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Hypotheses
Dr. Reem Essameldin
What is a Hypothesis?
- The word Hypothesis consists of two words: Hypo+ thesis = Hypothesis.
- ‘Hypo’ means tentative or subject to the verification.
- ‘Thesis’ means statement about the solution of a problem.
- As such, a Hypothesis is a tentative statement about the solution of the
problem. It offers a solution of the problem that is to be verified.
- Hypothesis is called a leap into a dark. It is an intelligent guess about the
solution of a problem.
What is a Hypothesis?
- A hypothesis states your predictions about what your research will find.
- It is a tentative answer to your research question that has not yet been tested. For some
research works, you might have to write several hypotheses that address different aspects of
your research question.
- A hypothesis is not just a guess – it should be based on existing theories and
knowledge.
- It also has to be testable, which means you can support or refute it through scientific research
methods (such as experiments, observations and statistical analysis of data).
Assumption, Postulate, and Hypothesis
It is important to distinguish between the three terms assumption, postulate, and
hypothesis. In brief, the distinction is as follows:
- Assumption: It means taking things for granted so that the situation is simplified for logical
procedure.
- Postulate: It is the working belief of most scientific activity. Postulates are not proven; they are
simply accepted as they are and at their face value so that their basic work for the discovery of
the other facts of nature can begin”.
- Hypothesis: A hypothesis is different from both of these. It is the presumptive statement of a
proposition which the researcher seeks to prove.
Nature of Hypothesis
 It is a verbal statement in declarative from.
 It indicates the tentative relationship between two or more variables.
 It has a future or forward reference. It relates to the future verification not to the
past facts and information.
 It is the pivot of a scientific research. All the research activities are design for its
verification.
The following are the main features of a hypothesis:
Functions of Hypothesis
The following are the main functions of hypothesis:
 It is a temporary solution of a problem concerning with some truth which enables a researcher
to start his/her research work.
 It may provide possible solutions to the problem.
 Each hypothesis may lead to formulate another hypothesis.
 Each hypothesis provides the researcher with definite statement which may be objectively
tested and accepted or rejected and leads for interpreting results and drawing conclusions that
is related to the original purpose.
Importance of Hypothesis
Research methodologists advocate the importance of hypothesis in the following
ways:
 Hypotheses are necessary in research because they build bridge between the problem and proof
that may solve the problem.
 A hypothesis provides the map that guides and speed up the investigation of the event under
consideration.
 The hypothesis directs the researcher’s efforts into productive channels.
 The hypothesis may suggest what subjects, tools, and instruments are needed.
 These hypotheses stimulate the researcher for further research studies.
Sources of Hypothesis
Following are the sources of hypothesis:
 The resemblance between the phenomenon.
 Observations from past studies, present-day experiences and from the
competitors.
 Scientific theories.
 General patterns that influence the thinking process of people.
Variables in Hypotheses
 Hypotheses propose a relationship between two or more types of variables.
 An independent variable is something the researcher changes or controls.
 A dependent variable is something the researcher observes and measures.
Daily exposure to the sun leads to increased levels of happiness.
In this example, the independent variable is exposure
to the sun – the assumed cause. The dependent
variable is the level of happiness – the assumed effect.
Example
Types of Hypothesis
Simple Directional
There are four types of hypotheses.
Complex
Non
Directional
Types of Hypothesis
● Simple Hypothesis: It shows a relationship between one dependent variable
and a single independent variable.
○ For example – If you eat more vegetables, you will lose weight faster. Here, eating more
vegetables is an independent variable, while losing weight is the dependent variable.
● Directional Hypothesis: A hypothesis may be directional which connotes an
expected direction in the relationship or difference between variables.
○ For example- children aged four years eating proper food over a five-year period are having
higher IQ levels than children not having a proper meal. This shows the effect and direction of
the effect.
○ Null Hypothesis: A hypothesis may be stated in the null form which is an assertion that no
difference exists between or among the variables.
Characteristics of a Good Hypothesis
A good hypothesis must possess the following characteristics:
 A good hypothesis is in agreement with the observed facts.
 A good hypothesis does not conflict with any law of nature which is known
to be true.
 A good hypothesis is stated in the simplest possible terms.
 A good hypothesis permits the application of deductive reasoning.
 A good hypothesis ensures that the methods of verification are under
control of the researcher.
Characteristics of a Good Hypothesis
A good hypothesis must possess the following characteristics:
 A good hypothesis guarantees that the available tools and techniques will
be effectively used for the purpose of verification.
 A good hypothesis ensures that the sample is readily approachable.
 A good hypothesis indicates clearly the role of different variables involved
in the study.
 A good hypothesis maintains a very apparent distinction with what is called
theory, law, facts, assumptions, and postulate.
Developing a Hypothesis (with example)
Step 1. Ask a question
Writing a hypothesis begins with a research question that you want to answer. The
question should be focused, specific, and researchable within the constraints of
your work.
What effect does daily use of social media have on the attention
span of under-16s?
Example
Developing a Hypothesis (with example)
Step 2. Do some preliminary research
Your initial answer to the question should be based on what is already known
about the topic. Look for theories and previous studies to help you form educated
assumptions about what your research will find.
○ At this stage, you might construct a conceptual framework to ensure that you’re embarking on
a relevant topic. This can also help you identify which variables you will study and what you
think the relationships are between them.
Developing a Hypothesis (with example)
Step 3. Formulate your hypothesis
Now you should have some idea of what you expect to find. Write your initial
answer to the question in a clear, concise sentence.
○ In academic research, hypotheses are more commonly phrased in terms of correlations or
effects, where you directly state the predicted relationship between variables.
There is a negative correlation between time spent on social media and attention span in
under-16s.
Example
There is no relationship between social media use and attention span in under 16s.
Example
Formulating a Hypothesis
● To formulate a hypothesis, researchers use induction and deduction.
Hypothesis construction enables researchers to generalise their findings
beyond the specific conditions which they have obtained.
● Since a hypothesis is a formulation of expected findings, researchers are
advised to develop a hypothesis as a means of demonstrating the basis for
their study to themselves and their audience. The task of introducing a study
and discussing the findings are facilitated by the existence of a hypothesis.
Testing the Hypothesis
● The evidence of the work of hypothesis lies in its abilities to meet test of its
validity. The purpose of testing a hypothesis is to determine the probability
that it is supported by fact. Because a hypothesis is a general expectation
about the relationship between variables, there is an extremely large number
of instances under which it can be tested, and it would be impractical to
attempt to gain support in all of these instances.
● A hypothesis is never proved. It is only sustained or rejected. If it fails to meet
the test of its validity, it must be modified or rejected. The confirmation of a
hypothesis, on the other hand, is always, a tentative and relative, subject to
later revision and even rejection as further proof appears or more adequate
hypotheses are introduced.

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Lec 5 - Hypotheses.pdf

  • 2. What is a Hypothesis? - The word Hypothesis consists of two words: Hypo+ thesis = Hypothesis. - ‘Hypo’ means tentative or subject to the verification. - ‘Thesis’ means statement about the solution of a problem. - As such, a Hypothesis is a tentative statement about the solution of the problem. It offers a solution of the problem that is to be verified. - Hypothesis is called a leap into a dark. It is an intelligent guess about the solution of a problem.
  • 3. What is a Hypothesis? - A hypothesis states your predictions about what your research will find. - It is a tentative answer to your research question that has not yet been tested. For some research works, you might have to write several hypotheses that address different aspects of your research question. - A hypothesis is not just a guess – it should be based on existing theories and knowledge. - It also has to be testable, which means you can support or refute it through scientific research methods (such as experiments, observations and statistical analysis of data).
  • 4. Assumption, Postulate, and Hypothesis It is important to distinguish between the three terms assumption, postulate, and hypothesis. In brief, the distinction is as follows: - Assumption: It means taking things for granted so that the situation is simplified for logical procedure. - Postulate: It is the working belief of most scientific activity. Postulates are not proven; they are simply accepted as they are and at their face value so that their basic work for the discovery of the other facts of nature can begin”. - Hypothesis: A hypothesis is different from both of these. It is the presumptive statement of a proposition which the researcher seeks to prove.
  • 5. Nature of Hypothesis  It is a verbal statement in declarative from.  It indicates the tentative relationship between two or more variables.  It has a future or forward reference. It relates to the future verification not to the past facts and information.  It is the pivot of a scientific research. All the research activities are design for its verification. The following are the main features of a hypothesis:
  • 6. Functions of Hypothesis The following are the main functions of hypothesis:  It is a temporary solution of a problem concerning with some truth which enables a researcher to start his/her research work.  It may provide possible solutions to the problem.  Each hypothesis may lead to formulate another hypothesis.  Each hypothesis provides the researcher with definite statement which may be objectively tested and accepted or rejected and leads for interpreting results and drawing conclusions that is related to the original purpose.
  • 7. Importance of Hypothesis Research methodologists advocate the importance of hypothesis in the following ways:  Hypotheses are necessary in research because they build bridge between the problem and proof that may solve the problem.  A hypothesis provides the map that guides and speed up the investigation of the event under consideration.  The hypothesis directs the researcher’s efforts into productive channels.  The hypothesis may suggest what subjects, tools, and instruments are needed.  These hypotheses stimulate the researcher for further research studies.
  • 8. Sources of Hypothesis Following are the sources of hypothesis:  The resemblance between the phenomenon.  Observations from past studies, present-day experiences and from the competitors.  Scientific theories.  General patterns that influence the thinking process of people.
  • 9. Variables in Hypotheses  Hypotheses propose a relationship between two or more types of variables.  An independent variable is something the researcher changes or controls.  A dependent variable is something the researcher observes and measures. Daily exposure to the sun leads to increased levels of happiness. In this example, the independent variable is exposure to the sun – the assumed cause. The dependent variable is the level of happiness – the assumed effect. Example
  • 10. Types of Hypothesis Simple Directional There are four types of hypotheses. Complex Non Directional
  • 11. Types of Hypothesis ● Simple Hypothesis: It shows a relationship between one dependent variable and a single independent variable. ○ For example – If you eat more vegetables, you will lose weight faster. Here, eating more vegetables is an independent variable, while losing weight is the dependent variable. ● Directional Hypothesis: A hypothesis may be directional which connotes an expected direction in the relationship or difference between variables. ○ For example- children aged four years eating proper food over a five-year period are having higher IQ levels than children not having a proper meal. This shows the effect and direction of the effect. ○ Null Hypothesis: A hypothesis may be stated in the null form which is an assertion that no difference exists between or among the variables.
  • 12. Characteristics of a Good Hypothesis A good hypothesis must possess the following characteristics:  A good hypothesis is in agreement with the observed facts.  A good hypothesis does not conflict with any law of nature which is known to be true.  A good hypothesis is stated in the simplest possible terms.  A good hypothesis permits the application of deductive reasoning.  A good hypothesis ensures that the methods of verification are under control of the researcher.
  • 13. Characteristics of a Good Hypothesis A good hypothesis must possess the following characteristics:  A good hypothesis guarantees that the available tools and techniques will be effectively used for the purpose of verification.  A good hypothesis ensures that the sample is readily approachable.  A good hypothesis indicates clearly the role of different variables involved in the study.  A good hypothesis maintains a very apparent distinction with what is called theory, law, facts, assumptions, and postulate.
  • 14. Developing a Hypothesis (with example) Step 1. Ask a question Writing a hypothesis begins with a research question that you want to answer. The question should be focused, specific, and researchable within the constraints of your work. What effect does daily use of social media have on the attention span of under-16s? Example
  • 15. Developing a Hypothesis (with example) Step 2. Do some preliminary research Your initial answer to the question should be based on what is already known about the topic. Look for theories and previous studies to help you form educated assumptions about what your research will find. ○ At this stage, you might construct a conceptual framework to ensure that you’re embarking on a relevant topic. This can also help you identify which variables you will study and what you think the relationships are between them.
  • 16. Developing a Hypothesis (with example) Step 3. Formulate your hypothesis Now you should have some idea of what you expect to find. Write your initial answer to the question in a clear, concise sentence. ○ In academic research, hypotheses are more commonly phrased in terms of correlations or effects, where you directly state the predicted relationship between variables. There is a negative correlation between time spent on social media and attention span in under-16s. Example There is no relationship between social media use and attention span in under 16s. Example
  • 17. Formulating a Hypothesis ● To formulate a hypothesis, researchers use induction and deduction. Hypothesis construction enables researchers to generalise their findings beyond the specific conditions which they have obtained. ● Since a hypothesis is a formulation of expected findings, researchers are advised to develop a hypothesis as a means of demonstrating the basis for their study to themselves and their audience. The task of introducing a study and discussing the findings are facilitated by the existence of a hypothesis.
  • 18. Testing the Hypothesis ● The evidence of the work of hypothesis lies in its abilities to meet test of its validity. The purpose of testing a hypothesis is to determine the probability that it is supported by fact. Because a hypothesis is a general expectation about the relationship between variables, there is an extremely large number of instances under which it can be tested, and it would be impractical to attempt to gain support in all of these instances. ● A hypothesis is never proved. It is only sustained or rejected. If it fails to meet the test of its validity, it must be modified or rejected. The confirmation of a hypothesis, on the other hand, is always, a tentative and relative, subject to later revision and even rejection as further proof appears or more adequate hypotheses are introduced.