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Saving time with CCPM
Critical Chain Project Management
Freek de Ruiter
Presentatie nog te geven
xx juni 2013
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved No. 2Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Why do we want to save time ?
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Product life cycles are getting shorter
Improving due date performance and reducing lead time enlarges financial benefits
Finishing a project ASAP means:
ā€¢ Reduced Time to Market
ā€¢ Cost reduction
CCPM promises:
ā€¢ 80% due date performance in a portfolio
ā€¢ 25% lead time reduction of a project
No. 3Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Why saving time (and money!) with
CCPM ?
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Freek de Ruiter is a member of the NL TOC Network and has become a passionate and
ambitious expert on Critical Chain Project Management.
Working as Time Management Consultant for his own company, he specializes on the
domains planning, scheduling and tracking
No. 4Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Presented to you by Freek de Ruiter
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
ā€¢ What is CCPM?
ā€¢ Improving portfolio performance
ā€¢ How does CCPM work?
ā€¢ Plenty of time to save
ā€¢ CCPM planning and execution
ā€¢ Multi-project CCPM
ā€¢ When or why will CCPM not work
ā€¢ Results
No. 5Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Agenda
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
ā€¢ An IT development method like Agile/SCRUM
ā€¢ An improvement method like Lean and SixSigma
ā€¢ A project management method like PRINCE 2
ā€¢ A program management method like MSP
ā€¢ Just a planning ā€œtrickā€
ā€¢ A way to solve all your problems (ā€œHaarlemmer oilā€ / ā€œSilver Bullitā€)
No. 6Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
What CCPM is not:
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
The elaboration of the TOC body of thought on project management:
TOC = Theory of Constraints
Books by Eli Goldratt:
ā€¢ The goal
ā€¢ Critical Chain
ā€¢ Inherent Simplicity ļƒ  The Choice
Books by Robert Newbold
ā€¢ Project Management in the Fast Lane
ā€¢ The Billion Dollar Solution
No. 7Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
What is CCPM ?
Isaac Newton:
ā€œNature is
exceedingly
simple and
harmoniously
within itselfā€
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
The 5 focussing steps:
0. Define the system
1. Identify the constraint (the resource or policy that prevents the organization from
obtaining more of the goal)
2. Decide how to exploit the constraint (get the most capacity out of the constrained
process)
3. Subordinate all other processes to above decision (align the whole system or
organization to support the decision made above)
4. Elevate the constraint (make other major changes needed to break the constraint)
5. If, as a result of these steps, the constraint has moved, return to step 1, donā€™t let
inertia become the constraint)
No. 8Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
What is TOC ?
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Clear thinking requires these starting points (convictions? beliefs?):
1. Never say I know, it will obstruct you from gaining more knowledge
2. If confronted with something that looks complex, remember that everything is
simple
3. If confronted with something that looks a contradiction, remember that it will
turn out to be in harmony (a paradox?), if you are willing to think hard and long
enough
4. Do not blame someone or something else, if you really feel you need someone to
blame, blame yourself
No. 9Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
What is TOC ? (continued)
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
ā€œDoing the right things rightā€
1) Select the right (order of) projects:
ā€œFront endā€ PPM: portfolio alignment with company business objectives, is not
covered in this presentation, but probably is the most import factor in improving
portfolio performance
2) Execute the projects as efficiently as possible:
ā€¢ By providing max. throughput of the system using ā€œMulti-projectā€ CCPM
ā€¢ This flow is the one and only consideration!
ā€¢ If you manage to keep projects on time and budget, you do not need to change or
stop projects (based on predictions Earned Value Analysis can provide)
No. 10Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Improving portfolio performance
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
ā€¢ Plan projects with buffers
ā€¢ Reducing work in progress (WIP)
ā€¢ Active execution of projects
ā€¢ Monitoring the right points of attention
ā€¢ Unambiguous priority system
ā€œPlan tasks as late as possible to avoid unnessecary work in progress, but monitor
the start of planned tasks and the finish of tasks in progress daily, by means of the
buffer penetration mechanism.ā€
No. 11Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
How does CCPM work ?
Plenty time
to save
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
ā€¢ Safety too high
ā€¢ Tasks start too late
ā€¢ Tasks end too late
ā€¢ Productivity loss of bad multi-tasking
ā€¢ Waiting on decisions
No. 13Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Time to save
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Project member estimates: minimum of 3 days work and tells his team lead: ā€œready in
a week!ā€
Another project member estimates for a follow up action a week too
Team lead schedules the activities and tells his project manager that he needs 12
days, to prevent that delay of the 1st activity causes delay of the 2nd activity.
Project manager reports to the steering committy to count on 3 weeks for that
cluster, because before the activities can start first another clusterā€¦ā€¦
No. 14Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Safety too high (addition to Eliā€™s
heritage)
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
A deadline influences in a negative way
3 days work? 5 days available?
I can postpone working on this task, which I do not like to start, to the day after
tomorrow!
On day 4 Murphy strikes: 2 days extra needed!
Possibly increasing the lead time of the project
No. 15Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Tasks start too late (student
syndrome)
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Time planned will always be filled with work
3 days work? 5 days available?
I immediately start working on this task that I like to work on
Ready after 3 days, no reward for being ready, adding all kinds of ā€œnice to havesā€ for
2 days
Loss of productivity and possibly waisting an opportunity to reduce the lead time of
the project
No. 16Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Tasks end too late (Parkinsons law
No. 1)
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved No. 17Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Productivity loss of bad multi-tasking
Task A
Task B
Task C
Tasks assigned
to person
3 days
3 days
3 days
Ideally: Task A Task B Task C
3 days 3 days 3 days
OK? B BA AC C
6 days
6 days
6 days
In reality
minimally
BBA AC C
7 days
7 days
7 days
Productivity
loss
Shift of end
date task A
Shift of end
date task B
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
ā€¢ Not much space in management agendas
ā€¢ Disagreement on priorities
But on top of that:
ā€¢ Menzo de Muinck Keizer: Managers miss information because the decision making process is
not enough known to the non-decisionmakers
Consequences:
ā€¢ More waiting on decisions
ā€¢ More loss of productivity
ā€¢ More increase of the project lead time
ā€¢ More loss of motivation
Looking back in retrospective, any decision, always based on the knowledge at a certain time,
could possibly better have been replaced by another, unfortunately never enabling a 100%
certain analysis of the consequences of that replacement
No. 18Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Waiting on decisions (addition to Eliā€™s
heritage)
CCPM planning
Single project
No. 20Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Start with basic planning on skill level
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
No. 21Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Critical Path
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
No. 22Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Resource allocation of individuals
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
No. 23Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Overallocation!
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
No. 24Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Also overallocation in the skill based planning
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
No. 25Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Overallocation solved, but multitasking means more
work!
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
No. 26Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Resource leveling can cause switching more than once
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
No. 27Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Multi-tasking eliminated, resource contention removed,
ready to apply CCPM planning
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
No. 28Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Critical Chain is not Critical Path
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
ā€¢ Plan projects with buffers
ā€¢ Reducing WIP
ā€¢ Active execution of projects
ā€¢ Monitoring the right points of attention
ā€¢ Unambiguous priority system
ā€œPlan tasks as late as possible to avoid unnessecary work in progress, but monitor
the start of planned tasks and the finish of tasks in progress daily, by means of the
buffer penetration mechanism.ā€
No. 29Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
How does CCPM work ? (repeated)
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
ā€¢ Only with buffers and daily monitoring setbacks can be compensated by pleasant
surprises
ā€¢ Where protection needed?
ā€¢ How much?
No. 30Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Plan projects with buffers
No. 31Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Step 1:
Remove 50% safety from the individual tasks
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
No. 32Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Step 2:
Add buffers with 50% of the removed safety
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
No. 33Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Step 3:
Start non-critical tasks ALAP
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
ā€¢ Plan projects with buffers
ā€¢ Reducing WIP
ā€¢ Active execution of projects
ā€¢ Monitoring the right points of attention
ā€¢ Unambiguous priority system
ā€œPlan tasks as late as possible to avoid unnessecary work in progress, but monitor
the start of planned tasks and the finish of tasks in progress daily, by means of the
buffer penetration mechanism.ā€
No. 34Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
How does CCPM work ? (repeated)
No. 35Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Result of the 3 CCPM planning steps
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
No. 36Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Cautious?
Result of removing only 25% safety from tasks
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
No. 37Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Very cautious?
Result of not removing any safety at all
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
No. 38Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
50% - 50% ļƒ  50% approach is proven best CCPM practice in
a multiproject arena!
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
CCPM execution
Single project
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
ā€¢ Plan projects with buffers
ā€¢ Reducing WIP
ā€¢ Active execution of projects
ā€¢ Monitoring the right points of attention
ā€¢ Unambiguous priority system
ā€œPlan tasks as late as possible to avoid unnessecary work in progress, but monitor
the start of planned tasks and the finish of tasks in progress daily, by means of the
buffer penetration mechanism.ā€
No. 40Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
How does CCPM work ? (repeated)
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
ā€¢ Resource allocation of individuals
ā€¢ Buffer management
ā€¢ The following scenario is an example of possible events
No. 41Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Execution
No. 42Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Start of project on 9/11/09
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
No. 43Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Monday 16/11: Analist 1 reports status finished with 4 hours
extra work done, Designer 1 reports 4 hours extra work to do.
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Progress in week 1
No. 44Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Analyst 2 and Designer 2 report work finish conform schedule,
Developer reports having started 1 day later because of sickness.
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Progress in week 1
No. 45Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Feedbuffer consumption 50% with branche 80% complete,
Projectbuffer consumption 13% with Critical Chain 30% complete.
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Progress in week 1
No. 46Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Monday 23/11: Designer 1 reports work finished conform new schedule,
Developer reports finished product 2 with 8 hours extra work done and 16
extra hours to be done on product 1.
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Progress in week 2
No. 47Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Feedbuffer consumption 50% with branch 100% complete,
Projectbuffer consumption 50% with Critical Chain 50% complete
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Progress in week 2
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
ā€¢ Plan projects with buffers
ā€¢ Reducing WIP
ā€¢ Active execution of projects
ā€¢ Monitoring the right points of attention
ā€¢ Unambiguous priority system
ā€œPlan tasks as late as possible to avoid unnessecary work in progress, but monitor
the start of planned tasks and the finish of tasks in progress daily, by means of the
buffer penetration mechanism.ā€
No. 48Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
How does CCPM work ? (repeated)
No. 49Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Developer reports 1 day later ā€œprobably ready middle next weekā€, which
means projectbuffer consumption 75% with Critical Chain 50% complete.
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Progress in week 2 + 1 day
No. 50Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Projectmanager helps Developer with problem and skipping
superfluous work , project buffer consumption back on 50%
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Progress in week 2 + 1 day
No. 51Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Monday 30/11: Developer reports progress according to new schedule,
project buffer consumption 50% with Critical Chain 75% complete
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Progress in week 3
No. 52Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Monday 7/12, integration test finished with 8 hours extra
work, acceptance test starting today.
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Progress in week 4
No. 53Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Wednesday 9/12: Acceptance test finished after 2 days,
project buffer consumption of 66,67%
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Progress in week 5
No. 54Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Project finished before deadline
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
No. 55Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Project finished in less hours than baselines
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
No. 56Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Project finished under budget
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Requirements for a succesful implemenation:
1. Enthusiastic, professional, believing Project Manager
2. Co-operating, open-minded team members
3. Not too much external dependencies
4. Reliable enough estimates
5. ā€œFull Kitā€ preparations
6. Tooling
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
CCPM in a single project
Multi-project CCPM
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Staggering:
ā€¢ Single CCPM planned projects
ā€¢ Projects in order of finish date (or other priority)
ā€¢ Indentify drum tasks/resources (= key resources)
ā€¢ Remove resource contention of key resources on drum tasks
ā€¢ Replan all tasks of all projects before and after tasks of key resources, but only
move the buffers of the newly released project
Priorities:
Only an algorithm can determine the right priority of the tasks and projects in
execution
No. 59Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Multi project CCPM planning
No. 60Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Single CCPM planned projects
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
No. 61Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Staggering step 1:
Identify drum tasks/resources
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
No. 62Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Staggering step 2: Remove resource contention of key
resources on drum tasks
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
No. 63Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Staggering step 3: Replan all tasks of all projects
before/after tasks of key resources
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
ā€¢ Project organization with competence pools:
ā€¢ Taskmanagers are working for more than 1 project
ā€¢ Resources are working for a taskmanager
ā€¢ Unambigous priority rules
ā€¢ Highest priority for task which causes highest penetration of the projectbuffer of the
project with the highest priority
ā€¢ Highest priority for project with highest penetration of its projectbuffer in relation to its
completeness of the Critical Chain
ā€¢ The project waiting with the highest priority (decided by humans, instead of the above
priority algorithm for projects in execution) in the pipeline is only to be started when the
drum assignments of one of the projects in execution is finished
No. 64Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Multi-project CCPM execution
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
ā€¢ Plan projects with buffers
ā€¢ Reducing WIP
ā€¢ Active execution of projects
ā€¢ Monitoring the right points of attention
ā€¢ Unambiguous priority system
ā€œPlan tasks as late as possible to avoid unnessecary work in progress, but monitor
the start of planned tasks and the finish of tasks in progress daily, by means of the
buffer penetration mechanism.ā€
No. 65Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
How does CCPM work ? (repeated)
No. 66Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Highest prority for which project ?
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
T1 T2 T3
PBProject W18: 60% penetration
T1
PB Project W14: 90% penetration
T2
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved No. 67Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Overview of portfolio (fever chart)
W18
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Frans Jan Buters: ā€œdo not wait for drum assignments of a project to be finished, but
simply wait to release a new project until another one is readyā€
Michel Stijlen: ā€œindeed: ā€˜one out, one inā€™ but also use, when choosing which project
to release, the forecasted resource load as an extra criterium do decide upon
priorityā€
Jan Willem Tromp: ā€œdo not stagger and reschedule, release a new project whenever
the CEO wants, but if the forecasted resource load predicts expected delays beyond
the buffers: pause another projectā€
Kees Vermeulen: ā€œstagger and reschedule based on more identified key resource
groupsā€
Jan Willem Tromp: ā€œdo not focus on due date performance and lead time reduction
directly, but focus on output improvement of resourcesā€
Harry Barendse: ā€œconsider Agile/SCRUM sprints as tasks in a CCPM planning, while
scheduling the rest of the tasks in the planning as wellā€
No. 68Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Other additions to Eliā€™s heritage
Summary
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
ā€¢ Plan projects with buffers (feed buffers and project buffers)
ā€¢ Reducing WIP (starting tasks ALAP)
ā€¢ Active execution of projects
ā€¢ Monitoring the right points of attention (with buffermanagement)
ā€¢ Unambiguous priority system
ā€œPlan tasks as late as possible to avoid unnessecary work in progress, but monitor
the start of planned tasks and the finish of tasks in progress daily, by means of the
buffer penetration mechanism.ā€
Every day:
How much time is needed to complete this task in progress?
No progress? Where is this task waiting on?
No. 70Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
How does CCPM work ? (summary)
No. 71Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Buffermanagement is the key element
Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Okay Plan Act
0% 33% 66% 100%
Percentage Use of Buffer
Percentage (Non) Critical Chain to go
100% 67% 33% 0%
Traffic light status Buffers in combination with %-CC to go
x x
?
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
No wait time on the Critical Chain
Only safety where it is needed
Do not question the priority algorithm
Right mindset
Preferred implementation for single-project CCPM:
ā€¢ Estimates and safety in consultation with team members (e.g. tasks have only 50%
chance to finish on time)
ā€¢ Reward the right performance (which is not always finishing your task on the time
estimated on a 50% chance to do that!)
Preferred implementation for multi-project CCPM:
ā€¢ Take 50% safety from tasks, put 50% of this safety in buffers
ā€¢ Consider portfolio performance as achievement of all the resources
No. 72Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Focus on the project/portfolio, not
on the tasks
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
ā€¢ If you keep believing ā€œthis is too good to be trueā€
ā€¢ With the attitude ā€œnot invented hereā€
ā€¢ Because companies generally do not want/need to change
ā€¢ Not enough sense of urgency
ā€¢ If there is no business need for project due date performance improvements and
project lead time reductions
ā€¢ Because CCPM needs professional planning practises to start with
ā€¢ No reliable enough estimates
ā€¢ No ā€œFull Kitā€ preparations
ā€¢ No adequate tooling
ā€¢ Too slow implementation process
ā€¢ Not enough committment from management
No. 73Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
When or why does CCPM not work ?
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Saving time and money:
Projects theoretically always ready on due date or earlier
On-site observed average due date performance: 80%
Theoretical lead time reduction is 33%
On-site observed average lead time reduction: 25%
No. 74Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Results after breaking the layers of
resistance
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
Logica project managed by Marten Schrƶder: ā€œInname en Mengerij Denkavit Frankrijkā€,
realised margin 41,2%, planned margin 15,6%, delivery 3 weeks earlier than planned
Implementations by partner Blue Jonah, most impressive (see figures last slide): Nationale
Nederlanden IT divison (http://www.bluejonah.com)
Implementations by software company Realization (Concerto tooling)
(http://www.realization.com)
Implementations by consulting and software company ProChain
(http://www.prochain.com)
Numerous other implementations to be found on the internet
No. 75Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
References
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
1) Say what you will do, do what you have promised and show that you have done
what you have said that you would do
2) Implement Project (Portfolio) Management processes and tools !
E.g. using the EPM tooling:
ā€¢ Microsoftā€™s PPM Solution EPM (Enterprise Project Management), consisting of MS
Project server and SharePoint
ā€¢ ASP/hosted/SaaS/Cloud delivered by Perrit, branding by Kwantitijd: EPM-AAA,
supplemented with documentation, training, coaching-on-the-job, helpdesk
services, and Extra Features
ā€¢ Necessary Extra Features represent condensed expertise since 2004 with i-BMS,
the former Logica internal implementation of EPM
No. 76Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Professional planning practices ?
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved No. 77Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Professional planning practises ?
(continued)
3) Discipline !
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
ā€¢ Lynx (supplied by info@a-dato.net)
ā€¢ Flow MPM (supplied by Glow Management)
ā€¢ Concerto (supplied by Realization)
ā€¢ Prochain
ā€¢ PS8 (supplied by Sciforma)
No. 78Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Recommended CCPM software
Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved
ā€¢ Read ā€œThe billion dollar solutionā€ by Newbold
ā€¢ Follow the CCPM Webcasts on TOC TV
ā€¢ Join LinkedIn groups ā€œCriticalChainā€ and ā€œCritical Chain Professionalā€
ā€¢ Follow training at the TOC Academy (http://www.tocacademy.nl)
No. 79Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
Interested in more ?
Thank you

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Saving time with CCPM

  • 1. Saving time with CCPM Critical Chain Project Management Freek de Ruiter Presentatie nog te geven xx juni 2013
  • 2. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved No. 2Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Why do we want to save time ?
  • 3. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Product life cycles are getting shorter Improving due date performance and reducing lead time enlarges financial benefits Finishing a project ASAP means: ā€¢ Reduced Time to Market ā€¢ Cost reduction CCPM promises: ā€¢ 80% due date performance in a portfolio ā€¢ 25% lead time reduction of a project No. 3Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Why saving time (and money!) with CCPM ?
  • 4. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Freek de Ruiter is a member of the NL TOC Network and has become a passionate and ambitious expert on Critical Chain Project Management. Working as Time Management Consultant for his own company, he specializes on the domains planning, scheduling and tracking No. 4Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Presented to you by Freek de Ruiter
  • 5. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved ā€¢ What is CCPM? ā€¢ Improving portfolio performance ā€¢ How does CCPM work? ā€¢ Plenty of time to save ā€¢ CCPM planning and execution ā€¢ Multi-project CCPM ā€¢ When or why will CCPM not work ā€¢ Results No. 5Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Agenda
  • 6. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved ā€¢ An IT development method like Agile/SCRUM ā€¢ An improvement method like Lean and SixSigma ā€¢ A project management method like PRINCE 2 ā€¢ A program management method like MSP ā€¢ Just a planning ā€œtrickā€ ā€¢ A way to solve all your problems (ā€œHaarlemmer oilā€ / ā€œSilver Bullitā€) No. 6Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management What CCPM is not:
  • 7. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved The elaboration of the TOC body of thought on project management: TOC = Theory of Constraints Books by Eli Goldratt: ā€¢ The goal ā€¢ Critical Chain ā€¢ Inherent Simplicity ļƒ  The Choice Books by Robert Newbold ā€¢ Project Management in the Fast Lane ā€¢ The Billion Dollar Solution No. 7Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management What is CCPM ? Isaac Newton: ā€œNature is exceedingly simple and harmoniously within itselfā€
  • 8. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved The 5 focussing steps: 0. Define the system 1. Identify the constraint (the resource or policy that prevents the organization from obtaining more of the goal) 2. Decide how to exploit the constraint (get the most capacity out of the constrained process) 3. Subordinate all other processes to above decision (align the whole system or organization to support the decision made above) 4. Elevate the constraint (make other major changes needed to break the constraint) 5. If, as a result of these steps, the constraint has moved, return to step 1, donā€™t let inertia become the constraint) No. 8Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management What is TOC ?
  • 9. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Clear thinking requires these starting points (convictions? beliefs?): 1. Never say I know, it will obstruct you from gaining more knowledge 2. If confronted with something that looks complex, remember that everything is simple 3. If confronted with something that looks a contradiction, remember that it will turn out to be in harmony (a paradox?), if you are willing to think hard and long enough 4. Do not blame someone or something else, if you really feel you need someone to blame, blame yourself No. 9Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management What is TOC ? (continued)
  • 10. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved ā€œDoing the right things rightā€ 1) Select the right (order of) projects: ā€œFront endā€ PPM: portfolio alignment with company business objectives, is not covered in this presentation, but probably is the most import factor in improving portfolio performance 2) Execute the projects as efficiently as possible: ā€¢ By providing max. throughput of the system using ā€œMulti-projectā€ CCPM ā€¢ This flow is the one and only consideration! ā€¢ If you manage to keep projects on time and budget, you do not need to change or stop projects (based on predictions Earned Value Analysis can provide) No. 10Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Improving portfolio performance
  • 11. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved ā€¢ Plan projects with buffers ā€¢ Reducing work in progress (WIP) ā€¢ Active execution of projects ā€¢ Monitoring the right points of attention ā€¢ Unambiguous priority system ā€œPlan tasks as late as possible to avoid unnessecary work in progress, but monitor the start of planned tasks and the finish of tasks in progress daily, by means of the buffer penetration mechanism.ā€ No. 11Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management How does CCPM work ?
  • 13. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved ā€¢ Safety too high ā€¢ Tasks start too late ā€¢ Tasks end too late ā€¢ Productivity loss of bad multi-tasking ā€¢ Waiting on decisions No. 13Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Time to save
  • 14. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Project member estimates: minimum of 3 days work and tells his team lead: ā€œready in a week!ā€ Another project member estimates for a follow up action a week too Team lead schedules the activities and tells his project manager that he needs 12 days, to prevent that delay of the 1st activity causes delay of the 2nd activity. Project manager reports to the steering committy to count on 3 weeks for that cluster, because before the activities can start first another clusterā€¦ā€¦ No. 14Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Safety too high (addition to Eliā€™s heritage)
  • 15. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved A deadline influences in a negative way 3 days work? 5 days available? I can postpone working on this task, which I do not like to start, to the day after tomorrow! On day 4 Murphy strikes: 2 days extra needed! Possibly increasing the lead time of the project No. 15Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Tasks start too late (student syndrome)
  • 16. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Time planned will always be filled with work 3 days work? 5 days available? I immediately start working on this task that I like to work on Ready after 3 days, no reward for being ready, adding all kinds of ā€œnice to havesā€ for 2 days Loss of productivity and possibly waisting an opportunity to reduce the lead time of the project No. 16Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Tasks end too late (Parkinsons law No. 1)
  • 17. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved No. 17Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Productivity loss of bad multi-tasking Task A Task B Task C Tasks assigned to person 3 days 3 days 3 days Ideally: Task A Task B Task C 3 days 3 days 3 days OK? B BA AC C 6 days 6 days 6 days In reality minimally BBA AC C 7 days 7 days 7 days Productivity loss Shift of end date task A Shift of end date task B
  • 18. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved ā€¢ Not much space in management agendas ā€¢ Disagreement on priorities But on top of that: ā€¢ Menzo de Muinck Keizer: Managers miss information because the decision making process is not enough known to the non-decisionmakers Consequences: ā€¢ More waiting on decisions ā€¢ More loss of productivity ā€¢ More increase of the project lead time ā€¢ More loss of motivation Looking back in retrospective, any decision, always based on the knowledge at a certain time, could possibly better have been replaced by another, unfortunately never enabling a 100% certain analysis of the consequences of that replacement No. 18Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Waiting on decisions (addition to Eliā€™s heritage)
  • 20. No. 20Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Start with basic planning on skill level Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 21. No. 21Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Critical Path Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 22. No. 22Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Resource allocation of individuals Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 23. No. 23Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Overallocation! Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 24. No. 24Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Also overallocation in the skill based planning Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 25. No. 25Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Overallocation solved, but multitasking means more work! Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 26. No. 26Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Resource leveling can cause switching more than once Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 27. No. 27Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Multi-tasking eliminated, resource contention removed, ready to apply CCPM planning Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 28. No. 28Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Critical Chain is not Critical Path Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 29. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved ā€¢ Plan projects with buffers ā€¢ Reducing WIP ā€¢ Active execution of projects ā€¢ Monitoring the right points of attention ā€¢ Unambiguous priority system ā€œPlan tasks as late as possible to avoid unnessecary work in progress, but monitor the start of planned tasks and the finish of tasks in progress daily, by means of the buffer penetration mechanism.ā€ No. 29Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management How does CCPM work ? (repeated)
  • 30. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved ā€¢ Only with buffers and daily monitoring setbacks can be compensated by pleasant surprises ā€¢ Where protection needed? ā€¢ How much? No. 30Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Plan projects with buffers
  • 31. No. 31Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Step 1: Remove 50% safety from the individual tasks Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 32. No. 32Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Step 2: Add buffers with 50% of the removed safety Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 33. No. 33Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Step 3: Start non-critical tasks ALAP Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 34. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved ā€¢ Plan projects with buffers ā€¢ Reducing WIP ā€¢ Active execution of projects ā€¢ Monitoring the right points of attention ā€¢ Unambiguous priority system ā€œPlan tasks as late as possible to avoid unnessecary work in progress, but monitor the start of planned tasks and the finish of tasks in progress daily, by means of the buffer penetration mechanism.ā€ No. 34Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management How does CCPM work ? (repeated)
  • 35. No. 35Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Result of the 3 CCPM planning steps Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 36. No. 36Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Cautious? Result of removing only 25% safety from tasks Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 37. No. 37Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Very cautious? Result of not removing any safety at all Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 38. No. 38Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved 50% - 50% ļƒ  50% approach is proven best CCPM practice in a multiproject arena! Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 40. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved ā€¢ Plan projects with buffers ā€¢ Reducing WIP ā€¢ Active execution of projects ā€¢ Monitoring the right points of attention ā€¢ Unambiguous priority system ā€œPlan tasks as late as possible to avoid unnessecary work in progress, but monitor the start of planned tasks and the finish of tasks in progress daily, by means of the buffer penetration mechanism.ā€ No. 40Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management How does CCPM work ? (repeated)
  • 41. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved ā€¢ Resource allocation of individuals ā€¢ Buffer management ā€¢ The following scenario is an example of possible events No. 41Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Execution
  • 42. No. 42Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Start of project on 9/11/09 Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 43. No. 43Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Monday 16/11: Analist 1 reports status finished with 4 hours extra work done, Designer 1 reports 4 hours extra work to do. Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Progress in week 1
  • 44. No. 44Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Analyst 2 and Designer 2 report work finish conform schedule, Developer reports having started 1 day later because of sickness. Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Progress in week 1
  • 45. No. 45Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Feedbuffer consumption 50% with branche 80% complete, Projectbuffer consumption 13% with Critical Chain 30% complete. Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Progress in week 1
  • 46. No. 46Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Monday 23/11: Designer 1 reports work finished conform new schedule, Developer reports finished product 2 with 8 hours extra work done and 16 extra hours to be done on product 1. Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Progress in week 2
  • 47. No. 47Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Feedbuffer consumption 50% with branch 100% complete, Projectbuffer consumption 50% with Critical Chain 50% complete Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Progress in week 2
  • 48. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved ā€¢ Plan projects with buffers ā€¢ Reducing WIP ā€¢ Active execution of projects ā€¢ Monitoring the right points of attention ā€¢ Unambiguous priority system ā€œPlan tasks as late as possible to avoid unnessecary work in progress, but monitor the start of planned tasks and the finish of tasks in progress daily, by means of the buffer penetration mechanism.ā€ No. 48Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management How does CCPM work ? (repeated)
  • 49. No. 49Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Developer reports 1 day later ā€œprobably ready middle next weekā€, which means projectbuffer consumption 75% with Critical Chain 50% complete. Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Progress in week 2 + 1 day
  • 50. No. 50Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Projectmanager helps Developer with problem and skipping superfluous work , project buffer consumption back on 50% Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Progress in week 2 + 1 day
  • 51. No. 51Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Monday 30/11: Developer reports progress according to new schedule, project buffer consumption 50% with Critical Chain 75% complete Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Progress in week 3
  • 52. No. 52Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Monday 7/12, integration test finished with 8 hours extra work, acceptance test starting today. Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Progress in week 4
  • 53. No. 53Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Wednesday 9/12: Acceptance test finished after 2 days, project buffer consumption of 66,67% Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Progress in week 5
  • 54. No. 54Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Project finished before deadline Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 55. No. 55Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Project finished in less hours than baselines Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 56. No. 56Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Project finished under budget Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 57. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Requirements for a succesful implemenation: 1. Enthusiastic, professional, believing Project Manager 2. Co-operating, open-minded team members 3. Not too much external dependencies 4. Reliable enough estimates 5. ā€œFull Kitā€ preparations 6. Tooling Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management CCPM in a single project
  • 59. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Staggering: ā€¢ Single CCPM planned projects ā€¢ Projects in order of finish date (or other priority) ā€¢ Indentify drum tasks/resources (= key resources) ā€¢ Remove resource contention of key resources on drum tasks ā€¢ Replan all tasks of all projects before and after tasks of key resources, but only move the buffers of the newly released project Priorities: Only an algorithm can determine the right priority of the tasks and projects in execution No. 59Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Multi project CCPM planning
  • 60. No. 60Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Single CCPM planned projects Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 61. No. 61Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Staggering step 1: Identify drum tasks/resources Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 62. No. 62Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Staggering step 2: Remove resource contention of key resources on drum tasks Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 63. No. 63Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Staggering step 3: Replan all tasks of all projects before/after tasks of key resources Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management
  • 64. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved ā€¢ Project organization with competence pools: ā€¢ Taskmanagers are working for more than 1 project ā€¢ Resources are working for a taskmanager ā€¢ Unambigous priority rules ā€¢ Highest priority for task which causes highest penetration of the projectbuffer of the project with the highest priority ā€¢ Highest priority for project with highest penetration of its projectbuffer in relation to its completeness of the Critical Chain ā€¢ The project waiting with the highest priority (decided by humans, instead of the above priority algorithm for projects in execution) in the pipeline is only to be started when the drum assignments of one of the projects in execution is finished No. 64Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Multi-project CCPM execution
  • 65. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved ā€¢ Plan projects with buffers ā€¢ Reducing WIP ā€¢ Active execution of projects ā€¢ Monitoring the right points of attention ā€¢ Unambiguous priority system ā€œPlan tasks as late as possible to avoid unnessecary work in progress, but monitor the start of planned tasks and the finish of tasks in progress daily, by means of the buffer penetration mechanism.ā€ No. 65Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management How does CCPM work ? (repeated)
  • 66. No. 66Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Highest prority for which project ? Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management T1 T2 T3 PBProject W18: 60% penetration T1 PB Project W14: 90% penetration T2
  • 67. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved No. 67Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Overview of portfolio (fever chart) W18
  • 68. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Frans Jan Buters: ā€œdo not wait for drum assignments of a project to be finished, but simply wait to release a new project until another one is readyā€ Michel Stijlen: ā€œindeed: ā€˜one out, one inā€™ but also use, when choosing which project to release, the forecasted resource load as an extra criterium do decide upon priorityā€ Jan Willem Tromp: ā€œdo not stagger and reschedule, release a new project whenever the CEO wants, but if the forecasted resource load predicts expected delays beyond the buffers: pause another projectā€ Kees Vermeulen: ā€œstagger and reschedule based on more identified key resource groupsā€ Jan Willem Tromp: ā€œdo not focus on due date performance and lead time reduction directly, but focus on output improvement of resourcesā€ Harry Barendse: ā€œconsider Agile/SCRUM sprints as tasks in a CCPM planning, while scheduling the rest of the tasks in the planning as wellā€ No. 68Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Other additions to Eliā€™s heritage
  • 70. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved ā€¢ Plan projects with buffers (feed buffers and project buffers) ā€¢ Reducing WIP (starting tasks ALAP) ā€¢ Active execution of projects ā€¢ Monitoring the right points of attention (with buffermanagement) ā€¢ Unambiguous priority system ā€œPlan tasks as late as possible to avoid unnessecary work in progress, but monitor the start of planned tasks and the finish of tasks in progress daily, by means of the buffer penetration mechanism.ā€ Every day: How much time is needed to complete this task in progress? No progress? Where is this task waiting on? No. 70Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management How does CCPM work ? (summary)
  • 71. No. 71Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Buffermanagement is the key element Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Okay Plan Act 0% 33% 66% 100% Percentage Use of Buffer Percentage (Non) Critical Chain to go 100% 67% 33% 0% Traffic light status Buffers in combination with %-CC to go x x ?
  • 72. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved No wait time on the Critical Chain Only safety where it is needed Do not question the priority algorithm Right mindset Preferred implementation for single-project CCPM: ā€¢ Estimates and safety in consultation with team members (e.g. tasks have only 50% chance to finish on time) ā€¢ Reward the right performance (which is not always finishing your task on the time estimated on a 50% chance to do that!) Preferred implementation for multi-project CCPM: ā€¢ Take 50% safety from tasks, put 50% of this safety in buffers ā€¢ Consider portfolio performance as achievement of all the resources No. 72Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Focus on the project/portfolio, not on the tasks
  • 73. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved ā€¢ If you keep believing ā€œthis is too good to be trueā€ ā€¢ With the attitude ā€œnot invented hereā€ ā€¢ Because companies generally do not want/need to change ā€¢ Not enough sense of urgency ā€¢ If there is no business need for project due date performance improvements and project lead time reductions ā€¢ Because CCPM needs professional planning practises to start with ā€¢ No reliable enough estimates ā€¢ No ā€œFull Kitā€ preparations ā€¢ No adequate tooling ā€¢ Too slow implementation process ā€¢ Not enough committment from management No. 73Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management When or why does CCPM not work ?
  • 74. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Saving time and money: Projects theoretically always ready on due date or earlier On-site observed average due date performance: 80% Theoretical lead time reduction is 33% On-site observed average lead time reduction: 25% No. 74Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Results after breaking the layers of resistance
  • 75. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved Logica project managed by Marten Schrƶder: ā€œInname en Mengerij Denkavit Frankrijkā€, realised margin 41,2%, planned margin 15,6%, delivery 3 weeks earlier than planned Implementations by partner Blue Jonah, most impressive (see figures last slide): Nationale Nederlanden IT divison (http://www.bluejonah.com) Implementations by software company Realization (Concerto tooling) (http://www.realization.com) Implementations by consulting and software company ProChain (http://www.prochain.com) Numerous other implementations to be found on the internet No. 75Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management References
  • 76. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved 1) Say what you will do, do what you have promised and show that you have done what you have said that you would do 2) Implement Project (Portfolio) Management processes and tools ! E.g. using the EPM tooling: ā€¢ Microsoftā€™s PPM Solution EPM (Enterprise Project Management), consisting of MS Project server and SharePoint ā€¢ ASP/hosted/SaaS/Cloud delivered by Perrit, branding by Kwantitijd: EPM-AAA, supplemented with documentation, training, coaching-on-the-job, helpdesk services, and Extra Features ā€¢ Necessary Extra Features represent condensed expertise since 2004 with i-BMS, the former Logica internal implementation of EPM No. 76Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Professional planning practices ?
  • 77. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved No. 77Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Professional planning practises ? (continued) 3) Discipline !
  • 78. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved ā€¢ Lynx (supplied by info@a-dato.net) ā€¢ Flow MPM (supplied by Glow Management) ā€¢ Concerto (supplied by Realization) ā€¢ Prochain ā€¢ PS8 (supplied by Sciforma) No. 78Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Recommended CCPM software
  • 79. Ā© Kwantitijd BV 2013 All rights reserved ā€¢ Read ā€œThe billion dollar solutionā€ by Newbold ā€¢ Follow the CCPM Webcasts on TOC TV ā€¢ Join LinkedIn groups ā€œCriticalChainā€ and ā€œCritical Chain Professionalā€ ā€¢ Follow training at the TOC Academy (http://www.tocacademy.nl) No. 79Saving time with Critical Chain Project Management Interested in more ?

Editor's Notes

  1. Einstein: ā€œIf we could travel with the speed of light we always would have time enoughā€
  2. Goldratt (ironically): ā€œIt is not very hard to just make a list of the projects in the order of the priority, is it?ā€ Goldratt: ā€œWhatā€™s done is done. You only have to look at the work still to be done!ā€
  3. Before going into the details of the CCPM mechanism, a quick look at all the time you can save
  4. Addition to body of thought CCPM
  5. Addition to body of thought CCPM
  6. 8 uur extra werk op development product 1 en 8 uur extra werk op development product 2 vanwege continu switchen tussen beide taken De geplande einddatum wordt hierbij nog eens extra laat, omdat developer nu een tijdje voor maar 50% wordt ingepland (17 t/m 18 november en 11 t/m 18 december)
  7. Te verhelpen met niet toestaan van split in remaining work bij resource leveling
  8. Realistische planning
  9. Het buffermechanisme is in feite de gedachtensprong die Goldratt aan al bestaande ideeĆ«n heeft toegevoegd, alhoewel goede projectleiders ook vaak met buffers werken, alleen niet zo sophisticated. Vaak kan je er van uitgaan dat de helft van de oorspronkelijke inschattingen zekerheid betreft, waarvan slechts weer de helft in de projectbuffer wordt gestopt. ļƒ  Tijdswinst = 25% bij volledig opgebruiken van de buffer Statistisch gemiddeld wordt echter slechts 66% van de buffer gebruikt ļƒ  totale tijdwinst 33% Bij het uitgaan van minder zekerheid in de schattingen per activiteit krijg je kleinere buffers en een langere doorlooptijd Bij een hoog risico kan je ook besluiten om meer dan 50% van de zekerheid in de buffer te stoppen De buffergrootte kan je ook bepalen via de de statistische relatie dat de totale (on)zekerheid de wortel is van de gesommeerde kwadraten van de (on)zekerheden per taak. In dit geval komt dat bij de 1e situatie ā€œhelft van de doorlooptijd is zekerheidā€ neer op 7,4498 dagen voor de projectbuffer. In de 2e situatie ā€œ25% van de doorlooptijd is zekerheidā€ is dit 3,7249 dagen. Die liggen dus erg dicht bij de gebruikte waarden 8 dagen en 4 dagen. Laat in de workshop de cursisten eerst zelf een oplossing uitwerking voor je de volgende plaatjes laat zien. Nog aan de orde laten komen? (laatste 4 betreffen multi-project planning) Resource buffer (concept houdt in: voorziening voor tijdig (herhaaldelijk?) start van de taak aankondigen zodat de resources op tijd klaar staan, dwz overgeschakeld zijn op direct te stoppen (opvulwerk) taken ) Cost buffer (= ?, naam gevonden op mindmap) Drum feeding buffer (= drum buffer (deze naam ook gevonden op mindmap), wordt gebruikt in CC-pulse software, concept houdt in: plaats een buffer voor (elke?) taak van de drum resource, de resource ā€œ which is used to stagger the multi-project systemā€, met als doel ā€œto ensure the inputs needed by the drum resource are ready, by the time the drum is ready to start that taskā€ ) Bottleneck buffer (= ā€œbottleneckā€ resource buffer?, = capacity contraint buffer? (naam gevonden op mindmap), wordt gebruikt in CC-pulse software, concept houdt in: plaats een buffer voor (elke?) taak van de bottleneck resource, de zwaarst belastte resource in de multi-project situatie) Event buffer (wordt gebruikt in CC-pulse software, concept houdt in: veiligstellen van ā€œkey eventā€ (= ā€œhigh exposureā€ taak?) door middel van een buffer) Capacity buffer (= capacity constraint buffer? (naam gevonden op mindmap), wordt gebruikt in CC-pulse software, concept houdt in: ā€œun-allocated capacity of the drum resource to provide reserve capacity for the multi-project systemā€, de drum (feeding) buffer en de bottleneck (resource?) buffer zijn dus 2 mogelijke toepassingen van de capacity buffer)
  10. Avoiding unnessecary Work In Progress
  11. The ā€œregard 50% of each task as safety and fill the buffers with only 50% of the safetyā€ approach is the proven best CCPM practice in a multiproject arena to try to reach what is the real aim, the third 50% : all tasks should have a 50% chance of being completed in the estimate for that task.
  12. Aanlevertak: 4 dagen bezig, nog 1 te gaan (80%), 1 dag uitloop in feedbuffer (50%) Critical Chain 5 dagen bezig, nog 12 te gaan (29,41%), 1 dag uitloop in de projectbuffer (12,5%)
  13. Aanlevertak gereed, 1 dag uitloop in de feedbuffer (50%) Critical Chain 10 dagen bezig, nog 10 te gaan (50%), 4 dagen uitloop in de feedbuffer (50%)
  14. Critical Chain 11 dagen bezig, nog 10,5 te gaan (51,16%), uitloop van 5,5 dagen in de projectbuffer (68,75%) Foutje dus, buffer consumption had afgerond moeten worden op 70%
  15. Critical Chain 11 dagen bezig, nog 9 te gaan (55%, niet weergegeven in de titel), uitloop in de buffer van 4 dagen (50%)
  16. Critical Chain 15 dagen bezig, nog 5 te gaan (75%), uitloop in de buffer 4 dagen (50%)
  17. Critical Chain 20 dagen bezig, nog 1 dag te gaan (95,24%), niet weergegeven in de titel, uitloop van 5 dagen in de buffer (62,5%)
  18. Critical chain gereed, uitloop in de buffer 6 dagen (80%) Bewust onjuist weergegeven met het statistische gemiddeld eindigen op 66,67% om hierop te kunnen wijzen Had echter eigenlijk moeten plaatsvinden met het actual work van de acceptance test op precies 5,3333 uitloop dagen te komen. Actual work van acceptance test had dus 16 + 16/3 = 21, 3333 moeten zijn (want er werken 2 resources aan deze taak)
  19. Afwijkingen van baseline worden veroorzaakt door: 1)Meerwerk 2)Tarieven individuele resources zijn niet hetzelfde als de tarieven van de skill resources (steeds ā‚¬ 1 hoger) In de buffers neem je niet alleen het work maar, via het gebruiken van fixed cost, ook de waarde van de safety op Bij meerwerk in de aanlevertakken of de Critical Chain laat je tijdens de executie het remaining work in de buffers steeds afnemen met dit meerwerk, totdat dit op is (zo ver komt het in dit voorbeeld project niet). Aan het einde van het project kan het resterend remaining work en de waarde van de safety in de buffers verwijderd worden. Voor aanlevertakken kan dat natuurlijk al na het gereedkomen van de aanlevertak (in dit voorbeeld project is dat niet gedaan) Note 27/04/10: In de toegevoegde EVA plaatjes wĆ©l gedaan! De waarde van de safety in de buffer kan je ook al eerder laten afnemen, bijvoorbeeld op basis van de voortgang van de aanlevertak en/of de Critical Chain en/of ook op basis van het opgebruiken van het work in de buffer (ook dat is in dit voorbeeld project niet gedaan) Note 27/04/10: In de toegevoegde EVA plaatjes wĆ©l gedaan! Op die laatste manier kan je ook werken met Earned Value (t.o.v. de orginal baseline1, de non-CCPM schatting, of t.o.v. baseline/baseline2, de CCPM schatting)
  20. Dit voorbeeld gaat een beetje mank, omdat je uitgaat van twee planningen die je op hetzelfde moment laat starten, waarbij het kortste project de prioriteit krijgt (op basis van het uitgangspunt dat een project waarde gaat opleveren als het is beĆ«indigd, dus het altijd de voorkeur heeft om het project dat zo dicht mogelijk bij de oplevering is de prioriteit te geven. In dit voorbeeld wordt verder uitgegaan van de situatie ā€œer kan maar 1 project door de deur van de drum tasks/resources areaā€™ā€, in de realiteit zijn dat er meestal meerdere. In de realiteit zijn er steeds een aantal projecten lopende, waarbij het starten van een (of meerdere) nieuw project pas plaats mag vinden als een (of meerdere) lopend project de drum tasks/resources area verlaat. In dat geval moeten de projectbuffers van de lopende projecten niet verplaatst worden. Alle aanleverbuffers en projectbuffers van de lopende projecten vangen de overallocatie van de non-key resources voldoende op. Het nieuw te starten project wordt na single CCPM planning toegepast te hebben definitief gescheduled via staggering waarmee voor dit nieuwe project de plek van de projectbuffer wordt bepaald. En uiteraard ook de start van dat project, want dat kan later liggen dan de dag dat het voornoemde lopende project de drum task/resources area verlaat. Maar het kan ook betekenen dat de start van het project al eerder had moeten plaatsvinden, namelijk als alle activiteiten tot vĆ³Ć³r de drum task/resources area niet meer zijn uit te voeren tot het moment dat het nieuwe project aan de beurt komt voor deze area. Het is niet helemaal duidelijk hoe je dat zou moeten tackelen. Frans-Jan Buters zegt dat het in de praktijk voldoende is om te werken met ā€œproject klaar, nieuw project erinā€, dus eigenlijk als drum task/resources area het einde van het project te nemen, waarbij je dan geen staggering nodig hebt.
  21. Er hoeft alleen maar op het bufferverbruik in combinatie met het percentage afgelegde weg gelet te worden!
  22. Hier is de plek om ook even in te gaan op de Japanse kijk op CCPM: WA / Harmony