Equity Risk Premium for SENSEX as on the end of 4thFeb 2013 is 3.626% with Risk Free Rate of Return (Rf) 7.94% & default spread adjusted Rf 9.94%. Hence the cost of equity for SENSEX is 15.096%. Equity investors in Indian equity market can expect a minimum return of 15.096%. CP-Artha Model Portfolio Our holdings: οƒ˜ Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd οƒ˜ Fairfield Atlas Ltd οƒ˜ FDC Ltd οƒ˜ Liberty Phosphate Ltd οƒ˜ Menon Bearings Ltd οƒ˜ Rossell India Ltd οƒ˜ Jindal Poly Films Ltd οƒ˜ Aarti Drugs οƒ˜ Parrys Sugar Industries Ltd οƒ˜ Ador Fontech Contact Us: E-Mail : dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
  • 2. V Valuehunt Morning Notes – 05 February 2013 Global Indices Nifty Movement FII & DII Turnover Currency Close Change 6,200 Points 5,987 Buy Sell Change (%) Price (%) (0.19%) FII (Rs.mn) 34,891 26,322 INR - USD 53.03 (0.3) Nifty 5,987 (11.6) (0.2) Nifty 6,000 Change (%) 5% 3% INR - EUR 72.24 (0.4) Sensex 19,751 (30.0) (0.2) DII (Rs.mn) 7,468 13,391 INR - GBP 83.26 (0.3) Nikkei 11,260 69.0 0.6 Change (%) (3%) (28%) JPY – USD 92.63 (0.2) Straight Time 3,297 6.2 0.2 5,800 Hang Seng 23,685 (36.8) (0.2) 28-Jan-13 4-Feb-13 **FII – Foreign Institutional Investor Shanghai 2,428 9.1 0.4 **DII – Domestic Institutional Investor FTSE 100 6,246 (100.4) (1.6) CAC 40 3,659 (113.6) (3.0) Special Situation Stocks DAX 7,638 (195.1) (2.5) DJIA 13,880 (129.7) (0.9) S&P 500 1,495 (17.5) (1.1) Company Special Situation Comments NASDAQ 3,131 (47.9) (1.5) Sectoral Indices Close Price Change (%) Realty 2,202 (0.5) Oil & Gas 9,270 (1.1) Metal 10,407 (1.1) Stock dropped more than 13% after Q3 results Bankex 14,389 (0.5) Avanti Feeds Ltd Plungers Capital Goods 10,378 (0.6) - but the fundamentals seems to be in place Power 1,926 (1.4) IT 6,352 (0.2) Auto 10,937 0.5 FMCG 5,917 (0.3) HeathCare 7,966 (1.4) Contact Us: Contact Us: E-Mail ::dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080 E-Mail dhananjayan@artha-cap.com | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
  • 3. V Valuehunt Morning Notes – 05 February 2013 Nifty Gainers Headline News Economic Times Business Standard Close Change (%) Company Price οƒ˜ Coal India inks fuel supply pacts with 3 power firms οƒ˜ Diageo to buy half of Mallya's South Africa beer biz Tata Motors 292.00 3.67 UltraTech Cem. 1,897.35 3.24 οƒ˜ Rajasthan Royals 'intend' to appeal ED order οƒ˜ Noel Tata does a Trent at Tata International HDFC 798.25 2.61 οƒ˜ Expect to register 2% growth this fiscal: General οƒ˜ Trade liberalisation not helping India's exports, show data Asian Paints 4,642.95 2.21 Motors DLF 270.95 1.14 οƒ˜ Private forecasters predict normal monsoon in 2013 οƒ˜ Nestle to buy 26% stake in Indocon Agro οƒ˜ Deccan case: IDFC mulls legal action to protect its interest οƒ˜ Will start selling in 10 new markets in Latin America, οƒ˜ FMCG volumes decline, but margins hold fort in third Nifty Losers Africa by March: Hero MotoCorp quarter οƒ˜ SKS Microfinance eyes Rs 60 crore profit next fiscal Close οƒ˜ We have got Rs 1,120 cr by out-licensing our innovation: Company Change (%) Price οƒ˜ Banks likely to post healthy treasury profits in Q4 Glenn Saldanha Bank of Baroda 804.15 (7.36) IDFC 158.75 (5.42) οƒ˜ Bombay Dyeing got nod for developing mill land οƒ˜ Budget won't be the sole ratings driver, says Fitch illegally JP Associates 79.60 (4.56) οƒ˜ Refrain from miss-selling: Chidambaram to insurance firms Ranbaxy Labs. 433.30 (3.44) Business Line Money Control BHEL 219.05 (2.64) οƒ˜ Board will take final call on Jet stake buy: Etihad CEO οƒ˜ Economy to grow slower at 5.6% in 2012-13: NCAER οƒ˜ Rajasthan Royals faces Rs 100-cr ED penalty for forex οƒ˜ Equity funds fail to capitalise on Jan rally; outlook muted Commodity violations οƒ˜ Tata Motors to soothe vendors with payment for low- οƒ˜ ONGC Tripura’s first unit of 363 MW set to go on rollout Rs. Change (%) stream οƒ˜ Positive on market; bets on BoB: Ambit Capital Crude (Rs/Bbl) 5,137 (0.9) Gold (Rs/10 grms) 30,760 0.5 οƒ˜ Court directs Dunlop to deposit Rs 10 crore οƒ˜ Over 97.46 lakh pledged shares of SpiceJet released Silver (Rs/Kg) 58,422 0.1 οƒ˜ Jubilant Foodworks net up 28% at Rs 37.71 cr Copper (Rs/Kg) 445 0.3 οƒ˜ Nissan India raises vehicle prices by 1.5-2.5% οƒ˜ Shell India to challenge I-T order on tax liabilities Note: MCX near month Futures Price οƒ˜ India business to de-growth in next one quarter: Onmobile Note : Click on article to read the respective news Contact Us: E-Mail : dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
  • 4. V Valuehunt Morning Notes – 05 February 2013 Insider Trading Bulk Deal (BSE/NSE) Shares Trans. Holdin Buy Transaction Buy Company Client Name Quantity % Company Buyer / Seller g after /Sale Date /Sale Quantity % Trans. ALBULA INVESTMENT AQUA LOGIST S 3,000,000 12.15 FUND LTD Adani Power Adani Agro Pvt Ltd 16/01/2013 B 651,701 1.43 Ltd ANTRIKSH VYAPAAR IFB Agro B 221,177 209.46 LIMITED Excel Arpit Lakhmendra 18/01/2013 B 28,823 1.14 Infoways Ltd Khurana IFB Agro BHAVESH SHAH S 126,198 209.12 Genus Power 15/01/2013 ** Weighted Average Vivekshil Dealers Infrastructure - B 64,776 9.96 Pvt Ltd s Ltd 17/01/2013 Corporate Action 17/01/2013 Company Ex-Date Purpose Rs. Graphite India The Bond - B 36,186 8.37 Ltd Company Ltd 18/01/2013 BHEL 5-Feb-13 Interim Dividend - Aberdeen Asset Gujarat Gas Management Asia 14/01/2013 B 179,890 14.3 Company Ltd Ltd EID Parry 5-Feb-13 Interim Dividend - Vakrangee Life Insurance 17/01/2013 B 1,000,000 5.12 Softwares Ltd Corporation of India HIL 5-Feb-13 Interim Dividend 7.5 Disclaimer: Reports prepared by CP-Artha Financial Advisory Private Ltd contain selected information and do not purport to be complete. The reports based on publicly available information and data ("the Information") believed to be accurate and complete. Possible errors or incompleteness of the Information do not constitute grounds for liability, neither with regard to indirect nor to direct or consequential damages. CP-Artha Financial Advisory Private Ltd, their shareholders and employees are not liable for the accuracy and completeness of the statements, estimations and the conclusions derived from the Information contained in these documents.