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Daily Com
                                                 D       mmodity Report

                                                                                                             12th Septe
                                                                                                                      ember 2012

                                                              MCX GOLD (5 O
                                                                X         OCTOBER 12) –
                    Go
                     old         Silver         Cru
                                                  ude
                   (5 O
                      Oct-12)   (5 De
                                    ec-12)    (19 Se
                                                   ep-12)
                                                              Gold opened high at 31917 and moved fu
                                                                  d             her                     urther higher to touch an
 Open
    n                 31,917        64,102         5,325      intra
                                                                  a-day high of 31973. How
                                                                               f         wever, it failed to sustain higher and
                                                              mov lower to touch an intra
                                                                  ved                    a-day low of 3 31808. It ended on a flat
 High
    h                 31,973        64,290         5,372      note to close at 3
                                                                  e            31876.
 Low                  31,808        63,638         5,325
                                                              The Stochastic a and the RSI have slipped below their respective
                                                                                                         d            r
 Close                31,876        63,804         5,356      aver rages. Moreoover, both th Stochastic and the R
                                                                                            he           c           RSI are still
                                                              placced in the over bought zone. The
                                                                                             t           ese technica negative
                                                                                                                      al
 Prev Close
    v.                31,907        63,980         5,326
                                                              cond ditions would lead to se
                                                                               d            elling pressure and profit taking at
 % Ch
    hange             -0.10%        -0.28%
                                    -              0.56%      regu intervals. Though the A
                                                                  ular                      ADX line is moving higher the +DI line
                                                              is m
                                                                 moving lower, indicating b buyers are boooking profits at regular
                                                                                                                      s
Source – MCX
     e                                                        interrvals. MCX G
                                                                              Gold faces res             1975, 32043, and 32350
                                                                                            sistance at 31
                                                              while the support levels are pla
                                                                   e           t             aced at 31467, 30837, 304428, 30340,
                    Vo
                     olume (In 000'
                                  's)                         3017 29668 and 28859.
                                                                   79,

                  11/0
                     09/2012    10/09/2012        % Chg.      Positional Call – SELL MCX GOLD (5 O
                                                                                        X        OCT 12) arou
                                                                                                            und 31900,
                                                              Stop Loss 32010 Target of 3
                                                                 p            0         31500
 Gold (gms)          25
                      5,120.0     31
                                   1,810.0       -21.03%

 Silver (kgs)         1,676.3
                      1             2,108.5
                                    2            -20.50%      MCX SILVER (5 DECEMBER 12) –
                                                                X                  R
 Crude (bbl)         16
                      6,146.6     19
                                   9,666.1       -17.90%      Silve opened hig
                                                                  er            gher at 64102 and moved further high to touch
                                                                                                           d            her
Source – MCX
     e
                                                              an inntra-day high of 64290. Hoowever, it failed to sustain higher and
                                                              mov lower to t
                                                                  ved                        a-day low of 63638. It end the day
                                                                                touch an intra                          ded
                                                              with modest losse to close at 63804.
                                                                                es           t
                   Turnover (In Lac
                                  cs)
                                                              The RSI is place above its average but is on verge of slipping
                                                                               ed                         t
                  11/0
                     09/2012    10/09/2012        % Chg.      belo it. Howeve the Stochastic has slip
                                                                 ow            er,                        pped below its average.
                                                              More eover, both t
                                                                               the Stochastic and the RS are still placed in the
                                                                                                          SI
Gold               801
                     1,372.3    1,016
                                    6,342.4      -21.15%
                                                              over bought zone These tech
                                                                  r             e           hnical negativ conditions would lead
                                                                                                          ve
Silver
     r            1,072
                      2,496.4   1,352
                                    2,686.1      -20.71%      to se
                                                                  elling pressur and profit taking at regu intervals. Though the
                                                                               re                        ular
                                                              ADX line is movi
                                                                  X             ing higher the +DI line is moving lowe indicating
                                                                                             e                       er
Crude
    e              864
                     4,036.6    1,047
                                    7,673.3      -17.53%      buye are book
                                                                  ers          king profits a higher lev
                                                                                             at           vels. MCX SSilver faces
Source – MCX
     e                                                        resis
                                                                  stance at 64 4060, 64154 and 64500 while the su    upports are
                                                              plac at 61398, 60750 and 59512 levels.
                                                                 ced

                Global Market (Nyme - $)
                                  ex                          MCX CRUDE (19 SEPTEMBE 12) –
                                                                X         9        ER
                  12/0
                     09/2012    11/09/2012        % Chg.      Crud opened low at 5325. Incidentally, t
                                                                 de            wer                       this was the l
                                                                                                                      lowest price
                                                                 orded for the day. It moved higher to to
                                                              reco                         d            ouch an intra--day high of
Gold (oz)            1,
                      ,735.20     1,732.30         0.17%
                                                              5372 It ended the day with mo
                                                                  2.                       oderate gains to close at 5
                                                                                                        s            5356.
Silver (oz)
     r                  33.59        33.51         0.23%
WTI CCrude
                                                              The RSI and the Stochastic a placed ab
                                                                                          are         bove its avera
                                                                                                                   ages, which
                        97.09        97.17        -0.08%      would lead to buy
                                                                              ying support. However, the ADX line, + line and
                                                                                                                   +DI
(bbl)
Brent Crude
      t                                                       –DI line are movving sideways indicating a range bound trend. It
                                                                                           s,
                      115.46        115.40         0.05%
(bbl)                                                         face resistance at 5366, 540 5516 and 5600 while th supports
                                                                 es                      08,                       he
Dollar Index            81.51        81.47         0.14%      are p
                                                                  placed at 523 5275, 518 5126 and 5
                                                                              38,        80,           5093.
Source – www.cmeg
     e          group.com
                                                              NOT – Stop Lo
                                                                TE        osses should be conside
                                                                                     d          ered strictly o Closing
                                                                                                              on
                                                              Basis


                                                            Keynot Capitals L
                                                                 te         Ltd.
              The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60
                    by,                      at                                   Tel:                    088.
                                                 www.keyynotecapitals.com
Com
   mmodity New
             ws:

 •      Gold prices e
        G              ease from re
                                  ecord peak, silver edges up: Gold pr
                                                          s            rices eased fr
                                                                                    rom record peak at the bu
                                                                                                            ullion market
        here today on lower offtak from trade and inves
        h              n          ke          ers         stors despite the higher European cues. While silve recovered
                                                                                                            er
                                               vestors have turned wary as the yellow metal receiv sustained boost from
        slightly on stra speculativ buying. "Inv
        s              ay         ve                                                w            ved        d
        overseas cues and waiting US Federal Reserve mov later this w
        o              s,         g                        ve          week," a trade said. (ET)
                                                                                    er
 •      Crude oil rise on hopes of Federal R
        C            es         s                         timulus plans Oil traded near the high
                                               Reserve's st            s:                      hest close in almost three
        weeks in New York amid speculation t US will ad to measur to revive its economy, countering c
        w            w                        the          dd          res                                   concern that
        Europe's bailout plan will falter. The Federal Res
        E                                                 serve starts a two-day m
                                                                                 meeting on W Wednesday w  where it may
        announce stim
        a            mulus measures. Goldman Sachs Grou said West Texas Interm
                                              n           up                      mediate oil ma rise to nar
                                                                                               ay            rrow the gap
        between the b
        b            benchmark grrade and othe regional cru
                                              er          udes. (ET)
 •      Chana future hit lower circuit on w
        C            es                       weak spot deemand: Chan prices tum
                                                                       na          mbled by a da lower limi of four per
                                                                                                 aily        it
        cent in futures trade today as traders b
        c                         y            booked profit on reports of higher pro
                                                           ts                       oduction follo
                                                                                                 owing improve rains and
                                                                                                             ed
        sluggish dome
        s             estic demand (ET)
                                  d.
 •      Turmeric futu
        T              ures down on fresh rain sluggish demand: Turmeric prices fell by 1.33 per cent to R 5,950 per
                                   o           ns,                                     s                         Rs
        quintal at futures trade today as specula
        q                                       ators trimmed their positions following r
                                                            d                                        ucing regions amid a drop
                                                                                        rains in produ
        in overseas in
         n            nquiries. (ET)


 Econ
    nomic Cale
             endar:


                            Wedne
                                esday                  Thur
                                                          rsday                    Friday                    Mon
                                                                                                               nday
                             Sept 12
                                t                       Sep 13
                                                          pt                       Sep 14
                                                                                     pt                      Sep 17
                                                                                                               pt
                           Industrial Output
India                                                                                WPI
                                                                                     W Inflation
                                        data
                                                                                  Fore Reserves
                                                                                     ex



                                                                                  Conssumer Price         NY Empire State
                                                  Initial Jobl
                                                             less Claims
US                            FOM Minutes
                                MC                                               Index (MoM) and              turing Index
                                                                                                       Manufact
                                                                 (Sep 8)
                                                                                            (YoY)                    (Sep)
                       Preliminary ruling on
                                 y                Producer Price Index
                                                                               Retail S
                                                                                      Sales (MoM)
                        ESM & Fisscal Deficit              (YoY) (Aug)
                                                           (
                                                                            Industrial Production
                                                 30-Year Bo
                                                          ond Auction
                                                                                           (MoM)


                                                    China Pro
                                                            oducer and               Eurozone's
                                                                                                          EUR G
                                                                                                              Global Trade
Global                    German CPI data
                               ny                  Import Prrices (MoM)         Conssumer Price
                                                                                                              Balance (Jul)
                                                                                                              B
                                                                   (Aug)           In
                                                                                    ndex (MoM)
                      UK Average Earnings,
                               e                                              Japan' Industrial
                                                                                    's
                           Claim
                               mant Count          ECB Mont
                                                          thly Report         Producction (MoM)
                                   charge                                              and (YoY)
                                                                                     Eurozone's
                                                  ECB Conssumer Price
                                                                            Employme Change
                                                                                    ent
                                                   Index (M
                                                          MoM) (Aug)
                                                                                           (YoY)
                                                        GBP 10-y Bond
                                                          P
                                                              Auction




                                                     Keynot Capitals L
                                                          te         Ltd.
              The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60
                    by,                      at                                   Tel:                    088.
                                                 www.keyynotecapitals.com
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                                                              Keynot Capitals L
                                                                   te         Ltd.
            The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60
                  by,                      at                                   Tel:                    088.
                                               www.keyynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report for 120912

  • 1. Daily Com D mmodity Report 12th Septe ember 2012 MCX GOLD (5 O X OCTOBER 12) – Go old Silver Cru ude (5 O Oct-12) (5 De ec-12) (19 Se ep-12) Gold opened high at 31917 and moved fu d her urther higher to touch an Open n 31,917 64,102 5,325 intra a-day high of 31973. How f wever, it failed to sustain higher and mov lower to touch an intra ved a-day low of 3 31808. It ended on a flat High h 31,973 64,290 5,372 note to close at 3 e 31876. Low 31,808 63,638 5,325 The Stochastic a and the RSI have slipped below their respective d r Close 31,876 63,804 5,356 aver rages. Moreoover, both th Stochastic and the R he c RSI are still placced in the over bought zone. The t ese technica negative al Prev Close v. 31,907 63,980 5,326 cond ditions would lead to se d elling pressure and profit taking at % Ch hange -0.10% -0.28% - 0.56% regu intervals. Though the A ular ADX line is moving higher the +DI line is m moving lower, indicating b buyers are boooking profits at regular s Source – MCX e interrvals. MCX G Gold faces res 1975, 32043, and 32350 sistance at 31 while the support levels are pla e t aced at 31467, 30837, 304428, 30340, Vo olume (In 000' 's) 3017 29668 and 28859. 79, 11/0 09/2012 10/09/2012 % Chg. Positional Call – SELL MCX GOLD (5 O X OCT 12) arou und 31900, Stop Loss 32010 Target of 3 p 0 31500 Gold (gms) 25 5,120.0 31 1,810.0 -21.03% Silver (kgs) 1,676.3 1 2,108.5 2 -20.50% MCX SILVER (5 DECEMBER 12) – X R Crude (bbl) 16 6,146.6 19 9,666.1 -17.90% Silve opened hig er gher at 64102 and moved further high to touch d her Source – MCX e an inntra-day high of 64290. Hoowever, it failed to sustain higher and mov lower to t ved a-day low of 63638. It end the day touch an intra ded with modest losse to close at 63804. es t Turnover (In Lac cs) The RSI is place above its average but is on verge of slipping ed t 11/0 09/2012 10/09/2012 % Chg. belo it. Howeve the Stochastic has slip ow er, pped below its average. More eover, both t the Stochastic and the RS are still placed in the SI Gold 801 1,372.3 1,016 6,342.4 -21.15% over bought zone These tech r e hnical negativ conditions would lead ve Silver r 1,072 2,496.4 1,352 2,686.1 -20.71% to se elling pressur and profit taking at regu intervals. Though the re ular ADX line is movi X ing higher the +DI line is moving lowe indicating e er Crude e 864 4,036.6 1,047 7,673.3 -17.53% buye are book ers king profits a higher lev at vels. MCX SSilver faces Source – MCX e resis stance at 64 4060, 64154 and 64500 while the su upports are plac at 61398, 60750 and 59512 levels. ced Global Market (Nyme - $) ex MCX CRUDE (19 SEPTEMBE 12) – X 9 ER 12/0 09/2012 11/09/2012 % Chg. Crud opened low at 5325. Incidentally, t de wer this was the l lowest price orded for the day. It moved higher to to reco d ouch an intra--day high of Gold (oz) 1, ,735.20 1,732.30 0.17% 5372 It ended the day with mo 2. oderate gains to close at 5 s 5356. Silver (oz) r 33.59 33.51 0.23% WTI CCrude The RSI and the Stochastic a placed ab are bove its avera ages, which 97.09 97.17 -0.08% would lead to buy ying support. However, the ADX line, + line and +DI (bbl) Brent Crude t –DI line are movving sideways indicating a range bound trend. It s, 115.46 115.40 0.05% (bbl) face resistance at 5366, 540 5516 and 5600 while th supports es 08, he Dollar Index 81.51 81.47 0.14% are p placed at 523 5275, 518 5126 and 5 38, 80, 5093. Source – www.cmeg e group.com NOT – Stop Lo TE osses should be conside d ered strictly o Closing on Basis Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Com mmodity New ws: • Gold prices e G ease from re ecord peak, silver edges up: Gold pr s rices eased fr rom record peak at the bu ullion market here today on lower offtak from trade and inves h n ke ers stors despite the higher European cues. While silve recovered er vestors have turned wary as the yellow metal receiv sustained boost from slightly on stra speculativ buying. "Inv s ay ve w ved d overseas cues and waiting US Federal Reserve mov later this w o s, g ve week," a trade said. (ET) er • Crude oil rise on hopes of Federal R C es s timulus plans Oil traded near the high Reserve's st s: hest close in almost three weeks in New York amid speculation t US will ad to measur to revive its economy, countering c w w the dd res concern that Europe's bailout plan will falter. The Federal Res E serve starts a two-day m meeting on W Wednesday w where it may announce stim a mulus measures. Goldman Sachs Grou said West Texas Interm n up mediate oil ma rise to nar ay rrow the gap between the b b benchmark grrade and othe regional cru er udes. (ET) • Chana future hit lower circuit on w C es weak spot deemand: Chan prices tum na mbled by a da lower limi of four per aily it cent in futures trade today as traders b c y booked profit on reports of higher pro ts oduction follo owing improve rains and ed sluggish dome s estic demand (ET) d. • Turmeric futu T ures down on fresh rain sluggish demand: Turmeric prices fell by 1.33 per cent to R 5,950 per o ns, s Rs quintal at futures trade today as specula q ators trimmed their positions following r d ucing regions amid a drop rains in produ in overseas in n nquiries. (ET) Econ nomic Cale endar: Wedne esday Thur rsday Friday Mon nday Sept 12 t Sep 13 pt Sep 14 pt Sep 17 pt Industrial Output India WPI W Inflation data Fore Reserves ex Conssumer Price NY Empire State Initial Jobl less Claims US FOM Minutes MC Index (MoM) and turing Index Manufact (Sep 8) (YoY) (Sep) Preliminary ruling on y Producer Price Index Retail S Sales (MoM) ESM & Fisscal Deficit (YoY) (Aug) ( Industrial Production 30-Year Bo ond Auction (MoM) China Pro oducer and Eurozone's EUR G Global Trade Global German CPI data ny Import Prrices (MoM) Conssumer Price Balance (Jul) B (Aug) In ndex (MoM) UK Average Earnings, e Japan' Industrial 's Claim mant Count ECB Mont thly Report Producction (MoM) charge and (YoY) Eurozone's ECB Conssumer Price Employme Change ent Index (M MoM) (Aug) (YoY) GBP 10-y Bond P Auction Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disc claimer This document is n for public distribution and has been furn not d nished to you s solely for your information and must not be reproduced or d redisstributed to any other person. Persons into who possession this document may come are required to obse P ose erve these restrrictions. This material is for t personal info the ormation of the authorized recip pient, and we are not soliciting any action base upon it. This report is not to ed be co onstrued as an offer to sell or the solicitation o an offer to buy any security in any jurisdictio where such a offer or solicit t of y n on an tation would be illega It is for the general informa al. ation of clients of Keynote Ca apitals Ltd. It do not constitute a personal recommendatio or take into oes on acco ount the particular investment objectives, financial situations, o needs of indiv o or vidual clients. We h have reviewed t report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be r the t reliable though its accuracy or comp pleteness cannot be guarantee Neither Key ed. ynote Capitals LLtd., nor any pe erson connected with it, accept any liability a d ts arising from the use o this documen The recipient of this material should rely o their own inve of nt. ts on estigations and take their own professional ad dvice. Price and value of the investm e ments referred to in this mater may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide fo future perform rial s or mance. Certain transsactions -including those involv ving futures, opt tions and other derivatives as w as non-inve well estment grade securities - invo olve substantial risk a are not suitable for all inv and vestors. Reports based on tech s hnical analysis ccenters on stud dying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to fo ocusing on a c company’s fund damentals and as such, may not match w y with a report on a company’s n fundamentals. Opin nions expressed are our curren opinions as o the date appe d nt of earing on this m material only. W While we endeav to update on a reasonable vor n basis the informatio discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, com s on n mpliance, or ot ther reasons th prevent us f hat from doing so. Pros spective investo and others are cautioned that any forward-looking state ors ements are not predictions an may be sub t nd bject to change witho notice. Our proprietary trading and inv out t vestment businnesses may m make investmen decisions th are inconsistent with the nt hat recommendations e expressed herein n. We a our affiliates officers, direc and s, ctors, and emplo oyees world wid may: (a) from time to time, h de m have long or sho positions in, and buy or sell ort the s securities there eof, of company (ies) mentione herein or (b be engaged in any other tra y ed b) ansaction involv ving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a ma arket maker in the financial instruments of th company (ies) discussed he he erein or act as advis or lender / b sor borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflic of interest with respect to any recommendat h ) ct y tion and related information and opin nions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the vviews expressed in this report a d accurately reflec his or her per ct rsonal views abbout the subject comp pany or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her com mpensation was is or will be, directly or indir s, rectly related to spec recommend cific dations or views expressed in th report. s his No p of this material may be dup part plicated in any fo and/or redis orm stributed withou Keynote Capit ut tals Ltd’s., prior written consent. r Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com