Amazonas Workshop:
             Readiness for REDD

Experiences from Papua, Indonesia


John Eckford
Senior Analyst
New Forests Advisory Inc
+1-415-321-3301
mmeizlish@newforests.com.au




                     Wednesday, March 18, 2009
                  South-South Collaboration Workshop
                          Amazonas, Brazil             1
Outline

1. Introduction to New Forests
2. Context for Papua Project
3. Papua project summary
4. Project characteristics
   a)   Governance
   b)   Baseline
   c)   Consultation / social
   d)   Link to national strategies
   e)   Distribution of benefits
   f)   Financing

5. Lessons learned & conclusions

                                                2
1. New Forests
• Private for-profit forest investment management and advisory
  services firm
• Headquartered in Sydney, Australia, with offices in Washington,
  D.C., San Francisco and Kota Kinabalu, Malaysia
• Investments primarily in Australia, New Zealand and the Asia
  Pacific region
• REDD: began studying in 2007 and developing the Papua
  project in 2008; hope to achieve certification (Voluntary Carbon
  Standard) in 2009
• Developing other smaller REDD projects as part of larger
  investments




                                                                 3
2. Papua Project Context




                           4
2. Papua Project Context: Deforestation Drivers




• 90% of world’s palm oil exports come from Malaysia & Indonesia
• 300,000 ha converted per year globally
• Luxury products (cosmetics, shampoos, food) & biofuels
                                                             5
2. Papua Project Context: REDD Markets
                                                   Mechanism
    Driver         Scope
                                       Project-Level         Country/State-Level
                                        (“market”)             (“non-market”)

                International     CDM – Only Reforestation   Forest Stock Change
                 (UNFCCC)            REDD post-2012 ?         REDD post-2012 – ?

  Regulatory
                                       Reforestation
                   Domestic                                    Reforestation /
                                    Forest Management
               (e.g. RGGI, WCI)                                Deforestation
                                          REDD – ?


                                       Reforestation
                 Businesses /
  Voluntary                         Forest Management           Not relevant
                 Individuals
                                            REDD



• Voluntary market projects can move the REDD market forward
  while complex regulatory mechanisms are negotiated
• Develop technical methodologies and new business models
• Ultimately, REDD will survive or fail in regulatory markets                  6
3. Papua Project Summary
• Began with Memorandum of Understanding between
  Governor Suebu & New Forests, May 2008
• Government nominated 3 concession areas – 2 were
  prioritized after desktop review
• June 2008, site visits to begin feasibility and project design

                                        Mamberamo




                        Mimika



                                                                   7
3. Papua Project Summary
• Mamberamo
  o REDD site is114,750 hectares
  o 50% under risk of conversion
  o Mamberamo Basin (8M ha) is largest
    & least disturbed tropical humid forest
    in Asia Pacific
  o Low population density (12,000 people
    in Basin)
  o 95% forested – low deforestation rate




                                              8
3. Papua Project Summary
• Mimika
  o REDD site is111,344 hectares
  o 33% under risk of conversion
  o Borders the Freeport mine and
    Lorentz National Park
  o Low population density (<1000
    people)
  o Limited road access but encroaching
    development in the regency




                                          9
3. Papua Project Summary
• Project framework
   o Baseline assumes conversion to palm
   o Approximately 28MtCO2e conserved under project scenario
   o Voluntary carbon sales – Voluntary Carbon Standard (VCS) &
     Climate, Community & Biodiversity Alliance Standards (CCBA)
   o Revenues to local foundation, government & investors
   o Local partner with political & implementation experience




                                                                   10
Still awake?




               11
4a. Governance
• MOU for joint development of
  REDD project: “commercially
  sustainable model for forest
  conservation and community
  development”
• Applying for provincial license
  that will grant carbon rights to
  New Forests                             Gov. Suebu signing MOU, May 2008


• Term sheet defines financial arrangements
• Regency and district governments provide local political and
  logistical support
• Papua Carbon Foundation receives revenue from credit sales
  to fund community development & forest protection activities
   o Governed by Advisory Committee with local stakeholders and
     relevant experts                                                        12
4b. Baseline
Characteristic    Baseline Assumption
Threat of         Zoning for conversion (VCS: “Avoiding Planned
Deforestation     Deforestation”) – palm oil developers already
                  surveying areas & province has authority to
                  grant conversion licenses
Rate of           Mamberamo: 60,000ha converted 2012-2022
Deforestation
                  Mimika: 37,000ha converted 2010-2020

Carbon Stock      792tCO2/ha (literature & field data)
Baseline Carbon   Sequestration in growing palm plantation
                  subtracted from project carbon stock

Leakage           Monitoring total areas zoned for conversion,
                  rate and likelihood of conversion



                                                                 13
4b. Baseline
                            • No existing methodologies for
                              Avoiding Planned Deforestation -
                              areas with low rates of historical
                              deforestation require technical rigor
                            • Other areas of province have higher
                              deforestation rates but causal “link”
                              needs to be established
                            • Limited data and existing quantitative
                              analysis of deforestation drivers
Where we are now:
•   Understanding data requirements needed to establish biophysical and
    economic feasibility of conversion
•   Understanding modeling requirements to demonstrate likely rates of
    deforestation
•   Evaluating in-house capabilities and resource needs
                                                                    14
4c. Consultation Process
• Dozens of small villages in both project areas – primarily small
  scale agriculture, sago palm harvesting, hunting & fishing
• Loosely organized through district & regency governments
• In June 2008 met with local governments and held village
  meetings in conjunction with local NGOs and met with dewan
  adat (tribal council)




  Village meeting in Bagusa, Mamberamo,   Meeting with regency & district government officials
                 June 2008                      and village elders in Mimika, June 2008




                                                                                                 15
4c. Consultation Process
• Initial feedback at all levels of
  was positive
• Written letter of support from
  head of dewan adat in
  Mamberamo
 • However, questions remain
    regarding community
    development aspirations,             Receiving letter from head of dewan adat in
                                           Casanoyagia, Mamberamo, June 2008
    project activities and socio-
    economic considerations
    relevant to project design and
    implementation
• Free, Prior & Informed Consent crucial to ensure
   successful project and social & environmental outcomes


                                                                                  16
4c. Consultation Process
• Free, Prior & Informed Consent
   o Limited guidance & standards
   o Work with best experts with field experience in community
     engagement for forestry in Papua and Indonesia
   o Intention to provide full information about the project and
     potential outcomes & risks
   o Decisions and debate at the community level to accept or
     reject the project
• Help shape the objectives and management plan for the
  Papua Carbon Foundation
• Further establish channels of communication between
  impacted communities and government



                                                                   17
4d. Link to National Strategies
• Indonesia is extremely active in REDD
   o More than 20 REDD projects in development in the country
   o Participant in the UN-REDD Programme and the World Bank
     Forest Carbon Partnership Facility
   o Bilateral agreements with Germany (Forest and Climate
     Change Program) and Australia (Forest Carbon Partnership)
   o Governors of Aceh & Papua (and several Brazilian states)
     have signed an MOU with US governors for inclusion of
     REDD credits in emerging carbon schemes
• Unclear how these activities will interact on a technical level
  (i.e. carbon accounting)
• However, biggest questions now are legal and financial…



                                                                    18
4d. Link to National Strategies
• Draft legislation issued in mid-2008 required national
  government approval for all projects and 30% of credits
  transferred to a newly established government commission
   o Unclear whether this applied to private projects outside
     national-level REDD demonstration activities
   o Unclear revenue distribution and approvals through layers of
     government
• The national government is now working to revise and
  finalize legislation – June 2009
• Papua is exploring provincial licensing for REDD under
  Special Autonomy Law and provincial forestry regulations
   o As yet unclear how this interacts with national activities
   o Remains a project risk


                                                                    19
4e. Distribution of Benefits
• Beneficiaries at village, district, province and national level
• Private investment necessitates returns
• Primary distribution channel is the Papua Carbon
  Foundation
      o annual disbursements to fund community development and
        forest protection activities – determined by FPIC process
      o Advisory Board comprising representatives of community
        stakeholders and relevant experts
•   Remaining revenue: government, investors & project managers




       New Forests & Emerald Planet staff with
       provincial Forestry Department staff and                     20
    government officials in Mamberamo, June 2008
4e. Distribution of Benefits


                                 Investor                                Market

                                                      $
                            Investment    Carbon
                              capital    revenues              Carbon
                                                               credits

                                                    Carbon
                  Carbon                             rights
     Papua       revenues                                        Government
                             Project Entity                        (National, Provincial
   Foundation                                        Carbon             Regency)
                                                    revenues



   Local
distribution




                                                                                           21
4f. Project Financing
• New Forests represents private
  investors interested in financial
  and environmental returns
• Skilled in monetizing
  environmental assets
  associated with forestry
  investment
• Well aligned with Papua’s
  objectives and project
  parameters
                                      Managing Directors of New Forests and Emerald
• Returns delivered through           Planet meeting with Governor Suebu, May 2008
  credit sales over time                                     c



• Upfront costs shared among project partners
• Long-term commitment to sustainable resource use in
  Indonesia                                                                       22
5. Lessons Learned
• RISKS
  o Projects in areas with low rates of deforestation have high
    hurdle to establish evidence-based baselines
  o Area, such as Papua, where this is limited data availability
    make this even harder
  o Legal uncertainty for REDD projects outside national-level
    demonstration activities – right to transact credits?
  o Also face technical uncertainty – project vs. national level
    baselines?
  o FPIC is time consuming and requires dedicated resources –
    lack of standardized guidance

  Difficult to get early project financing where there
     is no established legal & methodological
     frameworks

                                                                   23
8. Conclusions
 • Private investment can play pivotal role in more challenging
   REDD areas that attract less public & multilateral funding
 • Will take on the risks as long as there is some certainty on
   fundamental issues:
   o Legal right to transact in
      carbon
   o Legal arrangements for
     revenue sharing among
     government agencies/levels
   o Legal recognition of project
     activities within national-level
     activities
• Donor / grant / multilateral finance       Arial view of Mimika site, June 2008

  remains important for information
  gathering, data analysis and
  FPIC/community engagement                                                     24
www.newforests.com.au


                        25

John eckford experiences from papua

  • 1.
    Amazonas Workshop: Readiness for REDD Experiences from Papua, Indonesia John Eckford Senior Analyst New Forests Advisory Inc +1-415-321-3301 mmeizlish@newforests.com.au Wednesday, March 18, 2009 South-South Collaboration Workshop Amazonas, Brazil 1
  • 2.
    Outline 1. Introduction toNew Forests 2. Context for Papua Project 3. Papua project summary 4. Project characteristics a) Governance b) Baseline c) Consultation / social d) Link to national strategies e) Distribution of benefits f) Financing 5. Lessons learned & conclusions 2
  • 3.
    1. New Forests •Private for-profit forest investment management and advisory services firm • Headquartered in Sydney, Australia, with offices in Washington, D.C., San Francisco and Kota Kinabalu, Malaysia • Investments primarily in Australia, New Zealand and the Asia Pacific region • REDD: began studying in 2007 and developing the Papua project in 2008; hope to achieve certification (Voluntary Carbon Standard) in 2009 • Developing other smaller REDD projects as part of larger investments 3
  • 4.
  • 5.
    2. Papua ProjectContext: Deforestation Drivers • 90% of world’s palm oil exports come from Malaysia & Indonesia • 300,000 ha converted per year globally • Luxury products (cosmetics, shampoos, food) & biofuels 5
  • 6.
    2. Papua ProjectContext: REDD Markets Mechanism Driver Scope Project-Level Country/State-Level (“market”) (“non-market”) International CDM – Only Reforestation Forest Stock Change (UNFCCC) REDD post-2012 ? REDD post-2012 – ? Regulatory Reforestation Domestic Reforestation / Forest Management (e.g. RGGI, WCI) Deforestation REDD – ? Reforestation Businesses / Voluntary Forest Management Not relevant Individuals REDD • Voluntary market projects can move the REDD market forward while complex regulatory mechanisms are negotiated • Develop technical methodologies and new business models • Ultimately, REDD will survive or fail in regulatory markets 6
  • 7.
    3. Papua ProjectSummary • Began with Memorandum of Understanding between Governor Suebu & New Forests, May 2008 • Government nominated 3 concession areas – 2 were prioritized after desktop review • June 2008, site visits to begin feasibility and project design Mamberamo Mimika 7
  • 8.
    3. Papua ProjectSummary • Mamberamo o REDD site is114,750 hectares o 50% under risk of conversion o Mamberamo Basin (8M ha) is largest & least disturbed tropical humid forest in Asia Pacific o Low population density (12,000 people in Basin) o 95% forested – low deforestation rate 8
  • 9.
    3. Papua ProjectSummary • Mimika o REDD site is111,344 hectares o 33% under risk of conversion o Borders the Freeport mine and Lorentz National Park o Low population density (<1000 people) o Limited road access but encroaching development in the regency 9
  • 10.
    3. Papua ProjectSummary • Project framework o Baseline assumes conversion to palm o Approximately 28MtCO2e conserved under project scenario o Voluntary carbon sales – Voluntary Carbon Standard (VCS) & Climate, Community & Biodiversity Alliance Standards (CCBA) o Revenues to local foundation, government & investors o Local partner with political & implementation experience 10
  • 11.
  • 12.
    4a. Governance • MOUfor joint development of REDD project: “commercially sustainable model for forest conservation and community development” • Applying for provincial license that will grant carbon rights to New Forests Gov. Suebu signing MOU, May 2008 • Term sheet defines financial arrangements • Regency and district governments provide local political and logistical support • Papua Carbon Foundation receives revenue from credit sales to fund community development & forest protection activities o Governed by Advisory Committee with local stakeholders and relevant experts 12
  • 13.
    4b. Baseline Characteristic Baseline Assumption Threat of Zoning for conversion (VCS: “Avoiding Planned Deforestation Deforestation”) – palm oil developers already surveying areas & province has authority to grant conversion licenses Rate of Mamberamo: 60,000ha converted 2012-2022 Deforestation Mimika: 37,000ha converted 2010-2020 Carbon Stock 792tCO2/ha (literature & field data) Baseline Carbon Sequestration in growing palm plantation subtracted from project carbon stock Leakage Monitoring total areas zoned for conversion, rate and likelihood of conversion 13
  • 14.
    4b. Baseline • No existing methodologies for Avoiding Planned Deforestation - areas with low rates of historical deforestation require technical rigor • Other areas of province have higher deforestation rates but causal “link” needs to be established • Limited data and existing quantitative analysis of deforestation drivers Where we are now: • Understanding data requirements needed to establish biophysical and economic feasibility of conversion • Understanding modeling requirements to demonstrate likely rates of deforestation • Evaluating in-house capabilities and resource needs 14
  • 15.
    4c. Consultation Process •Dozens of small villages in both project areas – primarily small scale agriculture, sago palm harvesting, hunting & fishing • Loosely organized through district & regency governments • In June 2008 met with local governments and held village meetings in conjunction with local NGOs and met with dewan adat (tribal council) Village meeting in Bagusa, Mamberamo, Meeting with regency & district government officials June 2008 and village elders in Mimika, June 2008 15
  • 16.
    4c. Consultation Process •Initial feedback at all levels of was positive • Written letter of support from head of dewan adat in Mamberamo • However, questions remain regarding community development aspirations, Receiving letter from head of dewan adat in Casanoyagia, Mamberamo, June 2008 project activities and socio- economic considerations relevant to project design and implementation • Free, Prior & Informed Consent crucial to ensure successful project and social & environmental outcomes 16
  • 17.
    4c. Consultation Process •Free, Prior & Informed Consent o Limited guidance & standards o Work with best experts with field experience in community engagement for forestry in Papua and Indonesia o Intention to provide full information about the project and potential outcomes & risks o Decisions and debate at the community level to accept or reject the project • Help shape the objectives and management plan for the Papua Carbon Foundation • Further establish channels of communication between impacted communities and government 17
  • 18.
    4d. Link toNational Strategies • Indonesia is extremely active in REDD o More than 20 REDD projects in development in the country o Participant in the UN-REDD Programme and the World Bank Forest Carbon Partnership Facility o Bilateral agreements with Germany (Forest and Climate Change Program) and Australia (Forest Carbon Partnership) o Governors of Aceh & Papua (and several Brazilian states) have signed an MOU with US governors for inclusion of REDD credits in emerging carbon schemes • Unclear how these activities will interact on a technical level (i.e. carbon accounting) • However, biggest questions now are legal and financial… 18
  • 19.
    4d. Link toNational Strategies • Draft legislation issued in mid-2008 required national government approval for all projects and 30% of credits transferred to a newly established government commission o Unclear whether this applied to private projects outside national-level REDD demonstration activities o Unclear revenue distribution and approvals through layers of government • The national government is now working to revise and finalize legislation – June 2009 • Papua is exploring provincial licensing for REDD under Special Autonomy Law and provincial forestry regulations o As yet unclear how this interacts with national activities o Remains a project risk 19
  • 20.
    4e. Distribution ofBenefits • Beneficiaries at village, district, province and national level • Private investment necessitates returns • Primary distribution channel is the Papua Carbon Foundation o annual disbursements to fund community development and forest protection activities – determined by FPIC process o Advisory Board comprising representatives of community stakeholders and relevant experts • Remaining revenue: government, investors & project managers New Forests & Emerald Planet staff with provincial Forestry Department staff and 20 government officials in Mamberamo, June 2008
  • 21.
    4e. Distribution ofBenefits Investor Market $ Investment Carbon capital revenues Carbon credits Carbon Carbon rights Papua revenues Government Project Entity (National, Provincial Foundation Carbon Regency) revenues Local distribution 21
  • 22.
    4f. Project Financing •New Forests represents private investors interested in financial and environmental returns • Skilled in monetizing environmental assets associated with forestry investment • Well aligned with Papua’s objectives and project parameters Managing Directors of New Forests and Emerald • Returns delivered through Planet meeting with Governor Suebu, May 2008 credit sales over time c • Upfront costs shared among project partners • Long-term commitment to sustainable resource use in Indonesia 22
  • 23.
    5. Lessons Learned •RISKS o Projects in areas with low rates of deforestation have high hurdle to establish evidence-based baselines o Area, such as Papua, where this is limited data availability make this even harder o Legal uncertainty for REDD projects outside national-level demonstration activities – right to transact credits? o Also face technical uncertainty – project vs. national level baselines? o FPIC is time consuming and requires dedicated resources – lack of standardized guidance Difficult to get early project financing where there is no established legal & methodological frameworks 23
  • 24.
    8. Conclusions •Private investment can play pivotal role in more challenging REDD areas that attract less public & multilateral funding • Will take on the risks as long as there is some certainty on fundamental issues: o Legal right to transact in carbon o Legal arrangements for revenue sharing among government agencies/levels o Legal recognition of project activities within national-level activities • Donor / grant / multilateral finance Arial view of Mimika site, June 2008 remains important for information gathering, data analysis and FPIC/community engagement 24
  • 25.