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Lecture 4
Industry Analysis
Lecturer: Dr. Preston Teeter
MGTS7301
Tools and Techniques
for Business Analysis
Outline
• S-C-P paradigm
• Five forces model
• Competitive positioning
S-C-P PARADIGM
John Steen
The Strategic Audit
Key IssuesOpportunities
Threats
Strengths
Weaknesses
Immediate Environment
Market Competitors Customers
General Environment
Legal/
political
Economic
Techno-
logical
Social Physical
Internal Environment
Core
competencies
Assets &
resources
People &
management
Systems
External Environment
Firm Performance
Current Strategy
Current Goals & Objectives
Levels of analysis
Company
Micro –
Industry
Macro PESTEL, 4 C’s,
etc.
Porter’s 5
Forces
Strategic Group Analysis
‘The first fundamental determinant of a
firm’s profitability is industry
attractiveness.’
Michael Porter
S-C-P paradigm
• Structure
– The structure of the industry
• Conduct
– The conduct of the firms in the industry
• Performance
– The performance of firms in the industry
S-C-P paradigm
The structure
of
an industry
Determines the
conduct of
the firms in
the industry
Impacts the
performance of
firms
S-C-P paradigm
Perfect
Competition
Oligopoly Duopoly Monopoly
Concentration Many firms A few firms Two firms One firm
Entry and Exit
Barriers
No barriers Significant barriers High barriers
Product
Differentiation
Homogeneous
product
Potential for product differentiation
Information Perfect
information
flow
Imperfect availability of information
FIVE FORCES MODEL
Five forces
Consider the airline industry. Intuitively, one
would think that running an airline is incredibly
difficult and thus successful, large airlines would
make enormous profits. But history has shown
this is far from reality.
Watch video
And see the following articles…
Source: http://www.abc.net.au/news/2017-10-12/why-investing-in-airlines-is-a-dumb-
idea/9040916
Source: https://hbr.org/2016/05/the-reason-air-travel-is-terrible-and-so-few-airlines-are-
profitable
Five forces
So why has the airlines industry proven to be so
difficult to operate in and make a reliable, steady
profit? Answer the following:
1. What are the five forces of industry analysis?
What key factors shape each force?
2. Apply this model to describe the airline
industry. Which forces are most influential?
Five Forces
New entrants
Barriers to entry
• Economies of scale
• Capital requirements
• Incumbency advantages (proprietary
technology, brand loyalty, location, etc.)
• Unequal access to distribution channels
• Restrictive government policy
• Expected retaliation
Supplier power
• Suppliers are concentrated
• Few substitutes for suppliers’ products
• Industry is not an important customer
• Costly to switch suppliers
• Suppliers can threaten to integrate forward
Buyer power
• Buyers are large and few
• Buyers purchase large quantities
• Low switching costs
• Buyers can threaten to integrate backward
• Buyers are price sensitive
Substitution
• Substitutes have attractive price-performance
trade-off
• Switching costs are low
• Buyer propensity to substitute
Rivalry
• Slow industry growth
• Similarity of competitors (commodities, etc.)
• High fixed costs / perishable product
• Exit barriers are high
– Inflexible plant and equipment
– High fixed cost of exit
– Strategic relationships
Median return on equity (%), 2000-2010
High profitability Low Profitability
Tobacco 33.5 Packaging and containers 10.2
Household and personal products 27.8 Automotive retailing and services 9.8
Pharmaceuticals 20.5 Food and drugs stores 9.6
Food consumer products 20.0 Insurance 9.1
Food services 19.9 Hotels, casinos, resorts 8.5
Medical products and equipment 18.5 Metals 8.2
Mining, crude oil production 16.3 Semiconductors and electronic
components
7.7
Securities 15.9 Forest and paper products 7.3
Chemicals 15.7 Food production 5.2
Aerospace and defence 15.7 Telecommunications 5.8
Construction and farm equipment 14.5 Motor vehicles and parts 4.4
IT services 14.1 Airlines -11.3
Source:
https://hbr.org/2001/0
3/strategy-and-the-
internet
COMPETITIVE POSITIONING
Competitive
positioning
Consider the case of ABC Learning, an Australian
company that was once the world’s largest provider
of early childhood education services with a market
capitalisation of 2.5 billion AUD in 2006.
Somewhat amazingly, by 2009 the company was
essentially defunct and eventually bought by not-
for-profit organisation Goodstart Limited.
Watch video
And see the following articles…
Source: https://www.smh.com.au/business/lessons-to-be-learnt-from-abc-learnings-
collapse-20090101-78f8.html
Source: https://www.smartcompany.com.au/finance/five-lessons-from-the-
spectacular-fall-of-eddy-groves/
But aren’t childcare centres in high demand, with endless
waiting lists? Answer the following:
1. What are the generic strategies identified by Michael
Porter? Describe and give an example of each.
2. What strategy was ABC Learning following? What
was the problem with this approach?
Competitive
positioning
Cost leadership
• Creating a low-cost position relative to
competitors, allowing firm to sell at a lower price
or earn higher margins at the same price
• HOW?
– Economies of scale
– Learning curve effects
– Controlling input costs
– Controlling value chain costs
Cost leadership
When a low cost strategy works best:
• Vigorous price competition
• Commodity markets, little demand for
differentiation
• Low switching costs
• Powerful buyers
Differentiation
• Creating valued differences in the product or
service delivered
– Prestige/image
– Quality/features/attributes
– Innovative technology
– Customer service
• Identifying potential segments created by
– Variety in products and services
– Needs of specific customer groups
– Access in distinct geographic markets
Differentiation
Differentiation works best when:
• Buyer needs and uses are diverse, resulting in
market segmentation
• Few rival firms competing for the same market
segments
• Technological change is fast-paced and
competition revolves around features or attributes
‘Stuck in
the middle’
• A firm that fails to gain real advantage in
either generic strategy
• Typically associated with below average
performance
Quiz
• Please pack up everything but one blank sheet
of paper per group
• Form groups of 5, these will become your
simulation groups
– Groups smaller than 5 are fine, but may be broken
up or changed
– If a student is absent, write ABSENT in caps next
to their name (can join group but no quiz marks)
Mon – Quiz #4
1. True or False: The SCP paradigm was based on the
belief that industries and industry structures change
frequently but individual companies are mostly stable.
2. Why are barriers to entry so high in the global soft drink
industry? (choose one)
A. Restrictive government policies and manufacturing locations
B. Brand loyalty and access to distribution channels
C. Economies of scale in bottling and packaging
3. Provide an example of an Australian company that
follows a differentiation strategy
Questions?

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Mgts7301 - lecture 4 - industry analysis

  • 1. Lecture 4 Industry Analysis Lecturer: Dr. Preston Teeter MGTS7301 Tools and Techniques for Business Analysis
  • 2. Outline • S-C-P paradigm • Five forces model • Competitive positioning
  • 4. John Steen The Strategic Audit Key IssuesOpportunities Threats Strengths Weaknesses Immediate Environment Market Competitors Customers General Environment Legal/ political Economic Techno- logical Social Physical Internal Environment Core competencies Assets & resources People & management Systems External Environment Firm Performance Current Strategy Current Goals & Objectives
  • 5. Levels of analysis Company Micro – Industry Macro PESTEL, 4 C’s, etc. Porter’s 5 Forces Strategic Group Analysis
  • 6. ‘The first fundamental determinant of a firm’s profitability is industry attractiveness.’ Michael Porter
  • 7. S-C-P paradigm • Structure – The structure of the industry • Conduct – The conduct of the firms in the industry • Performance – The performance of firms in the industry
  • 8. S-C-P paradigm The structure of an industry Determines the conduct of the firms in the industry Impacts the performance of firms
  • 9. S-C-P paradigm Perfect Competition Oligopoly Duopoly Monopoly Concentration Many firms A few firms Two firms One firm Entry and Exit Barriers No barriers Significant barriers High barriers Product Differentiation Homogeneous product Potential for product differentiation Information Perfect information flow Imperfect availability of information
  • 11. Five forces Consider the airline industry. Intuitively, one would think that running an airline is incredibly difficult and thus successful, large airlines would make enormous profits. But history has shown this is far from reality. Watch video And see the following articles…
  • 14. Five forces So why has the airlines industry proven to be so difficult to operate in and make a reliable, steady profit? Answer the following: 1. What are the five forces of industry analysis? What key factors shape each force? 2. Apply this model to describe the airline industry. Which forces are most influential?
  • 16. New entrants Barriers to entry • Economies of scale • Capital requirements • Incumbency advantages (proprietary technology, brand loyalty, location, etc.) • Unequal access to distribution channels • Restrictive government policy • Expected retaliation
  • 17. Supplier power • Suppliers are concentrated • Few substitutes for suppliers’ products • Industry is not an important customer • Costly to switch suppliers • Suppliers can threaten to integrate forward
  • 18. Buyer power • Buyers are large and few • Buyers purchase large quantities • Low switching costs • Buyers can threaten to integrate backward • Buyers are price sensitive
  • 19. Substitution • Substitutes have attractive price-performance trade-off • Switching costs are low • Buyer propensity to substitute
  • 20. Rivalry • Slow industry growth • Similarity of competitors (commodities, etc.) • High fixed costs / perishable product • Exit barriers are high – Inflexible plant and equipment – High fixed cost of exit – Strategic relationships
  • 21.
  • 22. Median return on equity (%), 2000-2010 High profitability Low Profitability Tobacco 33.5 Packaging and containers 10.2 Household and personal products 27.8 Automotive retailing and services 9.8 Pharmaceuticals 20.5 Food and drugs stores 9.6 Food consumer products 20.0 Insurance 9.1 Food services 19.9 Hotels, casinos, resorts 8.5 Medical products and equipment 18.5 Metals 8.2 Mining, crude oil production 16.3 Semiconductors and electronic components 7.7 Securities 15.9 Forest and paper products 7.3 Chemicals 15.7 Food production 5.2 Aerospace and defence 15.7 Telecommunications 5.8 Construction and farm equipment 14.5 Motor vehicles and parts 4.4 IT services 14.1 Airlines -11.3
  • 25. Competitive positioning Consider the case of ABC Learning, an Australian company that was once the world’s largest provider of early childhood education services with a market capitalisation of 2.5 billion AUD in 2006. Somewhat amazingly, by 2009 the company was essentially defunct and eventually bought by not- for-profit organisation Goodstart Limited. Watch video And see the following articles…
  • 28. But aren’t childcare centres in high demand, with endless waiting lists? Answer the following: 1. What are the generic strategies identified by Michael Porter? Describe and give an example of each. 2. What strategy was ABC Learning following? What was the problem with this approach? Competitive positioning
  • 29.
  • 30. Cost leadership • Creating a low-cost position relative to competitors, allowing firm to sell at a lower price or earn higher margins at the same price • HOW? – Economies of scale – Learning curve effects – Controlling input costs – Controlling value chain costs
  • 31. Cost leadership When a low cost strategy works best: • Vigorous price competition • Commodity markets, little demand for differentiation • Low switching costs • Powerful buyers
  • 32. Differentiation • Creating valued differences in the product or service delivered – Prestige/image – Quality/features/attributes – Innovative technology – Customer service • Identifying potential segments created by – Variety in products and services – Needs of specific customer groups – Access in distinct geographic markets
  • 33. Differentiation Differentiation works best when: • Buyer needs and uses are diverse, resulting in market segmentation • Few rival firms competing for the same market segments • Technological change is fast-paced and competition revolves around features or attributes
  • 34. ‘Stuck in the middle’ • A firm that fails to gain real advantage in either generic strategy • Typically associated with below average performance
  • 35. Quiz • Please pack up everything but one blank sheet of paper per group • Form groups of 5, these will become your simulation groups – Groups smaller than 5 are fine, but may be broken up or changed – If a student is absent, write ABSENT in caps next to their name (can join group but no quiz marks)
  • 36. Mon – Quiz #4 1. True or False: The SCP paradigm was based on the belief that industries and industry structures change frequently but individual companies are mostly stable. 2. Why are barriers to entry so high in the global soft drink industry? (choose one) A. Restrictive government policies and manufacturing locations B. Brand loyalty and access to distribution channels C. Economies of scale in bottling and packaging 3. Provide an example of an Australian company that follows a differentiation strategy

Editor's Notes

  1. Key constructs in SCP analysis Industry concentration Levels of product differentiation Barriers to entry
  2. Also see https://www.businessinsider.com.au/airlines-biggest-business-problems-2018-4?r=US&IR=T
  3. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mYF2_FBCvXw The five forces vary from industry to industry and are important because they shape: the prices firms can change the costs they have to bear the investment required to compete The strength of each of the five forces is a function of industry structure. This is relatively stable but does change over time
  4. Toll Holdings (transport) use of IT systems integrated with those of their clients creates a barrier to entry
  5. Suppliers to the watch industry have high bargaining power and industry dominated by few companies Nicholas Hacko – Australian watch
  6. Typical example of buyer power – food retailing chains control 80% of $ spend and exert enormous buying power
  7. Explain substitution – it’s not a competitive effect but an industry effect e.g. Virgin Blue has attracted people who would previously have driven / bus / or not even travelled. It’s impact has been to substitute air travel for other means of travel
  8. While an industry may be generally unattractive, it may be very profitable for a firm which is able to achieve a unique competitive advantage
  9. Michael Porter says that for a firm to gain a competitive advantage over rivals it must: - have lower costs – it must provide comparable buyer value but perform activities more efficiently than its competitors - or differentiate – by performing activities in a unique way that creates greater buyer value and commands premium price A firm can also focus its efforts to particular market segment to gain competitive advantage What is strategy? It is the creation of a unique and valuable position, involving a different set of activities…The essence of strategic positioning is to choose activities that are different from rivals.” The essence of strategy is choosing what not to do! Strategy involves trade-offs -avoiding inconsistencies in reputation -different positions require different product configurations, different equipment, different employee behaviour, different skills, and different management systems -limits on internal coordination and control New Australian Airlines is an example of Cost Focus – single ‘super economy’ tourist class fares, fewer flight attendants, one model of aircraft, limited destinations (6) in Asia
  10. Cost leadership does not necessarily mean price leadership Commonly required skills and resources Sustained capital investment and access to capital Process engineering skills Intense supervision of labour Products designed for ease of manufacture Low cost distribution Common organisation requirements Tight cost control Frequent, detailed cost reports Structured organisation and responsibilities Incentives based on meeting strict quantitative targets
  11. The product and the marketing approach must be at least comparable to other competitors
  12. Distinguish between differentiation as a business strategy and as a marketing strategy Common organisation requirements Strong coordination among functions Subjective performance measures Ability to attract highly skilled people Does not mean that the firm can ignore costs Firm must aim at cost parity or proximity
  13. Commonly required skills and resources Strong marketing abilities Product engineering Creative flair Strong capability in basic research Long tradition in industry Strong cooperation from channels
  14. Can a firm pursue both low cost and differentiation? Three conditions Competitors are “stuck in the middle” Cost is strongly related to market share Firm pioneers a major innovation