Methodological choices in problem oriented adaptation research
•
1 like•438 views
Parallel Session 1. Session 1: Theme A: Conducting Vulnerability, Impact and Adaptation Assessments
Recommended
Recommended
More Related Content
What's hot
What's hot (20)
Similar to Methodological choices in problem oriented adaptation research
Similar to Methodological choices in problem oriented adaptation research (20)
More from PROVIA
More from PROVIA (9)
Recently uploaded
Recently uploaded (20)
Methodological choices in problem oriented adaptation research
- 1. Methodological choices in solution-oriented adaptation research: A diagnostic framework Jochen Hinkel Global Climate Forum (GCF) Adaptation Futures Conference 2014 Fortaleza, 12 May 2014
- 3. Adaptation: One word standing for a million things .. ● Diversity of adaptation situations ● A national government developing adaptation policy ● A co-operative maintaining a communal forest ● A farmer deciding on which crop variety to plant ● An agricultural extension service wanting to influence farmers' cropping decisions ● ... ● Diversity of research approaches to adaptation ● Even greater diversity of words for calling these adaptation ● Impact, vulnerability, resilience, risk ...
- 4. Approaches ADAPTATION NEEDS Potential capacity ↑ Indicators ↑ Economic resources, technology, infrastructure information & skills, institutions ↑ Social theory World development ↓ Global greenhouse gases ↓ Global climate models ↓ Regionalisation ↓ Potential Impacts Impact analysis Capacity analysis Source: Hinkel and Bisaro (2014), modified from Dessai and Hulme (2004)
- 5. Approaches ADAPTATION NEEDS Potential capacity ↑ Indicators ↑ Economic resources, technology, infrastructure information & skills, institutions ↑ Social theory World development ↓ Global greenhouse gases ↓ Global climate models ↓ Regionalisation ↓ Potential Impacts Possible measures ↓ Possible options ↓ Residual impacts ↓ Efficient, robust, or flexible options Impact analysis Capacity analysis Decision analysis Source: Hinkel and Bisaro (2014), modified from Dessai and Hulme (2004)
- 6. Approaches ADAPTATION NEEDS PREFERRED OPTIONS Potential capacity ↑ Indicators ↑ Economic resources, technology, infrastructure information & skills, institutions ↑ Social theory World development ↓ Global greenhouse gases ↓ Global climate models ↓ Regionalisation ↓ Potential Impacts Possible measures ↓ Possible options ↓ Residual impacts ↓ Efficient, robust, or flexible options Legitimate options ↑ Deliberation ↑ Consensus seeking ↑ Stakeholders Impact analysis Capacity analysis Decision analysis Deliberative appraisal Source: Hinkel and Bisaro (2014), modified from Dessai and Hulme (2004)
- 7. Approaches POLICY MEASURES Culture, norms, Biophysical Constitutional system law ↓ ↓ Governance system ↓ Performance ADAPTATION NEEDS PREFERRED OPTIONS Outcomes ↑ Behaviour ↑ Cognition ↑ Biophysical and social system; culture, norms, constitutional law Potential capacity ↑ Indicators ↑ Economic resources, technology, infrastructure information & skills, institutions ↑ Social theory World development ↓ Global greenhouse gases ↓ Global climate models ↓ Regionalisation ↓ Potential Impacts Possible measures ↓ Possible options ↓ Residual impacts ↓ Efficient, robust, or flexible options Legitimate options ↑ Deliberation ↑ Consensus seeking ↑ Stakeholders Impact analysis Capacity analysis Institutional analysis Behavioural analysis Decision analysis Deliberative appraisal Source: Hinkel and Bisaro (2014), modified from Dessai and Hulme (2004)
- 8. Question ● Which approach is “most salient” in which adaptation situation? ● “Most salient” from a solution-oriented research perspective ● From a pure research perspective, all approaches may be salient ● From a solution-oriented perspective, the “most salient” approach is the one that offers the highest leverage for advancing “real-world” adaptation practise
- 9. Results
- 10. Result
- 11. Three types of adaptation situations Type of adaptation situation Description Private individual A private individual adapting in her own interest. Private collective A private collective actor adapting in her own interest (e.g., an organization, a community). Public influencing individual A public actor adapting in public interest and wanting to influence individual action in her jurisdiction.
- 12. Five challenges faced Challenges Identifying the climate risk / adaptation needs Identifying adaptation measures Appraising adaptation options Implementing adaptation actions Monitoring and evaluation of adaptation
- 13. Five challenges faced Challenges Identifying the climate risk / adaptation needs Identifying adaptation measures Appraising adaptation options Implementing adaptation actions Monitoring and evaluation of adaptation
- 14. Challenge 2: Identifying adaptation measures
- 15. Challenge 2: Identifying adaptation measures
- 16. Identifying adaptation options to influence individual action
- 17. Identifying adaptation options to influence individual action
- 18. Methods for Institutional analysis
- 19. Another example
- 20. Five challenges faced Challenges Identifying the climate risk / adaptation needs Identifying adaptation measures Appraising adaptation options Implementing adaptation actions Monitoring and evaluation of adaptation
- 21. Five challenges faced Challenges Identifying the climate risk / adaptation needs Identifying adaptation measures Appraising adaptation options Implementing adaptation actions Monitoring and evaluation of adaptation
- 24. Formal appraisal of options
- 25. Conclusions
- 26. Conclusions ● We presented a diagnostic framework that provides decision trees for supporting the methodological choices to be made in solution-oriented adaptation research. ● Contributes towards a differentiated discussion on how research may (or may not) support adaptation. ● Highlights the contributions that social science may make to adaptation ● Behavioural and institutional research may help to identify and possibly overcome adaptation barriers before they are experienced in practise
- 27. Thanks ● PROVIA guidance on assessing climate change vulnerability, impacts and adaptation ● www.provia-climatechange.org ● MEDIATION internet platform ● Online implementation of the diagnostic framework using click- able decision trees, together with cases from research, policy and practise that illustrate the approaches taken in diverse adaptation situations. ● http://mediation-project.eu ● Hinkel and Bisaro (2014). Methodological choices in solution-oriented adaptation research: A diagnostic framework, Regional Environmental Change, in press. ● Jochen Hinkel, hinkel@globalclimateforum.org