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Taggert J. Brooks, PhD
Associate Professor of Economics
University of Wisconsin-La Crosse
Postwar Recessions (1946-2008): Cumulative Decline from NBER Peak (pct)
0




-1
                                                                                                  Median



-2

                                                                  2007 Recession


-3                                                                                                Harshest




-4




-5




-6
     1   2    3   4    5    6    7   8    9   10   11   12   13    14   15   16    17   18   19
Postwar Recessions (1946-2008): Cumulative Decline from NBER Peak (pct)
0




                                                                                                      1957
-1


                                                                                                      1990



-2


                                                                 2007 Recession



-3




-4




-5
     1   2   3      4    5    6     7    8    9   10   11   12   13   14   15     16   17   18   19
6.00                                                                                  800




                                                                                                       Thousands
Millions




                                                                                                 700
           5.00
                             Continued Claims for Unemployment: SA
                                                                                                 600

                             Initial Claims for Unemployment: SA
           4.00
                                                                                                 500



           3.00                                                                                  400



                                                                                                 300
           2.00


                                                                                                 200


           1.00
                                                                                                 100



           0.00                                                                                  0
           1990-Jan-06   1994-Jan-06           1998-Jan-06           2002-Jan-06   2006-Jan-06
Continued Claims - Minnesota
            140
Thousands




            120




            100




             80




             60




             40




             20




              0
             Jan-90   Jan-92   Jan-94   Jan-96   Jan-98    Jan-00    Jan-02   Jan-04   Jan-06   Jan-08
Continued Claims - Wisconsin
            200
Thousands




            180


            160


            140


            120


            100


             80


             60


             40


             20


              0
             Jan-90   Jan-92   Jan-94   Jan-96   Jan-98     Jan-00    Jan-02   Jan-04   Jan-06   Jan-08
Foreclosures: 7 Rivers Counties
  1,000.0


   900.0


   800.0
                           Total Number of Foreclosures Filed in Jackson, Juneau, La Crosse,
                                       Monroe, Trempealeau, Vernon Counties
   700.0


   600.0


   500.0


   400.0


   300.0


   200.0


   100.0


       -
            1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009*
250.0


                       Foreclosures Filed By County


200.0                                                                                            Juneau




                                                                                                 Monroe
150.0




                                                                                                 Trempealeau
100.0



                                                                                                 Vernon

                                                                                                 Jackson
 50.0




   -
        1998   1999   2000   2001    2002     2003    2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009*
Number of Building Permits in Metropolitan Statistical Area
80.0



70.0



60.0



50.0



40.0
       Total Permits

30.0



20.0   Single Unit Permits


10.0



 0.0
  Jan-99                Jan-01                Jan-03               Jan-05                  Jan-07   Jan-09
Average Number of Days on Market 7 Rivers Region
130


120


110


100


 90


 80


 70


 60


 50


 40
 1997-Jan   1999-Jan         2001-Jan       2003-Jan        2005-Jan      2007-Jan   2009-Jan
7 Rivers Region Percentage Increase in Selling Price for Previous 12 months
12.0


10.0


 8.0


 6.0


 4.0


 2.0


 0.0


-2.0


-4.0


-6.0
  1999-Jan        2001-Jan            2003-Jan            2005-Jan            2007-Jan     2009-Jan
Average Price of Single Family Homes Sold in 7 Rivers Region
$180,000


$170,000


$160,000


$150,000


$140,000


$130,000


$120,000


$110,000


$100,000


 $90,000


 $80,000
      1997-Jan   1999-Jan        2001-Jan        2003-Jan         2005-Jan           2007-Jan   2009-Jan
Cash Bid Corn ($/bu)

$8.00



$7.00



$6.00



$5.00



$4.00



$3.00



$2.00



$1.00



$0.00
   Sep-75   Sep-78   Sep-81   Sep-84   Sep-87   Sep-90   Sep-93    Sep-96   Sep-99   Sep-02   Sep-05   Sep-08
Real Corn Price $/BU CPI 1982-1984=100

7.0




6.0




5.0




4.0




3.0




2.0




1.0




0.0
      1960   1970            1980              1990          2000   2010
Midwest Regular Reformulated Retail Gasoline Prices (C/gal)
450.0


400.0


350.0


300.0


250.0


200.0


150.0


100.0


 50.0


  0.0
   Jan-95   Jan-97         Jan-99        Jan-01        Jan-03        Jan-05        Jan-07   Jan-09
In Recessions
   People Substitute – Time for Money
In Recessions
   People Get Healthier

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Hunger Task Force 2009 Final

  • 1. Taggert J. Brooks, PhD Associate Professor of Economics University of Wisconsin-La Crosse
  • 2. Postwar Recessions (1946-2008): Cumulative Decline from NBER Peak (pct) 0 -1 Median -2 2007 Recession -3 Harshest -4 -5 -6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
  • 3. Postwar Recessions (1946-2008): Cumulative Decline from NBER Peak (pct) 0 1957 -1 1990 -2 2007 Recession -3 -4 -5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
  • 4. 6.00 800 Thousands Millions 700 5.00 Continued Claims for Unemployment: SA 600 Initial Claims for Unemployment: SA 4.00 500 3.00 400 300 2.00 200 1.00 100 0.00 0 1990-Jan-06 1994-Jan-06 1998-Jan-06 2002-Jan-06 2006-Jan-06
  • 5. Continued Claims - Minnesota 140 Thousands 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Jan-90 Jan-92 Jan-94 Jan-96 Jan-98 Jan-00 Jan-02 Jan-04 Jan-06 Jan-08
  • 6. Continued Claims - Wisconsin 200 Thousands 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Jan-90 Jan-92 Jan-94 Jan-96 Jan-98 Jan-00 Jan-02 Jan-04 Jan-06 Jan-08
  • 7. Foreclosures: 7 Rivers Counties 1,000.0 900.0 800.0 Total Number of Foreclosures Filed in Jackson, Juneau, La Crosse, Monroe, Trempealeau, Vernon Counties 700.0 600.0 500.0 400.0 300.0 200.0 100.0 - 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009*
  • 8. 250.0 Foreclosures Filed By County 200.0 Juneau Monroe 150.0 Trempealeau 100.0 Vernon Jackson 50.0 - 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009*
  • 9. Number of Building Permits in Metropolitan Statistical Area 80.0 70.0 60.0 50.0 40.0 Total Permits 30.0 20.0 Single Unit Permits 10.0 0.0 Jan-99 Jan-01 Jan-03 Jan-05 Jan-07 Jan-09
  • 10. Average Number of Days on Market 7 Rivers Region 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 1997-Jan 1999-Jan 2001-Jan 2003-Jan 2005-Jan 2007-Jan 2009-Jan
  • 11. 7 Rivers Region Percentage Increase in Selling Price for Previous 12 months 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 -2.0 -4.0 -6.0 1999-Jan 2001-Jan 2003-Jan 2005-Jan 2007-Jan 2009-Jan
  • 12. Average Price of Single Family Homes Sold in 7 Rivers Region $180,000 $170,000 $160,000 $150,000 $140,000 $130,000 $120,000 $110,000 $100,000 $90,000 $80,000 1997-Jan 1999-Jan 2001-Jan 2003-Jan 2005-Jan 2007-Jan 2009-Jan
  • 13. Cash Bid Corn ($/bu) $8.00 $7.00 $6.00 $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 $0.00 Sep-75 Sep-78 Sep-81 Sep-84 Sep-87 Sep-90 Sep-93 Sep-96 Sep-99 Sep-02 Sep-05 Sep-08
  • 14. Real Corn Price $/BU CPI 1982-1984=100 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
  • 15. Midwest Regular Reformulated Retail Gasoline Prices (C/gal) 450.0 400.0 350.0 300.0 250.0 200.0 150.0 100.0 50.0 0.0 Jan-95 Jan-97 Jan-99 Jan-01 Jan-03 Jan-05 Jan-07 Jan-09
  • 16. In Recessions People Substitute – Time for Money
  • 17. In Recessions People Get Healthier