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India Morning Note
    a       g
Thur
   rsday, Augu 02, 2012
             ust      2

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                  Views on markets t
                                                                            today
 Nam of Index
   me                   Jul 31       Aug 1    Change (%)
                                                       )   • India markets gained sli
                                                                 an          s           ightly to ex  xtend a wiinning
 Sensex             17,236.18     17,257.38      0.12%       strea to a four day as C
                                                                 ak           rth        Cipla surged after posting a
 CNX Nifty
   X                  5,229.00     5,240.50      0.22%       jump in earning but Coal India slum
                                                                 p           gs,         l           mped after it fuel
                                                                                                                 ts
                                                             suppply agreem ments with utilities sp   parked con ncerns
 BSE Mid-cap          6,012.28     6,069.67      0.95%
                                                             abou its marg
                                                                 ut          gins. Howev ver, gains were limite as
                                                                                                                 ed
 BSE IT               5,345.02     5,327.09     -0.34%
                                                             Chin
                                                                na's manufa  acturing acttivity fell to an eight-m
                                                                                                      o          month
 BSE Banks          11,910.46     11,951.52      0.34%       low, adding to risk avers
                                                                             o           sion ahead of the Fe
                                                                                                      d          ederal
FII A
    Activity                                     (`Cr)       Reseerve's mee  eting yeste erday and the Euro      opean
                                                             Centtral Bank p policy meetting this we  eek. BSE Sensex
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                             rose 21.20 poin or 0.12% up close to 68 points from
                                                                e            nts        %             t          s
 31-Jul                 2,953         2,025        928
                                                             the day's low a and off about 35 point from the day's
                                                                                                      ts
 30-Jul                 2,680         1,473       1206       high. India's merchandise exports de     eclined 5.45 to
                                                                                                                 5%
 Tota Jul
    al                 45,578        38,272       7306       $25..06bn in Ju une 2012 while cumulative value of
 2012 YTD             373,970      320,670       53300       expoorts for the period April
                                                                                         l-June 2012 declined 1.7% to
MF A
   Activity                                       (`Cr)      $75..20bn from a year earlier.

 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net     • Sharres in diese power generators rallied after a two-
                                                                            el
                                                             day blackout in India spurr red hopes of increased sales
                                                                                                      o
 27-Jul                   482          399          83
                                                             of back-up el
                                                                  b          lectricity u
                                                                                        units. Seve   eral constru uction
 26-Jul                   615          359         256
                                                             companies ros   se after Union Road Transport and    t
 Tota Jul
    al                  8,100         9,955       -1855      Highhways Minis ster said that the prop  posed frame  ework
 2012 YTD              71,243        78,943       -7700      of th EPC contract agree
                                                                 he                     ement document will e     enable
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines                                 the contractual framew     work for constructio      on of
                                                             highways in an efficient, e
                                                                            n            economical and compe      etitive
                                      NSE          BSE
                                                             environment. S   Shares in the state miner will be
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                55.09         19.24      vulnerable for mmore falls affter U.K. fun The Child
                                                                                                       nd          dren's
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                     9,000         1,918      Investment Fun Managem
                                                                            nd          ment said that it has f   filed a
 Advances                             966         1,723          tion in the D
                                                             petit           Delhi high ccourt agains a coal mi
                                                                                                      st           inistry
 Declines                             507         1,105      direc
                                                                 ctive in Jannuary mand  dating Coal India reve   erse a
 Unchanged                             72          128       price hike. MCX rose 1.9% after Credi Suisse initiated
                                                                 e          X                          it
                                                             coveerage of the stock with an "outperf
                                                                            e                          form" rating
                                                                                                                  g.
 Tota
    al                              1,545         2,956
                                                           • Markket breadth was posit
                                                                            h           tive at ~1.5
                                                                                                   56x as inveestors
Glob Markets
   bal
                                                             bougght large c cap stocks. On provissional basis FIIs
                                                                                                              s,
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est             Change (%)
                                                       )     bougght equity of `4.41bn while dom mestic institu
                                                                                                              utions
 DJIA
    A                            12,971.06      -0.29%       sold equity of `1
                                                                             1.73bn in ca segmen
                                                                                        ash       nt.
 NAS
   SDAQ                           2,920.21      -0.66%     • Asia trades mi ixed ahead of ECB meet, with Japan
                                                                                      d        m
 Nikk *
    kei                           8,669.54       0.32%       gaining after v
                                                                           various sale and earn
                                                                                      es       nings results and
 Hang Seng *                     19,705.84      -0.58%       Hong Kong shar fell.
                                                                 g          res
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of                                                    • We expect a flat openin for the Indian ma
                                                                                        ng             arkets
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s                                     following the directionless Asian stock
                                                                                                   ks.
                                    Latest     Previous    Econom and Cor
                                                                mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                  velopments
                                                                                           s
                                    Quote         Close
 Indian Rupee per $                  55.47        55.60    • SEBI plans po
                                                                 I         olicy which includes tax break for
                                                                                     h                   ks
                                                             investors & hig
                                                                           gher minimum capitalization norm to
                                                                                                          ms
 Indian Rupee per €                  67.85        68.38
                                                             reviv mutual fu
                                                                 ve        unds indust
                                                                                     try.
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              88.82        88.91
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                             1,602.80     1,603.70    • Cabi
                                                                inet to cons
                                                                           sider discussions on lan acquisitio bill
                                                                                                  nd         on
                                                             next week.
                                                                t
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                              27.42        27.54
                                                           • Gove
                                                                ernment to take a call on 2G price today.
                                                                                                 e

Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                      (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net)             (+91222-3026600  00)
                                      Keyynote Capita Research is also available on
                                                     als        h
Bloo
   omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho
               E             omson One A Analytics, Re
                                                     euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa
                                                                             tal        arkets.com and securitie
                                                                                                   a           es.com
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                            utional Resea
                                        arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business
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TOP GAINERS                                         Buzzin Stocks
                                                         ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                • Stat Bank of India cut a
                                                         te                  auto loan ra
                                                                                        ates to 10.75%
                   Previous   Currennt   Change       from 11.25% e
                                                         m        effective fr
                                                                             rom August 7. It also cut
                                                                                        t
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)       hom loan rate up to `3 lakh to 10.25% and on
                                                         me       es         30                   d
 Century Tex        290.25
                         5     307.75      6.03       hom loans abo
                                                         me       ove `75 lakh to 10.4% from 11%.
                                                                              h
 REC
   C                188.05
                         5     198.90      5.77
                                                    • Sources indicate that De  eccan Chron nicle promo
                                                                                                      oters
 Bharat Elect      1160.55
                         5    1219.05      5.04       fudg
                                                         ged owners   ship details to pledg shares. The
                                                                                 s          ge
 Cipla              338.55
                         5     353.45      4.40       shar
                                                         res of Decc can are currrently pledg
                                                                                            ged with Fu
                                                                                                      uture
 TTK Prestige      3565.65
                         5    3722.05      4.39       Capital. It is a
                                                                     also said that they forrged depository
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                  Karv
                                                         vy’s letter h
                                                                     head.
                                                    • Hero MotoCor
                                                          o         rp’s total sales came in be  elow
                   Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                         estimates, dow 1.5% ye
                                                                   wn         ear on yea at 4.84 lakh
                                                                                       ar
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
 BAS India
   SF               558.70     629.15     12.61       unit versus 4.9 lakh unit
                                                         ts         91        ts.
 Dew
   wan Housing      145.00     158.50       9.31    • Ambbuja Cemen  nts' July production ca ame in at 1.69
 Relig
     gare Enter     331.05     357.95       8.13      million tonne ve
                                                                     ersus 1.67 mmillion tonne year on year.
 Elan
    ntas Beck-$    1398.85    1487.20       6.32    • Jet fuel prices hiked for second time in a month by
                                                          f                               e
 Century Tex        290.25     307.75       6.03      4.5% effective A
                                                          %           August 1.
                                                    • IOB to come u with $50
                                                                  up       00mn bond issue with a
                                                                                              hin
TOP LOSERS
                                                      monnth.
(BSE A-Group)
   E
                                                    • CCI approves Saurashtra Chemicals' merger Into
                                                                            a
                   Previous   Currennt   Change       Nirm
                                                         ma.
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
 Coal India         359.30
                         0    349.50
                                   0       -2.73    • First
                                                          tsource to r
                                                                     raise `416Cr via ECB.
                                                                                r
 HPC
   CL               344.25
                         5    336.00
                                   0       -2.40    • 3 Esssar firms including Es
                                                                                ssar Shippin can now bid
                                                                                           ng      w
 ONG
   GC               285.80
                         0    280.25
                                   5       -1.94      for ONGC tende
                                                          O          ers.
 NHP
   PC                18.25
                         5      17.90
                                    0      -1.92    US markets
 Jain Irrigation     81.00
                         0      79.50
                                    0      -1.85
                                                    U.S. st          Wednesday after the Federal Reserve
                                                          tocks fell W                    F
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                held pat on mon
                                                          p          netary polic and pav
                                                                                 cy      ved the way to
                                                    further stimulus, w
                                                          r           with investo bracing for a gathe
                                                                                 ors                 ering
                   Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                       of Euro
                                                          opean centr bankers.
                                                                     ral
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
 Glod
    dyne Tech       197.65     187.80      -4.98
 Shre Global Trd
    ee         d     73.35      70.20      -4.29
 Motilal Oswal      101.20      98.50      -2.67
 AIA Engineering    316.95     309.00      -2.51
 Infot
     tech Enter     177.15     172.75      -2.48




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                  (resea
                                                arch@keyno
                                                         otecapitals.net)             (+912
                                                                                          22-3026600
                                                                                                   00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c

   Countries /              Thursday                     Fr
                                                          riday                    Monday
                                                                                   M                          Tuesday
                                                                                                              T

   Reg
     gions                    2-A
                                Aug                      3-Aug                      6-Aug
                                                                                    6                          7-Aug

   Ind
     dia                                        Forex Res
                                                        serves Data
                                                                  a

                                                Bank Loa Growth
                                                       an




   US                Initial Jobless Claims     Average Hourly                                         Consum Credit
                                                                                                            mer
                                                Earnings (YoY) &                                       Change
                                                                                                            e
                                                Average Weekly
                                                Hours

                     Factory Orders             Nonfarm Payrolls &
                     (MoM)                      Unemployment Rate  e

                                                ISM Non-
                                                Manufact
                                                       turing PMI

   Glo
     obal            UK's Halifa House
                               ax               UK Marke Services
                                                       et                  Japan Ind
                                                                                   dustrial            UK's Industrial
                     Prices (Mo
                              oM)               PMI                        Production Data             Producttion (MoM)
                                                                                                       and (Yo
                                                                                                             oY)

                     UK's BoE I
                              Interest          Germany Market
                                                        y                  UK's BRC Retail
                                                                                  C                    UK's Manufacturing
                     Rate Decis
                              sion              Services PMI               Sales Mo
                                                                                  onitor - (YoY
                                                                                              Y)       Product
                                                                                                             tion (MoM)
                                                                                                       and (Yo
                                                                                                             oY)

                                                                           Eurozone's Sentix
                                                                           Investor Confidence
                                                                                             e




                                           KEYN
                                              NOTE CAPITTALS LTD.
                       The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028
                             by,      or,                                   ai        8
                                    Tel. : +9
                                            9122-30266
                                                     6000         •   www
                                                                        w.keynotec
                                                                                 capitals.com
                                                                                            m

Disclaiimer: This re
                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before
       e            e             s           m                                     e                         o             nt
acting on the conteents of this re
                                 eport. The rep
                                              port has not been edited due to time c
                                                                       d            constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note august 2-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Thur rsday, Augu 02, 2012 ust 2 Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today Nam of Index me Jul 31 Aug 1 Change (%) ) • India markets gained sli an s ightly to ex xtend a wiinning Sensex 17,236.18 17,257.38 0.12% strea to a four day as C ak rth Cipla surged after posting a CNX Nifty X 5,229.00 5,240.50 0.22% jump in earning but Coal India slum p gs, l mped after it fuel ts suppply agreem ments with utilities sp parked con ncerns BSE Mid-cap 6,012.28 6,069.67 0.95% abou its marg ut gins. Howev ver, gains were limite as ed BSE IT 5,345.02 5,327.09 -0.34% Chin na's manufa acturing acttivity fell to an eight-m o month BSE Banks 11,910.46 11,951.52 0.34% low, adding to risk avers o sion ahead of the Fe d ederal FII A Activity (`Cr) Reseerve's mee eting yeste erday and the Euro opean Centtral Bank p policy meetting this we eek. BSE Sensex Date e Buy Sell Net rose 21.20 poin or 0.12% up close to 68 points from e nts % t s 31-Jul 2,953 2,025 928 the day's low a and off about 35 point from the day's ts 30-Jul 2,680 1,473 1206 high. India's merchandise exports de eclined 5.45 to 5% Tota Jul al 45,578 38,272 7306 $25..06bn in Ju une 2012 while cumulative value of 2012 YTD 373,970 320,670 53300 expoorts for the period April l-June 2012 declined 1.7% to MF A Activity (`Cr) $75..20bn from a year earlier. Date e Buy Sell Net • Sharres in diese power generators rallied after a two- el day blackout in India spurr red hopes of increased sales o 27-Jul 482 399 83 of back-up el b lectricity u units. Seve eral constru uction 26-Jul 615 359 256 companies ros se after Union Road Transport and t Tota Jul al 8,100 9,955 -1855 Highhways Minis ster said that the prop posed frame ework 2012 YTD 71,243 78,943 -7700 of th EPC contract agree he ement document will e enable Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines the contractual framew work for constructio on of highways in an efficient, e n economical and compe etitive NSE BSE environment. S Shares in the state miner will be Trad ding Volume (Cr) 55.09 19.24 vulnerable for mmore falls affter U.K. fun The Child nd dren's Turn nover (`Cr) 9,000 1,918 Investment Fun Managem nd ment said that it has f filed a Advances 966 1,723 tion in the D petit Delhi high ccourt agains a coal mi st inistry Declines 507 1,105 direc ctive in Jannuary mand dating Coal India reve erse a Unchanged 72 128 price hike. MCX rose 1.9% after Credi Suisse initiated e X it coveerage of the stock with an "outperf e form" rating g. Tota al 1,545 2,956 • Markket breadth was posit h tive at ~1.5 56x as inveestors Glob Markets bal bougght large c cap stocks. On provissional basis FIIs s, Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) bougght equity of `4.41bn while dom mestic institu utions DJIA A 12,971.06 -0.29% sold equity of `1 1.73bn in ca segmen ash nt. NAS SDAQ 2,920.21 -0.66% • Asia trades mi ixed ahead of ECB meet, with Japan d m Nikk * kei 8,669.54 0.32% gaining after v various sale and earn es nings results and Hang Seng * 19,705.84 -0.58% Hong Kong shar fell. g res * as o 8.25AM IST of • We expect a flat openin for the Indian ma ng arkets Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s following the directionless Asian stock ks. Latest Previous Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s Quote Close Indian Rupee per $ 55.47 55.60 • SEBI plans po I olicy which includes tax break for h ks investors & hig gher minimum capitalization norm to ms Indian Rupee per € 67.85 68.38 reviv mutual fu ve unds indust try. NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 88.82 88.91 Gold ($/oz) d 1,602.80 1,603.70 • Cabi inet to cons sider discussions on lan acquisitio bill nd on next week. t Silve ($/oz) er 27.42 27.54 • Gove ernment to take a call on 2G price today. e Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • Stat Bank of India cut a te auto loan ra ates to 10.75% Previous Currennt Change from 11.25% e m effective fr rom August 7. It also cut t Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) hom loan rate up to `3 lakh to 10.25% and on me es 30 d Century Tex 290.25 5 307.75 6.03 hom loans abo me ove `75 lakh to 10.4% from 11%. h REC C 188.05 5 198.90 5.77 • Sources indicate that De eccan Chron nicle promo oters Bharat Elect 1160.55 5 1219.05 5.04 fudg ged owners ship details to pledg shares. The s ge Cipla 338.55 5 353.45 4.40 shar res of Decc can are currrently pledg ged with Fu uture TTK Prestige 3565.65 5 3722.05 4.39 Capital. It is a also said that they forrged depository (BSE Mid-Cap) E Karv vy’s letter h head. • Hero MotoCor o rp’s total sales came in be elow Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e estimates, dow 1.5% ye wn ear on yea at 4.84 lakh ar Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) BAS India SF 558.70 629.15 12.61 unit versus 4.9 lakh unit ts 91 ts. Dew wan Housing 145.00 158.50 9.31 • Ambbuja Cemen nts' July production ca ame in at 1.69 Relig gare Enter 331.05 357.95 8.13 million tonne ve ersus 1.67 mmillion tonne year on year. Elan ntas Beck-$ 1398.85 1487.20 6.32 • Jet fuel prices hiked for second time in a month by f e Century Tex 290.25 307.75 6.03 4.5% effective A % August 1. • IOB to come u with $50 up 00mn bond issue with a hin TOP LOSERS monnth. (BSE A-Group) E • CCI approves Saurashtra Chemicals' merger Into a Previous Currennt Change Nirm ma. Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Coal India 359.30 0 349.50 0 -2.73 • First tsource to r raise `416Cr via ECB. r HPC CL 344.25 5 336.00 0 -2.40 • 3 Esssar firms including Es ssar Shippin can now bid ng w ONG GC 285.80 0 280.25 5 -1.94 for ONGC tende O ers. NHP PC 18.25 5 17.90 0 -1.92 US markets Jain Irrigation 81.00 0 79.50 0 -1.85 U.S. st Wednesday after the Federal Reserve tocks fell W F (BSE Mid-Cap) E held pat on mon p netary polic and pav cy ved the way to further stimulus, w r with investo bracing for a gathe ors ering Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e of Euro opean centr bankers. ral Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Glod dyne Tech 197.65 187.80 -4.98 Shre Global Trd ee d 73.35 70.20 -4.29 Motilal Oswal 101.20 98.50 -2.67 AIA Engineering 316.95 309.00 -2.51 Infot tech Enter 177.15 172.75 -2.48 Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Thursday Fr riday Monday M Tuesday T Reg gions 2-A Aug 3-Aug 6-Aug 6 7-Aug Ind dia Forex Res serves Data a Bank Loa Growth an US Initial Jobless Claims Average Hourly Consum Credit mer Earnings (YoY) & Change e Average Weekly Hours Factory Orders Nonfarm Payrolls & (MoM) Unemployment Rate e ISM Non- Manufact turing PMI Glo obal UK's Halifa House ax UK Marke Services et Japan Ind dustrial UK's Industrial Prices (Mo oM) PMI Production Data Producttion (MoM) and (Yo oY) UK's BoE I Interest Germany Market y UK's BRC Retail C UK's Manufacturing Rate Decis sion Services PMI Sales Mo onitor - (YoY Y) Product tion (MoM) and (Yo oY) Eurozone's Sentix Investor Confidence e KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.