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Theory	
  of	
  Market	
  Demand	
  
EdExcel	
  Economics	
  1.2.2	
  
Demand	
  for	
  Goods	
  and	
  Services	
  
•  Defini8on	
  of	
  demand:	
  
•  Demand	
  for	
  a	
  good	
  or	
  service	
  is	
  the	
  
quan:ty	
  that	
  purchasers	
  are	
  willing	
  
and	
  able	
  to	
  buy	
  at	
  a	
  given	
  price	
  in	
  a	
  
given	
  period	
  of	
  :me.	
  
•  Effec8ve	
  demand:	
  	
  
•  Only	
  if	
  demand	
  for	
  a	
  product	
  is	
  backed	
  
up	
  by	
  a	
  willingness	
  and	
  ability	
  to	
  pay	
  
the	
  market	
  price	
  does	
  demand	
  
becomes	
  effec:ve	
  or	
  realized	
  or	
  actual.	
  
•  The	
  basic	
  law	
  of	
  demand	
  is	
  that	
  
demand	
  varies	
  inversely	
  with	
  price	
  –	
  
lower	
  prices	
  make	
  products	
  more	
  
affordable	
  for	
  consumers.	
  
Effec:ve	
  demand	
  is	
  
backed	
  up	
  with	
  an	
  
ability	
  to	
  pay	
  	
  
Poten:al	
  (latent)	
  
demand	
  is	
  not	
  yet	
  
expressed	
  in	
  the	
  
market	
  
The	
  Demand	
  Curve:	
  Price	
  &	
  Quan8ty	
  Demanded	
  
Price	
  of	
  
Coffee	
  
Quan:ty	
  demanded	
  
of	
  coffee	
  
Demand	
  for	
  Coffee	
  
P1	
  
Q1	
  
P2	
  
Q2	
  
P3	
  
Q3	
  
A	
  higher	
  price	
  leads	
  to	
  a	
  
contrac8on	
  of	
  quan:ty	
  demanded	
  
A	
  lower	
  price	
  leads	
  to	
  an	
  expansion	
  
of	
  quan:ty	
  demanded	
  
Only	
  changes	
  in	
  market	
  price	
  cause	
  a	
  
movement	
  along	
  the	
  demand	
  curve	
  
Income	
  and	
  Subs8tu8on	
  Effects	
  of	
  a	
  Price	
  Change	
  
Income	
  effect	
  
• A	
  fall	
  in	
  price	
  increases	
  
the	
  real	
  purchasing	
  
power	
  of	
  consumers	
  
• This	
  allows	
  people	
  to	
  
buy	
  more	
  with	
  a	
  given	
  
budget	
  
• For	
  normal	
  goods,	
  
demand	
  rises	
  with	
  an	
  
increase	
  in	
  real	
  income	
  
Subs:tu:on	
  effect	
  
• A	
  fall	
  in	
  the	
  price	
  of	
  
good	
  X	
  makes	
  it	
  
rela:vely	
  cheaper	
  
compared	
  to	
  subs:tutes	
  
• Some	
  consumers	
  will	
  
switch	
  to	
  good	
  X	
  leading	
  
to	
  higher	
  demand	
  
• Much	
  depends	
  on	
  
whether	
  products	
  are	
  
close	
  subs:tutes	
  
Causes	
  of	
  ShiHs	
  in	
  the	
  Demand	
  Curve	
  
1.  Changing	
  prices	
  of	
  a	
  subs8tute	
  goods	
  or	
  services	
  in	
  compe88ve	
  demand	
  
2.  Changing	
  price	
  of	
  a	
  complements	
  –	
  i.e.	
  products	
  in	
  joint	
  demand	
  
3.  Changes	
  in	
  the	
  real	
  income	
  of	
  consumers	
  
–  When	
  real	
  income	
  goes	
  up,	
  our	
  ability	
  to	
  purchase	
  goods	
  and	
  services	
  
increases,	
  and	
  this	
  causes	
  an	
  outward	
  shiT	
  in	
  the	
  demand	
  curve.	
  	
  
–  But	
  when	
  incomes	
  fall	
  there	
  will	
  be	
  a	
  decrease	
  in	
  demand,	
  except	
  for	
  
inferior	
  goods	
  
4.  Changes	
  in	
  the	
  distribu:on	
  of	
  income	
  -­‐	
  a	
  more	
  equal	
  distribu:on	
  of	
  
income	
  can	
  increase	
  total	
  demand	
  because	
  rela:vely	
  poorer	
  consumers	
  
spend	
  a	
  higher	
  propor:on	
  of	
  their	
  income	
  
5.  The	
  effects	
  of	
  adver8sing	
  and	
  marke8ng	
  
6.  Interest	
  rates	
  and	
  demand	
  (e.g.	
  affec:ng	
  the	
  cost	
  of	
  credit)	
  
7.  Changes	
  in	
  the	
  size	
  and	
  age	
  structure	
  of	
  a	
  popula8on	
  
8.  Seasonal	
  factors	
  for	
  some	
  goods	
  and	
  services	
  
9.  Social	
  and	
  emo8onal	
  factors	
  
The	
  Concept	
  of	
  U8lity	
  
•  U:lity	
  is	
  a	
  measure	
  of	
  the	
  
sa:sfac:on	
  that	
  we	
  get	
  from	
  
purchasing	
  and	
  consuming	
  a	
  
good	
  or	
  service	
  
•  Total	
  u:lity:	
  	
  
–  The	
  total	
  sa:sfac:on	
  from	
  a	
  
given	
  level	
  of	
  consump:on	
  
•  Marginal	
  u:lity	
  
–  The	
  change	
  in	
  sa:sfac:on	
  from	
  
consuming	
  an	
  extra	
  unit	
  
•  Standard	
  economic	
  theory	
  
believes	
  in	
  the	
  idea	
  of	
  
diminishing	
  returns	
  i.e.	
  the	
  
marginal	
  u:lity	
  of	
  extra	
  units	
  
declines	
  as	
  more	
  is	
  consumed	
  	
  
U:lity	
  is	
  a	
  measure	
  
of	
  sa:sfac:on	
  
Does	
  the	
  u:lity	
  we	
  
get	
  affect	
  our	
  
willingness	
  to	
  pay?	
  
Diminishing	
  Marginal	
  U8lity	
  and	
  Demand	
  Curve	
  
•  Marginal	
  u:lity	
  is	
  the	
  change	
  in	
  
total	
  sa:sfac:on	
  from	
  consuming	
  
an	
  extra	
  unit	
  of	
  a	
  good	
  or	
  service	
  
•  Beyond	
  a	
  certain	
  point,	
  marginal	
  
u:lity	
  may	
  start	
  to	
  fall	
  (diminish)	
  
•  In	
  our	
  example,	
  this	
  happens	
  with	
  
the	
  4th	
  unit	
  where	
  MU	
  falls	
  to	
  12	
  
•  The	
  8th	
  unit	
  carries	
  zero	
  marginal	
  
u:lity	
  i.e.	
  total	
  u:lity	
  stays	
  the	
  
same	
  
•  If	
  marginal	
  u:lity	
  is	
  falling,	
  then	
  
consumers	
  will	
  only	
  be	
  prepared	
  
to	
  pay	
  a	
  lower	
  price	
  
•  This	
  helps	
  to	
  explain	
  the	
  
downward	
  sloping	
  demand	
  curve	
  
Quan8ty	
  
Consumed	
  
Total	
  U8lity	
  
(TU)	
  
Marginal	
  
U8lity	
  (MU)	
  
1	
   10	
   10	
  
2	
   24	
   14	
  
3	
   40	
   16	
  
4	
   52	
   12	
  
5	
   61	
   9	
  
6	
   68	
   7	
  
7	
   72	
   4	
  
8	
   72	
   0	
  
The	
  Paradox	
  of	
  Value	
  
•  The	
  Paradox	
  of	
  Value	
  is	
  also	
  known	
  as	
  the	
  diamond-­‐water	
  paradox	
  
•  We	
  understand	
  that	
  water	
  is	
  necessary	
  to	
  sustain	
  life	
  and	
  that	
  ornaments	
  such	
  
as	
  diamonds	
  are	
  just	
  that	
  –	
  certainly	
  life	
  sustaining.	
  	
  
•  But	
  water	
  typically	
  has	
  a	
  low	
  price,	
  while	
  a	
  piece	
  of	
  diamond	
  jewelry	
  has	
  a	
  a	
  
high	
  market	
  price.	
  	
  
•  One	
  reason	
  –	
  water	
  is	
  abundant	
  rela:ve	
  to	
  demand	
  whereas	
  diamonds	
  are	
  
scarce	
  rela:ve	
  to	
  demand	
  
•  Value	
  in	
  use	
  i.e.	
  drinking	
  water	
  to	
  sa:sfy	
  your	
  thirst	
  
•  Value	
  in	
  exchange	
  –	
  what	
  a	
  resource	
  can	
  be	
  sold	
  for	
  in	
  exchange	
  for	
  other	
  
products.	
  Nothing	
  is	
  more	
  useful	
  than	
  water:	
  but	
  it	
  will	
  purchase	
  scarce	
  any	
  
thing.	
  The	
  reverse	
  is	
  usually	
  true	
  for	
  expensive	
  jewelry	
  
Cheap	
  water	
   Expensive	
  jewelry	
  
Seasonal	
  Demand	
  for	
  Goods	
  and	
  Services	
  
•  Seasonality	
  refers	
  to	
  fluctua:ons	
  in	
  
output	
  and	
  sales	
  related	
  to	
  the	
  
seasonal	
  of	
  the	
  year.	
  
•  For	
  most	
  products	
  there	
  will	
  be	
  
seasonal	
  peaks	
  and	
  troughs	
  in	
  
produc:on	
  and/or	
  sales	
  
•  Demand	
  for	
  slippers	
  peaks	
  in	
  the	
  run	
  
up	
  to	
  Christmas	
  
•  Demand	
  for	
  plants	
  at	
  garden	
  centres	
  
is	
  linked	
  to	
  the	
  plan:ng	
  season	
  
•  There	
  is	
  high	
  demand	
  for	
  decora:ng	
  
materials	
  before	
  the	
  Easter	
  weekend	
  
•  High	
  street	
  retailers	
  such	
  as	
  jewellry	
  
companies	
  may	
  sell	
  as	
  much	
  as	
  
80-­‐90%	
  of	
  their	
  products	
  over	
  Xmas	
  
•  Theatres	
  take	
  a	
  high	
  %	
  of	
  their	
  
income	
  during	
  pantomime	
  season	
  	
  
Easter	
  
chocolate	
  
Summer	
  fruits	
  
Winter	
  
clothing	
  
Ski	
  season	
  
products	
  
Some	
  examples	
  of	
  seasonal	
  demand	
  
Seasonal	
  and	
  Non-­‐Seasonal	
  Demand	
  for	
  Confec8onery	
  
5,219	
   5,243	
   5,353	
   5,375	
  
5,136	
  
580	
   563	
   583	
   612	
   669	
  
0	
  
1000	
  
2000	
  
3000	
  
4000	
  
5000	
  
6000	
  
7000	
  
12	
  months	
  ending	
  2	
  
October	
  2011	
  
12	
  months	
  ending	
  1	
  
October	
  2012	
  
12	
  months	
  ending	
  
29	
  September	
  2013	
  
12	
  month	
  ending	
  
29	
  December	
  2013	
  
12	
  month	
  ending	
  
28	
  December	
  2014	
  
Sales	
  value	
  in	
  million	
  euros	
  
Non-­‐seasonal	
  confec:onery	
   Seasonal	
  confec:onery	
  
Just	
  over	
  one	
  tenth	
  of	
  total	
  spending	
  on	
  confec:onery	
  in	
  the	
  UK	
  is	
  
es:mated	
  to	
  be	
  seasonal	
  spending	
  e.g.	
  at	
  Easter	
  and	
  at	
  Christmas.	
  
Seasonal	
  Demand:	
  Occupancy	
  Rate	
  of	
  Hotels	
  in	
  USA	
  	
  
The	
  occupancy	
  rate	
  of	
  hotels	
  follows	
  a	
  season	
  pajern	
  reaching	
  a	
  peak	
  
during	
  the	
  summer	
  months.	
  At	
  off-­‐peak	
  :mes,	
  the	
  occupancy	
  rate	
  
can	
  decline	
  to	
  less	
  than	
  50%	
  i.e.	
  there	
  is	
  plenty	
  of	
  spare	
  capacity	
  	
  
40.0%	
  
45.0%	
  
50.0%	
  
55.0%	
  
60.0%	
  
65.0%	
  
70.0%	
  
75.0%	
  
80.0%	
  
Jan	
   Feb	
   March	
   April	
   May	
   June	
   July	
   Aug	
   Sep	
   Oct	
   Nov	
   Dec	
  
Occupancy	
  rate	
  (per	
  cent)	
  
2011	
   2012	
   2013	
   2014	
   2015	
  
Networks	
  and	
  Demand	
  Choices	
  
Increasingly	
  in	
  the	
  digital	
  economy,	
  the	
  choices	
  made	
  by	
  consumers	
  
are	
  influenced	
  by	
  the	
  decisions	
  of	
  others.	
  A	
  good	
  example	
  is	
  the	
  
decision	
  about	
  which	
  messenger	
  app	
  to	
  use.	
  
800	
  
700	
  
549	
  
300	
  
249	
  
211	
  
200	
  
91	
  
48	
  
0	
   100	
   200	
   300	
   400	
   500	
   600	
   700	
   800	
   900	
  
WhatsApp	
  
Facebook	
  Messenger	
  
WeChat	
  
Skype*	
  
Viber*	
  
LINE	
  
Kik*	
  
BlackBerry	
  Messenger	
  
KakaoTalk	
  
Monthly	
  ac:ve	
  users	
  in	
  millions	
  
*	
  July	
  2015	
  data	
  
Derived	
  Demand	
  
•  Derived	
  demand	
  is	
  the	
  demand	
  for	
  a	
  factor	
  of	
  produc8on	
  used	
  to	
  
produce	
  another	
  good	
  or	
  service	
  
•  Steel:	
  The	
  demand	
  for	
  steel	
  is	
  strongly	
  linked	
  to	
  the	
  market	
  
demand	
  for	
  cars	
  and	
  the	
  construc:on	
  of	
  new	
  buildings.	
  	
  
•  Wood:	
  Wood	
  is	
  a	
  product	
  where	
  much	
  of	
  the	
  demand	
  comes	
  from	
  
the	
  uses	
  to	
  which	
  it	
  can	
  be	
  put.	
  	
  
–  The	
  end	
  use	
  of	
  wood	
  in	
  the	
  UK	
  is:	
  Construc:on:	
  60%,	
  Furniture:	
  
15%,	
  Packaging:	
  15%,	
  Fencing:	
  7%,	
  Other:	
  3%	
  
•  Labour:	
  In	
  factor	
  markets,	
  the	
  demand	
  for	
  labour	
  is	
  derived	
  
•  Transport:	
  An	
  increase	
  in	
  the	
  demand	
  for	
  air	
  travel	
  will	
  lead	
  to	
  a	
  
rise	
  in	
  the	
  demand	
  for	
  airplane	
  pilots.	
  
The	
  idea	
  of	
  derived	
  demand	
  is	
  important	
  to	
  use	
  when	
  discussing	
  inter-­‐
rela:onships	
  between	
  markets.	
  Many	
  ques:ons	
  consider	
  two	
  or	
  more	
  markets.	
  
Composite	
  Demand	
  
•  Composite	
  demand	
  exists	
  
where	
  goods	
  have	
  more	
  than	
  
one	
  use	
  -­‐	
  an	
  increase	
  in	
  the	
  
demand	
  for	
  one	
  product	
  leads	
  
to	
  a	
  fall	
  in	
  supply	
  of	
  the	
  other	
  
•  An	
  example	
  is	
  milk	
  which	
  can	
  
be	
  used	
  for	
  cheese,	
  yoghurts,	
  
cream,	
  bujer	
  and	
  other	
  
products	
  including	
  fer:lizer!	
  	
  
•  Another	
  example	
  is	
  land	
  –	
  e.g.	
  
farmland	
  can	
  be	
  developed	
  in	
  
many	
  different	
  ways,	
  urban	
  
land	
  has	
  different	
  uses	
  etc.	
  
•  Oil	
  is	
  used	
  in	
  many	
  different	
  
industries	
  such	
  as	
  plas:cs.	
  
Bujer	
   Yoghurt	
  
Milk	
  Chocolate	
   Cheese	
  
Unprocessed	
  milk	
  has	
  many	
  final	
  uses	
  
Illustra8ng	
  ShiHs	
  in	
  the	
  Demand	
  Curve	
  
Price	
  of	
  
Coffee	
  
Quan:ty	
  demanded	
  
of	
  coffee	
  
D1	
  
P1	
  
Q1	
   Q2	
  
D2	
  D3	
  
Q3	
  
D1	
  to	
  D3	
  is	
  an	
  inward	
  shiH	
  of	
  
demand	
  –	
  less	
  is	
  demanded	
  at	
  
each	
  market	
  price	
  
D1	
  to	
  D2	
  is	
  an	
  outward	
  shiH	
  of	
  
demand	
  –	
  more	
  is	
  demanded	
  at	
  
each	
  market	
  price	
  
Changes	
  in	
  price	
  do	
  not	
  cause	
  shiTs	
  in	
  the	
  
demand	
  curve	
  for	
  a	
  product	
  
Consump8on	
  of	
  sports	
  and	
  energy	
  drinks	
  in	
  UK	
  	
  
5.7	
  
6.5	
  
8.6	
  
9	
  
10	
  
11.2	
   11.3	
  
11.8	
   12.1	
  
0	
  
2	
  
4	
  
6	
  
8	
  
10	
  
12	
  
14	
  
2006	
   2007	
   2008	
   2009	
   2010	
   2011	
   2012	
   2013	
   2014	
  
Average	
  consump:on	
  in	
  litres	
  per	
  person	
  
Which	
  demand	
  factors	
  might	
  help	
  to	
  explain	
  the	
  rising	
  trend	
  of	
  
consump:on	
  and	
  sports	
  and	
  energy	
  drinks	
  in	
  the	
  UK?	
  
Market	
  Demand:	
  Global	
  Sales	
  of	
  Wearable	
  Devices	
  
0	
  
20	
  
40	
  
60	
  
80	
  
100	
  
120	
  
140	
  
160	
  
2013	
   2014	
   2015	
  
Shipments	
  in	
  millions	
  
Wearable	
  cameras	
   Smart	
  glasses	
   Smart	
  watches	
  
Healthcare	
   Sports/ac:vity	
  trackers	
   Wearable	
  3D	
  mo:on	
  trackers	
  
Smart	
  clothing	
  
Global	
  market	
  demand	
  for	
  wearable	
  devices	
  is	
  soaring	
  –	
  to	
  what	
  
extent	
  are	
  social	
  factors	
  more	
  important	
  than	
  factors	
  such	
  as	
  income?	
  
The	
  Fall	
  and	
  Rise	
  of	
  Vinyl	
  Album	
  Sales	
  in	
  the	
  UK	
  
In	
  2014,	
  over	
  1.2	
  million	
  vinyl	
  LPs	
  were	
  sold	
  in	
  the	
  UK,	
  up	
  from	
  just	
  
205	
  thousand	
  sold	
  in	
  2007.	
  What	
  might	
  explain	
  this	
  rebound?	
  
0	
  
200000	
  
400000	
  
600000	
  
800000	
  
1000000	
  
1200000	
  
1400000	
  
1600000	
  
1995	
   1996	
   1997	
   1998	
   1999	
   2000	
   2001	
   2002	
   2003	
   2004	
   2005	
   2006	
   2007	
   2008	
   2009	
   2010	
   2011	
   2012	
   2013	
   2014	
  
LPs	
  sold	
  
Changing	
  Preferences	
  –	
  Movie	
  Consump8on	
  in	
  the	
  UK	
  	
  
0.0%	
  
5.0%	
  
10.0%	
  
15.0%	
  
20.0%	
  
25.0%	
  
30.0%	
  
35.0%	
  
40.0%	
  
45.0%	
  
Q3	
  2010	
   Q1	
  2011	
   Q3	
  2011	
   Q1	
  2012	
   Q3	
  2012	
   Q1	
  2013	
   Q3	
  2013	
   Q1	
  2014	
   Q3	
  2014	
   Q1	
  2015	
  
Share	
  of	
  respondents	
  
Bought	
  DVD/Blu-­‐ray	
   Any	
  digital	
  
Paid	
  official	
  digital	
  (DTO/VOD)	
   Unofficial	
  digital	
  (pirate)	
  
The	
  pajern	
  of	
  demand	
  for	
  movies	
  is	
  changing!	
  Digital	
  sales	
  now	
  
account	
  for	
  20%	
  of	
  sales	
  and	
  the	
  share	
  from	
  physical	
  sales	
  is	
  falling.	
  
Theory	
  of	
  Market	
  Demand	
  
EdExcel	
  Economics	
  1.2.2	
  

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Market Demand

  • 1. Theory  of  Market  Demand   EdExcel  Economics  1.2.2  
  • 2. Demand  for  Goods  and  Services   •  Defini8on  of  demand:   •  Demand  for  a  good  or  service  is  the   quan:ty  that  purchasers  are  willing   and  able  to  buy  at  a  given  price  in  a   given  period  of  :me.   •  Effec8ve  demand:     •  Only  if  demand  for  a  product  is  backed   up  by  a  willingness  and  ability  to  pay   the  market  price  does  demand   becomes  effec:ve  or  realized  or  actual.   •  The  basic  law  of  demand  is  that   demand  varies  inversely  with  price  –   lower  prices  make  products  more   affordable  for  consumers.   Effec:ve  demand  is   backed  up  with  an   ability  to  pay     Poten:al  (latent)   demand  is  not  yet   expressed  in  the   market  
  • 3. The  Demand  Curve:  Price  &  Quan8ty  Demanded   Price  of   Coffee   Quan:ty  demanded   of  coffee   Demand  for  Coffee   P1   Q1   P2   Q2   P3   Q3   A  higher  price  leads  to  a   contrac8on  of  quan:ty  demanded   A  lower  price  leads  to  an  expansion   of  quan:ty  demanded   Only  changes  in  market  price  cause  a   movement  along  the  demand  curve  
  • 4. Income  and  Subs8tu8on  Effects  of  a  Price  Change   Income  effect   • A  fall  in  price  increases   the  real  purchasing   power  of  consumers   • This  allows  people  to   buy  more  with  a  given   budget   • For  normal  goods,   demand  rises  with  an   increase  in  real  income   Subs:tu:on  effect   • A  fall  in  the  price  of   good  X  makes  it   rela:vely  cheaper   compared  to  subs:tutes   • Some  consumers  will   switch  to  good  X  leading   to  higher  demand   • Much  depends  on   whether  products  are   close  subs:tutes  
  • 5. Causes  of  ShiHs  in  the  Demand  Curve   1.  Changing  prices  of  a  subs8tute  goods  or  services  in  compe88ve  demand   2.  Changing  price  of  a  complements  –  i.e.  products  in  joint  demand   3.  Changes  in  the  real  income  of  consumers   –  When  real  income  goes  up,  our  ability  to  purchase  goods  and  services   increases,  and  this  causes  an  outward  shiT  in  the  demand  curve.     –  But  when  incomes  fall  there  will  be  a  decrease  in  demand,  except  for   inferior  goods   4.  Changes  in  the  distribu:on  of  income  -­‐  a  more  equal  distribu:on  of   income  can  increase  total  demand  because  rela:vely  poorer  consumers   spend  a  higher  propor:on  of  their  income   5.  The  effects  of  adver8sing  and  marke8ng   6.  Interest  rates  and  demand  (e.g.  affec:ng  the  cost  of  credit)   7.  Changes  in  the  size  and  age  structure  of  a  popula8on   8.  Seasonal  factors  for  some  goods  and  services   9.  Social  and  emo8onal  factors  
  • 6. The  Concept  of  U8lity   •  U:lity  is  a  measure  of  the   sa:sfac:on  that  we  get  from   purchasing  and  consuming  a   good  or  service   •  Total  u:lity:     –  The  total  sa:sfac:on  from  a   given  level  of  consump:on   •  Marginal  u:lity   –  The  change  in  sa:sfac:on  from   consuming  an  extra  unit   •  Standard  economic  theory   believes  in  the  idea  of   diminishing  returns  i.e.  the   marginal  u:lity  of  extra  units   declines  as  more  is  consumed     U:lity  is  a  measure   of  sa:sfac:on   Does  the  u:lity  we   get  affect  our   willingness  to  pay?  
  • 7. Diminishing  Marginal  U8lity  and  Demand  Curve   •  Marginal  u:lity  is  the  change  in   total  sa:sfac:on  from  consuming   an  extra  unit  of  a  good  or  service   •  Beyond  a  certain  point,  marginal   u:lity  may  start  to  fall  (diminish)   •  In  our  example,  this  happens  with   the  4th  unit  where  MU  falls  to  12   •  The  8th  unit  carries  zero  marginal   u:lity  i.e.  total  u:lity  stays  the   same   •  If  marginal  u:lity  is  falling,  then   consumers  will  only  be  prepared   to  pay  a  lower  price   •  This  helps  to  explain  the   downward  sloping  demand  curve   Quan8ty   Consumed   Total  U8lity   (TU)   Marginal   U8lity  (MU)   1   10   10   2   24   14   3   40   16   4   52   12   5   61   9   6   68   7   7   72   4   8   72   0  
  • 8. The  Paradox  of  Value   •  The  Paradox  of  Value  is  also  known  as  the  diamond-­‐water  paradox   •  We  understand  that  water  is  necessary  to  sustain  life  and  that  ornaments  such   as  diamonds  are  just  that  –  certainly  life  sustaining.     •  But  water  typically  has  a  low  price,  while  a  piece  of  diamond  jewelry  has  a  a   high  market  price.     •  One  reason  –  water  is  abundant  rela:ve  to  demand  whereas  diamonds  are   scarce  rela:ve  to  demand   •  Value  in  use  i.e.  drinking  water  to  sa:sfy  your  thirst   •  Value  in  exchange  –  what  a  resource  can  be  sold  for  in  exchange  for  other   products.  Nothing  is  more  useful  than  water:  but  it  will  purchase  scarce  any   thing.  The  reverse  is  usually  true  for  expensive  jewelry   Cheap  water   Expensive  jewelry  
  • 9. Seasonal  Demand  for  Goods  and  Services   •  Seasonality  refers  to  fluctua:ons  in   output  and  sales  related  to  the   seasonal  of  the  year.   •  For  most  products  there  will  be   seasonal  peaks  and  troughs  in   produc:on  and/or  sales   •  Demand  for  slippers  peaks  in  the  run   up  to  Christmas   •  Demand  for  plants  at  garden  centres   is  linked  to  the  plan:ng  season   •  There  is  high  demand  for  decora:ng   materials  before  the  Easter  weekend   •  High  street  retailers  such  as  jewellry   companies  may  sell  as  much  as   80-­‐90%  of  their  products  over  Xmas   •  Theatres  take  a  high  %  of  their   income  during  pantomime  season     Easter   chocolate   Summer  fruits   Winter   clothing   Ski  season   products   Some  examples  of  seasonal  demand  
  • 10. Seasonal  and  Non-­‐Seasonal  Demand  for  Confec8onery   5,219   5,243   5,353   5,375   5,136   580   563   583   612   669   0   1000   2000   3000   4000   5000   6000   7000   12  months  ending  2   October  2011   12  months  ending  1   October  2012   12  months  ending   29  September  2013   12  month  ending   29  December  2013   12  month  ending   28  December  2014   Sales  value  in  million  euros   Non-­‐seasonal  confec:onery   Seasonal  confec:onery   Just  over  one  tenth  of  total  spending  on  confec:onery  in  the  UK  is   es:mated  to  be  seasonal  spending  e.g.  at  Easter  and  at  Christmas.  
  • 11. Seasonal  Demand:  Occupancy  Rate  of  Hotels  in  USA     The  occupancy  rate  of  hotels  follows  a  season  pajern  reaching  a  peak   during  the  summer  months.  At  off-­‐peak  :mes,  the  occupancy  rate   can  decline  to  less  than  50%  i.e.  there  is  plenty  of  spare  capacity     40.0%   45.0%   50.0%   55.0%   60.0%   65.0%   70.0%   75.0%   80.0%   Jan   Feb   March   April   May   June   July   Aug   Sep   Oct   Nov   Dec   Occupancy  rate  (per  cent)   2011   2012   2013   2014   2015  
  • 12. Networks  and  Demand  Choices   Increasingly  in  the  digital  economy,  the  choices  made  by  consumers   are  influenced  by  the  decisions  of  others.  A  good  example  is  the   decision  about  which  messenger  app  to  use.   800   700   549   300   249   211   200   91   48   0   100   200   300   400   500   600   700   800   900   WhatsApp   Facebook  Messenger   WeChat   Skype*   Viber*   LINE   Kik*   BlackBerry  Messenger   KakaoTalk   Monthly  ac:ve  users  in  millions   *  July  2015  data  
  • 13. Derived  Demand   •  Derived  demand  is  the  demand  for  a  factor  of  produc8on  used  to   produce  another  good  or  service   •  Steel:  The  demand  for  steel  is  strongly  linked  to  the  market   demand  for  cars  and  the  construc:on  of  new  buildings.     •  Wood:  Wood  is  a  product  where  much  of  the  demand  comes  from   the  uses  to  which  it  can  be  put.     –  The  end  use  of  wood  in  the  UK  is:  Construc:on:  60%,  Furniture:   15%,  Packaging:  15%,  Fencing:  7%,  Other:  3%   •  Labour:  In  factor  markets,  the  demand  for  labour  is  derived   •  Transport:  An  increase  in  the  demand  for  air  travel  will  lead  to  a   rise  in  the  demand  for  airplane  pilots.   The  idea  of  derived  demand  is  important  to  use  when  discussing  inter-­‐ rela:onships  between  markets.  Many  ques:ons  consider  two  or  more  markets.  
  • 14. Composite  Demand   •  Composite  demand  exists   where  goods  have  more  than   one  use  -­‐  an  increase  in  the   demand  for  one  product  leads   to  a  fall  in  supply  of  the  other   •  An  example  is  milk  which  can   be  used  for  cheese,  yoghurts,   cream,  bujer  and  other   products  including  fer:lizer!     •  Another  example  is  land  –  e.g.   farmland  can  be  developed  in   many  different  ways,  urban   land  has  different  uses  etc.   •  Oil  is  used  in  many  different   industries  such  as  plas:cs.   Bujer   Yoghurt   Milk  Chocolate   Cheese   Unprocessed  milk  has  many  final  uses  
  • 15. Illustra8ng  ShiHs  in  the  Demand  Curve   Price  of   Coffee   Quan:ty  demanded   of  coffee   D1   P1   Q1   Q2   D2  D3   Q3   D1  to  D3  is  an  inward  shiH  of   demand  –  less  is  demanded  at   each  market  price   D1  to  D2  is  an  outward  shiH  of   demand  –  more  is  demanded  at   each  market  price   Changes  in  price  do  not  cause  shiTs  in  the   demand  curve  for  a  product  
  • 16. Consump8on  of  sports  and  energy  drinks  in  UK     5.7   6.5   8.6   9   10   11.2   11.3   11.8   12.1   0   2   4   6   8   10   12   14   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012   2013   2014   Average  consump:on  in  litres  per  person   Which  demand  factors  might  help  to  explain  the  rising  trend  of   consump:on  and  sports  and  energy  drinks  in  the  UK?  
  • 17. Market  Demand:  Global  Sales  of  Wearable  Devices   0   20   40   60   80   100   120   140   160   2013   2014   2015   Shipments  in  millions   Wearable  cameras   Smart  glasses   Smart  watches   Healthcare   Sports/ac:vity  trackers   Wearable  3D  mo:on  trackers   Smart  clothing   Global  market  demand  for  wearable  devices  is  soaring  –  to  what   extent  are  social  factors  more  important  than  factors  such  as  income?  
  • 18. The  Fall  and  Rise  of  Vinyl  Album  Sales  in  the  UK   In  2014,  over  1.2  million  vinyl  LPs  were  sold  in  the  UK,  up  from  just   205  thousand  sold  in  2007.  What  might  explain  this  rebound?   0   200000   400000   600000   800000   1000000   1200000   1400000   1600000   1995   1996   1997   1998   1999   2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012   2013   2014   LPs  sold  
  • 19. Changing  Preferences  –  Movie  Consump8on  in  the  UK     0.0%   5.0%   10.0%   15.0%   20.0%   25.0%   30.0%   35.0%   40.0%   45.0%   Q3  2010   Q1  2011   Q3  2011   Q1  2012   Q3  2012   Q1  2013   Q3  2013   Q1  2014   Q3  2014   Q1  2015   Share  of  respondents   Bought  DVD/Blu-­‐ray   Any  digital   Paid  official  digital  (DTO/VOD)   Unofficial  digital  (pirate)   The  pajern  of  demand  for  movies  is  changing!  Digital  sales  now   account  for  20%  of  sales  and  the  share  from  physical  sales  is  falling.  
  • 20. Theory  of  Market  Demand   EdExcel  Economics  1.2.2