The document provides polling data from Ipsos MORI on UK voting intentions, satisfaction with political leaders and parties, and economic optimism. Key findings include:
- For voting intentions, the Conservatives lead Labour by 4 percentage points (38% to 34%).
- Satisfaction with Prime Minister Theresa May is at 33%, with a net satisfaction of -25. Satisfaction with Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn is lower at 17%.
- The economic optimism index stands at -43, with 57% thinking economic conditions will get worse in the next year.
The latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor shows an increase in the proportion of the British public thinking the Prime Minister should step down as soon as possible, and her worst ratings yet for having what it takes to be a good Prime Minister. However, despite how poorly the British public believe the Brexit process has gone, Theresa May is still viewed more favourable than Jeremy Corbyn and her potential Conservative successors.
As the Conservative leadership contest gathers pace, Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor reveals that there is little to choose between Jeremy Hunt and Boris Johnson in terms of public opinion.
Ipsos MORI September 2019 Political MonitorIpsos UK
As the Conservatives kick-off their party conference in Manchester, 81% of the British public tell Ipsos MORI’s Political Monitor that they are dissatisfied with how the government is running the country. Just 14% are satisfied. The government’s net satisfaction score now stands at minus 67, with only the governments of John Major and Theresa May ever achieving lower ratings in the Ipsos MORI Political Monitor series – dating back to 1977.
Meanwhile 37% are satisfied with the job Boris Johnson is doing as Prime Minister (up 6 points from July) but a majority (55%) are dissatisfied (up 17 points). His net satisfaction rating is -18 (down 11 points). Conservative supporters remain satisfied overall with their leader (71% - up 4 points) while 21% are dissatisfied (up 13 points) – leaving him a net satisfaction score of +50 (down 9 points).
The July 2019 Ipsos MORI Political Monitor shows some good news for the Conservatives as new Prime Minister Boris Johnson takes office. Mr Johnson’s personal poll ratings have improved, especially among his own supporters, and he leads Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn on several leadership metrics. However, Mr Johnson’s satisfaction ratings are worse than other Prime Ministers taking office mid-parliament and the public remain divided over potential Brexit outcomes. Meanwhile, the Conservatives have a ten-point lead over Labour among ‘likely voters’, which is partly due to an increased enthusiasm among Conservatives saying they are certain to vote.
As pressure mounts on Theresa May to step down Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor reveals no clear public favourite amongst the Conservative rivals for the Premiership.
When asked if each contender has what it takes to be a good Prime Minister none of the potential candidates stand out as a clear favourite with little shift in this figures since March this year. Boris Johnson has the largest number of Britons believing he has what it takes at with a quarter (25%) agreeing – however two-thirds (64%) disagree, which is also the highest negative number. Following Boris Johnson one in five (20%) think Sajid Javid has what it takes however almost half (47%) disagree.
Ipsos MORI December Political Monitor 2018Ipsos UK
As Parliament gets ready to vote on the Withdrawal Agreement next week Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor reveals most of the public believe withdrawing from the EU on its terms will be bad for Britain. The poll shows six in ten (62%) think withdrawing under this deal will be bad for the UK as a whole (25% say good), including 47% of Conservatives (40% of whom think it would be good). This is worse than the reaction to the Prime Minister’s Chequers deal in July when 47% thought it would be bad for the country.
In the latest Ipsos MORI poll, with fieldwork conducted before the election was called, the Conservatives have taken a 17-point lead over Labour, significantly improving on their position in September.
Ipsos MORI Politicial Monitor October 2018Ipsos UK
A majority want to see the Government increase public spending, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. One week before Phillip Hammond is due to deliver his budget the new poll reveals that two-thirds (66%) think the government should increase spending on public services, even if that means higher taxes or more government borrowing. One in five (20%) believe it should keep spending at the current level, while just 8% think it should reduce spending to allow for tax cuts or less government borrowing.
The latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor shows an increase in the proportion of the British public thinking the Prime Minister should step down as soon as possible, and her worst ratings yet for having what it takes to be a good Prime Minister. However, despite how poorly the British public believe the Brexit process has gone, Theresa May is still viewed more favourable than Jeremy Corbyn and her potential Conservative successors.
As the Conservative leadership contest gathers pace, Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor reveals that there is little to choose between Jeremy Hunt and Boris Johnson in terms of public opinion.
Ipsos MORI September 2019 Political MonitorIpsos UK
As the Conservatives kick-off their party conference in Manchester, 81% of the British public tell Ipsos MORI’s Political Monitor that they are dissatisfied with how the government is running the country. Just 14% are satisfied. The government’s net satisfaction score now stands at minus 67, with only the governments of John Major and Theresa May ever achieving lower ratings in the Ipsos MORI Political Monitor series – dating back to 1977.
Meanwhile 37% are satisfied with the job Boris Johnson is doing as Prime Minister (up 6 points from July) but a majority (55%) are dissatisfied (up 17 points). His net satisfaction rating is -18 (down 11 points). Conservative supporters remain satisfied overall with their leader (71% - up 4 points) while 21% are dissatisfied (up 13 points) – leaving him a net satisfaction score of +50 (down 9 points).
The July 2019 Ipsos MORI Political Monitor shows some good news for the Conservatives as new Prime Minister Boris Johnson takes office. Mr Johnson’s personal poll ratings have improved, especially among his own supporters, and he leads Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn on several leadership metrics. However, Mr Johnson’s satisfaction ratings are worse than other Prime Ministers taking office mid-parliament and the public remain divided over potential Brexit outcomes. Meanwhile, the Conservatives have a ten-point lead over Labour among ‘likely voters’, which is partly due to an increased enthusiasm among Conservatives saying they are certain to vote.
As pressure mounts on Theresa May to step down Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor reveals no clear public favourite amongst the Conservative rivals for the Premiership.
When asked if each contender has what it takes to be a good Prime Minister none of the potential candidates stand out as a clear favourite with little shift in this figures since March this year. Boris Johnson has the largest number of Britons believing he has what it takes at with a quarter (25%) agreeing – however two-thirds (64%) disagree, which is also the highest negative number. Following Boris Johnson one in five (20%) think Sajid Javid has what it takes however almost half (47%) disagree.
Ipsos MORI December Political Monitor 2018Ipsos UK
As Parliament gets ready to vote on the Withdrawal Agreement next week Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor reveals most of the public believe withdrawing from the EU on its terms will be bad for Britain. The poll shows six in ten (62%) think withdrawing under this deal will be bad for the UK as a whole (25% say good), including 47% of Conservatives (40% of whom think it would be good). This is worse than the reaction to the Prime Minister’s Chequers deal in July when 47% thought it would be bad for the country.
In the latest Ipsos MORI poll, with fieldwork conducted before the election was called, the Conservatives have taken a 17-point lead over Labour, significantly improving on their position in September.
Ipsos MORI Politicial Monitor October 2018Ipsos UK
A majority want to see the Government increase public spending, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. One week before Phillip Hammond is due to deliver his budget the new poll reveals that two-thirds (66%) think the government should increase spending on public services, even if that means higher taxes or more government borrowing. One in five (20%) believe it should keep spending at the current level, while just 8% think it should reduce spending to allow for tax cuts or less government borrowing.
Only 14% of Britons think that the new funding announced for the NHS by the government will lead to actual improvements, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. As the NHS celebrates its 70th year half the public (49%) believe the new funding will only be enough to maintain the current level of NHS services, but not to lead to improvements – a third 33% think the amount is not enough and the NHS will get worse. While there is some variation across party lines supporters of all parties are pessimistic the funding will lead to improvements - a quarter (23%) of Conservative voters believe the amount is enough to lead to improvements compared with 8% of Labour voters. More than half (55%) of Conservative voters and 47% of Labour voters think the amount is enough to maintain current levels, while one in five (21%) Conservatives and two in five (40%) Labour voters think it will still get worse).
Most Britons are not very confident that Theresa May will get a good deal for Britain from the Brexit negotiations, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. A third (34%) say they are confident when asked if Prime Minister will get a good deal for Britain in negotiations with other European Union leaders while nearly two-thirds (63%) are not. This shows a slight drop from March when 37% said they were confident and 59% were not confident, and down from 44% with confidence in her in March 2017.
A majority of Britons do not think that the American President Donald Trump should be invited to the Royal Wedding between Prince Harry and Meghan Markle, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. The new poll shows that 69% of the public believe that he should not be invited – 23% think he should. Opposition to the invitation is higher amongst younger people (79% of 18-34s compared with 59% of those aged 55+. Women are also more likely to oppose (78%) than men (58%), as are Labour voters (80%) than Conservative voters (63%).
The Labour Party and Liberal Democrats are running neck-and-neck according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor voting intention figures. As it stands, the Labour party are currently on 24% with the Liberal Democrats on 23%. The Conservatives lead on 33%. Meanwhile, one in ten (10%) say they would vote for the Brexit Party and 4% for the Greens.
Ipsos MORI September 2018 Political MonitorIpsos UK
In the week before the Conservative party conference, the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor reveals that only a third (33%) of the British public agree that Theresa May has the what it takes to be a good Prime Minister – no change from July this year however down from 55% just before she took office in July 2016. Nevertheless, she still leads Jeremy Corbyn (27%), and potential leadership challenger, Boris Johnson (25%), albeit at a narrowing margin. Fieldwork for this poll was conducted before the summit in Salzburg amongst EU leaders.
Boris Johnson’s favourability rating increases sharply, with the Conservative Party’s image also showing some improvement
By a small margin, the public now think the country is heading in the right direction
One in two Britons are yet to form a view new Labour leader Keir Starmer. Those who do express a view expect him to improve the party’s fortunes by a seven-to-one margin
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor October 2015 - Views on Europe & Economic OptimismIpsos UK
Ipsos MORI's Political Monitor shows how the lead of the 'Stay in/remain' side in the EU debate has narrowed since June 2015. Also, it shows how British economic optimism is now at its lowest since 2013.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor June 2015: Labour Leadership ElectionIpsos UK
Ipsos MORI's June 2015 Political Monitor looks at Labour's leadership election candidates, as well as some interim headline voting intention figures post-GE2015.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: September 2015Ipsos UK
Less than two weeks into his tenure as the new Labour leader Ipsos MORI’s detailed image ratings show the public’s views on Jeremy Corbyn and the party he leads.
More than half (54%) of Britons say Jeremy Corbyn is ‘more honest than most politicians’ compared to three in ten (30%) who say the same for David Cameron. However only 32% think he’s a capable leader compared to 62% saying this for David Cameron. When asked if either ‘has sound judgment’ 32% say Mr Corbyn possesses this while 46% say Mr Cameron does. Less of the public however believe that Jeremy Corbyn is ‘out of touch with ordinary people’ when compared to David Cameron (39% versus 64%), but he falls far behind David Cameron when being seen as ‘patriotic’ (37% compared to 76%).
The April 2018 Ipsos MORI Political Monitor shows more people have become dissatisfied with Jeremy Corbyn while Ruth Davidson leads other Conservative Cabinet Ministers as Prime Ministerial material.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - 6 December 2019Ipsos UK
Conservatives hold 12-point lead over Labour heading into final week of the election campaign
Corbyn has improved leader satisfaction ratings since October but still trails Johnson
NHS of increased importance to voters as an election issue
One in four may change their minds on who to vote for before next Thursday
More of the British public are opposed to a second referendum on Scottish independence next year than support one
Ipsos MORI’s July Political Monitor reveals that over half (55%) believe that Theresa May has what it takes to be a good Prime Minister, up from 28% in July 2015. Her ratings are particularly high among Conservative voters, among whom 81% think she has what it takes.
Mrs May’s ratings are well ahead of those for Andrea Leadsom and Boris Johnson. One in five (18%) think that Andrea Leadsom has what it takes to be a good PM (20% among Conservative voters), and 21% say the same about Boris Johnson (23% among Conservative voters). Mr Johnson’s ratings have fallen since last year – now 70% disagree he has what it takes, up from 52% last July. Fieldwork was conducted 9-11 July, with the vast majority carried out before Andrea Leadsom retired from the race.
Leaders, policies and voting: Lessons from measuring Implicit Reaction TimeIpsos UK
New research published today by Ipsos MORI for the 2017 General Election provides an insight into not just what people say about their voting intentions and support for a party or candidate, but also the conviction of these views.
Using a technique called Implicit Reaction Time (IRT), which measures how quickly people express an opinion, the research explores how emphatic people are in their responses regarding their views of the candidates, the political parties, and voting behaviour.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: November 2014Ipsos UK
Support for the Labour Party is at the lowest level since the final days of Gordon Brown’s premiership, November’s Ipsos MORI Political Monitor reveals. Labour are down four points to 29%, their first score below 30% of the vote since before the last general election, while the Conservatives are up two points to 32%, giving them a three-point lead. This is a turnaround since last month, prior to recent media rumours of a Labour leadership challenge, when Labour held a three-point lead on 33% over the Conservatives’ 30%. UKIP are down two points from last month’s high on 14%, while the Liberal Democrats are up one point to 9%.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: November 2015Ipsos UK
With less than a week to go until the next Autumn Statement new Ipsos MORI polling shows growing public concern about the government’s plans for public services. Our latest Political Monitor shows two in three (67%) Britons disagree the government’s policies will improve the state of Britain’s public services, up from 60% before the election and at its highest level since 2001.
One week following George Osborne’s budget announcement Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor show his satisfaction ratings have fallen compared to one month ago. Three in five (60%) say they are dissatisfied with the performance of Mr Osborne (up 14 points from February) compared to one in four (27%) who say they are satisfied (down 13 points). This equals George Osborne’s worst performance in March 2013. Mr Osborne still has the backing of most of his party with three in five (58%) Conservative supporters saying they are satisfied with the Chancellor (although 31% are dissatisfied).
Having examined William Hague's leadership of the Conservative Party in 1999 across 7 key opinion points, we have applied the same tests to Ed Miliband's leadership of the Labour party. William Hague scored 2 out of 7. How does Ed Miliband score?
With less than a week to go before their first public debate, Indianapolis Mayor Joe Hogsett is enjoying a comfortable lead over his main challenger, Republican Jim Merritt.
Economic optimism has fallen to its lowest level since the 2008 financial crisis, according to Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor. The new poll, conducted between 13-16 March, so before some of this week’s emergency measures were announced, shows seven in ten (69%) now say they think the economy will get worse in the next 12 months – this is up from 42% in February. Just 15% think that the economy will improve, leaving an Economic Optimism Index score of -54. The last time pessimism was this low was in November 2008 (at its worst during the 2008 crisis 75% thought the economy would get worse). Despite this pessimism, around half (49%) believe the Government is handling the coronavirus outbreak well (35% say badly).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2017Ipsos UK
As the Brexit negotiations continue Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor reveals little confidence among the public that the Prime Minister will get a good deal for Britain. Three in five (60%) are either ‘not very’ or ‘not at all’ confident in the PM getting a good deal – just over a third (36%) are either ‘very’ or ‘fairly’ confident in her. Nonetheless two-thirds (66%) of Conservative supporters have confidence that she will strike a good deal compared with one in five (19%) Labour supporters and quarter (26%) of Liberal Democrats. Overall few members of the public think Theresa May is doing a good job handling Brexit. A third (32%) say she is doing a good job but a majority (55%) say she is doing a bad job. Neither of these measures show any real change since last asked in July, but both are down from Mrs May’s ratings before the election.
Only 14% of Britons think that the new funding announced for the NHS by the government will lead to actual improvements, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. As the NHS celebrates its 70th year half the public (49%) believe the new funding will only be enough to maintain the current level of NHS services, but not to lead to improvements – a third 33% think the amount is not enough and the NHS will get worse. While there is some variation across party lines supporters of all parties are pessimistic the funding will lead to improvements - a quarter (23%) of Conservative voters believe the amount is enough to lead to improvements compared with 8% of Labour voters. More than half (55%) of Conservative voters and 47% of Labour voters think the amount is enough to maintain current levels, while one in five (21%) Conservatives and two in five (40%) Labour voters think it will still get worse).
Most Britons are not very confident that Theresa May will get a good deal for Britain from the Brexit negotiations, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. A third (34%) say they are confident when asked if Prime Minister will get a good deal for Britain in negotiations with other European Union leaders while nearly two-thirds (63%) are not. This shows a slight drop from March when 37% said they were confident and 59% were not confident, and down from 44% with confidence in her in March 2017.
A majority of Britons do not think that the American President Donald Trump should be invited to the Royal Wedding between Prince Harry and Meghan Markle, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. The new poll shows that 69% of the public believe that he should not be invited – 23% think he should. Opposition to the invitation is higher amongst younger people (79% of 18-34s compared with 59% of those aged 55+. Women are also more likely to oppose (78%) than men (58%), as are Labour voters (80%) than Conservative voters (63%).
The Labour Party and Liberal Democrats are running neck-and-neck according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor voting intention figures. As it stands, the Labour party are currently on 24% with the Liberal Democrats on 23%. The Conservatives lead on 33%. Meanwhile, one in ten (10%) say they would vote for the Brexit Party and 4% for the Greens.
Ipsos MORI September 2018 Political MonitorIpsos UK
In the week before the Conservative party conference, the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor reveals that only a third (33%) of the British public agree that Theresa May has the what it takes to be a good Prime Minister – no change from July this year however down from 55% just before she took office in July 2016. Nevertheless, she still leads Jeremy Corbyn (27%), and potential leadership challenger, Boris Johnson (25%), albeit at a narrowing margin. Fieldwork for this poll was conducted before the summit in Salzburg amongst EU leaders.
Boris Johnson’s favourability rating increases sharply, with the Conservative Party’s image also showing some improvement
By a small margin, the public now think the country is heading in the right direction
One in two Britons are yet to form a view new Labour leader Keir Starmer. Those who do express a view expect him to improve the party’s fortunes by a seven-to-one margin
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor October 2015 - Views on Europe & Economic OptimismIpsos UK
Ipsos MORI's Political Monitor shows how the lead of the 'Stay in/remain' side in the EU debate has narrowed since June 2015. Also, it shows how British economic optimism is now at its lowest since 2013.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor June 2015: Labour Leadership ElectionIpsos UK
Ipsos MORI's June 2015 Political Monitor looks at Labour's leadership election candidates, as well as some interim headline voting intention figures post-GE2015.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: September 2015Ipsos UK
Less than two weeks into his tenure as the new Labour leader Ipsos MORI’s detailed image ratings show the public’s views on Jeremy Corbyn and the party he leads.
More than half (54%) of Britons say Jeremy Corbyn is ‘more honest than most politicians’ compared to three in ten (30%) who say the same for David Cameron. However only 32% think he’s a capable leader compared to 62% saying this for David Cameron. When asked if either ‘has sound judgment’ 32% say Mr Corbyn possesses this while 46% say Mr Cameron does. Less of the public however believe that Jeremy Corbyn is ‘out of touch with ordinary people’ when compared to David Cameron (39% versus 64%), but he falls far behind David Cameron when being seen as ‘patriotic’ (37% compared to 76%).
The April 2018 Ipsos MORI Political Monitor shows more people have become dissatisfied with Jeremy Corbyn while Ruth Davidson leads other Conservative Cabinet Ministers as Prime Ministerial material.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - 6 December 2019Ipsos UK
Conservatives hold 12-point lead over Labour heading into final week of the election campaign
Corbyn has improved leader satisfaction ratings since October but still trails Johnson
NHS of increased importance to voters as an election issue
One in four may change their minds on who to vote for before next Thursday
More of the British public are opposed to a second referendum on Scottish independence next year than support one
Ipsos MORI’s July Political Monitor reveals that over half (55%) believe that Theresa May has what it takes to be a good Prime Minister, up from 28% in July 2015. Her ratings are particularly high among Conservative voters, among whom 81% think she has what it takes.
Mrs May’s ratings are well ahead of those for Andrea Leadsom and Boris Johnson. One in five (18%) think that Andrea Leadsom has what it takes to be a good PM (20% among Conservative voters), and 21% say the same about Boris Johnson (23% among Conservative voters). Mr Johnson’s ratings have fallen since last year – now 70% disagree he has what it takes, up from 52% last July. Fieldwork was conducted 9-11 July, with the vast majority carried out before Andrea Leadsom retired from the race.
Leaders, policies and voting: Lessons from measuring Implicit Reaction TimeIpsos UK
New research published today by Ipsos MORI for the 2017 General Election provides an insight into not just what people say about their voting intentions and support for a party or candidate, but also the conviction of these views.
Using a technique called Implicit Reaction Time (IRT), which measures how quickly people express an opinion, the research explores how emphatic people are in their responses regarding their views of the candidates, the political parties, and voting behaviour.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: November 2014Ipsos UK
Support for the Labour Party is at the lowest level since the final days of Gordon Brown’s premiership, November’s Ipsos MORI Political Monitor reveals. Labour are down four points to 29%, their first score below 30% of the vote since before the last general election, while the Conservatives are up two points to 32%, giving them a three-point lead. This is a turnaround since last month, prior to recent media rumours of a Labour leadership challenge, when Labour held a three-point lead on 33% over the Conservatives’ 30%. UKIP are down two points from last month’s high on 14%, while the Liberal Democrats are up one point to 9%.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: November 2015Ipsos UK
With less than a week to go until the next Autumn Statement new Ipsos MORI polling shows growing public concern about the government’s plans for public services. Our latest Political Monitor shows two in three (67%) Britons disagree the government’s policies will improve the state of Britain’s public services, up from 60% before the election and at its highest level since 2001.
One week following George Osborne’s budget announcement Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor show his satisfaction ratings have fallen compared to one month ago. Three in five (60%) say they are dissatisfied with the performance of Mr Osborne (up 14 points from February) compared to one in four (27%) who say they are satisfied (down 13 points). This equals George Osborne’s worst performance in March 2013. Mr Osborne still has the backing of most of his party with three in five (58%) Conservative supporters saying they are satisfied with the Chancellor (although 31% are dissatisfied).
Having examined William Hague's leadership of the Conservative Party in 1999 across 7 key opinion points, we have applied the same tests to Ed Miliband's leadership of the Labour party. William Hague scored 2 out of 7. How does Ed Miliband score?
With less than a week to go before their first public debate, Indianapolis Mayor Joe Hogsett is enjoying a comfortable lead over his main challenger, Republican Jim Merritt.
Economic optimism has fallen to its lowest level since the 2008 financial crisis, according to Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor. The new poll, conducted between 13-16 March, so before some of this week’s emergency measures were announced, shows seven in ten (69%) now say they think the economy will get worse in the next 12 months – this is up from 42% in February. Just 15% think that the economy will improve, leaving an Economic Optimism Index score of -54. The last time pessimism was this low was in November 2008 (at its worst during the 2008 crisis 75% thought the economy would get worse). Despite this pessimism, around half (49%) believe the Government is handling the coronavirus outbreak well (35% say badly).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2017Ipsos UK
As the Brexit negotiations continue Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor reveals little confidence among the public that the Prime Minister will get a good deal for Britain. Three in five (60%) are either ‘not very’ or ‘not at all’ confident in the PM getting a good deal – just over a third (36%) are either ‘very’ or ‘fairly’ confident in her. Nonetheless two-thirds (66%) of Conservative supporters have confidence that she will strike a good deal compared with one in five (19%) Labour supporters and quarter (26%) of Liberal Democrats. Overall few members of the public think Theresa May is doing a good job handling Brexit. A third (32%) say she is doing a good job but a majority (55%) say she is doing a bad job. Neither of these measures show any real change since last asked in July, but both are down from Mrs May’s ratings before the election.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: June 2016 - Voting IntentionIpsos UK
Ipsos MORI’s June Political Monitor reveals that one in four (24%) believes the Conservative party is the most clear and united party while just 13% think this of the Labour party. Although the Conservatives are ahead of Labour on this attribute David Cameron’s party has seen a decline since January when one in three (33%) said the Conservatives were most clear and united. The poll also reveals one in nine (11%) think UKIP is most clear and united while one in five (24%) think no party is and 17% have no opinion.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor February 2017Ipsos UK
Theresa May continues to have strong backing from the British public according to Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor. The new poll reveals that the Prime Minister’s honeymoon is yet to end with more than half (53%) of the public satisfied with her performance (up 8 points). One in three (36%) said they were dissatisfied with her (down 3 points) leaving Ms May a net satisfaction score of +17 (up 11 points).
Beyond the Bubble: Conservative Party Conference 2014Ipsos UK
Ipsos MORI hosted the successful fringe event Beyond the Bubble at the 2014 Conservative Party conference. The event explored how the political parties are doing in our polls, using our long-term trend data, as well as new findings from our monthly Political Monitor and Issues Index.
On the panel were journalist Benedict Brogan, The Telegraph’s Peter Oborne, Chloe Smith MP and think tank Reform’s Andrew Haldenby. Head of Political Research Gideon Skinner presented the Ipsos MORI view. Ben Page chaired the event.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor July 2018: Views of Donald TrumpIpsos UK
Two-thirds (68%) of the British public have an unfavourable opinion of US President Donald Trump, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. With fieldwork one week after his visit to the UK, the new poll reveals that just one in five (19%) have a favourable opinion, one in nine (11%) say they see him as neither favourable nor unfavourable, but half (52%) feel very unfavourable towards him.
Women are more likely to feel unfavourable towards the President than men (75% vs. 60% respectively) as are young people – three-quarters (76%) of 18-34s are also negative compared with 64% of 35-54s and 65% of people ages 55 and above. Labour supporters are especially unfavourable (by 82% to 12%), while Conservative supporters are also negative (by a margin of 61% to 23%). However, although the figures are not positive for the President they are not as poor as when last asked in October 2016 when 7% were favourable towards Mr Trump and 84% unfavourable.
With just one month to go until the referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Union, Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor shows that on balance Britons believe the economy would be better off in the long term if Britain left the European Union yet likely be worse off in the years immediately following Brexit. When asked if Britain votes to leave the European Union, to what extent do you think it would be better or worse for Britain’s economy over the next five years, half (49%) say it would be worse compared with a quarter (26%) who say it would be better (15% say Brexit would make no difference). When asked about Britain’s economy over the next ten to twenty years however two in five (39%) think it would be better outside the EU compared with 35% who say it would be worse (11% say Brexit would make no difference).
Beyond the Bubble: Ipsos MORI at the Labour Party Conference 2013Ipsos UK
Ipsos MORI held a fringe event at the Labour Party conference, which aimed to move beyond the Westminster village to consider how the average person sees the political parties and the state of Britain today. The fringe event focused on the Labour Party and Ed Miliband's standing in the public mind and whether the party can increase its share of the vote at the next election beyond its 2010 result of 29%. Panellists: Michael Dugher MP, Andrew Harrop (Fabian Society), Sophy Ridge (Sky News), Gideon Skinner (Ipsos MORI), Bobby Duffy (chair, Ipsos MORI)
With just three weeks to go until Britain goes to the polls Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor shows the Conservatives holding a strong lead despite an improvement for Labour. The Conservatives currently stand on 49% (nc from April) with Labour at 34% (up 8 points), the Liberal Democrats down six to 7% and UKIP with 2%.
There is a softness in the Labour support, however, as the new poll reveals a clear party distinction when it comes to strength of support – 77% of Conservative supporters say they’ve definitely decided who they’ll vote for (22% may change their mind) compared with 57% of Labour supporters (42% may change their mind). Worryingly for Jeremy Corbyn, two in five (38%) Labour voters who may change their mind say they would consider voting for the Conservative party. Overall two in three (67%) voters say they’ve definitely decided who they’ll vote for (up 4 points from April) while one in three (32%) may change their mind.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - February 2016Ipsos UK
As David Cameron ramps up his efforts this week to secure a new deal for Britain in the EU Ipsos MORI’s latest Political Monitor reveals little change from January amongst the public when it comes to how they will vote in the referendum on EU membership. When asked the referendum question “should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?” the poll finds a majority (54%) would vote to remain a member (down 1 point from January) and 36% would vote to leave (no change). Ipsos MORI’s trend question on EU membership also reveals little difference from last month. When asked “if there were a referendum now on whether Britain should stay in or get out of the European Union, how would you vote?” half (51%) would vote to stay in (up 1 point) while 36% would vote to get out (down 2 points).
One week following Theresa May’s call for a snap general election Ipsos MORI’s Political Monitor finds the Conservatives with a significant lead over Labour. The first of our polls to open the election campaign shows the Conservative party standing at 49% (up 6 points from March) while Labour trail at 26% (down 4). The poll also shows the Liberal Democrats on 13% (no change), and UKIP at 4% (down 2). This is the biggest Conservative lead in our voting series since September 2008, and matches their lead in May 1983.
One month on from the General Election Ipsos MORI’s new Political Monitor reveals the negative shift in Theresa May’s personal ratings continues. Her ratings are the worst in our records for a Prime Minister one month after an election.
Ipsos MORI November Political Monitor
1 December 2017
Conservatives seen as more divided and less fit to govern than a year ago
Most lack confidence in government’s long-term economic policies as economic optimism drops
But Philip Hammond still preferred over John McDonnell as most capable chancellor
Ipsos MORI Scotland Election 2019 Political MonitorIpsos UK
With two weeks to go until the general election, Ipsos MORI’s Scottish Political Monitor poll run in partnership with STV News suggests the SNP is currently on course to win most votes, with the Conservatives in second place and Labour faring worse in third.
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: February 2014Ipsos UK
The February Ipsos MORI Political Monitor records the public’s economic optimism at its highest since May 1997 when Tony Blair and New Labour had just moved into Downing Street. Half (50%) of Britons believe the state of the economy will improve in the next year. One in four (24%) think the economy will get worse, giving an Economic Optimism Index score (% satisfied minus % dissatisfied) of +26 the highest since 1997. Full poll: http://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/3339/Economic-optimism-at-highest-since-1997-as-Cameron-opens-up-lead-over-Miliband-on-dealing-with-the-economy-and-unemployment.aspx
Ipsos MORI General Election Briefing: The Final WeekIpsos UK
Ipsos MORI is hosted a 2015 general election briefing in the final week before the polls closed. This session drew together comparisons with Ipsos MORI’s unique dataset of regular polling since the 1970s and results from our latest research. We also covered the issues driving the election, as well as the implications for public services and the political landscape.
This month’s Ipsos MORI Political Monitor shows the Conservatives continuing to lead Labour on managing the economy, although they are neck-and-neck with regard to taxation policy and Labour lead on unemployment policy. One in three (35%) think the Conservatives have the best policies on managing the economy, compared with 22% for Labour; Labour lead the Conservatives on unemployment by 32% to 27%, and the two are almost level on taxation with Labour supported by 27% and the Conservatives on 25%.
Ipsos MORI’s Economic Optimism Index is at its highest ever point in its 36-year history, according to May’s Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. More than half of Britons – 53% – think the UK economy will improve over the next 12 months, compared with 18% who think it will get worse and 25% saying it will stay the same. This gives an Ipsos MORI Economic Optimism Index score (% improve minus % get worse) of +35, the highest recorded since it began in April 1978. Three quarters of Conservative and Liberal Democrat supporters think the economy will get better (77% and 75% respectively), as do four in ten Labour (41%) and UKIP supporters (39%).
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: September 2014Ipsos UK
Ipsos MORI’s last Political Monitor before party conference season and the Clacton by-election shows that UKIP’s popularity has risen by two percentage points, as other parties’ remain stable.
Beyond the Bubble: Ipsos MORI at the Conservative Party Conference 2013Ipsos UK
Ipsos MORI held a fringe event at the Conservative Party conference, which aimed to move beyond the Westminster village to consider how the average person sees the political parties and the state of Britain today. The fringe event focused on the Conservative Party's standing in the public mind and whether it can increase its share of the vote at the next election beyond its 2010 result of 37%. Panellists: Laura Sandys MP, David Skelton (Renewal), Joe Murphy (London Evening Standard), Gideon Skinner (Ipsos MORI), Ben Page (chair, Ipsos MORI)
Similar to Ipsos MORI February 2019 Political Monitor (20)
The Beat is an Ipsos always on community of engaged consumers, representative of the UK population, for rapid understanding of consumer views. In this edition, we explore people’s views on the Brexit vote 5 years on, and how they feel about the vote they made.
Jayesh Navin Shah, from Ipsos MORI Public Affairs, presented our findings on cyber skills gaps and shortages in the UK at the SC Digital Congress 2021. The findings are taken from Ipsos MORI’s report, Understanding the UK Cyber Security Labour Market 2021 study, carried out on behalf of the UK Department for Digital, Culture, Media and Sport.
https://www.sccongressuk.com/digital-congress/
Jayesh Navin Shah, from Ipsos MORI Public Affairs, presented our findings on cyber resilience among UK businesses and charities at the SC Digital Congress 2021. The findings are taken from Ipsos MORI’s Cyber Security Breaches Survey 2021, carried out on behalf of the UK Department for Digital, Culture, Media and Sport.
https://www.sccongressuk.com/digital-congress/
Ipsos Global Advisor: The Perils of Perception: Environment and Climate ChangeIpsos UK
People around the world say they understand what actions they need to take to combat climate change, but do they really? The latest Perils of Perception study by Ipsos looks at how the general public in 30 markets around the world perceive environmental action. We ask them what they might do in their own lives to tackle climate change, and compare the answers to the (sometimes confusing) scientific truth.
Ipsos Community: Quotes following the events around the vigil for Sarah EverardIpsos UK
The horrific murder of Sarah Everard has raised the need to debate the safety of women in public spaces. We've seen the alarming images from the vigil turned protest on Clapham Common. We were keen to hear how these events were perceived by the public, so we turned to our 'always on' Ipsos community to hear their views.
The 2020 Global Infrastructure Index - undertaken in partnership by GIIA and Ipsos MORI and the largest global survey of its kind looking at public attitudes towards infrastructure and investment – shows that the British public believe investment in infrastructure should form a key part of the UK Government’s plan to secure economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic.
Since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, women of all ages across Britain are more pessimistic and worried than their male counterparts. This new webinar explores why.
Looking at data around the balance of responsibility and mental load at work and at home for women compared to men, the additional stresses that the pandemic has put on women of all ages, and the specific damages it has made to women's work-life balances and future ability to progress in a career, our expert speakers will examine how the disease - despite being more prevalent in men - might be more damaging to women.
Ipsos has analysed data from more than 2,000 women of working age across Britain to examine what is happening, explore the causes and explain what can be done to better support those women being hit hardest by the pandemic.
Speakers include:
Jane Merrick, Policy Editor, the I newspaper
Kully Kaur-Ballagan, Research Director, Public Affairs
Jordana Moser, Business research specialist, Ipsos MORI
Kelly Beaver, Managing Director, Ipsos MORI Social Research Institute (Chair)
With just a few weeks to go before the 2020 presidential election in the US, Ipsos MORI hosted this webinar to explore the complexities and current uncertainties regarding the process and outcome of the election.
As part of the webinar, Clifford Young, our President of Public Affairs in the US, shared findings from our latest political polling.
Full webinar: https://youtu.be/d012B5iwSzQ
Sexual orientation and attitudes to LGBTQ+ in BritainIpsos UK
New Ipsos MORI research shows that Britons think LGBTQ+ communities face discrimination in Britain today, but opinion is split regarding the progression of LGBTQ+ rights.
COVID-19: Conspiracies and Confusions and the link with Social MediaIpsos UK
There is a toxic mix between underlying beliefs, misleading information and how people act around the COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic according to a new survey by Ipsos MORI and The Policy Institute and King's College London.
Solving the Cyber Security Skills Gap with DCMSIpsos UK
Taking findings from Ipsos MORI’s latest cyber security labour market study for DCMS, published in March 2020, we explore three areas in this webinar:
1. The demand for cyber skills in the UK
2. The training and qualifications landscape
3. Recruitment and diversity
International Women's Day 2020: What is acceptable behaviour in the workplace?Ipsos UK
A new survey of more than 20,000 people in 27 countries from Ipsos MORI and King's College London for International Women's Day 2020 finds significant differences in what women and men see as acceptable workplace behaviour.
Coronavirus Opinion and Reaction - Ipsos MORIIpsos UK
A new global poll by Ipsos MORI shows the extent to which the UK public may change their behaviours because of the threat of the virus, including 14% saying they would avoid contact with people of Chinese origin or appearance.
The threat of the Covid-19 could have a significant impact on the UK public’s behaviour, according to an Ipsos survey conducted online from February 7 to 9, 2020 among 8,001 adults aged 16 (18) -74 in Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Japan, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States.
Two-thirds of people in the UK say they would consider avoiding travelling to infected countries or areas (65%), while three in ten would avoid large gatherings of people or travelling by air for holidays (both 29%). A quarter say they would avoid shaking hands with others (26%), and one in five say they would avoid travelling by public transport (22%).
This study did not have any external sponsors or partners. It was initiated and run by Ipsos with the intention to share our understanding about the world we live in and how citizens around the globe think and feel about their world.
The Perils of Perception 2020: Causes of DeathIpsos UK
Ipsos’ latest Perils of Perception study highlights public misperceptions across 32 countries about the proportion of people who die from diseases, violence, transport injuries and other causes. While patterns differ in different countries, overall on average people tend to underestimate how many deaths are caused by cancers and cardiovascular disease, and overestimate how many are caused by transport injuries, substance misuse and violence.
Public Perception of Environmental Impact: Ipsos Omnibus PollIpsos UK
As concern about the environment continues to rise, 81% of Britons believe that the Government should take partial or full responsibility for reducing the harm we do to the environment. Within this, 1 in 5 believe the Government should take main responsibility while 61% believe it should be split between the Government, Businesses and the public, an Ipsos MORI Omnibus Survey has found.
Ipsos MORI Social Media Britain November 2019Ipsos UK
The key findings of the November 2019 edition of our new Social Media Britain report - powered by Synthesio - include:
Overall Brexit continued to lead the conversation in November – however there was a 59% increase in NHS related mentions vs. October. This was driven in part by Corbyn revealing documents that he says indicate a Conservative government would sell off the NHS as part of a US trade deal.
The general election, which is the focus of our deep dive this month, as well as the London Bridge terror attack - both contributed to sizeable shifts in social conversation.
Following the ITV Leaders Debate, there was a sharp increase in conversation around the general election. The release of the Labour and Conservative manifestos seeing further spikes in volume towards the end of November.
When comparing Johnson and Corbyn activity on Twitter in November there were some notable differences in the focus of their posts. Whilst Brexit was mentioned across 42% of Johnson’s tweets – it was only mentioned within 6% of Corbyn’s. Corbyn focused mainly on the NHS, which was mentioned in just over a third of his tweets.
Ipsos MORI 2019 General Election Campign Tracker - HousingIpsos UK
New research from Ipsos MORI finds the major housing parties included in Conservative, Labour and Liberal Democrat manifestos are popular, but the public also have strong doubts that anyone will improve housing if elected.
NHS surges in final Issues Index ahead of the 2019 General Election
• The proportion of Britons who say the NHS is one of the most important issues facing the country has risen 18 percentage points since October to 54 per cent, close to Brexit which has fallen by six points to 57 per cent this month
• Brexit remains the single biggest issue by a long way and is also the most important issue influencing how people might vote
• Concern about crime and pollution has fallen while worry about the economy has spiked
Ipsos MORI General Election Campaign Tracker: 4 December 2019Ipsos UK
British adults most likely to see Conservatives as having a ‘good campaign’ as the public increasingly expects a Conservative majority following next week’s election.
While the public in NATO member states tend to see the Alliance as a force for good, favourability is low in a number of key member states, according to a new survey ahead of the NATO Leaders Meeting on 4 December.
The research, by the Policy Institute at King’s College London and Ipsos MORI, finds that across 11 NATO countries surveyed1, 43% of the public who know at least a little about the Alliance have a favourable view of it, while 14% have an unfavourable view and 43% have a neutral view.
Favourability towards NATO is highest in Poland (60%), the US (56%), Canada (55%) and Britain (50%), but low in some key member states:
Germany: 30%
France: 31%
Italy: 35%
Spain 29%
But in the NATO countries polled, more people agree (40%) than disagree (14%) that the organisation is a force for good in the world, while 26% have a neutral view.
01062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
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‘वोटर्स विल मस्ट प्रीवेल’ (मतदाताओं को जीतना होगा) अभियान द्वारा जारी हेल्पलाइन नंबर, 4 जून को सुबह 7 बजे से दोपहर 12 बजे तक मतगणना प्रक्रिया में कहीं भी किसी भी तरह के उल्लंघन की रिपोर्ट करने के लिए खुला रहेगा।
31052024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
In a May 9, 2024 paper, Juri Opitz from the University of Zurich, along with Shira Wein and Nathan Schneider form Georgetown University, discussed the importance of linguistic expertise in natural language processing (NLP) in an era dominated by large language models (LLMs).
The authors explained that while machine translation (MT) previously relied heavily on linguists, the landscape has shifted. “Linguistics is no longer front and center in the way we build NLP systems,” they said. With the emergence of LLMs, which can generate fluent text without the need for specialized modules to handle grammar or semantic coherence, the need for linguistic expertise in NLP is being questioned.
03062024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
Find Latest India News and Breaking News these days from India on Politics, Business, Entertainment, Technology, Sports, Lifestyle and Coronavirus News in India and the world over that you can't miss. For real time update Visit our social media handle. Read First India NewsPaper in your morning replace. Visit First India.
CLICK:- https://firstindia.co.in/
#First_India_NewsPaper
हम आग्रह करते हैं कि जो भी सत्ता में आए, वह संविधान का पालन करे, उसकी रक्षा करे और उसे बनाए रखे।" प्रस्ताव में कुल तीन प्रमुख हस्तक्षेप और उनके तंत्र भी प्रस्तुत किए गए। पहला हस्तक्षेप स्वतंत्र मीडिया को प्रोत्साहित करके, वास्तविकता पर आधारित काउंटर नैरेटिव का निर्माण करके और सत्तारूढ़ सरकार द्वारा नियोजित मनोवैज्ञानिक हेरफेर की रणनीति का मुकाबला करके लोगों द्वारा निर्धारित कथा को बनाए रखना और उस पर कार्यकरना था।
role of women and girls in various terror groupssadiakorobi2
Women have three distinct types of involvement: direct involvement in terrorist acts; enabling of others to commit such acts; and facilitating the disengagement of others from violent or extremist groups.
1. 1Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | PublicIpsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 1
February 2019
POLITICAL MONITOR
2. 2Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | PublicIpsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 2
February 2019
VOTING
INTENTIONS
3. 3Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?.
Voting Intention: February 2019
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,005 British adults 18+,1 – 5 February 2019; Headline Voting Intention: all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections = 811 Margin of
error is displayed at +/- 4% All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a
9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points. This is especially
important to keep in mind when calculating party lead figures.
ALL GIVING A VOTING INTENTION
HEADLINE VOTING INTENTION
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = +4
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = +0
38%
38%
10%
4%
3%
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
LIB DEM
UKIP
GREEN
39%
35%
12%
5%
3%
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
LIB DEM
UKIP
GREEN
4. 4Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?.
Headline voting intention: Since 2015 General Election
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it depends vote in
General Elections
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May15
Jun15
Jul15
Aug15
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dec15
Jan16
Feb16
Mar16
Apr16
May16
Jun16
Jul16
Aug16
Sep16
Oct16
Nov16
Dec16
Jan17
Feb17
Mar17
Apr17
May17
Jun17
Jul17
Aug17
Sep17
Oct17
Nov17
Dec17
Jan18
Feb18
Mar18
Apr18
May18
Jun18
Jul18
Aug18
Sep18
Oct18
Nov18
Dec18
Jan19
Feb19
Corbyn elected
(Sept 15)
May as PM
(July 16)
CONSERVATIVE 38%
LABOUR 38%
GENERAL
ELECTION
%
Feb ‘19
5. 5Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jan04
Apr04
Jul04
Oct04
Jan05
Apr05
Jul05
Oct05
Jan06
Apr06
Jul06
Oct06
Jan07
Apr07
Jul07
Oct07
Jan08
Apr08
Jul08
Oct08
Jan09
Apr09
Jul09
Oct09
Jan10
Apr10
Jul10
Oct10
Jan11
Apr11
Jul11
Oct11
Jan12
Apr12
Jul12
Oct12
Jan13
Apr13
Jul13
Oct13
Jan14
Apr14
Jul14
Oct14
Jan15
Apr15
Jul15
Oct15
Jan16
Apr16
Jul16
Oct16
Jan17
Apr17
Jul17
Oct17
Jan18
Apr18
Jul18
Oct18
Jan19
Miliband elected
(Sept 10)
Corbyn elected
(Sept 15)
May as PM
(July 16)
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?.
Headline voting intention: January ‘04 – February ‘19
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it depends vote in
General Elections
Cameron elected
(Dec 05)
Brown as PM
(June 07)
CONSERVATIVE 38%
LABOUR 38%
UKIP 4%
GREEN 3%
LIB DEM 10%
GENERAL
ELECTION
%
Feb ‘19
6. 6Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | PublicIpsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 6
February 2019
SATISFACTION
WITH GOVERNMENT
AND PARTY
LEADERS
7. 7Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn The GovernmentVince Cable
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY…. IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY / DOING HIS/HER JOB.
AS PRIME MINISTER /LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY/LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?.
Satisfaction with leaders and the Government: February 2019
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,005 British adults 18+ 1-5 February 2019. Swing is calculated as the average of change in % “satisfied” and
% “dissatisfied”
72%
11%
17%
41%
35%
24%
71%
8%
22%
DISSATISFIED
DON’T KNOW
SATISFIED
-1.5% SWING FROM DEC 2018 -11.5% SWING FROM DEC 2018 -1.5% SWING FROM DEC 2018 -2% SWING FROM DEC 2018
NET=-55 NET=-17 NET=-49NET=-25
58%
9%
33%
8. 8Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER /LEADER OF THE
LABOUR/LIB DEM PARTY?.
Satisfaction with Party leaders September 2015 – February 2019
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dec15
Jan16
Feb16
Mar16
Apr16
May16
Jun16
Jul16
Aug16
Sep16
Oct16
Nov16
Dec16
Jan17
Feb17
Mar17
Apr17
May17
Jun17
Jul17
Aug17
Sep17
Oct17
Nov17
Dec17
Jan18
Feb18
Mar18
Apr18
May18
Jun18
Jul18
Aug18
Sep18
Oct18
Nov18
Dec18
Jan19
2016 EU Ref
% satisfied
MAY 33%
CORBYN 17%
CABLE 24%
GENERAL
ELECTION
Feb ‘19
9. 9Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER?.
Net satisfaction with Prime Ministers (1979-2019)
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
MAY
CAMERON
BROWN
MAJOR
BLAIR
THATCHER
NUMBER OF MONTHS AFTER BECOMING PRIME MINISTER
NETSATISFACTION
May
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
10. 10Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE … PARTY?.
Net satisfaction with Opposition Leaders (1980 – 2019)
Corbyn
NUMBER OF MONTHS AFTER BECOMING OPPOSITION LEADER
NETSATISFACTION
CORBYN
BLAIR
SMITH
KINNOCK
MILLIBAND
FOOT
CAMERON
DUNCAN-SMITH
HAGUE
HOWARD
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
11. 11Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY THE GOVERNMENT IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY?
Net satisfaction with the Government (1979 – 2019)
Theresa May’s Government
NUMBER OF MONTHS AFTER ASSUMING GOVERNMENT
NETSATISFACTION
MAY’S GOV
BLAIR’S GOV
MAJOR’S GOV
CAMERON’S GOV
THATCHER’S GOV
BROWN’S GOV
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
12. 12Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER?.
Theresa May
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
February 2019 August 2016 – February 2019
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Aug-16
Oct-16
Dec-16
Feb-17
Apr-17
Jun-17
Aug-17
Oct-17
Dec-17
Feb-18
Apr-18
Jun-18
Aug-18
Oct-18
Dec-18
Feb-19
.
58% Dissatisfied
9% Don’t know
33% Satisfied
NET = -25
Satisfaction
DISSATISFIED 58%
SATISFIED 33%
%
Base: 1,005 British adults 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019
13. 13Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER?.
Theresa May
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 352 Conservative supporters 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019
February 2019 August 2016 – February 2019
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Aug-16
Oct-16
Dec-16
Feb-17
Apr-17
Jun-17
Aug-17
Oct-17
Dec-17
Feb-18
Apr-18
Jun-18
Aug-18
Oct-18
Dec-18
Feb-19
30% Dissatisfied
6% Don’t know
64% Satisfied
NET = +34
DISSATISFIED 30%
SATISFIED 64%
Satisfaction amongst Conservative supporters
%
14. 14Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Jeremy Corbyn
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
February 2019 September 2015 – February 2019
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep-15
Nov-15
Jan-16
Mar-16
May-16
Jul-16
Sep-16
Nov-16
Jan-17
Mar-17
May-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
May-18
Jul-18
Sep-18
Nov-18
Jan-19
.
SATISFIED 17%
DISSATISFIED 72%
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY?.
NET = -55
Satisfaction
72% Dissatisfied
11% Don’t know
17% Satisfied
%
Base: 1,005 British adults 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019
15. 15Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Jeremy Corbyn
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 292 Labour supporters 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019
February 2019 September 2015 – February 2019
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep-15
Nov-15
Jan-16
Mar-16
May-16
Jul-16
Sep-16
Nov-16
Jan-17
Mar-17
May-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
May-18
Jul-18
Sep-18
Nov-18
Jan-19
.
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY?.
NET = -2
Satisfaction amongst Labour supporters
46% Dissatisfied
9% Don’t know
44% Satisfied
SATISFIED 44%
DISSATISFIED 46%
%
16. 16Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Vince Cable
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
February 2019 September 2017 – February 2019
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Dec-17
Jan-18
Feb-18
Mar-18
Apr-18
May-18
Jun-18
Jul-18
Aug-18
Sep-18
Oct-18
Nov-18
Dec-18
Jan-19
Feb-19
DISSATISFIED 41%
SATISFIED 24%
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY VINCE CABLE IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?.
NET = -17
41% Dissatisfied
35% Don’t know
24% Satisfied
Satisfaction
%
Base: 1,005 British adults 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019
17. 17Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | PublicIpsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 17
February 2019
ECONOMIC
OPTIMISM
18. 18Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Jan-07
Jul-07
Dec-07
Apr-08
Aug-08
Dec-08
Apr-09
Aug-09
Dec-09
Apr-10
Sep-10
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-11
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-12
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-13
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-14
Jan-15
Apr-15
Oct-15
Feb-16
Jun-16
Oct-16
Feb-17
Jul-17
Jan-18
Jun-18
Dec-18
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE SAME OR GET WORSE
OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?.
Economic Optimism Index
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
February 2019
EOI = -43
57%
21%
14%
9%
GET WORSE
STAY THE SAME
Don’t know
GET BETTER
Stay the same
Get worse
Improve
%
January 2007 – February 2019
Base: 1,005 British adults 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019
Feb-19
Feb ‘19
19. 19Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE SAME OR GET WORSE
OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?.
Economic Optimism Index – 1998-2019
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
Jan1998
Oct1998
Jul1999
Apr2000
Jan2001
Oct2001
Jul2002
Apr2003
Jan2004
Oct2004
Jul2005
Apr2006
Jan2007
Oct2007
Jul2008
Apr2009
Jan2010
Oct2010
Jul2011
Apr2012
Jan2013
Oct2013
Jul2014
Apr2015
Jan2016
Oct2016
Jul2017
Apr2018
Jan2019
NET OPTIMISM=-43
Feb2019
Feb ‘19
20. 20Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | PublicIpsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 20
February 2019
BREXIT
21. 21Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Confidence in May to get a good Brexit deal for Britain
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c. 1,000 British adults 18+ each month
* In December 2018 the question was posed as ‘has got a good deal’’’
NOT CONFIDENT 77%
CONFIDENT 21%
44%
36% 35%
37%
34%
30%
25%
28%
19%
23%
51%
60% 60%
59%
63%
67%
72%
70%
78%
69%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Dec-17
Jan-18
Feb-18
Mar-18
Apr-18
May-18
Jun-18
Jul-18
Aug-18
Sep-18
Oct-18
Nov-18
Dec-18
Jan-19
Feb-19
Feb ‘19
PLEASE TELL ME HOW CONFIDENT, IF AT ALL, YOU ARE THAT THERESA MAY HAS GOT/WILL GET A GOOD DEAL FOR BRITAIN IN
NEGOTIATIONS WITH OTHER EUROPEAN UNION LEADERS?.
22. 22Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
67%
73%
66%
67%
56%
47% 45%
34%
39%
33%
26%
30% 32%
43%
51% 53%
64%
54%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Aug-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Dec-17
Jan-18
Feb-18
Mar-18
Apr-18
May-18
Jun-18
Jul-18
Aug-18
Sep-18
Oct-18
Nov-18
Dec-18
Jan-19
Feb-19
PLEASE TELL ME HOW CONFIDENT, IF AT ALL, YOU ARE THAT THERESA MAY HAS GOT/WILL GET A GOOD DEAL FOR BRITAIN IN
NEGOTIATIONS WITH OTHER EUROPEAN UNION LEADERS?.
Confidence in May to get a good deal for Britain
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c. 350 Conservative party supporters each month
* In December 2018 the question was posed as ‘has got a good deal’,
NOT CONFIDENT 62%
CONFIDENT 36%
Among Conservative supporters
Feb ‘19
v v v
23. 23Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
41%
34%
58%
64%
Theresa May
(July 2018)
Theresa May
(February 2019)
HOW MUCH, IF AT ALL, DO YOU
TRUST EACH OF THE FOLLOWING
TO MAKE THE RIGHT DECISIONS
FOR BRITAIN ABOUT ITS EXIT
FROM THE EUROPEAN UNION?
Trust to make the
right decisions for
Britain’s exit from
the European Union
31%
20%
65%
76%
Jeremy Corbyn
(July 2018)
Jeremy Corbyn
(February 2019)
25% 70%
MPs as a whole
(February 2019)
Base: 1,005 British adults 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019
TRUST GREATLY/FAIRLY TRUST NOT VERY MUCH/AT ALL
24. 24Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
72%
69%
26%
29%
Theresa May
(July 2018)
Theresa May
(February 2019)
HOW MUCH, IF AT ALL, DO YOU
TRUST EACH OF THE FOLLOWING
TO MAKE THE RIGHT DECISIONS
FOR BRITAIN ABOUT ITS EXIT
FROM THE EUROPEAN UNION?
Trust to make the
right decisions for
Britain’s exit from
the European Union
63%
50%
33%
46%
Jeremy Corbyn
(July 2018)
Jeremy Corbyn
(February 2019)
By party support
Conservative party supporters
Labour party supporters
Base: 352 Conservative supporters, 292 Labour supporters,
1 February – 5 February 2019
TRUST GREATLY/FAIRLY TRUST NOT VERY MUCH/AT ALL
25. 25Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
60%
35%
29%
50%
Theresa May
Conservative
supporters
DO YOU THINK … HAS PROVIDED
STRONG OR WEAK LEADERSHIP
WHEN HANDLING BRITAIN’S EXIT
FROM THE EUROPEAN UNION?
Leadership displayed
in handling Britain’s
departure from the
European Union
STRONG WEAK
Theresa
May
36%
16%
47%
69%
Jeremy Corbyn
Labour
supporters
Jeremy
Corbyn
Base: 1,005 British adults 18+, 352 Conservative supporters, 292 Labour supporters,
1 February – 5 February 2019
26. 26Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
WHEN THINKING ABOUT THE ONGOING NEGOTIATIONS ON BRITAIN’S WITHDRAWAL FROM THE EUROPEAN UNION, WHOSE
INTERESTS DO YOU THINK … PUTS FIRST?
Priorities when negotiating Britain's withdrawal from the European Union
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
.
36% THE COUNTRY’S
33% THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY’S
25% HER OWN
4% DON’T KNOW
1% OTHER
1% NONE OF THESE
Theresa May
13% THE COUNTRY’S
29% THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY’S
47% THEIR OWN
6% DIFFERENT MPS
5% DON’T KNOW
HAVE DIFFERENT INTERESTS
1% NONE OF THESE
Conservative MPs
Base: 1,005 British adults 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019
27. 27Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
WHEN THINKING ABOUT THE ONGOING NEGOTIATIONS ON BRITAIN’S WITHDRAWAL FROM THE EUROPEAN UNION, WHOSE
INTERESTS DO YOU THINK … PUTS FIRST?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
.
18% THE COUNTRY’S
27% THE LABOUR PARTY’S
47% HIS OWN
6% DON’T KNOW
1% OTHER
1% NONE OF THESE
Jeremy Corbyn
18% THE COUNTRY’S
30% THE LABOUR PARTY’S
38% THEIR OWN
7% DIFFERENT MPS
6% DON’T KNOW
HAVE DIFFERENT INTERESTS
1% OTHER
1% NONE OF THESE
Labour MPs
Priorities when negotiating Britain's withdrawal from the European Union
Base: 1,005 British adults 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019
28. 28Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
67%
67%
86%
76%
21%
17%
9%
14%
Conservative
supporters
HOW STRONGLY DO YOU AGREE
OR DISAGREE WITH THE
FOLLOWING STATEMENTS?
Internal party
divisions on Britain’s
exit from the
European Union
Feb 2019
Conservative
party
The Conservative party is divided
on how to handle Britain’s exit from
the European Union
The Labour party is divided on how
to handle Britain’s exit from the
European Union
Dec 2016
Conservative
party
66%
64%
63%
64%
22%
19%
17%
17%
Labour
supporters
Labour
supporters
Labour
party
Labour
party
Feb 2019
Dec 2016
Agree Disagree
Base: 1,005 British adults 18+, 352 Conservative supporters, 292 Labour supporters,
1 February – 5 February 2019
29. 29Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
AS YOU MAY KNOW BRITAIN IS SET
TO LEAVE THE EUROPEAN UNION
ON THE 29TH MARCH. IN YOUR
OPINION, HOW LIKELY OR
UNLIKELY DO YOU THINK IT IS
THAT THE GOVERNMENT WILL ASK
TO DELAY BRITAIN’S EXIT FROM
THE EU TO AFTER THIS DATE?
Likelihood of
Brexit being
delayed
38%
34%
13%
9%
6%
VERY LIKELY
FAIRLY LIKELY
FAIRLY UNLIKELY
VERY UNLIKELY
DON’T KNOW
72%
LIKELY
22%
UNLIKELY
Base: 1,005 British adults 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019
30. 30Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
66%
39%
50%
24%
51%
37%
AND HOW STRONGLY, IF AT ALL,
WOULD YOU SUPPORT OR
OPPOSE DELAYING BRITAIN’S
DEPARTURE FROM THE EU IF AN
AGREEMENT ON THE TERMS OF
BRITAIN’S EXIT FROM THE EU IS
NOT REACHED BY THE 29TH
MARCH?
Public opinion on
delaying Britain’s
departure from the
European Union
CONSERVATIVE PARTY SUPPORTERS
LABOUR PARTY SUPPORTERS
SUPPORT OPPOSE
Base: 1,005 British adults 18+, 352 Conservative supporters, 292 Labour supporters,
1 February – 5 February 2019
31. 31Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | Public
15%
77%
8%
WHEN THINKING ABOUT THE
POSSIBILITY OF BRITAIN
LEAVING THE EU WITHOUT A
DEAL, DO YOU THINK THE
GOVERNMENT HAS DONE A
GOOD JOB OR A BAD JOB
PREPARING FOR THIS
SITUATION?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
A BAD JOB
Base: 1,005 British adults 18+ 1 February – 5 February 2019
How well has the
Government been
preparing for leaving
the European Union
without a deal?
A GOOD JOB
DON’T KNOW
32. 32Ipsos MORI Political Monitor | PublicIpsos MORI Political Monitor | Public 32
October 2018
Ipsos MORI
February 2019 Political Monitor
Gideon Skinner
Research Director
gideon.skinner@ipsos.com
Glenn Gottfried
Research Manager
glenn.gottfried@ipsos.com
For more information