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- 1. Gates to Google to Who Knows Where Else
- 2. Need to ChangeMindsets “ What can be more palpably absurd than the prospect held out of locomotives traveling twice as fast as stagecoaches?” This “telephone” has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value.”
- 3. Mindsets cont’d. “The horse is here to stay but the automobile is only a novelty, a fad, a passing fancy.” “ While television may be theoretically feasible, commercially or financially I consider it an impossibility, a development of which we need waste little time dreaming.”
- 4. Mindsets, cont’d. “There is not the slightest indication that nuclear energy will ever be obtainable. It would mean that the atom would have to be shattered at will.” “ No one will want to put a telephone in their car!” Paradigm Paralysis Joel Barker
- 5. Exponential Trends Trend1: Moore’s Law Suggests that the processing power and speed of any electronic calculating device doubles every 12 months, while at the same time the price for the technology declines by 50%. Exponential growth versus linear growth. Doubling: 1-2-4-8-16-32….15 years/1,000 Tripling: 1-3-9-27-81-243…15 years/20,000
- 6. Example of Moore’sLaw ? $900 $3,900 $5,000 Cost ? 1600 10 2 Speed (mhz) ? 60g 400k 128k Hard Drive ? 256m 128k 16k RAM 2016 2005 1984 1979 YEAR
- 7. Moore’s Law cont’d.“Twice the power for half the price” 2016
- 8. Moore’s Law 2016? $1,000 $3,900 $5,000 Cost ? 600 10 2 Speed (mhz) ? 12g 400k 128k Hard Drive ? 128m 128k 16k RAM 2016 2001 1984 1979 YEAR
- 9. Moore’s Law 2016$9 $1,000 $3,900 $5,000 Cost 650,199 600 10 2 Speed (mhz) 12,191g 12g 400k 128k Hard Drive 104,032mb 128m 128k 16k RAM 2016 2001 1984 1979 YEAR
- 10. Trend 2: The Law of the Photon What is fast? Dialup modems: 56K, T-1 Cable Modems: 10 megabits per second CD Rom capacity Fiber Optics: 10 gigabits per second What’s next? 10 trillion bits per second Continuing Bandwidth speed and capacity
- 11. Trend 3: InternetRevolution Richter Scale up to 10.0; revolution is a 10.5 On-line education, anytime, anywhere Homes on-line
- 12. Trend 4: Age of Infowhelm 3,000 Books published daily Deterioration of current information New knowledge generated every year: 1.5 Exabytes: 1,000,000,000,000,000,000
- 13. Trend 5: BiotechnologyUse of biological processes to develop products or create technological solutions to problems Human Genome Project Cloning What’s next?
- 14. Trend 6: Nanotechnology Component stereo systems Boom boxes Miniaturization Virtual Reality Biofeedback
- 15. Time for aQuestion What does all of this have to do with me as a future school administrator?
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- 17. Flatteners Collapse ofBerlin Wall Netscape Workflow software Open sourcing Outsourcing Offshoring Supply chaining
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- 21. 87% ofall youth ages 12 through 17 or 21 million teens use the Internet Of those, 78% ( 16 million ) report using the Internet at school . Nineteen percent (4 million) keep a blog and 38% read blogs 49% of high school students have posted personal information on their Web pages such as name, age, or address – that could help a stranger identify or locate them Did you know… Source: NASSP Board Position Statement on Internet Safety
- 22. 50% ofhigh school students “talk” in chat rooms or use instant messaging with Internet strangers 65% of high school students admit to unsafe, inappropriate, or illegal activities online 23% of students know someone who has been bullied online. Did you know… Source: NASSP Board Position Statement on Internet Safety
- 23. http://nsba.org/ Weekly Activitiesof Online Teens and Tweens
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- 26. 3 Billion SongsDownloaded
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- 30. Six Key Elementsof 21st Century Learning Core subjects: NCLB-identified core subjects. 21st century content: emerging content areas such as global awareness; financial, economic, business, and entrepreneurial literacy; civic literacy; health and wellness awareness. Learning and thinking skills: critical thinking and problem-solving skills, communication, creativity and innovation, collaboration, contextual learning, information and media literacy. ICT literacy: using technology in the context of learning so students know how to learn. Life skills: leadership, ethics, accountability, personal responsibility, self-direction, and so on. 21st century assessments: Authentic assessments that measure all five areas of learning. www.21stcenturyskills.org
- 31. Every student mustbe: A critical thinker A problem solver An innovator An effective communicator An effective collaborator A self-directed learner Information and media literate Globally aware Civically engaged Financially and economically literate Source: Partnership for 21 st Century Skills
- 32. How Do WeSeek Knowledge Now? 2 Billion
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- 38. How might weas leaders work in these future schools?
- 39. http://flickr.com/photos/skistz/398429879/ What’s inYour Toolbox?
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- 47. http://flickr.com/photos/thinkpublic/897135376/ RSS –Really Simple Syndication
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- 55. What will Leadershipfor the 21st Century Look Like?
- 56. Its About Headwarenot Hardware (Jukes, 1996) http://flickr.com/photos/linnybinnypix/448776281/
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- 65. http://flickr.com/photos/piotrzurek/473448196/ Leadership willbe at all levels of our schools and not based solely on position but rather on knowledge.
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- 67. Impact for SchoolAdministrators Quarterbacks Crystal ball New Educational Paradigm Thornburg: “What’s our job? ..to prepare kids for their future rather than our past or present.”
- 68. Summary Quotes “Changeis a law of life….those who look to the past or present are certain to miss the future.” John Kennedy “Power can be contained in a boiler, but mastery exists only in the brain: in other words, that it is ideas, not locomotives that move the world. Let us not mistake the horse for the rider.” Victor Hugo
- 69. Technology Savvy LeadersBlue Whales Committed Sardines