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India Morning Note
    a       g
Tues
   sday, July 03 2012
               3,

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                   Views on markets t
                                                                             today
 Nam of Index
   me                   Jun 29         Jul 2   Change (%)
                                                        )   • India markets fell yester
                                                                  an                   rday, snappping four da
                                                                                                             ays of
                                                              gains, due to profit boo  oking in the fast m moving
 Sensex             17,429.98     17,398.98      -0.18%
                                                              conssumer good stocks, led by declines in ciga
                                                                            ds                                arette
 CNX Nifty
   X                  5,278.90     5,278.60      -0.01%
                                                              mak ITC and the countr
                                                                 ker                   ry's largest consumer goods
 BSE Mid-cap          6,153.72     6,209.24       0.90%       makker, Hindust
                                                                            tan Unilever Investors booked profit in
                                                                                        r.
 BSE IT               5,765.16     5,749.48      -0.27%       the market afte a big rally on Friday due to bad cues
                                                                            er          y                    d
 BSE Banks          11,908.71     11,987.67       0.66%       on monsoon and oil prices. Broader ma           arkets
FII A
    Activity                                      (`Cr)          perform the Sensex a BSE Mid-Cap index rose
                                                              outp          e          as                    x
                                                              0.90 and BSE Small-Cap index gaine 1.09%.
                                                                 0%                                ed
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell         Net
                                                            • Meta stocks we mostly higher as LMEX, a gau
                                                                  al          ere                 L             uge of
 29-Jun                 2,065         3,155        -1090
                                                              six metals traded on the London Metal Exch        hange
 28-Jun                 4,034         4,729         -695      jumpped 3.85% on Friday, 29 June 20  012. Most p   power
 Tota Jun
    al                 40,491        41,420         -928      geneeration stocks extendded recent gains as lower
 2012 YTD             323,525      282,515        41010       inter
                                                                  rnational co prices co
                                                                             oal       ould boost profitability.
                                                                                                  p
MF A
   Activity                                        (`Cr)    • Repoorts of a higher value added tax on cigarett
                                                                                                             tes by
                                                              the Uttar Pradeesh governmment weighe on ITC stocks.
                                                                                                   ed
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell         Net
                                                              Maru Suzuki ro
                                                                  uti         ose 0.8%, b
                                                                                        bucking the weak trend seen
                                                                                                             d
 29-Jun                   717          580          137       amoong peers, after report ting 20% growth in vehicle
                                                                                                   g
 28-Jun                   808          456          352       sales for the mo
                                                                  s          onth of June
                                                                                        e.
 Tota Jun
    al                  9,279         8,657        6211     • Adan Enterpris
                                                                  ni           ses rose 5.7 after its Australian chief
                                                                                          7%        s
 2012 YTD              63,143        68,988        -5845      said that the company aim to start building its first
                                                                                          ms
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines                                  Austtralian coal mine in July 2013, at an expected cost
                                                                                          y          a          d
                                                              of ar
                                                                  round $4bn so it can produce 23 million ton
                                                                               n,                              nnes a
                                      NSE           BSE
                                                              year in its first y
                                                                  r             year.
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                70.03          23.07
                                                            • Markket breadth was how
                                                                              h         wever strong at ~1.75 as
                                                                                                              5x
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                     9,739          1,979
                                                              investors boug ght small and mid cap stocks On  s.
 Advances                             991          1,807         visional basis, FIIs bought equity of `5.91bn while
                                                              prov
 Declines                             501          1,033      dommestic institu
                                                                              utions sold equity of `4.47bn in cash
 Unchanged                             60           108       segmment.
 Tota
    al                              1,552          2,948    • Asian stocks ar higher today, followi
                                                                            re                    ing a recovery in
Glob Markets
   bal                                                        the US markets and gains in proper  rty and res
                                                                                                            source
                                                              stocks.
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est              Change (%)
                                                        )
                                                            • We expect a po ositive open
                                                                                        ning for the Indian ma
                                                                                                   e         arkets,
 DJIA
    A                            12,871.39       -0.07%
                                                                  king the cue from the Asian mark
                                                              track          es                    kets.
 NAS
   SDAQ                           2,951.23        0.55%
                                                            Econom and Cor
                                                                 mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                   velopments
                                                                                            s
 Nikk *
    kei                           9,072.17        0.76%
                                                            • India will launc the $40 billion seco
                                                                  a          ch                   ond phase of its
 Hang Seng *                     19,756.91        1.62%
                                                              urba renewal mission in about four months, Urban
                                                                 an
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of                                                       Deveelopment Minister Ka amal Nath told dele egates
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s                                      attending the World Citie Summit. The Jawa
                                                                                       es         .        aharlal
                                    Latest      Previous      Nehrru Nationa Urban R
                                                                             al       Renewal Mission (JNN NURM)
                                    Quote          Close      phas II would be carried o over the next five years
                                                                  se                    out
 Indian Rupee per $                  55.38         55.64      as India work to cove its infrastructure d
                                                                             ks       er                    deficit
 Indian Rupee per €                  69.70         70.45      throughout th  he country and manage ma
                                                                                      y          m         assive
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              84.08         83.75
                                                                 anisation pro
                                                              urba            ogrammes.
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                             1,600.00      1,597.70    • India exports declined by 4.16% yea
                                                                  a's                 y         ar-on-year in May
                                                                                                            n
                                                              this year to $25.68bn, mainly due to de
                                                                                                d          emand
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                              27.66         27.47
                                                                 wdown in the western m
                                                              slow          e         markets.


Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                      (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net)             (+91222-3026600  00)
                                      Keyynote Capita Research is also available on
                                                     als        h
Bloo
   omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho
               E             omson One A Analytics, Re
                                                     euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa
                                                                             tal        arkets.com and securitie
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TOP GAINERS                                         Buzzin Stocks
                                                         ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                • Cadila Pharmac
                                                                   ceuticals ha decided to go slow o its
                                                                              as        t          on
                   Previous   Currennt   Change       plan to come up with a manufacturing plan at
                                                         ns        e                               nt
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)       Rwaanda in paartnership wwith US based Holtz zman
 Pant
    taloon Retl     181.95
                         5     193.10      6.13       Grou
                                                         up.
 Unit
    tech             22.05
                         5      23.40      6.12
                                                    • GMR Infrastruct
                                                          R          ture has sw
                                                                               wapped its 30% holding in a
                                                                                          3
 Adani Enter        222.25
                         5     234.40      5.47       coal mining co
                                                           l        ompany tha is listed in Indonesi to
                                                                               at                    ia
 NMD
   DC               186.25
                         5     196.10      5.29       another company listed in Singapore. The Singap
                                                                                                    pore-
 JUBL FOOD
    L              1165.85
                         5    1224.30      5.01       liste United Fibre System is an entity owned by the
                                                          ed                   m                    y
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                  Indo          oup, in whic GMR ha acquired the
                                                          onesian gro           ch        ad
                                                      stakke.
                   Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                       • Grassim Industries said it m
                                                                                 might suspe end staple f
                                                                                                        fibre
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
 Prism Cement
     m               48.70      52.85       8.52      prodduction at its Nagda plant in Madhya Prad
                                                                                            M           desh
 Pant
    taloon Retl     181.95     193.10       6.13      from Tuesday d
                                                         m            due to wate shortage "Due to d
                                                                                 er         e.         delay
 Unit
    tech             22.05      23.40       6.12      in onset of monsoon a       and consequential w  water
 Dew
   wan Housing      165.00     174.50       5.76      shorrtage, the ccompany ha to curtail productio at
                                                                                  as                   on
                                                      its stable fibre plant loca
                                                          s          e           ated at Naggda from Ju 1
                                                                                                       uly
 JUBL FOOD
    L              1165.85    1224.30       5.01
                                                      and the said plant is likely to be close from July 3,”
                                                                                 y           ed         y
TOP LOSERS                                            Grassim said in a filing to the Bombay S
                                                                                 g                     Stock
                                                      Exchhange.
(BSE A-Group)
   E
                                                    • Goddrej Propert
                                                                    ties created a `770C developm
                                                                                d        Cr          ment
                   Previous   Currennt   Change       fund with a c
                                                         d          clutch of gglobal inves
                                                                                          stors, including
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
                                                      Dutc pension services pr
                                                          ch                   rovider APG and Sparinnvest
 ITC                258.95
                         5    250.10
                                   0       -3.42
                                                      Prop
                                                         perty Fund II, to develo residential propertie in
                                                                                op                    es
 Jinda Steel
     al             469.50
                         0    457.80
                                   0       -2.49
                                                      India.
 Man
   nap Gen Fin       31.35
                         5      30.60
                                    0      -2.39
                                                    • The Delhi High Court on Monday dismissed a writ
                                                                     h
 Cum
   mmins India      455.40
                         0    444.80
                                   0       -2.33
                                                      petition agains a `400Cr penalty no
                                                                     st          r          otice served by
                                                                                                        d
 Asho Leyland
    ok               24.95
                         5      24.45
                                    5      -2.00
                                                      the power proc curers of the proposed Krishnapat
                                                                                  e                    tnam
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                  ultra mega pow project (UMPP). Fol
                                                          a          wer                    llowing the high
                   Previous   Currennt   Change       court judgeme  ent, the proocurers wou uld encash the
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                         bank guarante of Coast
                                                                     ee           tal Andhra Power Limmited
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
 Amt
   tek India        103.85     100.35      -3.37      (CAPPL), Relianc Power’s w
                                                                     ce         wholly-owne subsidiary
                                                                                            ed          y.
 VST Inds
   T               1762.15    1710.20      -2.95    US markets
 EID Parry          177.40     172.95      -2.51
                                                    Dow Jo ones finishe slightly lo
                                                                      ed          ower, thoug recovere in
                                                                                              gh         ed
 Info Edge India    367.05     358.00      -2.47
                                                    last session, after data showe that U.S. manufactu
                                                                                  ed                     uring
 Man
   nap Gen Fin       31.35      30.60      -2.39    activity shrank in June for the first time in three ye
                                                           y                                             ears,
                                                    but the Nasdaq C
                                                           e          Composite aand S&P 50 index po
                                                                                             00         osted
                                                    modest gains.




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                  (resea
                                                arch@keyno
                                                         otecapitals.net)              (+912
                                                                                           22-3026600
                                                                                                    00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c
        Countries /                  Tuesday
                                           y                          We
                                                                       ednesday                          Thurs
                                                                                                             sday

   Reg
     gions                             3-Jul                             4-Jul                              5-Ju
                                                                                                               ul

   Ind
     dia




   US                     Factor Orders (M
                               ry        MoM)               PMI Index services                MBA Mortgage
                                                                                                 A           e
                                                                                              Appplications (Ju 23)
                                                                                                              un
                                                                                              Conntinuing & Initial Jobless
                                                                                              Claims (Jun 24)
                                                                                              ISM Non-Manufacturing
                                                                                                M
                                                                                              PMI (Jun)
                                                                                                 I
   Glo
     obal                 UK's C
                               Consumer C
                                        Credit              Germany PMI Index
                                                                     P                        UK BoE Interes Rate
                                                                                                             st
                                                            services                          Deccision
                          UK's M Money S
                               M4       Supply                                                Eur
                                                                                                ropean Monetary Union    n
                          (MoM) and (YoY)
                               )                                                              ECB Interest Rate Decision
                                                                                                 B                        n




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                                              NOTE CAPITTALS LTD.
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Disclaiimer: This re
                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before
       e            e             s           m                                     e                         o             nt
acting on the conteents of this re
                                 eport. The rep
                                              port has not been edited due to time c
                                                                       d            constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note july 3-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Tues sday, July 03 2012 3, Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today Nam of Index me Jun 29 Jul 2 Change (%) ) • India markets fell yester an rday, snappping four da ays of gains, due to profit boo oking in the fast m moving Sensex 17,429.98 17,398.98 -0.18% conssumer good stocks, led by declines in ciga ds arette CNX Nifty X 5,278.90 5,278.60 -0.01% mak ITC and the countr ker ry's largest consumer goods BSE Mid-cap 6,153.72 6,209.24 0.90% makker, Hindust tan Unilever Investors booked profit in r. BSE IT 5,765.16 5,749.48 -0.27% the market afte a big rally on Friday due to bad cues er y d BSE Banks 11,908.71 11,987.67 0.66% on monsoon and oil prices. Broader ma arkets FII A Activity (`Cr) perform the Sensex a BSE Mid-Cap index rose outp e as x 0.90 and BSE Small-Cap index gaine 1.09%. 0% ed Date e Buy Sell Net • Meta stocks we mostly higher as LMEX, a gau al ere L uge of 29-Jun 2,065 3,155 -1090 six metals traded on the London Metal Exch hange 28-Jun 4,034 4,729 -695 jumpped 3.85% on Friday, 29 June 20 012. Most p power Tota Jun al 40,491 41,420 -928 geneeration stocks extendded recent gains as lower 2012 YTD 323,525 282,515 41010 inter rnational co prices co oal ould boost profitability. p MF A Activity (`Cr) • Repoorts of a higher value added tax on cigarett tes by the Uttar Pradeesh governmment weighe on ITC stocks. ed Date e Buy Sell Net Maru Suzuki ro uti ose 0.8%, b bucking the weak trend seen d 29-Jun 717 580 137 amoong peers, after report ting 20% growth in vehicle g 28-Jun 808 456 352 sales for the mo s onth of June e. Tota Jun al 9,279 8,657 6211 • Adan Enterpris ni ses rose 5.7 after its Australian chief 7% s 2012 YTD 63,143 68,988 -5845 said that the company aim to start building its first ms Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines Austtralian coal mine in July 2013, at an expected cost y a d of ar round $4bn so it can produce 23 million ton n, nnes a NSE BSE year in its first y r year. Trad ding Volume (Cr) 70.03 23.07 • Markket breadth was how h wever strong at ~1.75 as 5x Turn nover (`Cr) 9,739 1,979 investors boug ght small and mid cap stocks On s. Advances 991 1,807 visional basis, FIIs bought equity of `5.91bn while prov Declines 501 1,033 dommestic institu utions sold equity of `4.47bn in cash Unchanged 60 108 segmment. Tota al 1,552 2,948 • Asian stocks ar higher today, followi re ing a recovery in Glob Markets bal the US markets and gains in proper rty and res source stocks. Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) • We expect a po ositive open ning for the Indian ma e arkets, DJIA A 12,871.39 -0.07% king the cue from the Asian mark track es kets. NAS SDAQ 2,951.23 0.55% Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s Nikk * kei 9,072.17 0.76% • India will launc the $40 billion seco a ch ond phase of its Hang Seng * 19,756.91 1.62% urba renewal mission in about four months, Urban an * as o 8.25AM IST of Deveelopment Minister Ka amal Nath told dele egates Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s attending the World Citie Summit. The Jawa es . aharlal Latest Previous Nehrru Nationa Urban R al Renewal Mission (JNN NURM) Quote Close phas II would be carried o over the next five years se out Indian Rupee per $ 55.38 55.64 as India work to cove its infrastructure d ks er deficit Indian Rupee per € 69.70 70.45 throughout th he country and manage ma y m assive NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 84.08 83.75 anisation pro urba ogrammes. Gold ($/oz) d 1,600.00 1,597.70 • India exports declined by 4.16% yea a's y ar-on-year in May n this year to $25.68bn, mainly due to de d emand Silve ($/oz) er 27.66 27.47 wdown in the western m slow e markets. Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • Cadila Pharmac ceuticals ha decided to go slow o its as t on Previous Currennt Change plan to come up with a manufacturing plan at ns e nt Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Rwaanda in paartnership wwith US based Holtz zman Pant taloon Retl 181.95 5 193.10 6.13 Grou up. Unit tech 22.05 5 23.40 6.12 • GMR Infrastruct R ture has sw wapped its 30% holding in a 3 Adani Enter 222.25 5 234.40 5.47 coal mining co l ompany tha is listed in Indonesi to at ia NMD DC 186.25 5 196.10 5.29 another company listed in Singapore. The Singap pore- JUBL FOOD L 1165.85 5 1224.30 5.01 liste United Fibre System is an entity owned by the ed m y (BSE Mid-Cap) E Indo oup, in whic GMR ha acquired the onesian gro ch ad stakke. Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e • Grassim Industries said it m might suspe end staple f fibre Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Prism Cement m 48.70 52.85 8.52 prodduction at its Nagda plant in Madhya Prad M desh Pant taloon Retl 181.95 193.10 6.13 from Tuesday d m due to wate shortage "Due to d er e. delay Unit tech 22.05 23.40 6.12 in onset of monsoon a and consequential w water Dew wan Housing 165.00 174.50 5.76 shorrtage, the ccompany ha to curtail productio at as on its stable fibre plant loca s e ated at Naggda from Ju 1 uly JUBL FOOD L 1165.85 1224.30 5.01 and the said plant is likely to be close from July 3,” y ed y TOP LOSERS Grassim said in a filing to the Bombay S g Stock Exchhange. (BSE A-Group) E • Goddrej Propert ties created a `770C developm d Cr ment Previous Currennt Change fund with a c d clutch of gglobal inves stors, including Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Dutc pension services pr ch rovider APG and Sparinnvest ITC 258.95 5 250.10 0 -3.42 Prop perty Fund II, to develo residential propertie in op es Jinda Steel al 469.50 0 457.80 0 -2.49 India. Man nap Gen Fin 31.35 5 30.60 0 -2.39 • The Delhi High Court on Monday dismissed a writ h Cum mmins India 455.40 0 444.80 0 -2.33 petition agains a `400Cr penalty no st r otice served by d Asho Leyland ok 24.95 5 24.45 5 -2.00 the power proc curers of the proposed Krishnapat e tnam (BSE Mid-Cap) E ultra mega pow project (UMPP). Fol a wer llowing the high Previous Currennt Change court judgeme ent, the proocurers wou uld encash the Com mpany Name e bank guarante of Coast ee tal Andhra Power Limmited Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Amt tek India 103.85 100.35 -3.37 (CAPPL), Relianc Power’s w ce wholly-owne subsidiary ed y. VST Inds T 1762.15 1710.20 -2.95 US markets EID Parry 177.40 172.95 -2.51 Dow Jo ones finishe slightly lo ed ower, thoug recovere in gh ed Info Edge India 367.05 358.00 -2.47 last session, after data showe that U.S. manufactu ed uring Man nap Gen Fin 31.35 30.60 -2.39 activity shrank in June for the first time in three ye y ears, but the Nasdaq C e Composite aand S&P 50 index po 00 osted modest gains. Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Tuesday y We ednesday Thurs sday Reg gions 3-Jul 4-Jul 5-Ju ul Ind dia US Factor Orders (M ry MoM) PMI Index services MBA Mortgage A e Appplications (Ju 23) un Conntinuing & Initial Jobless Claims (Jun 24) ISM Non-Manufacturing M PMI (Jun) I Glo obal UK's C Consumer C Credit Germany PMI Index P UK BoE Interes Rate st services Deccision UK's M Money S M4 Supply Eur ropean Monetary Union n (MoM) and (YoY) ) ECB Interest Rate Decision B n KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.