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// mobile web everywhere
“
But those who ignore the drumbeat for
mobile do so at considerable risk: No
presence on mobile devices in 2009 or 2010 is
equivalent to no Web site circa 1999 or 2000.
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Julie A. Ask, Charles S. Golvin, Michelle de Lussanet, Laura Wiramihardja,
                                                                             ”
Understanding Mobile Phone Usage Is The Foundation Of A Mobile Strategy
Forrester Research
April 16, 2009
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There are      4.6 billion cell phone subscribers
The global mobile market went past 4.6 billion in 2009 and is
likely to cross the 5 billion mark in 2010. The global mobile
subscriptions now represent over 68% of human population
on planet earth.



                                                                               Source: chetansharma.com
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In 2009, for the first time ever mobile
was used more to access data than to
make calls.                                                     {                                         }
                                                                Source: Chetan Sharma, via Moconews.com
The Apple effect?




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iPhone launch was the catalyst for the growth of mobile web
Following the iPhone’s launch in the U.S. on June 29th, 2007, Apple took the top share of page
views in July – an astounding market entry clearly demonstrating the demand for devices that
make it painless to surf the web wirelessly.
                                                                                 Source: Quancast mobile web trends, Jan 2010
From there on users are flocking to browse the web on mobile




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                                                              Source: iCrossing, Feb 2010
On various screen resolution




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240 x 320 is the overall dominant
screen size


The difference between the smallest
(128 x 128) and the largest (800 x 480)
is now a factor of 23. That means the
largest screen is 23 times bigger than
the smallest one

                                                                            Source: sender11.typepad.com & mobiforge.com
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                                                                 Source: Critical Mass, Nielson Mobile, 2008
and these are their                    QuickTime™ and a
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popular hang outs




                      Top mobile web properties by unique visitors

                                                                  Source: comScore, December 2009
but most of them are still          QuickTime™ and a
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groping for an engaging
user experience




                                                               Source: Gomez Inc, September 2009
and are willing to give          QuickTime™ and a
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it more than a chance




                                                            Source: Gomez Inc, September 2009
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// where is mobile web headed
2010
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In 2010 nearly 1.3 billion mobile phones
will ship globally, and 250 million of
them will be smartphones.
Frost & Sullivan analyst Gerry Purdy predicts that in the U.S.,
where smartphone growth is robust, virtually all phones sold
will be smartphones within five years.




                                                                               Source: Juniper Research
2011
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sites

By the end of 2010, the forecast is that the mobile                            Flick                      Press & Tap

touch web will grow to more than 500,00 sites, and
to one million sites by the end of 2011.
Taptu, the mobile search engine scans nearly 120
millions domains, using a cluster of 750 servers and
downloading 750 tetra byte of data to identify                                 Spread                     Double Tap
whether or not a website is a mobile one made for
touchscreens.

                                                                                       Source: Taptu & lukew.com
2012
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ahead of Black Berry & iPhone - and will
be 18% of all smartphones sold globally in
2012, representing about 94 million users
out of 525 million
Symbian OS used on Nokia mobile with of 196.5 million sold,
37.4% share will lead the pack




                                                                             Source; Gartner, October 2009
2013     mobile phones will overtake PCs
         as the most common Web access device worldwide



       Worldwide Smartphone sales to end user by OS in 1Q10 (thousands
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                                                      of units)
                                                          24,069   44.3  17,825.3                  48.8
       Symbian
                                                          10,552.6 19.4  7,533.6                   20.6
       Research in Motion
                                                          8,359.7  15.4  3,848.1                   10.5
       iPhone OS
                                                          5214.7   9.6   575.3                     1.6
       Android
                                                          3706.0   6.8   3,738.7                   10.2
       MS Windows Mobile
                                                          1993.9   3.7   2540.5                    7.0
       Linus
                                                          404.8    0.7   445.9                     1.2
       Other OS
                                                          44,301.4 100.0 36,507.5                  100.0

       Overall, smartphone sales increased 48.7% year-over year to 54.3 million units, accounting for 17.3%
       of all handset sales, up from 13.6% in Q1 2009




                                                                         Source; Gartner, January 2010
2014
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Location-based local search and
information services are
estimated to be used by nearly 1.5
billion mobile users
Total revenues from all mobile location-based
services are expected to reach $12.7 billion by 2014




                                                                                Source: Juniper Research
2015
The mobile data traffic footprint of a               QuickTime™ and a
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single mobile subscriber in 2015 could very
conceivably be 450 times what it was 10
years earlier in 2005. And along with
internet browsing; Mobile TV, a light
version of video conferencing, simple
games and multimedia, MMS, SMS, and
email are all set to become a part of the
consumer life.

It is estimated Western Europe and APAC
will account for over 60% of global mobile
data traffic.

                                                                                Source: Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast Update, Cisco 2009
Mobile experience eco-system is
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expanding
• mobile phone payment platforms
• ID recognition
• location based search & applications
• Image based search camera
• Augmented Reality
• And mobile website have
 click-to-call or click-to-SMS link



                                      Graphic: flickr.com/photos/mobigates/1371048026/
Above all mobile is fast evolving as the     QuickTime™ and a
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most social of all gadgets?
“
Social media is a natural sweet spot for
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mobile since mobile devices are at the
center of how people communicate with
their circle of friends, whether by phone,
text, email, or, increasingly, accessing
social networking sites via a mobile
browser.
                   ”                   comScore, March 2010


                                              Graphic: mehtainc.com/blog
Camera
                                                                                              Always on

                                                                       ID identification                           Voice

                        Bluetooth



Mobile, interactive &                               Social
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                                                                                                Conversation
social experience         GPS
                                                                                                    al
                                                                                                                            Email



on-the-go
                                           Data                                                                 MMS / SMS

                                                                               Personal



                                                     Convenient
                                                                                             Emotional
                                                    (Small & mobile)
                                                                                              equity
                                                                                           (Frequently used &
                                                                                Personal      personalized)
                                                                                contacts
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A whopping 30.8 percent of
smartphone users accessed social
networking sites via their mobile
browser in January 2010
By comparison, just 6.8 percent of feature phone users
accessed social networking sites on their mobile phones




                                                                              Source: comScore, March 2010
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Adoption of social media via
mobile seems to be outpacing the
adoption of more traditional media
on mobile
Access to Facebook via mobile browser grew 112
percent in the past year, while Twitter experienced a
347-percent jump. MySpace attracted 11.4 million users,
approximately half that of Facebook, in January 2010.



                                                                              Source: comScore, March 2010; logos from scrapetv.com, memberclicks.com
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As the screen gets bigger, the processor
becomes faster business need to find its place
on the mobile web
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  Nazim Iqbal
  UX architect, mobile & social media enthusiast
  ACD - SapientNitro
  Twitter@nazim_iqbal
  Linkedin: http://in.linkedin.com/pub/nazim-iqbal
  Blog: semanticsandvisuals.com
  Email: nazim.iqbal@gmail.com