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Climate Change Vulnerability, Impact and Adaptation
Analysis Methodological Framework:
Lessons from Latin America and the Caribbean
Andrea Sabelli
UNEP
Adaptation Futures Conference
Fortaleza, Brazil May 12th
2014
Context: REGATTAContext: REGATTA
Adaptation
Objectives:
1. Strengthen climate resilience of human and ecological
systems in the LAC region
2. Strengthen the capacity of local institutions
3. Facilitate mainstreaming adaptation into policy and
planning
Financed by:
Implemented
by:
United Nations Environmental Programme Regional Office for
Latin American and the Caribbean
(2011-2015)
Regional Gateway for Technology Transfer and
Climate Change Action
Strengthen the exchange of knowledge on climate change mitigation and adaptation
Based on the 1st
Round Table meeting (May 2011)
31 country representatives, 10 NGOs, 4 Agencies
 Lack of local scientifically-based
information on climate change impact and
vulnerability
 Identify relevant and feasible adaptation
strategies
 Sectors of priority: agriculture and water
REGATTA: Why Conduct a VIA?REGATTA: Why Conduct a VIA?
REGATTA VIA Methodological FrameworkREGATTA VIA Methodological Framework
Sub-Region Start/End Dates Knowledge-Sharing Centre
Gran Chaco: Argentina,
Bolivia & Paraguay
April 01, 2012-
April 01, 2014
Andes: Colombia , Peru &
Ecuador
June 01, 2012- April 01,
2014
Watersheds in Central
America
April 2013-August 2014
Caribbean: Antigua &
Barbuda, Dominica & Haiti
October 2013-
Decemeber 2014
Moving from Theory to PracticeMoving from Theory to Practice
Challenge: ParticipationChallenge: Participation
Giradot, Colombia August, 2013 Buenos Aires, Argentina Sep. 2013
1 National Government
32 Departments
1101 Municipalities
1 National Government
7 Regions
24 Provinces
226 cantons
1500 Parishes
1 National Government
24 Departments
195 Provinces
1834 Districts
Challenge: Scale and Format of DataChallenge: Scale and Format of Data
Challenge: Lack of Methods and Data forChallenge: Lack of Methods and Data for
Assessing Ecosystem ServicesAssessing Ecosystem Services
Andes Approach
Biodiversity
and ecosystem
services
Threats from Climate
Change
Impact
Habitat and
provision of food
services
Loss and migration of
species
Medium
Water resources,
regulation of
flows and floods
Reduced water
availability, drought,
flooding, expansion of
the agriculture frontier,
changes in precipitation
patterns and prolonged
rains
High
Chaco Approach
Municipalities most Exposed to Climate
Change and Adaptive Capacity
Indicators in Ecuador
Climate Change Vulnerability in the
Gran Chaco Americano (2031-2040
Challenge: Integration of the ResultsChallenge: Integration of the Results
Using the ResultsUsing the Results
• Policy Briefs prepared and presented to each country
• Webinars, social media, conferences and meetings
• National Adaptation Plan for the Agriculture Sector (Colombia)
• Project proposals (Paraguay)
• Preparation of the UNFCCC National Communications Report
(Argentina and Paraguay)
Breakfast Meeting, Lima Peru 2014
REGATTA Community of Practice
Remaining ChallengesRemaining Challenges
• Even when stakeholders participate questions remain
as to whether and how adaptation recommendations
are mainstreamed into policy and practice
• Urgent need for adaptation
• Trade-offs between the amount of time and budget
spent on VIA and Adaptation Action
Lessons LearnedLessons Learned
•There is no “recipe” for VIA
•Methodology depends on data, resources and time
•Having a common methodological framework is valuable as a
tool to maneuver through the various components of a VIA
•Establish an inter-disciplinary team and ensure strong
communication and coordination
•Process should be iterative and flexible to incorporate new
tools and approaches
•Ensure adequate resources for communication and
distribution of the study results using various channels

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A climate change vulnerability, impact and adaptation analysis methodological

  • 1. Climate Change Vulnerability, Impact and Adaptation Analysis Methodological Framework: Lessons from Latin America and the Caribbean Andrea Sabelli UNEP Adaptation Futures Conference Fortaleza, Brazil May 12th 2014
  • 2. Context: REGATTAContext: REGATTA Adaptation Objectives: 1. Strengthen climate resilience of human and ecological systems in the LAC region 2. Strengthen the capacity of local institutions 3. Facilitate mainstreaming adaptation into policy and planning Financed by: Implemented by: United Nations Environmental Programme Regional Office for Latin American and the Caribbean (2011-2015) Regional Gateway for Technology Transfer and Climate Change Action Strengthen the exchange of knowledge on climate change mitigation and adaptation
  • 3. Based on the 1st Round Table meeting (May 2011) 31 country representatives, 10 NGOs, 4 Agencies  Lack of local scientifically-based information on climate change impact and vulnerability  Identify relevant and feasible adaptation strategies  Sectors of priority: agriculture and water REGATTA: Why Conduct a VIA?REGATTA: Why Conduct a VIA?
  • 4. REGATTA VIA Methodological FrameworkREGATTA VIA Methodological Framework
  • 5. Sub-Region Start/End Dates Knowledge-Sharing Centre Gran Chaco: Argentina, Bolivia & Paraguay April 01, 2012- April 01, 2014 Andes: Colombia , Peru & Ecuador June 01, 2012- April 01, 2014 Watersheds in Central America April 2013-August 2014 Caribbean: Antigua & Barbuda, Dominica & Haiti October 2013- Decemeber 2014 Moving from Theory to PracticeMoving from Theory to Practice
  • 6. Challenge: ParticipationChallenge: Participation Giradot, Colombia August, 2013 Buenos Aires, Argentina Sep. 2013
  • 7. 1 National Government 32 Departments 1101 Municipalities 1 National Government 7 Regions 24 Provinces 226 cantons 1500 Parishes 1 National Government 24 Departments 195 Provinces 1834 Districts Challenge: Scale and Format of DataChallenge: Scale and Format of Data
  • 8. Challenge: Lack of Methods and Data forChallenge: Lack of Methods and Data for Assessing Ecosystem ServicesAssessing Ecosystem Services Andes Approach Biodiversity and ecosystem services Threats from Climate Change Impact Habitat and provision of food services Loss and migration of species Medium Water resources, regulation of flows and floods Reduced water availability, drought, flooding, expansion of the agriculture frontier, changes in precipitation patterns and prolonged rains High Chaco Approach
  • 9. Municipalities most Exposed to Climate Change and Adaptive Capacity Indicators in Ecuador Climate Change Vulnerability in the Gran Chaco Americano (2031-2040 Challenge: Integration of the ResultsChallenge: Integration of the Results
  • 10. Using the ResultsUsing the Results • Policy Briefs prepared and presented to each country • Webinars, social media, conferences and meetings • National Adaptation Plan for the Agriculture Sector (Colombia) • Project proposals (Paraguay) • Preparation of the UNFCCC National Communications Report (Argentina and Paraguay) Breakfast Meeting, Lima Peru 2014 REGATTA Community of Practice
  • 11. Remaining ChallengesRemaining Challenges • Even when stakeholders participate questions remain as to whether and how adaptation recommendations are mainstreamed into policy and practice • Urgent need for adaptation • Trade-offs between the amount of time and budget spent on VIA and Adaptation Action
  • 12. Lessons LearnedLessons Learned •There is no “recipe” for VIA •Methodology depends on data, resources and time •Having a common methodological framework is valuable as a tool to maneuver through the various components of a VIA •Establish an inter-disciplinary team and ensure strong communication and coordination •Process should be iterative and flexible to incorporate new tools and approaches •Ensure adequate resources for communication and distribution of the study results using various channels

Editor's Notes

  1. Principios: Definir la orientación de actividades con base en prioridades identificadas por países de la región Fortalecer redes, instituciones, procesos e iniciativas nacionales y regionales existentes Trabajar a través de instituciones de la región (Centros de Conocimiento) Promover una visión integrada en la región para hacer frente al cambio climático
  2. How to model and analyze ecosystem services How to consider EBA in the context of adaptation at the local scale, to take into consideration the social aspect? How to consider the “limits” of ecosystems and their boundaries outside of the study area?