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Sustainable Hydropower Development
in China: Challenges and Solutions

      Dr. KUANG Shangfu
      President
      China Institute of Water Resources and
      Hydropower Research




             2011 IHA WORLD CONGRESS            14-17 June 2011   1
             ADVANCING SUSTAINABLE HYDROPOWER   Iguassu, Brazil
CONTENTS

1. Overview of Hydropower Development in China

2. Hydropower Strategies

3. Challenges of Sustainability; Solutions

4. Conclusions
1   Overview of Hydropower
    1. Overview of Hydropower
    Development in China
       Development in China
    2. Hydropower Strategies
    3. Challenges of Sustainability;
       Solutions
    4. Conclusions
Overview of Hydropower Resources

GW
          Hydropower Potential                   TWh
                                                       Annual Hydropower Generation
                                                 7
800
         694                                              6.08
700                                              6
600                    542                       5
500                                   402        4
400
                                                 3                      2.47
300
                                                 2
                                                                                      1.75
200
100                                              1
  0                                              0

        Gross       Technically   Economically           Gross       Technically   Economically
      theoretical    feasible       feasible           theoretical    feasible       feasible



• Potential: No.1 of the world
Development of Hydropower
  GW           Hydropower Installed Capacity of China
  250
                                                                                          213.4
                                                                                 196.79
  200
                                                                        171.52
                                                               145.26
  150                                                 128.57

  100                                    77

   50                   34.58

    0

        1910      …    1990      …      2000     …     2006    2007     2008     2009     2010


                                Shilongba
                                China’s first
                                Hydropower
                                Station
The Shilongba Statio,1910

                                                Three Gorges
Dams in China




 Three Gorges Gravity Dam               Ertan Arch Dam
 H=183 m, P = 22.5 GW                   H=240 m, P=3,300 MW




    Xiaolangdi Clay Core Rockfill Dam   Longtan RCC Dam
    H=157 m, P=1,800 MW                 H=216.5 m, P=5,400 MW
Small Hydro
 Small hydro (< 50 MW)      Installed capacity Power generation
 Technically feasible            128 GW           530 TWh
 End of 2010                        58 GW                  200 TWh

                  70000
                                 Installed capacity (MW)
                  60000
                                                                        58000

                  50000

                  40000

                  30000                                         24852
                  20000
                                                        13180
                  10000
                          3.6      227    1019   1930
                      0

                          1950     1962   1970   1980   1990    2000    2010
Contributions of Small Hydro
•   Electrification level
•   Economic development
•   Life standard & production capacity                 Small hydro
•   Emergency power supply                hydropower      National
•   Ecological benefits                    generation     territory

                                                 30%
                                                                50%


                                           Counties      Population

                                                              22%
                                                33%
Hydropower Development Degree
                                            Technically feasible
 90%   84%     82%   80%
 80%                           73%
 70%                                     65%
 60%

 50%                                             43%
                                                          39%
 40%

 30%

 20%

 10%

 0%

       Japan   US    France   Germany   Canada   Brazil   China


» Potential in China: large
1. Overview of Hydropower
       Development in China

2   Hydropower Strategies
    2. Hydropower Strategies
    3. Challenges of Sustainability;
       Solutions
    4. Conclusions
Strategic Significance of Hydropower in China

  •   To adapt to climate change
  •   To safeguard energy safety
  •   To reduce poverty
  •   To support social, economic development
To Adapt to Climate Change
                             China’s Energy Structure
                       Hydro 7%
                       Nuclear & others 2%    Non-fossil 9%




                                         Fossil 91%
Copenhagen Commitment: by 2020,
•Non-fossil energy: up to 15%                Coal 76%
                                             Oil 11%
•Carbon emission: down 40-45%                Natural gas 4%
than 2005                                      Fossil
                                               Non-fossil
To Safeguard Energy Safety
                                China’s Power Structure
• Proportion of thermal            Wind       Nuclear
                                    2%          1%
  power: too large (74%)
• Increase hydropower:             Hydro
  inevitable choice to adjust       23%

  power structure                          Thermal
                                             74%
To Reduce Poverty

• China’s hydropower
  resources concentrate in
  western less-developed
  regions

• Hydropower: boost
  economy, reduce poverty
To Support Social, Economic Development
Industrialization Development Stage of Hollis B. Chenery
   Per-capita GDP ($)                    Economic Development Stage
        300-600                               Primary Products Stage
       600-1200         Initial Stage
       1200-2400        Middle Stage            Industrialization Stage
       2400-4500        Advanced Stage
       4500-7200        Early Stage
                                           Developed Economic Stage
      7200-10800        Higher Stage

• China GDP per capita: $ 4,371
• Population under poverty line: 150m (< $1.2/d/p)
China needs hydropower to support social and
  economic development
Strategy of Hydropower Development

• To actively develop hydropower on the premise
  of ecological protection
• Goals:
  – Total hydropower: 380 GW by 2020
  – Including conventional hydropower: > 330 GW
1. Overview of Hydropower
       Development in China
    2. Hydropower Strategies


3   Challenges of Sustainability;
     3. Challenges of
    Solutions
        Sustainability; Solutions
    4. Conclusions
Challenges of Sustainability; Solutions

Challenges:
     Environmental protection
     Resettlement
     Dam safety
     Laws and regulations
     Hydropower price
Challenges of Sustainability; Solutions
 Environmental protection
Change of water regime     Planning and layout
Habitat                    Compensation
Fish pass                  Management system
  1         2              Slope vegetation (Three Gorges) 1

                           Fish breeding, releasing       2

                           Stratified intake (Nuozhadu)   3
  3         4

                           Transplantation of rare        4
                           plants (Jinghong)
Challenges of Sustainability; Solutions
 Resettlement
Life of relocated people   Laws and regulations
Local economic             Compensation
development                Investment
                           New Countryside
                           campaign
Challenges of Sustainability; Solutions
 Dam safety
Mostly built in 1950s- 70s   Reservoirs repaired &
                             reinforced (in 10 yrs: 7,356)
Danger removal and
reinforcement                Reservoirs to be
                             repaired & reinforced
Safety monitoring            (in next 5 yrs: 41,000)

Emergency response           Research, management,
                             monitoring (guarantee
Informatization and          system, emergency
modernization                response, warning…)
Challenges of Sustainability; Solutions
 Laws and regulations

Property of hydroenergy    Central government’s
resources                  No. 1 Document in 2011
Benefit sharing            One of 4 goals:
                           to establish institutions and
Whole-process monitoring   systems for scientific
& management               development of water
                           resources
……
Challenges of Sustainability; Solutions
 Hydropower price

Lower than thermal                          Market-oriented pricing
power                                       mechanism
Covering up advantages
of hydropower
      On-grid power prices (CNY)
1.2                                 1.09
 1

0.8

0.6
                             0.56
                     0.425
0.4
              0.35
       0.21
0.2

 0

      Hydro Thermal Nuclear Wind    Solar
Scientific and Technological Support
Research institutes: IWHR + National Research Center
  on Sustainable Hydropower Development + …
      Resources     General planning; cascade development
      utilization   planning

      Ecological
                    EIA; ecological mitigation & compensation
          safety

    Engineering     Engineering technologies; automatic
         safety     monitoring; emergency response
                    Regional economy; social coordination &
      Economic      development;
   development      institution, mechanism, management, poli
                    cy
1. Overview of Hydropower
       Development in China
    2. Hydropower Strategies
    3. Challenges of Sustainability;
       Solutions


4    4. Conclusions
    Conclusions
Conclusions
Adapt to        Safeguard      Reduce           Support
climate          energy        poverty      social, economic
                                              development
 change           safety

Strategic choice: to actively develop hydropower on the
            premise of ecological protection

       Diverse and complex challenges ahead


           International cooperation, exchange      Sustainable
        Economic             Sci. & tech.          hydropower
       development            progress             development
IHA Congress 2011 - Session 8c - Kuang Shangfu

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IHA Congress 2011 - Session 8c - Kuang Shangfu

  • 1. Sustainable Hydropower Development in China: Challenges and Solutions Dr. KUANG Shangfu President China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research 2011 IHA WORLD CONGRESS 14-17 June 2011 1 ADVANCING SUSTAINABLE HYDROPOWER Iguassu, Brazil
  • 2. CONTENTS 1. Overview of Hydropower Development in China 2. Hydropower Strategies 3. Challenges of Sustainability; Solutions 4. Conclusions
  • 3. 1 Overview of Hydropower 1. Overview of Hydropower Development in China Development in China 2. Hydropower Strategies 3. Challenges of Sustainability; Solutions 4. Conclusions
  • 4. Overview of Hydropower Resources GW Hydropower Potential TWh Annual Hydropower Generation 7 800 694 6.08 700 6 600 542 5 500 402 4 400 3 2.47 300 2 1.75 200 100 1 0 0 Gross Technically Economically Gross Technically Economically theoretical feasible feasible theoretical feasible feasible • Potential: No.1 of the world
  • 5. Development of Hydropower GW Hydropower Installed Capacity of China 250 213.4 196.79 200 171.52 145.26 150 128.57 100 77 50 34.58 0 1910 … 1990 … 2000 … 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Shilongba China’s first Hydropower Station The Shilongba Statio,1910 Three Gorges
  • 6. Dams in China Three Gorges Gravity Dam Ertan Arch Dam H=183 m, P = 22.5 GW H=240 m, P=3,300 MW Xiaolangdi Clay Core Rockfill Dam Longtan RCC Dam H=157 m, P=1,800 MW H=216.5 m, P=5,400 MW
  • 7. Small Hydro Small hydro (< 50 MW) Installed capacity Power generation Technically feasible 128 GW 530 TWh End of 2010 58 GW 200 TWh 70000 Installed capacity (MW) 60000 58000 50000 40000 30000 24852 20000 13180 10000 3.6 227 1019 1930 0 1950 1962 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
  • 8. Contributions of Small Hydro • Electrification level • Economic development • Life standard & production capacity Small hydro • Emergency power supply hydropower National • Ecological benefits generation territory 30% 50% Counties Population 22% 33%
  • 9. Hydropower Development Degree Technically feasible 90% 84% 82% 80% 80% 73% 70% 65% 60% 50% 43% 39% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Japan US France Germany Canada Brazil China » Potential in China: large
  • 10. 1. Overview of Hydropower Development in China 2 Hydropower Strategies 2. Hydropower Strategies 3. Challenges of Sustainability; Solutions 4. Conclusions
  • 11. Strategic Significance of Hydropower in China • To adapt to climate change • To safeguard energy safety • To reduce poverty • To support social, economic development
  • 12. To Adapt to Climate Change China’s Energy Structure Hydro 7% Nuclear & others 2% Non-fossil 9% Fossil 91% Copenhagen Commitment: by 2020, •Non-fossil energy: up to 15% Coal 76% Oil 11% •Carbon emission: down 40-45% Natural gas 4% than 2005 Fossil Non-fossil
  • 13. To Safeguard Energy Safety China’s Power Structure • Proportion of thermal Wind Nuclear 2% 1% power: too large (74%) • Increase hydropower: Hydro inevitable choice to adjust 23% power structure Thermal 74%
  • 14. To Reduce Poverty • China’s hydropower resources concentrate in western less-developed regions • Hydropower: boost economy, reduce poverty
  • 15. To Support Social, Economic Development Industrialization Development Stage of Hollis B. Chenery Per-capita GDP ($) Economic Development Stage 300-600 Primary Products Stage 600-1200 Initial Stage 1200-2400 Middle Stage Industrialization Stage 2400-4500 Advanced Stage 4500-7200 Early Stage Developed Economic Stage 7200-10800 Higher Stage • China GDP per capita: $ 4,371 • Population under poverty line: 150m (< $1.2/d/p) China needs hydropower to support social and economic development
  • 16. Strategy of Hydropower Development • To actively develop hydropower on the premise of ecological protection • Goals: – Total hydropower: 380 GW by 2020 – Including conventional hydropower: > 330 GW
  • 17. 1. Overview of Hydropower Development in China 2. Hydropower Strategies 3 Challenges of Sustainability; 3. Challenges of Solutions Sustainability; Solutions 4. Conclusions
  • 18. Challenges of Sustainability; Solutions Challenges:  Environmental protection  Resettlement  Dam safety  Laws and regulations  Hydropower price
  • 19. Challenges of Sustainability; Solutions  Environmental protection Change of water regime Planning and layout Habitat Compensation Fish pass Management system 1 2 Slope vegetation (Three Gorges) 1 Fish breeding, releasing 2 Stratified intake (Nuozhadu) 3 3 4 Transplantation of rare 4 plants (Jinghong)
  • 20. Challenges of Sustainability; Solutions  Resettlement Life of relocated people Laws and regulations Local economic Compensation development Investment New Countryside campaign
  • 21. Challenges of Sustainability; Solutions  Dam safety Mostly built in 1950s- 70s Reservoirs repaired & reinforced (in 10 yrs: 7,356) Danger removal and reinforcement Reservoirs to be repaired & reinforced Safety monitoring (in next 5 yrs: 41,000) Emergency response Research, management, monitoring (guarantee Informatization and system, emergency modernization response, warning…)
  • 22. Challenges of Sustainability; Solutions  Laws and regulations Property of hydroenergy Central government’s resources No. 1 Document in 2011 Benefit sharing One of 4 goals: to establish institutions and Whole-process monitoring systems for scientific & management development of water resources ……
  • 23. Challenges of Sustainability; Solutions  Hydropower price Lower than thermal Market-oriented pricing power mechanism Covering up advantages of hydropower On-grid power prices (CNY) 1.2 1.09 1 0.8 0.6 0.56 0.425 0.4 0.35 0.21 0.2 0 Hydro Thermal Nuclear Wind Solar
  • 24. Scientific and Technological Support Research institutes: IWHR + National Research Center on Sustainable Hydropower Development + … Resources General planning; cascade development utilization planning Ecological EIA; ecological mitigation & compensation safety Engineering Engineering technologies; automatic safety monitoring; emergency response Regional economy; social coordination & Economic development; development institution, mechanism, management, poli cy
  • 25. 1. Overview of Hydropower Development in China 2. Hydropower Strategies 3. Challenges of Sustainability; Solutions 4 4. Conclusions Conclusions
  • 26. Conclusions Adapt to Safeguard Reduce Support climate energy poverty social, economic development change safety Strategic choice: to actively develop hydropower on the premise of ecological protection Diverse and complex challenges ahead International cooperation, exchange Sustainable Economic Sci. & tech. hydropower development progress development