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COVID-19 Immigration Effects
2018 to July 2022

Working Draft - Key Slides
12,500
25,000
37,500
50,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7
Economic - PNP Economic - Fed Family Refugees Other
Programs Examined
• Permanent Residents/Immigrants (PRs): Economic (PNP and Federal), Family and Refugees

• TR to Permanent Resident transition

• Asylum Claimants

• Temporary Residents/International Mobility Program (IMP): International Agreements (e.g., NAFTA, GATS),
Canadian Interests (e.g., intra-corporate transfers, work exchange programs, post-graduate employment,
spouses)

• Temporary Residents/Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP): caregivers, agriculture workers, other
workers with Labour Market Impact Assessment (LMIA)

• Study Permits (international students)

• Settlement Services


• Citizenship 

• Visitor Visas
2
July 2021 Highlights
• PRs: Admissions Stable from 43,685 in June to 43,085 in July. July Year-over-year change (change from 2020 in parentheses): Economic - PNP 53.5% (248.5%),
Economic - Federal -21.9% (192.4%), Family 37.1% (195.6%), Refugees 59.0% (278.0%)


• Applications: Given time delays in entering application data, am using a six month time lag. Decrease from 51,582 in December to 44,015 in January (may still re
fl
ect further time delays). January year-over-year change (change from 2020): 60.7% (34.9%).


• Express Entry and Arrima Invitations to Apply: From 3,601 in July (351 Arrima) to 7,058 in August (58 Arrima). August year-over-year change (change from 2020): -17.7% (-12.3%)


• Web “Immigrate to Canada”: Decline from 472,824 in July (outside Canada) to 440,822 in August. August year-over-year change (change from 2020): -17.7% (-17.4%)


• TR to PRs transition (i.e., those already in Canada): Slight decline from 17,550 in June (some double counting) to 16,675 in July. July year-over-year change (change from 2020): -42.8% (465.3%)


• Temporary Residents:


• TRs/IMP: Decline from 46,220 in June to 43,570 in July. July year-over-year (change from 2020): Agreements: 6.0% (66.9%), Canadian Interests: 19.1% (186.7%), Other IMP Participants 24.4% (4,909.1%), Not stated 385.9% (1,098.0%)


• TRs/TFWP: Slight decline, from 13,280 in June (agriculture workers) to 12,665 in July. July year-over-year change (change from 2020): Caregivers -34.2% (26.8%), Agriculture 44.2% (17.5%) and Other LMIA 52.3% (160.9%).


• Web “Get a work permit”: Stable from 105,531 in July (outside Canada) to 107,155 in August. August year-over-year change (change from 2020): 37.5% (53.2%)


• Students: Increase from 32,995 in June to 37,005 in July. July year-over-year change (change from 2020): -7.0% (175.0%)


• Applications: Decrease from 69,826 in June to 65,292 in July. July year-over-year change (change from 2020): 10.6% (1,348.0%)


• Web “Get a study permit”: Decrease from 83,479 in July (outside Canada) to 78,468 in August. August Year-over-year change (change from 2020): -20.0% (16.6%)


• Asylum Claimants: Increase from 7,045 in June (half at border) to 7,800 in July. July year-over-year change (change from 2020): 529.0% (781.4%)


• Irregular arrivals (Roxham Road etc) Decreased from 3,677 in July to 3,677 in July in August. August year-over-year change (change from 2020): 4,176.3% (17,955.6%)


• Settlement Services (December 2020 - awaiting more recent): Decline from 48,700 in November to 42,890 in December. December year-over-year (change from
2020): 21.6% (-17.1%)


• Web “Find immigrant services near you”: Increase from 5,209 in July (outside Canada) to 5,543 in August. August year-over-year change (change from 2020): -52.3% (-58.1%). In Canada: -51.3% (-39.8%)


• Citizenship: Slight decline from 30,516 in June to 28,867 in July. July year-over-year change (change from 2020): 202.5% (310.0%)


• Applications (awaiting more recent): From 197,472 in 2020 to 232,974 in 2021. Year-over-year change (change from 2019):18.0% (-13.3%)


• “Apply for citizenship”: Decline from 31,442 in July (outside Canada) to 24,790 in August. August year-over-year change (change from 2020): -11.9% (-37.2%). In Canada: -3.7% (11.5%)


• Visitor Visas: Decline from 98,090 in June to 92,614 in July (Ukrainians over one-third of total). July year-over-year change (change from 2020): 1,203.0%
(1,279.8%).
3
Change Across Major Programs


2021 Compared to 2018 Baseline
4
PR Applications
PR Admissions - PNP
PR Admissions - Fed
Asylum Claimants
Temporary Workers IMP
Temporary Workers TFWP
Study Permit Applications
Study Permit Holders
Citizenship Applications
New Citizens
Settlement Services (2020/19)
Visitor Visas
-100% -57.5% -15% 27.5% 70%
-82.4%
-14.1%
-22.5%
-10.3%
27.3%
64.2%
24.1%
34.8%
-44.9%
60.2%
-14.3%
35.5%
Note: Amended from March 2022 version given IRCC updated application data
Permanent Residents
5
Express Entry & Arrima Invitations—2018-22
7,500
15,000
22,500
30,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7
CEC PNP No Program Federal Skilled Trades QC Arrima
6
PR Applications: Region of Citizenship —2018-22
15,000
30,000
45,000
60,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
7
Note: Given delays in entering applications in processing systems, the most recent accurate data is December 2021. May 2021 surge
driven by applications from India
Admissions: PRs by Categories—2018-22
12,500
25,000
37,500
50,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7
Economic - PNP Economic - Fed Family Refugees Other
8
Admissions: PRs Region of Citizenship—2018-22
25%
50%
75%
100%
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
9
Admissions: PRs Canada Total


July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18
-75%
0%
75%
150%
225%
300%
Economic - PNP Economic - Fed Family Refugees
25.2%
-5.8%
60.2%
-14.3%
278%
195.6%
192.4%
248.5%
59%
37.1%
-21.9%
53.5%
July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18
10
Admissions: PNP Provinces


July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18
-100%
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
Atlantic ON MB SK AB BC
54.2%
-5.2%
-29.9%
8.6%
43.7%
33.3%
333.8%
215.6%
247.5%
250.5%
194.8%
212.1%
2.2%
39.7%
170.5%
4.8%
71%
94.9%
July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18
11
Admissions: Permanent Residents by Citizenship


July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18 

Top 10 Countries — Ordered by 2018 base year
-100%
50%
200%
350%
500%
India Philippines China Syria Nigeria USA Pakistan France Eritrea UK
15.5%
-6.2%
105.2%
-12.2%
9.1%
42.2%
-53.7%
4.2%
-48.8%
82.2% 84.4%
478.9%
362.1%
85.2%
156.8%
306.3%
173.5%
377%
146.8%
260.3%
-40.3%
150%
3.1%
31.7%
-11.1%
52.9%
5.5%
27.7%
19.9%
-6.8%
July 2022/21 June 2022/20 Full year 2021/18
12
Admissions: Temporary to Permanent Residents

By Program—2018-22
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7
IMP Post-Graduate WP Students TFWP
13
Admissions by Province: TRs to PRs


July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18 

-155%
384%
923%
1,461%
2,000%
Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC
204.9%
64.8%
24.6%
236.2%
313.3%
67.5%
205%
409.2%
209.9%
640%
494.4%
349.2%
866.7%
1,822.7%
-55.4%
-44.5%
-7.5%
-8.9%
-62.3%
111.7%
23%
July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18
14
Admissions: TRs to PRs


July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18 

-150%
0%
150%
300%
450%
600%
IMP Post-Graduate WP Students TFWP
136.5%
106.5%
260%
204.5%
388.5%
359%
597.2%
441.9%
-49.2%
-18.9%
-43.8%
-45.2%
July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18
15
Asylum Claimants: Of
fi
ce Type 2018-22
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7
Airport Border Inland
16
Asylum Claimants: Year-over-year


July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18
-1,500%
0%
1,500%
3,000%
4,500%
6,000%
Airport Border Inland
-54.7%
-56.2%
-50.1%
231.7%
1,754.3%
5,620%
167.9%
1,007.8%
1,806.7%
July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18
17
Asylum Claimants: Year-over-year


July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18
-1,000%
0%
1,000%
2,000%
3,000%
4,000%
India Mexico Iran Nigeria Colombia Pakistan China Turkey Haiti USA
-78.4%
37.1%
-8.7%
-67.9%
-62.1%
-23.6%
-93.6%
-23.1%
-5.3%
-67%
375%
1,238.5%
3,925%
220%
2,400%
1,600%
375%
445.5%
1,134.8%
97%
533.3%
2,385.7%
906.3%
60%
400%
466.7%
280%
160.9%
914.3%
170.8%
July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18
18
Immigrate to Canada—Web Interest
250,000
500,000
750,000
1,000,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7
Canada Asia Americas Africa Europe Oceania Not speci
fi
ed
19
Immigrate to Canada—Web Interest


August Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20


Top 10 Countries by “Immigrate to Canada” ordered by site visits, 2018 base year
-60%
-45%
-30%
-15%
0%
15%
30%
45%
India USA Nigeria UK UAE Pakistan Philippines Mexico Saudi Arabia Brazil
-29.9%
-22.9%
-5.9%
2.5%
18.5%
-41%
-22%
15.9%
-53.7%
-39%
-27%
-26.8%
25.1%
-25.3%
28.8%
-18.4%
-1.2%
11.1%
-11.1%
-29.3%
August 2022/21 August 2022/20
20
Temporary Residents
21
IMP & TFWP Work Permit Holders—2018-22
15,000
30,000
45,000
60,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7
Agreements Cdn Interests Other IMP Vulnerable Not Stated Caregivers
Agriculture LMIA 22
IMP & TFWP Work Permit Holders Total


Year to Year Comparison (quarterly)
-80%
-40%
0%
40%
80%
120%
160%
2019-Q1 2019-Q2 2019-Q3 2019-Q4 2020-Q1 2020-Q2 2020-Q3 2020-Q4 2021-Q1 2021-Q2 2021-Q3 2021-Q4 2022-Q1 2022-Q2
16%
-19.4%
-19.8%
-1%
27.6%
72.3%
5.4%
-13.2%
-19.9%
-7%
39.3%
16.7%
15.8%
6.5%
61.3%
-22.2%
-37.6%
146.6%
54.7%
57.6%
29.8%
-54.4%
-47.5%
2.6%
42.7%
10.6%
30.7%
1.5%
IMP TFWP
23
Temporary Residents by Program Canada


July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2022/18
-50%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
Agreements Canadian Interests Caregivers Agriculture LMIA
58.8%
13.6%
-26%
27.7%
-17.7%
160.9%
17.5%
26.8%
186.7%
66.9%
52.3%
44.2%
-34.2%
19.1%
6%
July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18
24
IMP by Region of Citizenship—2018-22
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7
Asia Europe Americas Africa Oceania
25
IMP by Citizenship


July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18

Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year
-200%
0%
200%
400%
600%
800%
India USA France China UK Australia Ireland Korea Brazil Japan
-64.1%
16.1%
-24.1%
-69%
-75.3%
-35.2%
0.7%
-24%
-39.4%
129%
771.4%
125%
157.9%
366.7%
231.8%
239.6%
181.7%
183.8%
53.2%
397%
159.6%
-24.6%
20.5%
202.7%
135.5%
56.5%
2.8%
57.6%
-20.2%
17.6%
July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18
26
IMP by Province


July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18

Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year
-75%
0%
75%
150%
225%
300%
Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC
28.2%
8.2%
16.2%
35.4%
44.3%
27.5%
70.3%
270.6%
189.4%
125.4%
133.7%
213.5%
158.8%
116.4%
44.4%
12.7%
-2.2%
22.2%
4.4%
59.5%
-0.7%
July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18
27
TFWP by Region of Citizenship—2018-22
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7
Americas Asia Europe Africa Oceania
28
TFWP by Citizenship


July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18

Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year
-125%
0%
125%
250%
375%
500%
Mexico Jamaica Guatemala Philippines India Korea USA UK China France
95.2%
36.5%
-9.8%
-59.1%
0.5%
40.1%
19.8%
64.7%
0.7%
17.2%
207.7%
190%
466.7%
130%
129.4%
76.7%
126.3%
117%
64.5%
10.5% 8.1%
26.1%
112.5%
53.3%
34.5%
96.5%
18.8%
20.5%
98.3%
60.4%
July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18
29
TFWP by Province


July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18

Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year
-45%
0%
45%
90%
135%
180%
Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC
17.2%
2.8%
9.3%
-2.6%
8%
76.9%
58.9%
177.5%
86%
90.9%
45.5%
11.9%
32.8%
32.3%
140.3%
50%
31.3%
88.2%
20.1%
3.7%
16.6%
July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18
30
Work Permits—Web Interest
40,000
80,000
120,000
160,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7
Canada Asia Americas Europe Oceania Africa Not captured
31
Work Permits—Web Interest


August Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20


Top 10 Countries by “Get a work permit” ordered by site visits, 2018 base year
-35%
0%
35%
70%
105%
140%
India USA Mexico UK Australia Pakistan Brazil Philippines UAE Saudi Arabia
93.9%
72.5%
139.3%
25.3%
67.5%
74.2%
30%
45.9%
-1.5%
0.2%
82.3%
81.7%
31.7%
5.1%
87.9%
29.5%
34.2%
77.4%
30.3%
14.4%
August 2022/21 August 2022/20
32
Study Permits
33
Study Permit Applications—By Region—2018-22
17,500
35,000
52,500
70,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-2
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
34
Study Permit Holders—By Level—2018-22
30,000
60,000
90,000
120,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7
Secondary or less Post Secondary Other Studies
35
Study Permit Holders—By Region—2018-22
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
36
Study Permit Holders by Citizenship


July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18

Top 10 Countries — Ordered by Number of Permits, 2018 base year
-100%
0%
100%
200%
300%
400%
India China Korea France Vietnam Brazil Iran Japan USA Nigeria
50.9%
29%
18.6%
73.2%
-18.8%
-22.3%
53%
-37.5%
-33.4%
61.4%
137.5%
121.3%
339.4%
92.9%
203.4%
39.9%
333.3%
106.9%
91.9%
214.2%
66.9%
-0.7%
28.3%
2.8%
17.3%
1.5%
-38.4%
-14%
5.4%
-37.7%
July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18
37
Study Permit Holders by Province


July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18
-75%
0%
75%
150%
225%
300%
Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC
16.1%
28.6%
13.0%
6.4%
27.3%
45.7%
18.5%
170.5%
226.3%
178.0%
125.0%
152.2%
199.2%
183.9%
-0.3%
10.7%
12.9%
-4.9%
-14.4%
-13.6%
7.8%
July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18
38
Study Permits—Web Interest
40,000
80,000
120,000
160,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2020-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7
Canada Asia Americas Africa Europe Oceania Not captured
39
Study Permits—Web Interest


August Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20


Top 10 Countries by “Get your study permit” ordered by site visits, 2018 base year
-500%
0%
500%
1,000%
1,500%
2,000%
India USA China Nigeria Brazil PhilippinesColombia Mexico Iran Pakistan
22.2%
344.7%
-12.1%
32.8%
149.4%
20.8%
102.2%
0.5%
-31.9%
-5.1%
20.5%
1,990%
-29.7%
-41.4%
-13.4%
-35.3%
24.5%
-15.8%
-20.4%
-34.5%
August 2022/21 August 2022/20
40
Settlement Services
41
Settlement—By Service—2018-20


In Canada Services—Top 25 Countries
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
2018-1 2018-4 2018-7 2018-10 2019-1 2019-4 2019-7 2019-10 2020-1 2020-4 2020-7 2020-10
Community Connections Employment Related Services Information and Orientation Services Language Assessment
Language Training Needs & Assets Assessment and Referrals Resettlement Assistance Program Service Delivery Improvement
42
Settlement Services


Year-over-year Comparison by Service—December 2020, Last Quarter
Community
Employment
Information/Orientation
Language Assessment
Language Training
Needs Assessment, Referrals
Resettlement Assistance
-100% -72.5% -45% -17.5% 10%
-88.2%
-30.5%
-13.3%
-71.1%
1.5%
-24.3%
-23.3%
-48.4%
-29.3%
-9.8%
-68.2%
-9.1%
-36.2%
-40.3%
December 2020 July-September
43
Settlement Services


Year-over-year Comparison by Province—December 2020, Last Quarter
-50%
-37.5%
-25%
-12.5%
0%
Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC
-18.4%
-23.2%
-24.8%
-26.5%
-7.4%
-28.4%
-45.8%
-19.7%
-13.4%
-24.1%
-35.8%
-15.9%
-28.9%
-21.8%
December 2020 July-September
44
Settlement Services by Citizenship


Year-over-year Comparison—December 2020, Last Quarter

Top 10, 2018 base year
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
Syria Eritrea Congo Somalia Afghanistan India Pakistan Korea Mexico Philippines
-14.3%
-15.4%
-29.3%
-16.6%
-15.6%
-15.9%
-28.1%
-24.5%
-17.4%
-23.5%
-38.3%
-26.1%
-17.3%
-18.8%
-2.2%
0.9%
-32.5%
-36.4%
-23.3%
-20.2%
December 2020 July-September
45
Settlement Services—Web Interest
12,500
25,000
37,500
50,000
2018-11 2019-5 2019-11 2020-5 2020-11 2021-5 2021-11 2022-5
Canada Asia Americas Europe Africa Oceania Not speci
fi
ed
46
Settlement Services—Web Interest


August Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20


Top 10 Countries by “Find immigrant services near you” ordered by site visits, 2018 base year
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
India USA Brazil UAE Pakistan Nigeria Mexico UK ColombiaPhilippines
-48%
-47.7%
-50%
-53.7%
-43.1%
-56.5%
-67.3%
-60.3%
-55%
-73.3%
-63.4%
-55.5%
-50.3%
-57.9%
-29.2%
-57.7%
-52.7%
-59%
-45.6%
-51.3%
August 2022/21 August 2022/20
47
Citizenship
48
Citizenship Applications—2018-21
7,500
15,000
22,500
30,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7
49
New Citizens—By Region of Birth—2018-22
12,500
25,000
37,500
50,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
50
Citizenship by Region of Birth


July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18
-200%
0%
200%
400%
600%
Philippines India Iran China Pakistan Nigeria USA Egypt Iraq France
-30.2%
-46.5%
-55.8%
-22.8%
-27.3%
-42.4%
-49.8%
-52.4%
4.9%
-9.8%
223.5%
414.4%
209.6%
158.9%
531.8%
323.6%
233.9%
218.2%
422.9%
260.6%
511.1%
228.2%
132.2%
-46.6%
278.6%
203.4%
112.5%
239.8%
193.1%
193.3%
July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18
51
Note: Program slowly reopened June 2020
Citizenship—Web Interest


Note: Technical anomaly April - December 2019
45,000
90,000
135,000
180,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7
Canada Americas Asia Europe Africa Oceania Not captured
52
Citizenship—Web Interest


August Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20


Top 10 Countries by “Apply for Citizenship” ordered by site visits, 2018 base year
-70%
-52.5%
-35%
-17.5%
0%
17.5%
35%
52.5%
USA India UK Pakistan UAE Nigeria China Brazil Turkey Bangladesh
10.1%
3.2%
-46.8%
46.4%
25.9%
-39.9%
8.4%
-30.9%
-51%
-53.2%
19.9%
-65.5%
-29.1%
-4.1%
-0.5%
-19.7%
3.1%
-7.2%
-28.9%
14.8%
Augus 2022/21 August 2022/20
53
Approved Visitor Visas
54
Visitor Visas—By Source Country—2018-22
45,000
90,000
135,000
180,000
2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7
Asia Americas Africa Europe Oceania Other
55
Note: Increase in Europe driven by Ukraine, almost totality of Europe
Visitor Visas—By Source Country


July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18

Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year
-500%
1,875%
4,250%
6,625%
9,000%
China India Philippines Iran Brazil Vietnam Colombia Algeria Pakistan Russia
-77.3%
-73.4%
-87.6%
-78%
-80.3%
-90.5%
-73.6%
-83.9%
-72.4%
-92.7%
727%
393.5%
336.2%
2,212.1%
-43.6%
542.4%
780.4%
8,267.2%
1,985.9%
256.9%
488.5%
187.3%
1,610.5%
1,038.8%
834.9%
64.3%
1,093%
1,773.7%
710.9%
693.9%
July 2022-21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18
56
Note: The most dramatic impact is the number of visas issued to Ukrainians under the Canada-Ukraine authorization for emergency travel, from a pre-
pandemic average of 648 per month in 2019 to about 35,000 in June and July 2022.
Research Questions
57
• Which programs contracted most quickly and which source countries
were most a
ff
ected? Similarly, which programs and source countries
recovered more quickly?

• Did application success rates vary pre and post-COVID by source
country?

• Were exogenous factors such as US immigration restrictions or
tensions with China a factor?

• Did interest in immigrating to Canada increase or decrease and for
which countries?
Annex
58
Top Countries Share of Total (2018)
10 Countries 25 Countries
Permanent Residents 60.9% 77.7%
IMP 70.8% 86.4%
TFWP 85.2% 93.2%
Study Permits 70.3% 73.8%
Asylum Claimants 57.4% 77.4%
Citizenship 50.3% 71.5%
59
Top Countries (2018)
Permanent
Residents
IMP TFWP Students Settlement Citizenship
India 69,980 India 55,610 Mexico 28,860 India 107,105 Syria 15,530 Philippines 19,647
Philippines 35,050 USA 26,540 Jamaica 10,200 China 85,100 Eritrea 11,865 India 19,486
China 29,710 Finland 23,445 Guatemala 9,810 Korea 16,875 Congo 11,355 Iran 10,037
Syria 12,045 China 21,910 Philippines 8,750 Vietnam 12,370 Somalia 10,785 PRC 9,718
Nigeria 10,920 UK 11,205 India 7,380 Iran 7,040 Afghanistan 9,550 Pakistan 9,406
USA 10,905 Australia 8,850 Korea 1,960 Japan 6,685 India 9,035 Nigeria 4,398
Pakistan 9,490 Ireland 8,675 USA 1,850 Bangladesh 4,155 Pakistan 8,360 USA 4,229
France 6,175 Korea 8,105 UK 940 Philippines 4,075 Korea of 7,775 Egypt 4,115
Eritrea 5,695 Brazil 8,080 China 935 Taiwan 3,160 Mexico 7,640 Iraq 3,951
UK 5,660 Japan 7,250 France 915
Saudi
Arabia
2,870 Philippines 6,995 France 3,836
60
Data Sources
• PRs: Canada - Admissions of Permanent Residents by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada - Admissions of
Permanent Residents by Country of Citizenship, COVID Immigration Impact - PR Applications Source Countries

• TR to Permanent Resident transition: Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Post-graduate Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration
Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior International Mobility Program Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category,
Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Study Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent
Residents with Prior Temporary Foreign Worker Program Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category

• Asylum Claimants: Canada - Asylum Claimants by Claim O
ffi
ce Type, Province/Territory* of Claim and Claim Year, Canada - Asylum Claimants by Top Twenty-Five Countries of Citizenship (2019 ranking),
Claim O
ffi
ce Type and Claim Year 

• TRs: Canada - International Mobility Program (IMP) work permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, program and year in which permit(s)
became e
ff
ective, Canada - Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP) work permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, program and year
in which permit(s) became e
ff
ective, Canada – International Mobility Program work permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s)
became e
ff
ective, Canada – Temporary Foreign Worker Program work permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became e
ff
ective

• Study Permits: Canada - Study permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became e
ff
ective, Canada - Study permit holders by
province/territory of intended destination, study level and year in which permit(s) became e
ff
ective, Source Countries - Applications Processed by IRCC for
New Study Permit Applications

• Settlement Services: Special request IRCC data table

• Citizenship: Source Countries (Country of Birth) - New Canadian Citizens (in Persons) by Month 

• Web: Provided by IRCC

• 2018 is used as baseline
61

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Covid-19 Immigration Effects - Key Slides - July 2022

  • 1. COVID-19 Immigration Effects 2018 to July 2022 Working Draft - Key Slides 12,500 25,000 37,500 50,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 Economic - PNP Economic - Fed Family Refugees Other
  • 2. Programs Examined • Permanent Residents/Immigrants (PRs): Economic (PNP and Federal), Family and Refugees • TR to Permanent Resident transition • Asylum Claimants • Temporary Residents/International Mobility Program (IMP): International Agreements (e.g., NAFTA, GATS), Canadian Interests (e.g., intra-corporate transfers, work exchange programs, post-graduate employment, spouses) • Temporary Residents/Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP): caregivers, agriculture workers, other workers with Labour Market Impact Assessment (LMIA) • Study Permits (international students) • Settlement Services • Citizenship • Visitor Visas 2
  • 3. July 2021 Highlights • PRs: Admissions Stable from 43,685 in June to 43,085 in July. July Year-over-year change (change from 2020 in parentheses): Economic - PNP 53.5% (248.5%), Economic - Federal -21.9% (192.4%), Family 37.1% (195.6%), Refugees 59.0% (278.0%) • Applications: Given time delays in entering application data, am using a six month time lag. Decrease from 51,582 in December to 44,015 in January (may still re fl ect further time delays). January year-over-year change (change from 2020): 60.7% (34.9%). • Express Entry and Arrima Invitations to Apply: From 3,601 in July (351 Arrima) to 7,058 in August (58 Arrima). August year-over-year change (change from 2020): -17.7% (-12.3%) • Web “Immigrate to Canada”: Decline from 472,824 in July (outside Canada) to 440,822 in August. August year-over-year change (change from 2020): -17.7% (-17.4%) • TR to PRs transition (i.e., those already in Canada): Slight decline from 17,550 in June (some double counting) to 16,675 in July. July year-over-year change (change from 2020): -42.8% (465.3%) • Temporary Residents: • TRs/IMP: Decline from 46,220 in June to 43,570 in July. July year-over-year (change from 2020): Agreements: 6.0% (66.9%), Canadian Interests: 19.1% (186.7%), Other IMP Participants 24.4% (4,909.1%), Not stated 385.9% (1,098.0%) • TRs/TFWP: Slight decline, from 13,280 in June (agriculture workers) to 12,665 in July. July year-over-year change (change from 2020): Caregivers -34.2% (26.8%), Agriculture 44.2% (17.5%) and Other LMIA 52.3% (160.9%). • Web “Get a work permit”: Stable from 105,531 in July (outside Canada) to 107,155 in August. August year-over-year change (change from 2020): 37.5% (53.2%) • Students: Increase from 32,995 in June to 37,005 in July. July year-over-year change (change from 2020): -7.0% (175.0%) • Applications: Decrease from 69,826 in June to 65,292 in July. July year-over-year change (change from 2020): 10.6% (1,348.0%) • Web “Get a study permit”: Decrease from 83,479 in July (outside Canada) to 78,468 in August. August Year-over-year change (change from 2020): -20.0% (16.6%) • Asylum Claimants: Increase from 7,045 in June (half at border) to 7,800 in July. July year-over-year change (change from 2020): 529.0% (781.4%) • Irregular arrivals (Roxham Road etc) Decreased from 3,677 in July to 3,677 in July in August. August year-over-year change (change from 2020): 4,176.3% (17,955.6%) • Settlement Services (December 2020 - awaiting more recent): Decline from 48,700 in November to 42,890 in December. December year-over-year (change from 2020): 21.6% (-17.1%) • Web “Find immigrant services near you”: Increase from 5,209 in July (outside Canada) to 5,543 in August. August year-over-year change (change from 2020): -52.3% (-58.1%). In Canada: -51.3% (-39.8%) • Citizenship: Slight decline from 30,516 in June to 28,867 in July. July year-over-year change (change from 2020): 202.5% (310.0%) • Applications (awaiting more recent): From 197,472 in 2020 to 232,974 in 2021. Year-over-year change (change from 2019):18.0% (-13.3%) • “Apply for citizenship”: Decline from 31,442 in July (outside Canada) to 24,790 in August. August year-over-year change (change from 2020): -11.9% (-37.2%). In Canada: -3.7% (11.5%) • Visitor Visas: Decline from 98,090 in June to 92,614 in July (Ukrainians over one-third of total). July year-over-year change (change from 2020): 1,203.0% (1,279.8%). 3
  • 4. Change Across Major Programs 2021 Compared to 2018 Baseline 4 PR Applications PR Admissions - PNP PR Admissions - Fed Asylum Claimants Temporary Workers IMP Temporary Workers TFWP Study Permit Applications Study Permit Holders Citizenship Applications New Citizens Settlement Services (2020/19) Visitor Visas -100% -57.5% -15% 27.5% 70% -82.4% -14.1% -22.5% -10.3% 27.3% 64.2% 24.1% 34.8% -44.9% 60.2% -14.3% 35.5% Note: Amended from March 2022 version given IRCC updated application data
  • 6. Express Entry & Arrima Invitations—2018-22 7,500 15,000 22,500 30,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 CEC PNP No Program Federal Skilled Trades QC Arrima 6
  • 7. PR Applications: Region of Citizenship —2018-22 15,000 30,000 45,000 60,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 7 Note: Given delays in entering applications in processing systems, the most recent accurate data is December 2021. May 2021 surge driven by applications from India
  • 8. Admissions: PRs by Categories—2018-22 12,500 25,000 37,500 50,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 Economic - PNP Economic - Fed Family Refugees Other 8
  • 9. Admissions: PRs Region of Citizenship—2018-22 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 9
  • 10. Admissions: PRs Canada Total July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18 -75% 0% 75% 150% 225% 300% Economic - PNP Economic - Fed Family Refugees 25.2% -5.8% 60.2% -14.3% 278% 195.6% 192.4% 248.5% 59% 37.1% -21.9% 53.5% July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18 10
  • 11. Admissions: PNP Provinces July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18 -100% 0% 100% 200% 300% 400% Atlantic ON MB SK AB BC 54.2% -5.2% -29.9% 8.6% 43.7% 33.3% 333.8% 215.6% 247.5% 250.5% 194.8% 212.1% 2.2% 39.7% 170.5% 4.8% 71% 94.9% July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18 11
  • 12. Admissions: Permanent Residents by Citizenship July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18 Top 10 Countries — Ordered by 2018 base year -100% 50% 200% 350% 500% India Philippines China Syria Nigeria USA Pakistan France Eritrea UK 15.5% -6.2% 105.2% -12.2% 9.1% 42.2% -53.7% 4.2% -48.8% 82.2% 84.4% 478.9% 362.1% 85.2% 156.8% 306.3% 173.5% 377% 146.8% 260.3% -40.3% 150% 3.1% 31.7% -11.1% 52.9% 5.5% 27.7% 19.9% -6.8% July 2022/21 June 2022/20 Full year 2021/18 12
  • 13. Admissions: Temporary to Permanent Residents By Program—2018-22 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 IMP Post-Graduate WP Students TFWP 13
  • 14. Admissions by Province: TRs to PRs July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18 -155% 384% 923% 1,461% 2,000% Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC 204.9% 64.8% 24.6% 236.2% 313.3% 67.5% 205% 409.2% 209.9% 640% 494.4% 349.2% 866.7% 1,822.7% -55.4% -44.5% -7.5% -8.9% -62.3% 111.7% 23% July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18 14
  • 15. Admissions: TRs to PRs July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18 -150% 0% 150% 300% 450% 600% IMP Post-Graduate WP Students TFWP 136.5% 106.5% 260% 204.5% 388.5% 359% 597.2% 441.9% -49.2% -18.9% -43.8% -45.2% July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18 15
  • 16. Asylum Claimants: Of fi ce Type 2018-22 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 Airport Border Inland 16
  • 17. Asylum Claimants: Year-over-year July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18 -1,500% 0% 1,500% 3,000% 4,500% 6,000% Airport Border Inland -54.7% -56.2% -50.1% 231.7% 1,754.3% 5,620% 167.9% 1,007.8% 1,806.7% July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18 17
  • 18. Asylum Claimants: Year-over-year July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18 -1,000% 0% 1,000% 2,000% 3,000% 4,000% India Mexico Iran Nigeria Colombia Pakistan China Turkey Haiti USA -78.4% 37.1% -8.7% -67.9% -62.1% -23.6% -93.6% -23.1% -5.3% -67% 375% 1,238.5% 3,925% 220% 2,400% 1,600% 375% 445.5% 1,134.8% 97% 533.3% 2,385.7% 906.3% 60% 400% 466.7% 280% 160.9% 914.3% 170.8% July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18 18
  • 19. Immigrate to Canada—Web Interest 250,000 500,000 750,000 1,000,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 Canada Asia Americas Africa Europe Oceania Not speci fi ed 19
  • 20. Immigrate to Canada—Web Interest August Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20 Top 10 Countries by “Immigrate to Canada” ordered by site visits, 2018 base year -60% -45% -30% -15% 0% 15% 30% 45% India USA Nigeria UK UAE Pakistan Philippines Mexico Saudi Arabia Brazil -29.9% -22.9% -5.9% 2.5% 18.5% -41% -22% 15.9% -53.7% -39% -27% -26.8% 25.1% -25.3% 28.8% -18.4% -1.2% 11.1% -11.1% -29.3% August 2022/21 August 2022/20 20
  • 22. IMP & TFWP Work Permit Holders—2018-22 15,000 30,000 45,000 60,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 Agreements Cdn Interests Other IMP Vulnerable Not Stated Caregivers Agriculture LMIA 22
  • 23. IMP & TFWP Work Permit Holders Total Year to Year Comparison (quarterly) -80% -40% 0% 40% 80% 120% 160% 2019-Q1 2019-Q2 2019-Q3 2019-Q4 2020-Q1 2020-Q2 2020-Q3 2020-Q4 2021-Q1 2021-Q2 2021-Q3 2021-Q4 2022-Q1 2022-Q2 16% -19.4% -19.8% -1% 27.6% 72.3% 5.4% -13.2% -19.9% -7% 39.3% 16.7% 15.8% 6.5% 61.3% -22.2% -37.6% 146.6% 54.7% 57.6% 29.8% -54.4% -47.5% 2.6% 42.7% 10.6% 30.7% 1.5% IMP TFWP 23
  • 24. Temporary Residents by Program Canada July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2022/18 -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% Agreements Canadian Interests Caregivers Agriculture LMIA 58.8% 13.6% -26% 27.7% -17.7% 160.9% 17.5% 26.8% 186.7% 66.9% 52.3% 44.2% -34.2% 19.1% 6% July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18 24
  • 25. IMP by Region of Citizenship—2018-22 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 Asia Europe Americas Africa Oceania 25
  • 26. IMP by Citizenship July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year -200% 0% 200% 400% 600% 800% India USA France China UK Australia Ireland Korea Brazil Japan -64.1% 16.1% -24.1% -69% -75.3% -35.2% 0.7% -24% -39.4% 129% 771.4% 125% 157.9% 366.7% 231.8% 239.6% 181.7% 183.8% 53.2% 397% 159.6% -24.6% 20.5% 202.7% 135.5% 56.5% 2.8% 57.6% -20.2% 17.6% July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18 26
  • 27. IMP by Province July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year -75% 0% 75% 150% 225% 300% Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC 28.2% 8.2% 16.2% 35.4% 44.3% 27.5% 70.3% 270.6% 189.4% 125.4% 133.7% 213.5% 158.8% 116.4% 44.4% 12.7% -2.2% 22.2% 4.4% 59.5% -0.7% July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18 27
  • 28. TFWP by Region of Citizenship—2018-22 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 Americas Asia Europe Africa Oceania 28
  • 29. TFWP by Citizenship July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year -125% 0% 125% 250% 375% 500% Mexico Jamaica Guatemala Philippines India Korea USA UK China France 95.2% 36.5% -9.8% -59.1% 0.5% 40.1% 19.8% 64.7% 0.7% 17.2% 207.7% 190% 466.7% 130% 129.4% 76.7% 126.3% 117% 64.5% 10.5% 8.1% 26.1% 112.5% 53.3% 34.5% 96.5% 18.8% 20.5% 98.3% 60.4% July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18 29
  • 30. TFWP by Province July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year -45% 0% 45% 90% 135% 180% Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC 17.2% 2.8% 9.3% -2.6% 8% 76.9% 58.9% 177.5% 86% 90.9% 45.5% 11.9% 32.8% 32.3% 140.3% 50% 31.3% 88.2% 20.1% 3.7% 16.6% July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18 30
  • 31. Work Permits—Web Interest 40,000 80,000 120,000 160,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 Canada Asia Americas Europe Oceania Africa Not captured 31
  • 32. Work Permits—Web Interest August Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20 Top 10 Countries by “Get a work permit” ordered by site visits, 2018 base year -35% 0% 35% 70% 105% 140% India USA Mexico UK Australia Pakistan Brazil Philippines UAE Saudi Arabia 93.9% 72.5% 139.3% 25.3% 67.5% 74.2% 30% 45.9% -1.5% 0.2% 82.3% 81.7% 31.7% 5.1% 87.9% 29.5% 34.2% 77.4% 30.3% 14.4% August 2022/21 August 2022/20 32
  • 34. Study Permit Applications—By Region—2018-22 17,500 35,000 52,500 70,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-2 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 34
  • 35. Study Permit Holders—By Level—2018-22 30,000 60,000 90,000 120,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 Secondary or less Post Secondary Other Studies 35
  • 36. Study Permit Holders—By Region—2018-22 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 36
  • 37. Study Permit Holders by Citizenship July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18 Top 10 Countries — Ordered by Number of Permits, 2018 base year -100% 0% 100% 200% 300% 400% India China Korea France Vietnam Brazil Iran Japan USA Nigeria 50.9% 29% 18.6% 73.2% -18.8% -22.3% 53% -37.5% -33.4% 61.4% 137.5% 121.3% 339.4% 92.9% 203.4% 39.9% 333.3% 106.9% 91.9% 214.2% 66.9% -0.7% 28.3% 2.8% 17.3% 1.5% -38.4% -14% 5.4% -37.7% July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18 37
  • 38. Study Permit Holders by Province July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18 -75% 0% 75% 150% 225% 300% Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC 16.1% 28.6% 13.0% 6.4% 27.3% 45.7% 18.5% 170.5% 226.3% 178.0% 125.0% 152.2% 199.2% 183.9% -0.3% 10.7% 12.9% -4.9% -14.4% -13.6% 7.8% July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18 38
  • 39. Study Permits—Web Interest 40,000 80,000 120,000 160,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2020-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 Canada Asia Americas Africa Europe Oceania Not captured 39
  • 40. Study Permits—Web Interest August Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20 Top 10 Countries by “Get your study permit” ordered by site visits, 2018 base year -500% 0% 500% 1,000% 1,500% 2,000% India USA China Nigeria Brazil PhilippinesColombia Mexico Iran Pakistan 22.2% 344.7% -12.1% 32.8% 149.4% 20.8% 102.2% 0.5% -31.9% -5.1% 20.5% 1,990% -29.7% -41.4% -13.4% -35.3% 24.5% -15.8% -20.4% -34.5% August 2022/21 August 2022/20 40
  • 42. Settlement—By Service—2018-20 In Canada Services—Top 25 Countries 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 2018-1 2018-4 2018-7 2018-10 2019-1 2019-4 2019-7 2019-10 2020-1 2020-4 2020-7 2020-10 Community Connections Employment Related Services Information and Orientation Services Language Assessment Language Training Needs & Assets Assessment and Referrals Resettlement Assistance Program Service Delivery Improvement 42
  • 43. Settlement Services Year-over-year Comparison by Service—December 2020, Last Quarter Community Employment Information/Orientation Language Assessment Language Training Needs Assessment, Referrals Resettlement Assistance -100% -72.5% -45% -17.5% 10% -88.2% -30.5% -13.3% -71.1% 1.5% -24.3% -23.3% -48.4% -29.3% -9.8% -68.2% -9.1% -36.2% -40.3% December 2020 July-September 43
  • 44. Settlement Services Year-over-year Comparison by Province—December 2020, Last Quarter -50% -37.5% -25% -12.5% 0% Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC -18.4% -23.2% -24.8% -26.5% -7.4% -28.4% -45.8% -19.7% -13.4% -24.1% -35.8% -15.9% -28.9% -21.8% December 2020 July-September 44
  • 45. Settlement Services by Citizenship Year-over-year Comparison—December 2020, Last Quarter Top 10, 2018 base year -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% Syria Eritrea Congo Somalia Afghanistan India Pakistan Korea Mexico Philippines -14.3% -15.4% -29.3% -16.6% -15.6% -15.9% -28.1% -24.5% -17.4% -23.5% -38.3% -26.1% -17.3% -18.8% -2.2% 0.9% -32.5% -36.4% -23.3% -20.2% December 2020 July-September 45
  • 46. Settlement Services—Web Interest 12,500 25,000 37,500 50,000 2018-11 2019-5 2019-11 2020-5 2020-11 2021-5 2021-11 2022-5 Canada Asia Americas Europe Africa Oceania Not speci fi ed 46
  • 47. Settlement Services—Web Interest August Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20 Top 10 Countries by “Find immigrant services near you” ordered by site visits, 2018 base year -80% -60% -40% -20% 0% India USA Brazil UAE Pakistan Nigeria Mexico UK ColombiaPhilippines -48% -47.7% -50% -53.7% -43.1% -56.5% -67.3% -60.3% -55% -73.3% -63.4% -55.5% -50.3% -57.9% -29.2% -57.7% -52.7% -59% -45.6% -51.3% August 2022/21 August 2022/20 47
  • 50. New Citizens—By Region of Birth—2018-22 12,500 25,000 37,500 50,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania 50
  • 51. Citizenship by Region of Birth July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18 -200% 0% 200% 400% 600% Philippines India Iran China Pakistan Nigeria USA Egypt Iraq France -30.2% -46.5% -55.8% -22.8% -27.3% -42.4% -49.8% -52.4% 4.9% -9.8% 223.5% 414.4% 209.6% 158.9% 531.8% 323.6% 233.9% 218.2% 422.9% 260.6% 511.1% 228.2% 132.2% -46.6% 278.6% 203.4% 112.5% 239.8% 193.1% 193.3% July 2022/21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18 51 Note: Program slowly reopened June 2020
  • 52. Citizenship—Web Interest Note: Technical anomaly April - December 2019 45,000 90,000 135,000 180,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 Canada Americas Asia Europe Africa Oceania Not captured 52
  • 53. Citizenship—Web Interest August Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20 Top 10 Countries by “Apply for Citizenship” ordered by site visits, 2018 base year -70% -52.5% -35% -17.5% 0% 17.5% 35% 52.5% USA India UK Pakistan UAE Nigeria China Brazil Turkey Bangladesh 10.1% 3.2% -46.8% 46.4% 25.9% -39.9% 8.4% -30.9% -51% -53.2% 19.9% -65.5% -29.1% -4.1% -0.5% -19.7% 3.1% -7.2% -28.9% 14.8% Augus 2022/21 August 2022/20 53
  • 55. Visitor Visas—By Source Country—2018-22 45,000 90,000 135,000 180,000 2018-1 2018-7 2019-1 2019-7 2020-1 2020-7 2021-1 2021-7 2022-1 2022-7 Asia Americas Africa Europe Oceania Other 55 Note: Increase in Europe driven by Ukraine, almost totality of Europe
  • 56. Visitor Visas—By Source Country July Comparison: 2022/21, 2022/20, Full year 2021/18 Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year -500% 1,875% 4,250% 6,625% 9,000% China India Philippines Iran Brazil Vietnam Colombia Algeria Pakistan Russia -77.3% -73.4% -87.6% -78% -80.3% -90.5% -73.6% -83.9% -72.4% -92.7% 727% 393.5% 336.2% 2,212.1% -43.6% 542.4% 780.4% 8,267.2% 1,985.9% 256.9% 488.5% 187.3% 1,610.5% 1,038.8% 834.9% 64.3% 1,093% 1,773.7% 710.9% 693.9% July 2022-21 July 2022/20 Full year 2021/18 56 Note: The most dramatic impact is the number of visas issued to Ukrainians under the Canada-Ukraine authorization for emergency travel, from a pre- pandemic average of 648 per month in 2019 to about 35,000 in June and July 2022.
  • 57. Research Questions 57 • Which programs contracted most quickly and which source countries were most a ff ected? Similarly, which programs and source countries recovered more quickly? • Did application success rates vary pre and post-COVID by source country? • Were exogenous factors such as US immigration restrictions or tensions with China a factor? • Did interest in immigrating to Canada increase or decrease and for which countries?
  • 59. Top Countries Share of Total (2018) 10 Countries 25 Countries Permanent Residents 60.9% 77.7% IMP 70.8% 86.4% TFWP 85.2% 93.2% Study Permits 70.3% 73.8% Asylum Claimants 57.4% 77.4% Citizenship 50.3% 71.5% 59
  • 60. Top Countries (2018) Permanent Residents IMP TFWP Students Settlement Citizenship India 69,980 India 55,610 Mexico 28,860 India 107,105 Syria 15,530 Philippines 19,647 Philippines 35,050 USA 26,540 Jamaica 10,200 China 85,100 Eritrea 11,865 India 19,486 China 29,710 Finland 23,445 Guatemala 9,810 Korea 16,875 Congo 11,355 Iran 10,037 Syria 12,045 China 21,910 Philippines 8,750 Vietnam 12,370 Somalia 10,785 PRC 9,718 Nigeria 10,920 UK 11,205 India 7,380 Iran 7,040 Afghanistan 9,550 Pakistan 9,406 USA 10,905 Australia 8,850 Korea 1,960 Japan 6,685 India 9,035 Nigeria 4,398 Pakistan 9,490 Ireland 8,675 USA 1,850 Bangladesh 4,155 Pakistan 8,360 USA 4,229 France 6,175 Korea 8,105 UK 940 Philippines 4,075 Korea of 7,775 Egypt 4,115 Eritrea 5,695 Brazil 8,080 China 935 Taiwan 3,160 Mexico 7,640 Iraq 3,951 UK 5,660 Japan 7,250 France 915 Saudi Arabia 2,870 Philippines 6,995 France 3,836 60
  • 61. Data Sources • PRs: Canada - Admissions of Permanent Residents by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada - Admissions of Permanent Residents by Country of Citizenship, COVID Immigration Impact - PR Applications Source Countries • TR to Permanent Resident transition: Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Post-graduate Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior International Mobility Program Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Study Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Temporary Foreign Worker Program Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category • Asylum Claimants: Canada - Asylum Claimants by Claim O ffi ce Type, Province/Territory* of Claim and Claim Year, Canada - Asylum Claimants by Top Twenty-Five Countries of Citizenship (2019 ranking), Claim O ffi ce Type and Claim Year • TRs: Canada - International Mobility Program (IMP) work permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, program and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective, Canada - Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP) work permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, program and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective, Canada – International Mobility Program work permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective, Canada – Temporary Foreign Worker Program work permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective • Study Permits: Canada - Study permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective, Canada - Study permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, study level and year in which permit(s) became e ff ective, Source Countries - Applications Processed by IRCC for New Study Permit Applications • Settlement Services: Special request IRCC data table • Citizenship: Source Countries (Country of Birth) - New Canadian Citizens (in Persons) by Month • Web: Provided by IRCC • 2018 is used as baseline 61