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V     Valuehunt
                                                                                                    Morning Notes – 21 January 2013

Market Commentary
Good Morning!!
Market at 2 year’s high – As value investors what to do… Buy or Sell?
Inspite of all problems in the economic front, Indian Equity Market is now at 2 year’s high. We discussed this irrationality of the market and also believed that it will fall
in the near future. On this background, we believe value investors should exercise at most care in initiating new positions and increasing holdings in our value picks. By
this, we don’t mean value investor should not invest in this market at all. Value investors should always stay invested in the market – no matter whether it is bull or
bear. Currently we are in bull market. But we got to select fundamentally strong and stay invested in this stock. When the market starts falling, we got to increase our
positions and bring down the average investment cost. This should be the strategy for the current market.

CP-Artha Model Portfolio
Our holdings:
         Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd

         FDC Ltd
         Menon Bearings Ltd
         Jindal Poly Films Ltd
         Parrys Sugar Industries Ltd
         Kilitch Drugs India Ltd
         Fairfield Atlas Ltd
         Liberty Phosphate Ltd
         Rossell India Ltd
         Aarti Drugs




Contact Us:
E-Mail : dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
V         Valuehunt
                                                                                                                Morning Notes – 21 January 2013

Global Indices                                        Nifty Movement                            FII & DII Turnover                                   Currency

                 Close                    Change               6,200
                             Points                                                                                                   Buy     Sell                           Change (%)
                 Price                       (%)                             6,064
                                                                             0.42%              FII (Rs.mn)                     43,278      31,621   INR - USD       53.81        (1.7)
Nifty             6,064            25.2       0.4




                                                       Nifty
                                                               6,000                            Change (%)                            20%      4%    INR - EUR       71.67        (1.4)
Sensex           20,039            75.0       0.4
                                                                                                DII (Rs.mn)                     16,644      26,320   INR - GBP       85.37        (2.5)
Nikkei           10,913           303.6       2.8
                                                                                                Change (%)                            17%     35%    JPY – USD       90.14          2.0
Straight Time     3,211            16.1       0.5
                                                               5,800
Hang Seng        23,601           262.0       1.1                                            **FII – Foreign Institutional Investor
                                                                 11-Jan-13    18-Jan-13
                                                                                             **DII – Domestic Institutional Investor
Shanghai          2,317            32.1       1.4
FTSE 100          6,154            22.0       0.4
CAC 40            3,741           (2.5)     (0.1)   Special Situation Stocks
DAX               7,702        (33.2)       (0.4)
DJIA             13,649            53.7       0.4
S&P 500           1,485             5.0       0.3
                                                    Company                           Special Situation                   Comments
NASDAQ            3,134           (1.3)     (0.1)   Sandesh Ltd                             Buyback                     Sandesh Ltd has informed BSE regarding with respect to Offer
                                                                                                                        for Buyback of up to 9,60,000 Fully Paid Up Equity Shares of
                                                                                                                        Face value Rs.10/- each at a price of Rs. 302/- per fully paid
Sectoral Indices
                                                                                                                        up equity shares for cash by The Sandesh Ltd (the 'Company')
                 Close Price         Change (%)
                                                                                                                        through tender offer process (the 'Buyback'), the Company
 Realty                   2,311             0.9                                                                         further wish to inform that the Buyback Committee in its
 Oil & Gas                9,571             3.1                                                                         meeting held on January 16, 2013 has fixed the Record Date
 Metal                   10,780            (0.6)                                                                        on February 01, 2013 for the purpose of determining the
 Bankex                  14,551             0.1                                                                         entitlement and the names of the Shareholders, who are
 Capital Goods           10,504             0.2
                                                                                                                        eligible to participate in the Buyback
 Power                    2,002             1.4
 IT                       6,406            (1.1)
                                                    Hero MotoCorp, Ltd                    52 Week Low                   Market leader trading at 52 week low because of their bad Q3
 Auto                    11,298            (0.7)
 FMCG                     5,755             0.0
                                                                                                                        results. This stock can be a contrarian pick
 HeathCare                8,067            (0.5)
                                                    Zuari Global Limited                  52 Week Low                   Fertilizer business trading below 10x Price to Earnings




Contact Us:
 Contact Us:
E-Mail ::dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
 E-Mail dhananjayan@artha-cap.com | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
V        Valuehunt
                                                                                                              Morning Notes – 21 January 2013

 Nifty Gainers                                         Headline News

                                                     Economic Times                                               Business Standard
                              Close    Change (%)
 Company
                              Price                   Q3 earning results key to mkts this week: Experts           Q3 earnings key to stock markets this week: experts
 BPCL                       434.95           9.79
                                                      PE, VC investments likely to be subdued this year           Banking system shows signs of instability on rising NPAs: RBI
 ONGC                       337.70           7.39
 NTPC                       164.50           4.71                                                                  Govt estimates Rs 9,500 cr revenue from sale of CDMA
                                                      Hit by competition, Tata Solar to shift focus to EPC
 Maruti Suzuki            1,547.45           3.57                                                                    spectrum
 Power Grid Corpn           114.95           2.04     Dena Bank targets 3.10% net interest margin
                                                                                                                   J K Cement plans to raise up to Rs 200 cr via QIP
                                                      Cairn Energy gets EAC nod to raise capacity                 MOIL's Apr-Dec net slips despite manganese ore sales rise
 Nifty Losers                                         Revenues may drop, says Tata Hitachi top official           BSNL to offer VRS to one lakh employees to trim losses
                                                      Potash prices may soften 20% amid poor demand               FinMin favours real estate, broking firms to set up banks
                              Close
 Company                               Change (%)
                              Price                   VECV to invest Rs 1,200 crore on expansion, new             FinMin unlikely to allow PSUs to issue tax-free bonds in
 Wipro                       397.35         (7.74)      products by 2014                                             FY14
 Hero Motocorp            1,764.10          (3.00)
                                                      SBI to get Rs 3,004 cr capital from govt by March           India's euro payments for Iranian imports may end on Feb 6
 Dr Reddy's Labs          1,891.15          (2.44)
 Jindal Steel                422.85         (2.04)
                                                     Business Line                                                Money Control
 Hind. Unilever              490.40         (2.03)

                                                      SBI to get Rs 3,004 cr capital from govt by March           RIL likely to lead next leg of rally for markets: Analysts
                                                      Budget may lower provision for fuel, fertiliser             Top 8 cos add Rs 92,925cr in m-cap; ONGC, RIL shine
  Commodity                                             subsidies                                                  FIIs invest over Rs 13,000 crore so far in 2013
                                                      Query Corner: GAIL attempting to break key
                                 Rs.   Change (%)
                                                                                                                   Handling inflation UPA govt's shortcoming
                                                        resistance
 Crude (Rs/Bbl)               5,165          (0.4)                                                                 India Inc tops R&D investment growth global charts
 Gold (Rs/10 grms)           30,575          (0.6)
                                                      RIL share buyback closes; gets 38% of target
                                                                                                                   TV18 turns corner with Rs 21.3cr net profit in Q3
 Silver (Rs/Kg)              59,356          (0.5)    Overseas avenues move faster than domestic biz:
 Copper (Rs/Kg)                 439          (0.1)      Tata Power                                                 Sensex tops 20k as more earnings surprises than misses

Note: MCX near month Futures Price                    Reliance Ind terminates US lobbying                         Moody's retains rating outlook but with an eye on deficits

                                                     Note : Click on article to read the respective news



Contact Us:
E-Mail : dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
V       Valuehunt
                                                                                                            Morning Notes – 21 January 2013

 Insider Trading                                                                                  Bulk Deal (BSE/NSE)
                                                               Shares Trans.          Holdin                                                            Buy
                                        Transaction    Buy                                      Company               Client Name                                Quantity        %
Company          Buyer / Seller                                                       g after                                                          /Sale
                                           Date       /Sale     Quantity        %
                                                                                      Trans.
                                                                                                Mathew Easow              URMILA GARG                    B              40,000   37.72
Future
                 Ryka Commercial
Ventures India                          28/12/2012     B         33,604                  0.93
                 Ventures Pvt Ltd
Ltd
                                                                                                                          ELIXIR IMPEX PRIVATE
                                                                                                Neo Corp                                                 B          300,000            37
                                                                                                                          LIMITED
Genus Power                             24/12/2012
                 Vivekshil Dealers
Infrastructure                               -         B        103,991                  9.83
                 Pvt Ltd
s Ltd                                   28/12/2012                                                                        ESQUIRE ENCLAVE
                                                                                                Rander Corp                                              S              75,571   88.05
                                                                                                                          PRIVATE LIMITED

                 Ariston Capital                                                                ** Weighted Average
Lakshmi Vilas
                 Asset Holdings Pvt     28/12/2012     S        200,000
Bank Ltd
                 Ltd
                                                                                                 Corporate Action

Piramal Life     PHL Holdings Pvt                                                               Company                       Ex-Date                  Purpose                   Rs.
                                        28/12/2012     S       7,293,480       28.1      4.98
Sciences Ltd     Ltd

                                                                                                HCL Tech                     21-Jan-13           2nd Interim Dividend                   -

Piramal Life     The Sri Krishna
                                        28/12/2012     B       7,293,480       28.1      28.1
Sciences Ltd     Trust
                                                                                                Varun Shipping               22-Jan-13                Dividend                    0.50

                                        23/08/2012
Tata Global      Life Insurance
                                             -         S      12,840,655                 7.63
Beverages Ltd    Corporation of India                                                           ACI Infocom                  23-Jan-13   Stock Split from Rs.10/- to Re.1/-             -
                                        26/12/2012




Disclaimer:
Reports prepared by CP-Artha Financial Advisory Private Ltd contain selected information and do not purport to be complete. The reports based on publicly available
information and data ("the Information") believed to be accurate and complete. Possible errors or incompleteness of the Information do not constitute grounds for liability,
neither with regard to indirect nor to direct or consequential damages. CP-Artha Financial Advisory Private Ltd, their shareholders and employees are not liable for the
accuracy and completeness of the statements, estimations and the conclusions derived from the Information contained in these documents.

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ValueHunt morning news_&_views_-_21012013

  • 1. V Valuehunt Morning Notes – 21 January 2013 Market Commentary Good Morning!! Market at 2 year’s high – As value investors what to do… Buy or Sell? Inspite of all problems in the economic front, Indian Equity Market is now at 2 year’s high. We discussed this irrationality of the market and also believed that it will fall in the near future. On this background, we believe value investors should exercise at most care in initiating new positions and increasing holdings in our value picks. By this, we don’t mean value investor should not invest in this market at all. Value investors should always stay invested in the market – no matter whether it is bull or bear. Currently we are in bull market. But we got to select fundamentally strong and stay invested in this stock. When the market starts falling, we got to increase our positions and bring down the average investment cost. This should be the strategy for the current market. CP-Artha Model Portfolio Our holdings:  Gujarat State Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd  FDC Ltd  Menon Bearings Ltd  Jindal Poly Films Ltd  Parrys Sugar Industries Ltd  Kilitch Drugs India Ltd  Fairfield Atlas Ltd  Liberty Phosphate Ltd  Rossell India Ltd  Aarti Drugs Contact Us: E-Mail : dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
  • 2. V Valuehunt Morning Notes – 21 January 2013 Global Indices Nifty Movement FII & DII Turnover Currency Close Change 6,200 Points Buy Sell Change (%) Price (%) 6,064 0.42% FII (Rs.mn) 43,278 31,621 INR - USD 53.81 (1.7) Nifty 6,064 25.2 0.4 Nifty 6,000 Change (%) 20% 4% INR - EUR 71.67 (1.4) Sensex 20,039 75.0 0.4 DII (Rs.mn) 16,644 26,320 INR - GBP 85.37 (2.5) Nikkei 10,913 303.6 2.8 Change (%) 17% 35% JPY – USD 90.14 2.0 Straight Time 3,211 16.1 0.5 5,800 Hang Seng 23,601 262.0 1.1 **FII – Foreign Institutional Investor 11-Jan-13 18-Jan-13 **DII – Domestic Institutional Investor Shanghai 2,317 32.1 1.4 FTSE 100 6,154 22.0 0.4 CAC 40 3,741 (2.5) (0.1) Special Situation Stocks DAX 7,702 (33.2) (0.4) DJIA 13,649 53.7 0.4 S&P 500 1,485 5.0 0.3 Company Special Situation Comments NASDAQ 3,134 (1.3) (0.1) Sandesh Ltd Buyback Sandesh Ltd has informed BSE regarding with respect to Offer for Buyback of up to 9,60,000 Fully Paid Up Equity Shares of Face value Rs.10/- each at a price of Rs. 302/- per fully paid Sectoral Indices up equity shares for cash by The Sandesh Ltd (the 'Company') Close Price Change (%) through tender offer process (the 'Buyback'), the Company Realty 2,311 0.9 further wish to inform that the Buyback Committee in its Oil & Gas 9,571 3.1 meeting held on January 16, 2013 has fixed the Record Date Metal 10,780 (0.6) on February 01, 2013 for the purpose of determining the Bankex 14,551 0.1 entitlement and the names of the Shareholders, who are Capital Goods 10,504 0.2 eligible to participate in the Buyback Power 2,002 1.4 IT 6,406 (1.1) Hero MotoCorp, Ltd 52 Week Low Market leader trading at 52 week low because of their bad Q3 Auto 11,298 (0.7) FMCG 5,755 0.0 results. This stock can be a contrarian pick HeathCare 8,067 (0.5) Zuari Global Limited 52 Week Low Fertilizer business trading below 10x Price to Earnings Contact Us: Contact Us: E-Mail ::dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080 E-Mail dhananjayan@artha-cap.com | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
  • 3. V Valuehunt Morning Notes – 21 January 2013 Nifty Gainers Headline News Economic Times Business Standard Close Change (%) Company Price  Q3 earning results key to mkts this week: Experts  Q3 earnings key to stock markets this week: experts BPCL 434.95 9.79  PE, VC investments likely to be subdued this year  Banking system shows signs of instability on rising NPAs: RBI ONGC 337.70 7.39 NTPC 164.50 4.71  Govt estimates Rs 9,500 cr revenue from sale of CDMA  Hit by competition, Tata Solar to shift focus to EPC Maruti Suzuki 1,547.45 3.57 spectrum Power Grid Corpn 114.95 2.04  Dena Bank targets 3.10% net interest margin  J K Cement plans to raise up to Rs 200 cr via QIP  Cairn Energy gets EAC nod to raise capacity  MOIL's Apr-Dec net slips despite manganese ore sales rise Nifty Losers  Revenues may drop, says Tata Hitachi top official  BSNL to offer VRS to one lakh employees to trim losses  Potash prices may soften 20% amid poor demand  FinMin favours real estate, broking firms to set up banks Close Company Change (%) Price  VECV to invest Rs 1,200 crore on expansion, new  FinMin unlikely to allow PSUs to issue tax-free bonds in Wipro 397.35 (7.74) products by 2014 FY14 Hero Motocorp 1,764.10 (3.00)  SBI to get Rs 3,004 cr capital from govt by March  India's euro payments for Iranian imports may end on Feb 6 Dr Reddy's Labs 1,891.15 (2.44) Jindal Steel 422.85 (2.04) Business Line Money Control Hind. Unilever 490.40 (2.03)  SBI to get Rs 3,004 cr capital from govt by March  RIL likely to lead next leg of rally for markets: Analysts  Budget may lower provision for fuel, fertiliser  Top 8 cos add Rs 92,925cr in m-cap; ONGC, RIL shine Commodity subsidies  FIIs invest over Rs 13,000 crore so far in 2013  Query Corner: GAIL attempting to break key Rs. Change (%)  Handling inflation UPA govt's shortcoming resistance Crude (Rs/Bbl) 5,165 (0.4)  India Inc tops R&D investment growth global charts Gold (Rs/10 grms) 30,575 (0.6)  RIL share buyback closes; gets 38% of target  TV18 turns corner with Rs 21.3cr net profit in Q3 Silver (Rs/Kg) 59,356 (0.5)  Overseas avenues move faster than domestic biz: Copper (Rs/Kg) 439 (0.1) Tata Power  Sensex tops 20k as more earnings surprises than misses Note: MCX near month Futures Price  Reliance Ind terminates US lobbying  Moody's retains rating outlook but with an eye on deficits Note : Click on article to read the respective news Contact Us: E-Mail : dhananjayan.jayabal@cp-artha.co | Mobile : +91 96294 74080
  • 4. V Valuehunt Morning Notes – 21 January 2013 Insider Trading Bulk Deal (BSE/NSE) Shares Trans. Holdin Buy Transaction Buy Company Client Name Quantity % Company Buyer / Seller g after /Sale Date /Sale Quantity % Trans. Mathew Easow URMILA GARG B 40,000 37.72 Future Ryka Commercial Ventures India 28/12/2012 B 33,604 0.93 Ventures Pvt Ltd Ltd ELIXIR IMPEX PRIVATE Neo Corp B 300,000 37 LIMITED Genus Power 24/12/2012 Vivekshil Dealers Infrastructure - B 103,991 9.83 Pvt Ltd s Ltd 28/12/2012 ESQUIRE ENCLAVE Rander Corp S 75,571 88.05 PRIVATE LIMITED Ariston Capital ** Weighted Average Lakshmi Vilas Asset Holdings Pvt 28/12/2012 S 200,000 Bank Ltd Ltd Corporate Action Piramal Life PHL Holdings Pvt Company Ex-Date Purpose Rs. 28/12/2012 S 7,293,480 28.1 4.98 Sciences Ltd Ltd HCL Tech 21-Jan-13 2nd Interim Dividend - Piramal Life The Sri Krishna 28/12/2012 B 7,293,480 28.1 28.1 Sciences Ltd Trust Varun Shipping 22-Jan-13 Dividend 0.50 23/08/2012 Tata Global Life Insurance - S 12,840,655 7.63 Beverages Ltd Corporation of India ACI Infocom 23-Jan-13 Stock Split from Rs.10/- to Re.1/- - 26/12/2012 Disclaimer: Reports prepared by CP-Artha Financial Advisory Private Ltd contain selected information and do not purport to be complete. The reports based on publicly available information and data ("the Information") believed to be accurate and complete. Possible errors or incompleteness of the Information do not constitute grounds for liability, neither with regard to indirect nor to direct or consequential damages. CP-Artha Financial Advisory Private Ltd, their shareholders and employees are not liable for the accuracy and completeness of the statements, estimations and the conclusions derived from the Information contained in these documents.