This document summarizes immigration statistics in Canada from 2018 to October 2020. It shows declines across most immigration programs due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Permanent resident admissions fell by over 70% year-over-year in April-November 2019-2020. Temporary foreign workers decreased by over 60% in the same period. International mobility programs and asylum claims also declined significantly. The document provides detailed charts and analysis on changes in permanent residents, temporary residents, refugee claimants and other visa categories by region, country and program.
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COVID-19 Immigration Effects 2018 to October 2020
1. COVID-19 Immigration Effects
2018 to October 2020
Working Draft - Key Slides
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
2018-1 2018-4 2018-7 2018-10 2019-1 2019-4 2019-7 2019-10 2020-1 2020-4 2020-7 2020-10
Economic Family Refugees
2. Programs Examined
• Permanent Residents/Immigrants (PRs): Economic, Family and Refugees
• TR to Permanent Resident transition
• Asylum Claimants by O
ffi
ce Type
• Temporary Residents/International Mobility Program (IMP): International Agreements (e.g., NAFTA, GATS),
Canadian Interests (e.g., intra-corporate transfers, work exchange programs, post-graduate employment,
spouses)
• Temporary Residents/Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP): caregivers, agriculture workers, other
workers with Labour Market Impact Assessment (LMIA)
• Study Permits (international students)
• Asylum Claimants
• Citizenship
• Visitor Visas
2
3. November 2020 Highlights
• November immigration numbers largely
fl
at compared to October, permanent, temporary and students, with decline in applications
• PRs: Admissions remained largely
fl
at, from 15,070 in October to 15,270 in November. November Year-over-year decline: Economic 48.9%, Family
40.3%. Refugees increase of 9.3%
• Applications: Decrease from 17,160 in September to 15,468 in October. October year-over-year decrease 52.4%
• Provincial Nominee Program: Flat, from 2,920 in October to 2,835 in November . October year-over-year decrease: 40%
• TR to PRs transition (i.e., those already in Canada): Increase from 6,395 in October to 7,195 in November (some double counting). November Year-over-year increase of 2.2%, driven by Post-graduate work program increase of
19.5%
• Temporary Residents:
• TRs/IMP: Flat, from 34,815 in October (60% post-grad employment) to 33,875 in November. November Year-over-year change: Agreements decrease of 13.6%, Canadian Interests increase of 55.5%
• TRs/TFWP: Increase from 4,815 in October to 5,300 in November. November year-over-year decline: Caregivers 23.9% and Other LMIA 12.9%. Agriculture Increase of 19.9%,.
• Web “Get a work permit”: From 56,923 in November to 51,674 in December (outside Canada). December Year-over-year decline: 25.1%
• Students: Flat, 15,050 in October to 15,000 in November. November year-over-year increase of 19.2%, likely re
fl
ecting COVID delays
• Applications: Decrease (seasonal) from 27,141 in September to 21,728 in October. October Year-over-year decrease: 30%
• Web “Get a study permit”: From 54,735 in November (outside Canada) to 51,556 in December. December Year-over-year decrease: 12.5%
• Asylum Claimants: Flat, from 1,310 in October to 1,320 in November (about 75% inland). November year-over-year decrease: 75.4%
• Settlement Services (May): Decline from 112,380 in April to 101,415 in May. Year-over-year decrease 9.8 percent
• Web “Find immigrant services hear you”: From 10,601 in November (outside Canada) to 8,333 in December. December Year-over-year decrease: 41%
• Citizenship: Decrease from 13,766 in September to 8,598 in October. October Year-over-year decrease: 56.3%.
• Web “Apply for citizenship”: From 32,027 in November (outside Canada) to 22,051 in December. December 2020-2018 decrease: 5.6%%
• Visitor Visas: Slight increase from earlier complete shutdown. From 4,184 in September to 6,229 in October. October Year-over-year decrease:
91.3%
3
4. Overall Decline Across all Programs
April-November 2019-20 Comparison
4
PR Applications
PR Admissions
Asylum Claimants
Temporary Workers IMP
Temporary Workers TFWP
Study Permit Applications
Study Permit Admissions
New Citizens
Visitor Visas
-120% -90% -60% -30% 0%
-96.1%
-73.6%
-31.9%
-65.7%
-13.7%
-17.7%
-77.3%
-58.9%
-62%
11. Admissions: PRs Canada Total
Year-to-Year Comparison by Category—November 2020, Quarterly
-90%
-67.5%
-45%
-22.5%
0%
22.5%
Economic Family Refugees
-13.1%
-5.2%
17.7%
-81.6%
-77.9%
-52%
-63.3%
-52.4%
-65.3%
9.3%
-40.3%
-48.9%
November 2020 Q3 Q2 Q1
11
12. Admissions: PNP Provinces
Year-over-year Comparison—November 2020, Year-to-date
-100%
-75%
-50%
-25%
0%
Atlantic ON MB SK AB BC
-31.5%-29.2%
-50.4%-52.8%
-44.3%
-49.2%
-31.1%
-37.6%
-60.6%
-42.3%
-26.4%-25%
November 2020 Year-to-date
12
13. Admissions: Permanent Residents by Citizenship
Year to Year Comparison (November 2020, Year-to-date)
Top 10 Countries — Ordered by 2018 base year
-100%
-74.8%
-49.6%
-24.4%
0.8%
India Philippines China Syria Nigeria USA Pakistan France Eritrea UK
-37.5%
-64.8%
-3.2%
-42.3%
-39.2%
-50.3%
-54.8%
-44%
-60.5%
-49%
-39.8%
-50%
-20.7%
-45.4%
-43.1%-42.9%
0.8%
-29.2%
-60.7%
-52.2%
November 2020 Year-to-date
13
14. Admissions: Temporary to Permanent Residents
By Program—2018-20
3,500
7,000
10,500
14,000
2018-1
2018-4
2018-7
2018-10
2019-1
2019-4
2019-7
2019-10
2020-1
2020-4
2020-7
2020-10
IMP Post-Graduate WP Students TFWP
14
15. Admissions by Program: TRs to PRs
Year-over-year Comparison by Province—November 2020, Year-to-date
-60%
-45%
-30%
-15%
0%
15%
30%
Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC
-28.4%
-31.6%
-51.9%
-39.1%
-26.3%
-17.6%
-39.5%
12.4%
-22.8%
1.8%2.7%
14.7%
-10.5%
-16.2%
November 2020 Year-to-date
15
16. Admissions: TRs to PRs
Year to Year Comparison by Program—November 2020, Year-to-date
-50%
-32.5%
-15%
2.5%
20%
IMP Post-Graduate WP Students TFWP
-39.7%
-31.4%
-28.1%-28.6%
-22%
-11.7%
19.5%
0.1%
November 2020 Year-to-date
16
17. Asylum Claimants: Of
fi
ce Type 2018-20
1,750
3,500
5,250
7,000
2018-1
2018-4
2018-7
2018-10
2019-1
2019-4
2019-7
2019-10
2020-1
2020-4
2020-7
2020-10
Airport Border Inland
17
18. Asylum Claimants: Year-over-year
Comparison by O
ffi
ce Type—November 2020, Quarterly
-110%
-80.75%
-51.5%
-22.25%
7%
Airport Border Inland
-9.8%
6.5%
1.9%
-42.7%
-92.5%
-98.6%
-77.8%
-89.1%
-96.4%
-66.6%
-83.1%
-94.5%
November 2020 Q3 Q2 Q1
18
19. Asylum Claimants: Year-over-year
Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year—November 2020, Last Quarter
-100%
-75%
-50%
-25%
0%
India Mexico Iran Nigeria Colombia Pakistan China Turkey Haiti USA
-83.5%
-62.5%
-90.4%
-75.9%
-87.3%
-90%
-96.1%
-84.8%
-81.1%
-74.2% -73.9%
-78%
-73.9%-75.8%
-81.3%
-71.4%
-90%
-69.4%
-75.8%
-70.8%
November 2020 July-Sep
19
24. IMP & TFWP Work Permit Holders Total
Year to Year Comparison (Monthly)
-70%
-52.5%
-35%
-17.5%
0%
17.5%
35%
52.5%
70%
2019-1
2019-2
2019-3
2019-4
2019-5
2019-6
2019-7
2019-8
2019-9
2019-10
2019-11
2019-12
2020-1
2020-2
2020-3
2020-4
2020-5
2020-6
2020-7
2020-8
2020-9
2020-10
2020-11
IMP TFWP
24
25. Temporary Residents by Program Canada
Year to Year Comparison by Category—November 2020, Quarterly
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
Agreements Canadian Interests Caregivers Agriculture LMIA
34.6%
-21.6%
-51.9%
1.2%
-20.4%
-47.4%
-5.5%
-70.3%
-34.2%
-58%
-25.3%
2.5%
-58%
-50.9%
-40.6%
-12.9%
19.9%
-23.9%
55.5%
-13.6%
Nov 2020 Q3 Q2 Q1
25
26. IMP by Citizenship
Year to Year Comparison (November 2020, Last Quarter)
Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year
-90%
-67.5%
-45%
-22.5%
0%
22.5%
45%
67.5%
90%
India USA France China UK Australia Ireland Korea Brazil Japan
-84.8%
-49.4%
-57.4%
-68.3%
-77.7%
-65.2%
-45.8%
-58.1%-60.1%
-48.4%
-44.8%
21.4%
34.2%
-55.7%
-84.9%
-59.9%
67.4%
5.8%
-42.8%
82.2%
November 2020 July-September
26
27. TFWP by Citizenship
Year to Year Comparison (November 2020, Last Quarter)
Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year
-105%
-70%
-35%
0%
35%
70%
105%
140%
Mexico Jamaica Guatemala Philippines India Korea USA UK China France
-16.9%
-41.1%
-53.6%
-72.6%
-33.6%
-11%
-39.1%
-7.1%
-22.9%
22.1%
45%
-22.2%
-27.8%
-60.9%
3.5%
-27.8%
-5%
10.9%
125%
50%
November 2020 July-September
27
29. Work Permits—Web Interest
Year to Year Comparison (December 2020, Year-to-date)
Top 10 Countries by “Get a work permit” ordered by site visits, 2018 base year
-70%
-52.5%
-35%
-17.5%
0%
17.5%
India USA Mexico UK Australia Pakistan Brazil Philippines UAE Saudi Arabia
-14.7%
-18.8%
-14.3%
-22%-21.1%
-42.8%
-24.2%
4.3%
-9.1%
-22.8%
-15.7%
-23.9%
4.8%
-7.7%
-23.6%
-65%
-35%
-4.8%
-25.2%
-22.5%
Dec 2020 Year-to-date
29
34. Study Permit Holders by Citizenship
Year-over-year Comparison (November 2020, Year-to-date)
Top 10 Countries — Ordered by Number of Permits, 2018 base year
-75%
0%
75%
150%
225%
300%
India China Korea France Vietnam Brazil Iran Japan USA Nigeria
-20.7%
-39.4%
-47.8%
-27.3%
-38%
-15.3%
-49.9%
-33.3%-29.1%-27.1%
18.9%
76.9%
62.9%
-13.8%
0.9%
-33%
237.5%
-1.6%
-24%
33.5%
November 2020 Year-to-date
34
35. Study Permit Holders
Year-over-year Comparison by Province—November 2020, Quarterly
-90%
-55%
-20%
15%
50%
Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC
-32.2%
-38.8%
-27.8%
-34.4%
-28.0%
-3.4%
-35.9%
-23.0%
-11.2%
-25.5%
-4.8%
-20.7%
-24.3%
-28.9%
-33.3%
-46.8%
-55.5%
-39.4%
-42.3%
-39.6%
-63.5%
21.4%
32.6%
11.9%
41.1%
5.6%
35.4%
37.7%
November 2020 Q3 Q2 Q1
35
37. Study Permits—Web Interest
Year-over-year Comparison (December 2020, Year-to-date)
Top 10 Countries by “Get your study permit” ordered by site visits, 2018 base year
-100%
-75%
-50%
-25%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
India USA China Nigeria Brazil PhilippinesColombia Mexico Iran Pakistan
-25.8%
-70.4%
-2.1%
-11.3%
11.3%
-22%
3.9%
-48.9%
10%
-4.3%
4.9%
-98.9%
17.1%
36.5%
77.3%
37.8%39.5%
-42.4%
19.6%22.9%
December 2020 Year-to-date
37
40. Settlement Services
Year-over-year Comparison by Province—May 2020, Last Quarter
-50%
-37.5%
-25%
-12.5%
0%
12.5%
Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC
-4.9%
-7.7%
-0.5%
-5.2%-5.5%
-11.1%
2.1%
-30.3%
-36.6%
-41.0%
-48.4%
-46.3%
-43.0%-42.8%
May 2020 Jan-March
40
41. Settlement Services by Citizenship
Year-over-year Comparison (May 2020, Last Quarter)
Top 10 Non-EU Not USA—Ordered by Number of PRs, 2018 base year
-70%
-52.5%
-35%
-17.5%
0%
17.5%
35%
India Philippines China Syria Nigeria Pakistan Eritrea Iran Iraq Korea, South
-12.4%-10.9%
-7.7%
11.4%
-6.3%
26.6%
-7.6%
-16.8%
-12.7%
6.4%
-50.2%
-39%
-45.5%
-35.6%
-51.8%
-48.4%
-36.2%
-46.3%
-59.6%-61.4%
May 2020 Jan-March
41
43. Settlement Services—Web Interest
Year-over-year Comparison (December 2020, Year-to-date)
Top 10 Countries by “Find immigrant services near you” ordered by site visits, 2018 base year
-60%
-45%
-30%
-15%
0%
15%
India USA Brazil UAE Pakistan Nigeria Mexico UK ColombiaPhilippines
-6.8%
-28.4%
-13.1%
-15.4%
-11.9%
-8.9%
0.4%
-8.6%
-28.6%
-8.4%
-10.7%
-51.2%
-22%-23%
-36.1%
-31.4%
-25.7%
0%
-35.7%
-31%
Dec 2020 Year-to-date
43
45. New Citizens—By Region of Birth—2018-20
7,500
15,000
22,500
30,000
2018-1
2018-4
2018-7
2018-10
2019-1
2019-4
2019-7
2019-10
2020-1
2020-4
2020-7
2020-10
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
45
46. Citizenship by Region of Birth
Year-over-year Comparison (November 2020, Year-to-date)
Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year
-100%
-75%
-50%
-25%
0%
Philippines India Iran China Pakistan Nigeria USA Egypt Iraq France
-70.7%
-81.7%
-76.3%
-72.3%
-68.5%
-75.7%
-80%-78.2%
-71.1%-69.7%
-90.2%-89.9%
-80.8%-81.9%
-70.9%
-88%-88.7%-89.4%
-84.9%
-75.4%
November 2020 Year-to-date
46
47. Citizenship—Web Interest
Note: Technical anomaly April - December 2019
45,000
90,000
135,000
180,000
2018-1
2018-4
2018-7
2018-10
2019-1
2019-4
2019-7
2019-10
2020-1
2020-4
2020-7
2020-10
Canada Americas Asia Europe Africa Oceania Not captured
47
48. Citizenship—Web Interest
2020 to 2018 Comparison (December 2020, Year-to-date)
Top 10 Countries by “Apply for Citizenship” ordered by site visits, 2018 base year
-70%
-52.5%
-35%
-17.5%
0%
17.5%
35%
52.5%
70%
USA India UK Pakistan UAE Nigeria China Brazil Turkey Bangladesh
8.2%
-28.3%-26.6%
-57.4%
-19.1%-17.2%
-7.4%
2.4%
-3.8%
34.7%
58.1%
2.1%
-18.5%
-63.8%
4.6%
0.9%
15%
24.2%
7.4%
11.3%
Dec 2020 Year-to-date
48
50. Visitor Visas—By Source Country—2018-20
45,000
90,000
135,000
180,000
2018-1
2018-4
2018-7
2018-10
2019-1
2019-4
2019-7
2019-10
2020-1
2020-4
2020-7
2020-10
Asia Americas Africa Europe Oceania Other
50
51. Visitor Visas—By Source Country
Year-over-year Comparison (November 2020, Year-to-date)
Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year
-100%
-75%
-50%
-25%
0%
China India Philippines Iran Brazil Vietnam Colombia Algeria Pakistan Russia
-72.3%
-76.4%-76.5%-76.5%
-70.9%
-82.4%-82.5%
-79.4%-80.2%
-91%
-87.5%
-91.1%
-96.8%-96.8%-97.2%
-93.3%
-85.4%
-95.2%
-87.7%
-97.4%
November 2020 Year-to-date
51
52. Research Questions
52
• Which programs contracted most quickly and which source countries
were most a
ff
ected? Similarly, which programs and source countries
recovered more quickly?
• Did application success rates vary pre and post-COVID by source
country?
• Were exogenous factors such as US immigration restrictions or
tensions with China a factor?
• Did interest in immigrating to Canada increase or decrease and for
which countries?
54. Top Countries Share of Total (2018)
10 Countries 25 Countries
Permanent Residents 60.9% 77.7%
IMP 70.8% 86.4%
TFWP 85.2% 93.2%
Study Permits 70.3% 73.8%
Asylum Claimants 57.4% 77.4%
Citizenship 50.3% 71.5%
54
55. Top Countries (2018)
Permanent
Residents
IMP TFWP Students Citizenship
India 69,980 India 55,610 Mexico 28,860 India 107,105 Philippines 19,647
Philippines 35,050 USA 26,540 Jamaica 10,200 China 85,100 India 19,486
China 29,710 Finland 23,445 Guatemala 9,810 Korea 16,875 Iran 10,037
Syria 12,045 China 21,910 Philippines 8,750 Vietnam 12,370 PRC 9,718
Nigeria 10,920 UK 11,205 India 7,380 Iran 7,040 Pakistan 9,406
USA 10,905 Australia 8,850 Korea 1,960 Japan 6,685 Nigeria 4,398
Pakistan 9,490 Ireland 8,675 USA 1,850 Bangladesh 4,155 USA 4,229
France 6,175 Korea 8,105 UK 940 Philippines 4,075 Egypt 4,115
Eritrea 5,695 Brazil 8,080 China 935 Taiwan 3,160 Iraq 3,951
UK 5,660 Japan 7,250 France 915 Saudi
Arabia
2,870 France 3,836
55
56. Data Sources
• PRs: Canada - Admissions of Permanent Residents by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada - Admissions
of Permanent Residents by Country of Citizenship, COVID Immigration Impact - PR Applications Source Countries
• TR to Permanent Resident transition: Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Post-graduate Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and
Immigration Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior International Mobility Program Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and
Immigration Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Study Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada –
Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Temporary Foreign Worker Program Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category
• Asylum Claimants: Canada - Asylum Claimants by Claim O
ffi
ce Type, Province/Territory* of Claim and Claim Year, Canada - Asylum Claimants by Top Twenty-Five Countries of Citizenship
(2019 ranking), Claim O
ffi
ce Type and Claim Year
• TRs: Canada - International Mobility Program (IMP) work permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, program and year in which
permit(s) became e
ff
ective, Canada - Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP) work permit holders by province/territory of intended destination,
program and year in which permit(s) became e
ff
ective, Canada – International Mobility Program work permit holders by country of citizenship and
year in which permit(s) became e
ff
ective, Canada – Temporary Foreign Worker Program work permit holders by country of citizenship and year in
which permit(s) became e
ff
ective
• Study Permits: Canada - Study permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became e
ff
ective, Canada - Study permit
holders by province/territory of intended destination, study level and year in which permit(s) became e
ff
ective, Source Countries - Applications
Processed by IRCC for New Study Permit Applications
• Settlement Services: Special request IRCC data table
• Citizenship: Source Countries (Country of Birth) - New Canadian Citizens (in Persons) by Month
• Web: Provided by IRCC
56