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Daily Commodity Re
                                                D                eport

                                                                                                                    29th J
                                                                                                                         June 2012
                                                               MC GOLD (4 AUGUST 12 - Gold ope
                                                                 CX                        2)           ened lower a 29995 but
                                                                                                                    at
                   Gold
                   G            Si
                                 ilver          Cr
                                                 rude
                 (4 A
                    Aug-12)    (5 Jul-12)
                                  J           (19 J
                                                  Jul-12)      mov ved higher to touch an i
                                                                               o           intra-day high of 30023. However, it
                                                                                                        h
                                                                                           moved lower to touch an in
                                                               faile to sustain higher and m
                                                                   ed                                                ntra-day low
 Ope
   en                29,995        52,812          4,610          29630. It ended the day with moderate losses to clos at 29652.
                                                               of 2                                                  se
 High
    h                30,023        52,916          4,618
                                                               The Stochastic h slipped be
                                                                  e            has          elow its avera
                                                                                                         age. Moreove the RSI is
                                                                                                                     er,
 Low
   w                 29,630        51,660          4,448
                                                               alre
                                                                  eady placed bbelow its aver
                                                                                            rage. These cconditions wo
                                                                                                                     ould result in
 Clos
    se               29,652        51,756          4,460       selling pressure. However, th Stochastic is nearing th over sold
                                                                                .           he          c            he
                                                               possition, which w
                                                                                would lead to short covering at lower levels. The
                                                                                            o                        r
 Prev Close
    v.               29,997        52,767          4,599
                                                               ADX line, +DI lin and -DI line are movin sideways, indicating a
                                                                   X            ne                       ng
 %C
  Change             -1.15%        -1.92%         -3.02%       rang bound trend. MCX GO
                                                                   ge                      OLD faces ressistance at 29
                                                                                                                     9668, 30179,
Sourc – MCX
    ce                                                         303340, 30428 an 31000, wh the suppo are place at 28859,
                                                                                nd          hile         orts        ed
                                                               287 and 27962 levels.
                                                                  765
                   Volume (In 000
                   V            0's)
                                                               MC SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver ope
                                                                 CX                                     ened higher at 52812. It
                 28/0
                    06/2012    27/0
                                  06/2012        % Chg.        mov ved higher to touch an i
                                                                               o           intra-day high of 52916. However, it
                                                                                                         h
                                                                                           moved lower to touch an in
                                                               faile to sustain higher and m
                                                                   ed                                                 ntra-day low
 Gold (gms)
    d              44,070.0
                   4             33,010.0
                                 3               33.50%
                                                 3
                                                                  51660. It ended the day with high losse to close at 51756.
                                                               of 5                                     es
 Silve (kgs)
     er              1,710.5       1,969.5       -1
                                                  13.15%
                                                               The Stochastic h slipped be
                                                                  e             has          elow its avera
                                                                                                          age. Moreove the RSI is
                                                                                                                       er,
 Crud (bbl)
    de             26,623.3
                   2             22,948.3
                                 2               16.01%
                                                 1
                                                               alre
                                                                  eady placed bbelow its averrage. These c conditions wo
                                                                                                                       ould result in
Sourc – MCX
    ce                                                         selling pressure. However, t  the RSI and the Stochas both are
                                                                                                                       stic
                                                               neaaring the over sold position, which wou lead to sh
                                                                                r                         uld          hort covering
                  Tu
                   urnover (In Lacs)                           at lower levels. The ADX lin +DI line and -DI line are moving
                                                                                             ne,
                                                               side
                                                                  eways, indica ating a rang bound tr
                                                                                             ge           rend. MCX S   Silver faces
                 28/0
                    06/2012    27/0
                                  06/2012        % Chg.
                                                               resiistance at 533675, 54570, 55551, 56157 and 5773 while the
                                                                                                                       37
Gold
   d             1,31
                    14,285.4    98
                                 89,562.1        32.81%
                                                 3             suppports are plac at 51559, 51029, and 50252 levels.
                                                                                ced
Silve
    er            89
                   95,402.1    1,04
                                  40,953.1       -1
                                                  13.98%       MC CRUDE (1 July 12) - Crude open
                                                                 CX          19                        ned higher at 4610 level
Crud
   de            1,21
                    11,657.8   1,05
                                  51,107.4       15.27%
                                                 1             and touched an intra-day low of 4618. However, it faile to sustain
                                                                  d                       w                          ed
                                                               high and mov
                                                                  her        ved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4448. It
Sourc – MCX
    ce                                                         end the day w large losses to close to close at 446
                                                                  ded       with                      o              60.
               Global Market (Nym - $)
                                mex                            The RSI is placed below its average, wh
                                                                  e                                         hich would lea to selling
                                                                                                                           ad
                 29/0
                    06/2012    28/0
                                  06/2012        % Chg.        presssure. Howev the Stoch
                                                                                ver,                         placed above its average.
                                                                                             hastic is still p
                                                               Mor reover, the R and the Stochastic b
                                                                                RSI                         both are placed near the
Gold (oz)
   d               1,565.90
                   1             1,549.70          1.05%
                                                               ove sold zone, which would lead to sh
                                                                 er                           d             hort covering and buying
Silve (oz)
    er                26.62         26.25          1.42%       suppport at lowe levels. The ADX line and –DI line has again
                                                                               er             e                           e
Crud (bbl)
   de                 79.09         77.69          1.80%       star
                                                                  rted rising ind
                                                                                dicating selle have star
                                                                                             ers             rted building fresh shorts
                                                               and still have an upper hand. It faces re
                                                                  d                                          esistance at 4624, 4720,
Dolla Index
    ar                82.02         81.23          0.97%
                                                               485 and 4905 while the supports are pl
                                                                  55                                          laced at 4421, 4259 and
Sourc – www.cme
    ce        egroup.com                                       37223.

                                                                    Intra-day Re
                                                                               esistance                    Intra-day Sup
                                                                                                                        pport
Comm
   modities                     Close        Pivot Point
                                                                    R1          R2           R3
                                                                                             R           S1           S2          S3

CRUD JUL 12
   DE                            4460              4509           4569
                                                                  4           46
                                                                               679         484
                                                                                             49        4399
                                                                                                          9        4339         4169

GOLD AUG 12
   D                            29652             29768
                                                  2              29
                                                                  9907       301
                                                                               161         3055
                                                                                              54      29514
                                                                                                          4       29375         28982

SILVE JUL 12
    ER                          51756             52111
                                                  5              52
                                                                  2561       533
                                                                               367         5462
                                                                                              23      51305
                                                                                                          5       50855         49599


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                                                              Keynot Capitals L
                                                                   te         Ltd.
            The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60
                  by,                      at                                   Tel:                    088.
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Keynote commodity daily report 290612

  • 1. Daily Commodity Re D eport 29th J June 2012 MC GOLD (4 AUGUST 12 - Gold ope CX 2) ened lower a 29995 but at Gold G Si ilver Cr rude (4 A Aug-12) (5 Jul-12) J (19 J Jul-12) mov ved higher to touch an i o intra-day high of 30023. However, it h moved lower to touch an in faile to sustain higher and m ed ntra-day low Ope en 29,995 52,812 4,610 29630. It ended the day with moderate losses to clos at 29652. of 2 se High h 30,023 52,916 4,618 The Stochastic h slipped be e has elow its avera age. Moreove the RSI is er, Low w 29,630 51,660 4,448 alre eady placed bbelow its aver rage. These cconditions wo ould result in Clos se 29,652 51,756 4,460 selling pressure. However, th Stochastic is nearing th over sold . he c he possition, which w would lead to short covering at lower levels. The o r Prev Close v. 29,997 52,767 4,599 ADX line, +DI lin and -DI line are movin sideways, indicating a X ne ng %C Change -1.15% -1.92% -3.02% rang bound trend. MCX GO ge OLD faces ressistance at 29 9668, 30179, Sourc – MCX ce 303340, 30428 an 31000, wh the suppo are place at 28859, nd hile orts ed 287 and 27962 levels. 765 Volume (In 000 V 0's) MC SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver ope CX ened higher at 52812. It 28/0 06/2012 27/0 06/2012 % Chg. mov ved higher to touch an i o intra-day high of 52916. However, it h moved lower to touch an in faile to sustain higher and m ed ntra-day low Gold (gms) d 44,070.0 4 33,010.0 3 33.50% 3 51660. It ended the day with high losse to close at 51756. of 5 es Silve (kgs) er 1,710.5 1,969.5 -1 13.15% The Stochastic h slipped be e has elow its avera age. Moreove the RSI is er, Crud (bbl) de 26,623.3 2 22,948.3 2 16.01% 1 alre eady placed bbelow its averrage. These c conditions wo ould result in Sourc – MCX ce selling pressure. However, t the RSI and the Stochas both are stic neaaring the over sold position, which wou lead to sh r uld hort covering Tu urnover (In Lacs) at lower levels. The ADX lin +DI line and -DI line are moving ne, side eways, indica ating a rang bound tr ge rend. MCX S Silver faces 28/0 06/2012 27/0 06/2012 % Chg. resiistance at 533675, 54570, 55551, 56157 and 5773 while the 37 Gold d 1,31 14,285.4 98 89,562.1 32.81% 3 suppports are plac at 51559, 51029, and 50252 levels. ced Silve er 89 95,402.1 1,04 40,953.1 -1 13.98% MC CRUDE (1 July 12) - Crude open CX 19 ned higher at 4610 level Crud de 1,21 11,657.8 1,05 51,107.4 15.27% 1 and touched an intra-day low of 4618. However, it faile to sustain d w ed high and mov her ved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4448. It Sourc – MCX ce end the day w large losses to close to close at 446 ded with o 60. Global Market (Nym - $) mex The RSI is placed below its average, wh e hich would lea to selling ad 29/0 06/2012 28/0 06/2012 % Chg. presssure. Howev the Stoch ver, placed above its average. hastic is still p Mor reover, the R and the Stochastic b RSI both are placed near the Gold (oz) d 1,565.90 1 1,549.70 1.05% ove sold zone, which would lead to sh er d hort covering and buying Silve (oz) er 26.62 26.25 1.42% suppport at lowe levels. The ADX line and –DI line has again er e e Crud (bbl) de 79.09 77.69 1.80% star rted rising ind dicating selle have star ers rted building fresh shorts and still have an upper hand. It faces re d esistance at 4624, 4720, Dolla Index ar 82.02 81.23 0.97% 485 and 4905 while the supports are pl 55 laced at 4421, 4259 and Sourc – www.cme ce egroup.com 37223. Intra-day Re esistance Intra-day Sup pport Comm modities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 R S1 S2 S3 CRUD JUL 12 DE 4460 4509 4569 4 46 679 484 49 4399 9 4339 4169 GOLD AUG 12 D 29652 29768 2 29 9907 301 161 3055 54 29514 4 29375 28982 SILVE JUL 12 ER 51756 52111 5 52 2561 533 367 5462 23 51305 5 50855 49599 Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US E Economic C Calendar: Friday Monday Tuesday T Thu ursday Frid day Jun 29 Jul 02 Jul 03 Ju 05 ul Jul 06 Pers sonal Income a and ISM Mfg Index M Factory Orders Jobless C Claims Employmen Situation nt Outlays Consumer Sentim ment Construction Motor V Vehicle Sales EIA Petro oleum Status Monster Em mployment Spend ding Report Index Chic cago PMI 4-Wee Bill ek ICSC-GGoldman Store ISM Non-Mfg Index Treasury ST TRIPS Annou uncement Sales Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Discclaimer This document is n for public di not istribution and has been furnis shed to you so olely for your information and must not be re eproduced or redisstributed to any other person. Persons into who possession this document may come are required to obse P ose erve these restr rictions. This material is for t personal info the ormation of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action base upon it. This report is not ed s to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer o solicitation e or woul be illegal. It i for the gener information o clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recomm ld is ral of t mendation or take into account the particular inve estment objectiv tuations, or need of individual clients. ves, financial sit ds We h have reviewed t report, and in so far as it includes current o historical info the or ormation, it is beelieved to be rel liable though its accuracy or s comp pleteness canno be guarantee Neither Keyn ot ed. note Capitals Lt nor any pers connected with it, accepts any liability aris td., son sing from the use of this documen The recipien of this mater should rely on their own inv nt. nts rial vestigations and take their own professional a advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this m material may go up or down. Past performan is not a gu nce uide for future pperformance. Certa transactions -including thos involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investmen grade securit ain s se s nt ties - involve subsstantial risk and are not suitab for all invest d ble tors. Reports ba ased on technic analysis cen cal nters on studyin charts of a stock’s price ng move ement and trad ding volume, as opposed to fo s ocusing on a co ompany’s funda amentals and as such, may no match with a report on a s ot comp pany’s fundame entals. Opinnions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appea d f aring on this maaterial only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the informatio discussed in this material, there may be r s on n regulatory, commpliance, or othe reasons that prevent us fro doing so. er t om Prosspective investo and others are cautioned t ors a that any forward d-looking statemments are not p predictions and may be subjec to change ct witho notice. Our proprietary tr out r rading and inve estment busine esses may ma ake investment decisions that are inconsiste with the t ent recommendations e expressed herein n. We a our affiliates, officers, direc and ctors, and empl loyees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or sh positions in and buy or m hort n, sell t securities th the hereof, of compa (ies) mentio any oned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involvi such securit ing ties and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a mar o rket maker in th financial inst he truments of the company (ies) discussed here or act as ein advis or lender / borrower to such company (ie or have other potential con sor es) nflict of interest with respect to any recomme t o endation and related information a opinions. and The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views express s s e sed in this repo accurately re ort eflect his or he personal view about the er ws subje company or companies an its or their se ect r nd ecurities, and no part of his or her compensa r ation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly y related to specific re ecommendation or views expr ns ressed in this report. No p of this material may be dup part plicated in any fo and/or redis orm stributed withou Keynote Capit ut tals Ltd’s., prior written consent. r Keynot Capitals L te Ltd. The Rub 9th Floor, Senapati Bapa Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. T 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 60 by, at Tel: 088. www.keyynotecapitals.com