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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                  8th December 2011
        Indices                Close      % Chg.      The domestic markets witnessed a positive opening. Buying
 BSE SENSEX                   16877.06      0.43      support was witnessed in the morning trade, which helped the
 S&P CNX NIFTY                5062.60       0.47      markets move above the 5100 level. This also led to short
 NIFTY DEC. FUT.              5086.10       0.40      covering helping markets move higher further. Profit taking
 India VIX                     26.46        5.75      and selling pressure was witnessed at higher levels but the
                                                      markets managed to hold on to the gains. The overall trend
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                remained range bound for the better part of the day. The
                    Level 1   Level 2     Level 3     markets ended the day with modest gains to close near the
Support              5037      4987        4747       highs for the day. The top gainers for the day were Rel.
Resistance           5161      5230        5360
                                                      Comm., Wipro, HCL Tech, JP Associates, SAIL, Rel. Infra,
                                                      SBI, Jindal Steel, Sterlite and Infosys Tech.
             Volume (Lacs Shares)
                                                      Technically, the market breadth remained neutral amidst
                  07/12/11    05/12/11    % Chg.
                                                      higher volumes. The global market set of cues are mix.
BSE                 2377       1720        38.20      The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening.
NSE                 6140       4991        23.03      The Nifty remains placed above its 50-day SMA, which is
Total               8517       6711        26.91      a short term positive. The positive divergence pattern
Source – BSE & NSE                                    formed by Nifty also continues to hold good and would
              Turnover ( ` Crores)                    continue to give the necessary impetus for the current
                  07/12/11    05/12/11    % Chg.
                                                      rally to continue. The Stochastic, KST, MACD and RSI are
                                                      placed above their respective averages, which would
BSE                3092.83    1823.04      69.65
                                                      lead to further buying support at regular intervals.
NSE               10563.76    8149.31      29.63
                                                      However, the prevailing technical negatives continue to
NSE F&O           111622.45   88751.86     25.77      hold good. The Stochastic is placed in the over bought
Total             125279.04   98724.21     26.90      zone, which would result in intermediate bouts of profit
Source – BSE & NSE
                                                      taking. The KST and MACD are placed in the negative.
             Market Breadth (NSE)                     Moreso, the Nifty continues to trade below its 200-day
Advances                        778                   SMA. Further the 50-day SMA remains placed below the
Declines                        692
                                                      100-day SMA. All these conditions would lead to selling
                                                      pressure at higher levels and would cap the upside
Same                            71
                                                      gains. The ADX, +DI line and            -DI line are moving
Total                          1541
                                                      sideways, indicating a range bound trend. Nifty is likely
A/D Ratio                     1.12 : 1                to test the 5161-5230 resistance zone in the next few
Source – NSE
                                                      trading sessions if it continues to sustain above the 4987
      Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                   level. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues from
50 Day SMA                    5016.34                 the global markets, crude prices and Rupee. The support
                                         ◄Negative
100 Day SMA                   5118.57                 levels for Nifty are placed at 5037, 4987, 4747 and 4563. The
200 Day SMA                   5341.24    ◄Negative
                                                      Nifty faces resistance at the 5161, 5230 and 5360 levels.

                                                                 Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
        Indices               Close        Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                 S1           S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                      16877                16887      16993      17110          17332         16771        16665         16443
S&P CNX NIFTY                    5063                 5065       5097        5132          5199          5030          4998         4931
NIFTY DEC. FUT.                  5086                 5092       5129        5172          5251          5049          5012         4933

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                   Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
             th
            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days)


                                                                                   Stop
                                                      Initiation      Stop         Loss                      Target
        Stock           Close          Action           Price        Loss *         (%)        Target         (%)          Remarks
Century Textiles          282.15      Buy Above           286.00       275.00         3.85       320.00         11.89
Infosys Tech.           2758.95       Buy Above          2776.00      2731.00         1.62      2875.00          3.57
Wipro                     404.10      Buy Above           406.00       395.00         2.71       430.00          5.91
Yes Bank                  296.35      Buy Above           300.00       289.25         3.58       324.00          8.00
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on Closing basis.




                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            th
           4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report
is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or
solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal
recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its
accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability
arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own
professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide
for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment
grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying
charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not
match with a report on a company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a
reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us
from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be
subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are
inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein.
We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy
or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities
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or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any
recommendation and related information and opinions.
The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the
subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly
related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent.




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
      th
     4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 081211

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 8th December 2011 Indices Close % Chg. The domestic markets witnessed a positive opening. Buying BSE SENSEX 16877.06 0.43 support was witnessed in the morning trade, which helped the S&P CNX NIFTY 5062.60 0.47 markets move above the 5100 level. This also led to short NIFTY DEC. FUT. 5086.10 0.40 covering helping markets move higher further. Profit taking India VIX 26.46 5.75 and selling pressure was witnessed at higher levels but the markets managed to hold on to the gains. The overall trend S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels remained range bound for the better part of the day. The Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 markets ended the day with modest gains to close near the Support 5037 4987 4747 highs for the day. The top gainers for the day were Rel. Resistance 5161 5230 5360 Comm., Wipro, HCL Tech, JP Associates, SAIL, Rel. Infra, SBI, Jindal Steel, Sterlite and Infosys Tech. Volume (Lacs Shares) Technically, the market breadth remained neutral amidst 07/12/11 05/12/11 % Chg. higher volumes. The global market set of cues are mix. BSE 2377 1720 38.20 The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening. NSE 6140 4991 23.03 The Nifty remains placed above its 50-day SMA, which is Total 8517 6711 26.91 a short term positive. The positive divergence pattern Source – BSE & NSE formed by Nifty also continues to hold good and would Turnover ( ` Crores) continue to give the necessary impetus for the current 07/12/11 05/12/11 % Chg. rally to continue. The Stochastic, KST, MACD and RSI are placed above their respective averages, which would BSE 3092.83 1823.04 69.65 lead to further buying support at regular intervals. NSE 10563.76 8149.31 29.63 However, the prevailing technical negatives continue to NSE F&O 111622.45 88751.86 25.77 hold good. The Stochastic is placed in the over bought Total 125279.04 98724.21 26.90 zone, which would result in intermediate bouts of profit Source – BSE & NSE taking. The KST and MACD are placed in the negative. Market Breadth (NSE) Moreso, the Nifty continues to trade below its 200-day Advances 778 SMA. Further the 50-day SMA remains placed below the Declines 692 100-day SMA. All these conditions would lead to selling pressure at higher levels and would cap the upside Same 71 gains. The ADX, +DI line and -DI line are moving Total 1541 sideways, indicating a range bound trend. Nifty is likely A/D Ratio 1.12 : 1 to test the 5161-5230 resistance zone in the next few Source – NSE trading sessions if it continues to sustain above the 4987 Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY level. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues from 50 Day SMA 5016.34 the global markets, crude prices and Rupee. The support ◄Negative 100 Day SMA 5118.57 levels for Nifty are placed at 5037, 4987, 4747 and 4563. The 200 Day SMA 5341.24 ◄Negative Nifty faces resistance at the 5161, 5230 and 5360 levels. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 16877 16887 16993 17110 17332 16771 16665 16443 S&P CNX NIFTY 5063 5065 5097 5132 5199 5030 4998 4931 NIFTY DEC. FUT. 5086 5092 5129 5172 5251 5049 5012 4933 Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Century Textiles 282.15 Buy Above 286.00 275.00 3.85 320.00 11.89 Infosys Tech. 2758.95 Buy Above 2776.00 2731.00 1.62 2875.00 3.57 Wipro 404.10 Buy Above 406.00 395.00 2.71 430.00 5.91 Yes Bank 296.35 Buy Above 300.00 289.25 3.58 324.00 8.00 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on Closing basis. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com