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Customer Discovery:
Validating New Product Opportunities




                               Jim Semick


            UCSB ESM 256B New Venture Opportunity Analysis, Winter 2013
Typical way to
 identify and
 launch new
   products
Success is the exception, not the rule




  The average company succeeds only 25% of
  the time in launching new initiatives.
  Harvard Business Review – Chris Zook and James Allen
Customer Discovery:
EVIDENCE from potential customers

•   Is the market problem worth solving?
•   What’s the real value of your product?
•   Is your business model viable?
•   Can you actually sell it?
How Customer Discovery could have
 saved $10M and months of effort
Great idea.

Free Beta.

Few buyers.
Major Pivot
GoToMyPC


 This time we’ll use
Customer Discovery
Lessons Learned
Test critical business model assumptions
Focus on customer problem not product
   Understand actual buyer behavior
       Nail business before scaling
Case Study
What do we Build?

Which Vertical Market
Opportunity is Best?
Use Customer Development to know:
• What are our false
  assumptions?
• Can we solve problems in an
  innovative way?
• What is the real value of our
  product?
• Do we have buyers?
• How much will they pay?
• How do we reach them?
Fast growing
SaaS business

Industry leader

    Lots of
customer love
Customer Discovery Best
      Practices
Zen of Customer Discovery

     My assumptions may be wrong.
 “There are no facts inside the building.”
My opinion, though interesting, is irrelevant.
Write Your Product or Business Model
             Hypothesis
Get Out
Test assumptions that matter.
          Fail early.
• Go to where your target is
               (online or in person)
  Getting    • Think how to reach LOTS of your
Interviews     market at the same time
             • Always ask for referrals
             • Find the key industry influencers
Focus on finding problems
 in your first interviews.

 Don’t start with the product.
Seek deep customer understanding
    Find real pain and motivation.
     Ask open-ended questions.
               Shut up.
     Ask why. Use the Five Whys.
Do you Have the REAL
Minimum Viable Product?
Market Segment & Acquisition
•   Find a narrow market segment
•   Discover how you will reach them.
•   Will it cost less than their lifetime value?
•   How much will they pay?
Ideal Later-stage Interview Format
1.   Tell them their problems.
2.   Explain the solution.
3.   Explain what it will NOT do for them.
4.   Ask if they will buy.
•   Aim for 20+ interviews
Interview   •   Plan 30+ minutes if you can
            •   Talk less than 50% of the time
   Tips
            •   Take notes
            •   Recap key learning with team
The first interview is hard.
  The second is easier.
People Want to Help
 (especially if they are in pain)
Thank You!
www.productdiscovery.com
jim@productdiscovery.com

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Customer Discovery: Validating New Product Opportunities

Editor's Notes

  1. www.steveblank.com