Development of SHPP in Armenia




         TAMARA BABAYAN
        Director of R2E2 Fund
Hydro
 Resources
250-300MW
Wind
 resources
300-500MW
Solar
resource
>1000MW



            TAMARA BABAYAN
           Director of R2E2 Fund
Geothermal
 resources
25-50 MW
Technical Potential for Selected RETes
Technical Potential of Selected Renewable                   2010   2015    2020
Energy Technologies
                                    Small Hydro Power Projects
Generation capacity in place [MW]                        102,5     179     216,5
Investment cost installed [USD/kW]                     500-700     1200    1500
Production costs [USD Cent/kWh]                         3,3-4,9     6       7.4
                                            Wind Power
Generation capacity in place [MW]                           2.6    102.4   302.4
Investment cost installed [USD/kW]                          2100   2040    2000
Production costs [USD Cent/kWh]                             10.3   10.8    11.8
                                            Photovoltaics
Generation capacity in place [MW]                           0.1     0.3     1
Investment cost installed [USD/kW]                          6000   5000    2700
Production costs [USD Cent/kWh]                              47     38      24
                                            Geothermal
Generation capacity in place [MW]                            0      0       25
Investment cost installed [USD/kW]                           0      0      3000
Production costs [USD Cent/kWh]                              0      0      6.75
Base Growth Case for the Development of RETs in
        Armenia
  GWh

2 000

1 800

1 600                                                                                        192,0
                                                                                    192,0    154,0
1 400
                                                                          192,0     138,6
1 200                                                           192,0     123,2
1 000                                                           107,8                        755,0
                                                       92,4                         628,4
 800                                          77,0                        512,8
                                                                424,9
                                   61,6               344,8
 600                                          255,7
                           46,2   179,2
               30,8       108,8
 400 15,4      48,7
     22,7
                                                      540,2     564,9     587,6     608,6    625,6
                          449,9   483,3       517,3
 200357,0     412,1

   0
    2011       2012       2013    2014        2015     2016     2017       2018     2019     2020
        Small HPPs Base    Wind Base Growth     Solar PV Base Growth    Geothermal Base growth
                                                  7
Current Situation
 Generating units    Number of plants       Capacity, MW   Annual Production,
                                                           GWh
 SHPP                       111                   149             482

 Wind                        1                    2,64            5,0

 Biomass                     1                    0,835           5,9

 Solar PV                    1                    0,01           0,015

 Total                      114                  152,49         492,92

 SHPP construction          80                    154             578

 Wind construction           2                    19,05           30,1

 ALL                        116                  325,54         1101,02
                                        8
Construction and Generation Licenses
30

                29                     29
                                                                                      25
25


                           23

20                                                                        21

                                                                                 19


15
                                              15   15
     14
                                                              13                             11
                                                                     12
10                                11

                                                          9


5
                       5
            4


0
     2004       2005       2006        2007        2008       2009        2010        2011
Policy Incentives
• Guaranteed purchase of produced electricity within 15
  years after commissioning /production license/
• Fixed tariff
   – SHPP /natural flow/ -19.28 AMD/kWh - $0.052
   – SHPP /irrigation/ - 12.853 AMD/kWh -$0.035
   – SHPP /drinking water/ - 8.57 /kWh -$0.023
   – Wind – 33.756 AMD/kWh – $0.091
   – Biomass – 36.928 AMD/kWh -$0.1
• End user tariff /population/- 30 AMD/kWh (day)-$0.08;
  20AMD/kWh night - $0.054
                           10
Barrier Removal and Facilitation
•    Information
      – R2E2 has updated SHPP scheme of Armenia
      – R2E2 has identified barriers and submitted to the Government
      – TA programs financed by IFIs
•    Technological
      – Lack of water merits points
      – Capacity of engineering design
      – Lack of equipment in local market
      – Pipes
•    Financing
      – Exaggerated risk of investment
      – Lack of collateral
      – High interest rate
      – Lack of long-term loans

                                       11
Barrier Removal and Facilitation
Barrier                                     Facilitation
                                  INFORMATIONAL
Identification of Barriers              R2E2 has identified and submitted to
                                        Government special Task Force
Information on potential sites          R2E2 has updated SHPP scheme of Armenia

Information on technologies and market TA programs financed by IFIs
                                  TECHNOLOGICAL
Lack of water merits points             SHPP scheme
Capacity of engineering design          TA of IFIs, local bank experts
Lack of equipment in local market       Local production facilities including GRP pypes

                                     FINANCING
Exaggerated risk of investment          IFIs involvement
Collateral                              Installed equipment serve as collateral
Lack of long-term loans                 IFIs support
High interest rate                      IFIs support
                                           12
Financing Opportunities
• R2E2 Fund – WB $5mln., EBRD $7mln., Local Bank
  $3mln., co-financing >30%, actual $28 mln. -27 SHPP
• R2E2 Revolving – $9.2 mln.
• IFC/FMO – 15 SHPPs (about 22 mln. USD)
• KFW – 1st tranche – 14 SHPPs – 6 mln. Euro
• KFW – 2nd tranche 11 mln. Euro AA SHPPs




                           13
Forests-10%
Gas-0%
Oil-0%
Coal-0%

  Renewable is not only
 energy security but also
 National security for my
         country
RENEWABLE RESOURCES AND ENERGY EFFICIENCY
                 FUND




                                        Tamara Babayan
                                                  Director
           Renewable Resources and Energy Efficiency Fund
                                        director@r2e2.am
                            www.r2e2.am; www.reweek.am

Tamara babayan

  • 1.
    Development of SHPPin Armenia TAMARA BABAYAN Director of R2E2 Fund
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
    Solar resource >1000MW TAMARA BABAYAN Director of R2E2 Fund
  • 5.
  • 6.
    Technical Potential forSelected RETes Technical Potential of Selected Renewable 2010 2015 2020 Energy Technologies Small Hydro Power Projects Generation capacity in place [MW] 102,5 179 216,5 Investment cost installed [USD/kW] 500-700 1200 1500 Production costs [USD Cent/kWh] 3,3-4,9 6 7.4 Wind Power Generation capacity in place [MW] 2.6 102.4 302.4 Investment cost installed [USD/kW] 2100 2040 2000 Production costs [USD Cent/kWh] 10.3 10.8 11.8 Photovoltaics Generation capacity in place [MW] 0.1 0.3 1 Investment cost installed [USD/kW] 6000 5000 2700 Production costs [USD Cent/kWh] 47 38 24 Geothermal Generation capacity in place [MW] 0 0 25 Investment cost installed [USD/kW] 0 0 3000 Production costs [USD Cent/kWh] 0 0 6.75
  • 7.
    Base Growth Casefor the Development of RETs in Armenia GWh 2 000 1 800 1 600 192,0 192,0 154,0 1 400 192,0 138,6 1 200 192,0 123,2 1 000 107,8 755,0 92,4 628,4 800 77,0 512,8 424,9 61,6 344,8 600 255,7 46,2 179,2 30,8 108,8 400 15,4 48,7 22,7 540,2 564,9 587,6 608,6 625,6 449,9 483,3 517,3 200357,0 412,1 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Small HPPs Base Wind Base Growth Solar PV Base Growth Geothermal Base growth 7
  • 8.
    Current Situation Generatingunits Number of plants Capacity, MW Annual Production, GWh SHPP 111 149 482 Wind 1 2,64 5,0 Biomass 1 0,835 5,9 Solar PV 1 0,01 0,015 Total 114 152,49 492,92 SHPP construction 80 154 578 Wind construction 2 19,05 30,1 ALL 116 325,54 1101,02 8
  • 9.
    Construction and GenerationLicenses 30 29 29 25 25 23 20 21 19 15 15 15 14 13 11 12 10 11 9 5 5 4 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
  • 10.
    Policy Incentives • Guaranteedpurchase of produced electricity within 15 years after commissioning /production license/ • Fixed tariff – SHPP /natural flow/ -19.28 AMD/kWh - $0.052 – SHPP /irrigation/ - 12.853 AMD/kWh -$0.035 – SHPP /drinking water/ - 8.57 /kWh -$0.023 – Wind – 33.756 AMD/kWh – $0.091 – Biomass – 36.928 AMD/kWh -$0.1 • End user tariff /population/- 30 AMD/kWh (day)-$0.08; 20AMD/kWh night - $0.054 10
  • 11.
    Barrier Removal andFacilitation • Information – R2E2 has updated SHPP scheme of Armenia – R2E2 has identified barriers and submitted to the Government – TA programs financed by IFIs • Technological – Lack of water merits points – Capacity of engineering design – Lack of equipment in local market – Pipes • Financing – Exaggerated risk of investment – Lack of collateral – High interest rate – Lack of long-term loans 11
  • 12.
    Barrier Removal andFacilitation Barrier Facilitation INFORMATIONAL Identification of Barriers R2E2 has identified and submitted to Government special Task Force Information on potential sites R2E2 has updated SHPP scheme of Armenia Information on technologies and market TA programs financed by IFIs TECHNOLOGICAL Lack of water merits points SHPP scheme Capacity of engineering design TA of IFIs, local bank experts Lack of equipment in local market Local production facilities including GRP pypes FINANCING Exaggerated risk of investment IFIs involvement Collateral Installed equipment serve as collateral Lack of long-term loans IFIs support High interest rate IFIs support 12
  • 13.
    Financing Opportunities • R2E2Fund – WB $5mln., EBRD $7mln., Local Bank $3mln., co-financing >30%, actual $28 mln. -27 SHPP • R2E2 Revolving – $9.2 mln. • IFC/FMO – 15 SHPPs (about 22 mln. USD) • KFW – 1st tranche – 14 SHPPs – 6 mln. Euro • KFW – 2nd tranche 11 mln. Euro AA SHPPs 13
  • 14.
    Forests-10% Gas-0% Oil-0% Coal-0% Renewableis not only energy security but also National security for my country
  • 15.
    RENEWABLE RESOURCES ANDENERGY EFFICIENCY FUND Tamara Babayan Director Renewable Resources and Energy Efficiency Fund director@r2e2.am www.r2e2.am; www.reweek.am