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Piaci validáció
Startupok
72
százaléka azért bukik el
mert olyan terméket vagy szolgáltatás
állít elő ami senkinek nem kell.
You are in the business of creating value
for the largest possible market in a
profitable and repeatable business model
Value = MUST HAVE’ or nice to have
Értékelés = Minőség / Ár
Problems
Customer
segments
Needs
Problem–
Solution
Fit
‘Minimum
Viable
Product’
A legtöbb probléma már
meg van oldva.
Csak nem
- jól,
- olcsón,
- kényelmesen
“In a startup
no facts exist
inside the
building, only
opinions.”
(Steve Blank)
A vállalkozás
annyira
könnyű vagy
nehéz amennyire
észreveszed és
elfogadod a
tényeket.
Korai fázisú üzleti tervek
értékgörbéje
“We're easily convinced
by the argument that all
we need to do is “build it
and they will come.”
(Eric Ries)
“We're easily convinced
by the argument that all
we need to do is “build it
and they will come.”
And when they don't
come, well, we just try,
try, again.”
(Eric Ries)
LEAN STARTUP PRINCIPLES
Build
(construct, prepare)
Measure
(structure, collect, collate)
Learn
(adjust, revise, repair, develop)
The Lean Method
+ Testing your initial Hypotheses – keep them or pivot
+ Collective Wisdom of your Customers
+ Get out of the building
+ Obsessed with the customer
+ Open to learn and pivot
+ Avoid maximalists (they should come later)
+ Bias for speed
PIAC FELMÉRÉS
● TAM or Total Available Market is the total market demand for
a product or service.
● SAM or Serviceable Available Market is the segment of the
TAM targeted by your products and services which is
within your geographical/distribution/technical reach.
● SOM or Serviceable Obtainable Market is the portion of SAM
that you can capture.
Customer Discovery:
How to talk to customers
And actually learn things
Teszteljük le
mennyire tudunk
tisztán gondolkodni!
A vezető fejlesztőm azt
mondja, Jani az öccse.
Jani azt mondja, neki
nincs bátyja.
?
Focus on the Customer
Focus on the Customer
Focus on the Customer
PROPER
CUSTOMER DISCOVERY
WHAT REALLY MATTERS
…and is often the result of
good customer discovery
Research and validation
methods
Comprehensive research
Professional interviews
‘Customer’ interviews
Tools of
market research
and validation
AYTM.com
Ask Your Target Market
Make my persona
The ideal buyer generator
PROLIFIC.CO
People.fish
Appinio
Statista
Hint - they have Campus accounts...
American Factfinder
USA Small Business Administration (SBA)
Eurostat
Claritas
CB Insights
Forrester Research
Think with Google, Google Trends
Google - Consumer Barometer
Slideshare.net
9.2. Alternatív piackutatási módszerek:
Szakértők
Eric Ries
Ezra Firestone
Mary Meeker
Eric Ries
Ezra Firestone
Mary Meeker
Open View Ventures
A16Z
Brad Feld (feld.com)
Primary research
with industry
professionals
Hol vannak a szakértők??
SHAPR.CO - “TINDER” FOR PROFESSIONALS
HOW TO DO CUSTOMER
INTERVIEWS
Üzleti modellek
B2B
B2C
B2B2C
B2G
Interview methods
B2C (individual decision making)
0.5 Process other’s research
1 Online survey
2 Group interview
5 Phone interview
10 One-on-one interview with people you don’t know
Interview methods
B2B (market research)
1 Process other’s research results
3 Online survey
5 Phone interview
10 One-on-one interview with a friendly source
FOGALMAZD MEG A
‘SIKER MONDATOT’
We believe that people/businesses/distributors like (customer type)
have a need for/or problems doing)(need/action/behavior).
We will know we have succeeded when (quantitative/measurable
outcome), or (qualitative/observable outcome),
which will contribute to (KPI).
COMMON MISTAKES OF CUSTOMER
DISCOVERY INTERVIEWS
● Downplay resistance or indifference
● Explaining instead of listening
● Draw conclusion from fragmented info
● Not testing the problem but the solution
● Want to create the perfect interview
… and being forgiving to oneself
‘THE WHAT’
YOU WANT TO FIND OUT OR VALIDATE:
● How big is the market? Not today...eventually!
● Who’s the customer?
● What’s the product/service/need?
● Does the product solve the problem? Fill the need?
● Who else solves it? Cheaper? Better? Faster?
● How do you create demand?
● How do you deliver the product?
● Will the customer let you make money?
‘THE HOW’
CUSTOMER DISCOVERY MUST BE:
● Done by Leaders, not researchers, no indirect intelligence
● You’re never selling, always asking
● Know the industry, issues, subject matter
● Let the customer steer the conversation
● No customer can answer every question
● ...charm them, keep’em talking longer
BASIC RULES OF CUSTOMER
DISCOVERY
● No selling
● No talking (much)
● No ‘how do you like it..?’
● Constant LISTENING to customer info
● Structure your data collection
DEFINE HYPOTHESES
● Define hypothesis “success” so you know it if you find it.. :)
Develop your own metrics but here are some hints:
● Define discovery pass/fail tests - objectivity
● Results cannot be just anecdotes - data
● ...what does success look like? - specific
outcome
○ 4 of ten get really excited/want to buy - data
○ One appointment in five calls -
data
○ Half would tell >3 friends -
data
REMEMBER: recompute the financial model based on this feedback...it
may change a lot
Before your First Interview
Prefer in person meeting or conversation
E-solutions create distortion
● Know your subject...memorize your questions - structure
● “Dress for success,” make them comfortable - preparation
● Consider/Rehearse your “Opening Line” - preparation
● ALWAYS stress “this is not a sales call” - structure,
clean data
● NEVER get caught following a script - preparation
● Be curious, dig deeper, don’t push an agenda - objectivity
● Let the customer guide the conversation - reality
check
PRIMARY MISSION is
“Test the problem”
● Anything else is gravy...get what you can - data
● Avoid details on product as much as you can - reality check
● ...how do you solve it now
● ...anyone solve it well for you
● ...problems with current solutions
Mostly focus on: Do customers care?? -
objectivity
● Do NOT do Discovery with friends, colleagues - objectivity
● Find consumers where they hang out - reality check
● “Attack” people in malls, Starbucks, cafes - in person is +
● Don’t worry about titles or the right person - reality check
● Can you really talk to anyone? -
You got a personal Meeting… Now What?
● The goal is to test all hypotheses but...
● ALWAYS get to product/market fit
○ Does the value proposition match the segment?
○ Do the customers seem to genuinely care??
AND
○ What channel do they use to buy?
○ How will you get their attention? Google? Blog?
○ How much will they pay? Do they pay today?
Good outcomes
Learn: Get facts, not opinions
● Talk about their life/work/context
instead of your idea
● Ask about specifics in the past, not
guesses about the future
● Talk less, listen more
Confirm:
Get commitments,
not opinions
● Time
● Reputation
● Money
Exercise: Are these good questions?
Do you think it’s a good idea?
Would you buy a product
which solved this problem?
How do you currently
deal with this problem?
Exercise: Are these good questions?
Talk me through the last time you
had this problem
How much would you pay for this?
How much money does this
problem cost you?
What does bad data look like?
Compliments
● “Sounds great, I
love it!”
● "Looks great, keep
me in the loop!"
Fluff
● Generic claims
● Future promises
● Hypothetical
maybes
How to get back on track
How to measure success of a meeting
Worst endings to meeting: “Sounds great! Let me know
when it launches!”
Better: “There are a few people I can introduce you to when
you’re ready”
Validate by going for FULL COMMITMENT
Meetings succeed when they advance to the next step
After the Interview: Debrief
DUMP
● 1 idea per sticky
● “What I heard
● “What I saw
● “What stood out
● After first 3: What you have to do differently next time
SORT
● Collect similar items
● Label groups
● Stack duplicates
● Note trends and exceptions
A Validált tudás
Eszköze:
MVP
Minimum Viable Product
Combining ‘interviews’ with MVP
1. Validate basic hypotheses
about problem & customer segment(s) via interviews
2. Build & measure MVP with specific customertype in
mind.
3. Learn.
4. Iterate.
ANALYTICS
● Google Analytics
● KISS Metrics
● Mixpanel
● Flurry
● LocalLytics
● Stats Mix (just an api)
CONVERSION TESTING
● Unbounce
● Optimizely
UNMODERATED TESTS WITH VIDEO
● Usertesting.com
● TryMyUI
● Userlytics
● WhatUsersDo
HEAT MAPPING
● Crazy Egg
● Click Tale
● Gaze Hawk
MESSAGE RECALL
● ClueApp
● FiveSecondTest
MICRO USABILITY
● Navflow
● Usabilia
● Clicktest
● Verify
● Intuition HQ
● UserZoom
TOOLS
Foundation of business
An experiment on 200 startups
Az üzlet alapja
Az üzlet alapja
Az üzlet alapja
Az üzlet alapja
Az üzlet alapja
It is hard for them to
trust you if they don’t know you
EDM story
Blog? :(
● Nálunk nincs marketinges aki irna blogot
● Nem vagyok jó blog-iró
● Nem tudom miről blogoljak
● Érdekel ez valakit azon a piacon?
● Nincs pénzem FB marketingre
● ..’múltkor is ráfáztunk a FB-re’
Izgalmas konferencia (?!)
Hogyan használd más eseményét
saját hasznodra
SLIDESHARE (LINKEDIN)
80 million users
18 million unit of content
40 categories
Every 7th marketers use
Slideshare in product launch
41% of all marketers use it to
distribute content for free
GITHUB (www.github.com)
40 million users (starting at $7/month)
52 million monthly visitors
49 million projects
45 % of Fortune 100 who are Github
Enterprise customers
QUORA
200M visitors per month
190M users
400,000 topics
The end of the
Rainbow :)
info@globaltraction.org
info@globaltraction.org

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Market validation - customer discovery.pptx

  • 2. Startupok 72 százaléka azért bukik el mert olyan terméket vagy szolgáltatás állít elő ami senkinek nem kell.
  • 3.
  • 4. You are in the business of creating value for the largest possible market in a profitable and repeatable business model
  • 5. Value = MUST HAVE’ or nice to have
  • 8. A legtöbb probléma már meg van oldva. Csak nem - jól, - olcsón, - kényelmesen
  • 9. “In a startup no facts exist inside the building, only opinions.” (Steve Blank)
  • 10. A vállalkozás annyira könnyű vagy nehéz amennyire észreveszed és elfogadod a tényeket.
  • 11.
  • 12. Korai fázisú üzleti tervek értékgörbéje
  • 13. “We're easily convinced by the argument that all we need to do is “build it and they will come.” (Eric Ries)
  • 14. “We're easily convinced by the argument that all we need to do is “build it and they will come.” And when they don't come, well, we just try, try, again.” (Eric Ries)
  • 15. LEAN STARTUP PRINCIPLES Build (construct, prepare) Measure (structure, collect, collate) Learn (adjust, revise, repair, develop)
  • 16. The Lean Method + Testing your initial Hypotheses – keep them or pivot + Collective Wisdom of your Customers + Get out of the building + Obsessed with the customer + Open to learn and pivot + Avoid maximalists (they should come later) + Bias for speed
  • 17. PIAC FELMÉRÉS ● TAM or Total Available Market is the total market demand for a product or service. ● SAM or Serviceable Available Market is the segment of the TAM targeted by your products and services which is within your geographical/distribution/technical reach. ● SOM or Serviceable Obtainable Market is the portion of SAM that you can capture.
  • 18. Customer Discovery: How to talk to customers And actually learn things
  • 20. A vezető fejlesztőm azt mondja, Jani az öccse. Jani azt mondja, neki nincs bátyja. ?
  • 21. Focus on the Customer
  • 22. Focus on the Customer
  • 23. Focus on the Customer
  • 25. WHAT REALLY MATTERS …and is often the result of good customer discovery
  • 26. Research and validation methods Comprehensive research Professional interviews ‘Customer’ interviews
  • 29. Make my persona The ideal buyer generator
  • 30.
  • 32.
  • 35. Statista Hint - they have Campus accounts...
  • 37. USA Small Business Administration (SBA)
  • 42. Think with Google, Google Trends
  • 43. Google - Consumer Barometer
  • 45. 9.2. Alternatív piackutatási módszerek: Szakértők Eric Ries Ezra Firestone Mary Meeker
  • 50. A16Z
  • 53. Hol vannak a szakértők??
  • 54.
  • 55.
  • 56.
  • 57.
  • 58. SHAPR.CO - “TINDER” FOR PROFESSIONALS
  • 59. HOW TO DO CUSTOMER INTERVIEWS
  • 61. Interview methods B2C (individual decision making) 0.5 Process other’s research 1 Online survey 2 Group interview 5 Phone interview 10 One-on-one interview with people you don’t know
  • 62. Interview methods B2B (market research) 1 Process other’s research results 3 Online survey 5 Phone interview 10 One-on-one interview with a friendly source
  • 63. FOGALMAZD MEG A ‘SIKER MONDATOT’ We believe that people/businesses/distributors like (customer type) have a need for/or problems doing)(need/action/behavior). We will know we have succeeded when (quantitative/measurable outcome), or (qualitative/observable outcome), which will contribute to (KPI).
  • 64. COMMON MISTAKES OF CUSTOMER DISCOVERY INTERVIEWS ● Downplay resistance or indifference ● Explaining instead of listening ● Draw conclusion from fragmented info ● Not testing the problem but the solution ● Want to create the perfect interview … and being forgiving to oneself
  • 65. ‘THE WHAT’ YOU WANT TO FIND OUT OR VALIDATE: ● How big is the market? Not today...eventually! ● Who’s the customer? ● What’s the product/service/need? ● Does the product solve the problem? Fill the need? ● Who else solves it? Cheaper? Better? Faster? ● How do you create demand? ● How do you deliver the product? ● Will the customer let you make money?
  • 66. ‘THE HOW’ CUSTOMER DISCOVERY MUST BE: ● Done by Leaders, not researchers, no indirect intelligence ● You’re never selling, always asking ● Know the industry, issues, subject matter ● Let the customer steer the conversation ● No customer can answer every question ● ...charm them, keep’em talking longer
  • 67. BASIC RULES OF CUSTOMER DISCOVERY ● No selling ● No talking (much) ● No ‘how do you like it..?’ ● Constant LISTENING to customer info ● Structure your data collection
  • 68. DEFINE HYPOTHESES ● Define hypothesis “success” so you know it if you find it.. :) Develop your own metrics but here are some hints: ● Define discovery pass/fail tests - objectivity ● Results cannot be just anecdotes - data ● ...what does success look like? - specific outcome ○ 4 of ten get really excited/want to buy - data ○ One appointment in five calls - data ○ Half would tell >3 friends - data REMEMBER: recompute the financial model based on this feedback...it may change a lot
  • 69. Before your First Interview Prefer in person meeting or conversation E-solutions create distortion ● Know your subject...memorize your questions - structure ● “Dress for success,” make them comfortable - preparation ● Consider/Rehearse your “Opening Line” - preparation ● ALWAYS stress “this is not a sales call” - structure, clean data ● NEVER get caught following a script - preparation ● Be curious, dig deeper, don’t push an agenda - objectivity ● Let the customer guide the conversation - reality check
  • 70. PRIMARY MISSION is “Test the problem” ● Anything else is gravy...get what you can - data ● Avoid details on product as much as you can - reality check ● ...how do you solve it now ● ...anyone solve it well for you ● ...problems with current solutions Mostly focus on: Do customers care?? - objectivity ● Do NOT do Discovery with friends, colleagues - objectivity ● Find consumers where they hang out - reality check ● “Attack” people in malls, Starbucks, cafes - in person is + ● Don’t worry about titles or the right person - reality check ● Can you really talk to anyone? -
  • 71. You got a personal Meeting… Now What? ● The goal is to test all hypotheses but... ● ALWAYS get to product/market fit ○ Does the value proposition match the segment? ○ Do the customers seem to genuinely care?? AND ○ What channel do they use to buy? ○ How will you get their attention? Google? Blog? ○ How much will they pay? Do they pay today?
  • 72. Good outcomes Learn: Get facts, not opinions ● Talk about their life/work/context instead of your idea ● Ask about specifics in the past, not guesses about the future ● Talk less, listen more Confirm: Get commitments, not opinions ● Time ● Reputation ● Money
  • 73. Exercise: Are these good questions? Do you think it’s a good idea? Would you buy a product which solved this problem? How do you currently deal with this problem?
  • 74. Exercise: Are these good questions? Talk me through the last time you had this problem How much would you pay for this? How much money does this problem cost you?
  • 75. What does bad data look like? Compliments ● “Sounds great, I love it!” ● "Looks great, keep me in the loop!" Fluff ● Generic claims ● Future promises ● Hypothetical maybes
  • 76. How to get back on track
  • 77. How to measure success of a meeting Worst endings to meeting: “Sounds great! Let me know when it launches!” Better: “There are a few people I can introduce you to when you’re ready” Validate by going for FULL COMMITMENT Meetings succeed when they advance to the next step
  • 78. After the Interview: Debrief DUMP ● 1 idea per sticky ● “What I heard ● “What I saw ● “What stood out ● After first 3: What you have to do differently next time SORT ● Collect similar items ● Label groups ● Stack duplicates ● Note trends and exceptions
  • 80. Combining ‘interviews’ with MVP 1. Validate basic hypotheses about problem & customer segment(s) via interviews 2. Build & measure MVP with specific customertype in mind. 3. Learn. 4. Iterate.
  • 81. ANALYTICS ● Google Analytics ● KISS Metrics ● Mixpanel ● Flurry ● LocalLytics ● Stats Mix (just an api) CONVERSION TESTING ● Unbounce ● Optimizely UNMODERATED TESTS WITH VIDEO ● Usertesting.com ● TryMyUI ● Userlytics ● WhatUsersDo HEAT MAPPING ● Crazy Egg ● Click Tale ● Gaze Hawk MESSAGE RECALL ● ClueApp ● FiveSecondTest MICRO USABILITY ● Navflow ● Usabilia ● Clicktest ● Verify ● Intuition HQ ● UserZoom TOOLS
  • 83. An experiment on 200 startups
  • 84.
  • 90. It is hard for them to trust you if they don’t know you
  • 92. Blog? :( ● Nálunk nincs marketinges aki irna blogot ● Nem vagyok jó blog-iró ● Nem tudom miről blogoljak ● Érdekel ez valakit azon a piacon? ● Nincs pénzem FB marketingre ● ..’múltkor is ráfáztunk a FB-re’
  • 93. Izgalmas konferencia (?!) Hogyan használd más eseményét saját hasznodra
  • 94. SLIDESHARE (LINKEDIN) 80 million users 18 million unit of content 40 categories Every 7th marketers use Slideshare in product launch 41% of all marketers use it to distribute content for free
  • 95. GITHUB (www.github.com) 40 million users (starting at $7/month) 52 million monthly visitors 49 million projects 45 % of Fortune 100 who are Github Enterprise customers
  • 96. QUORA 200M visitors per month 190M users 400,000 topics
  • 97. The end of the Rainbow :)