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ENERGY OPPORTUNITY
TIDAL LAGOON POWER
27TH APRIL 2017
GRAHAM HILLIER, MANAGING DIRECTOR OF DEVELOPMENT
WHAT ARE WE GOING TO COVER?
• Why tidal lagoons and why now?
– Environment (post COP21)
– Energy
– Economy (post Brexit)
• Hendry Review update
• Update on TLP’s plans
• Why TLP’s approach is different
OVERVIEW
THE CLIMATE CHALLENGE
• Paris COP21 – need for
greater decarbonisation
commitments
• Climate change impacts and
the ‘do nothing’ scenario
• “The greatest threat to our
planet is the belief that
someone else will save it”
CLIMATE CHANGE CHALLENGES
Ambitious climate targets
80% reduction in CO2 emissions by
2050
Robert Swan, polar explorer
ENERGY - DECARBONISATION TARGET
Shortfall of 100TWh to hit decarbonisation targets by 2030
RENEWABLE TECHNOLOGY THAT DELIVERS AT SCALE
66
-58
9
39
-4
35
26
2
30
18
16
33
10
4
12
97 97
158
-61
21
215
0
50
100
150
200
250
2016 zero carbon production Known retirements Known additions 2030 gap 2030 zero carbon production target
TWh
The 100TWh problem
Nuclear Other renewables Onshore wind Offshore wind Solar PV
Note: the 97TWh gap includes a potential estimated 25.5TWh from
Hinkley Point C
ENERGY – THE SUPPLY GAP
• 2012 capacity = 100GW
• 18 major closures
• 2017 capacity = 85GW
• Spare capacity = 1.2%
• Further closures by 2030
POWER STATION CLOSURES AND NET NEW DEMAND
Expected Plant Closures
UK power market
ENERGY - COST COMPARABILITY
LAGOONS AS A KEY COMPONENT OF THE UK’S AFFORDABLE ENERGY MIX
ECONOMIC GROWTH
A NEW TIDAL LAGOON INDUSTRY
Domestic market for turbines and generators
£17bn
UK Construction jobs
71,000
GVA from construction phases
£10bn
The tidal lagoon sector can
become a key driver of industrial
growth in Wales and across the UK
A NEW BRITISH INDUSTRY
Turbine components
A GLOBAL INDUSTRY LED BY THE UK
Supply chain
Draft Tube
40 tonnes
Turbine Housing
90 tonnes
Bulb Nose
20 tonnes
Hatch Cover
30 tonnes
Shaft
40 tonnes
Runner
Runner blade
18 tonne
Runner hub
45 tonnes
Distributor
90 tonnes
Discharge ring
Generator
MORE THAN A POWER STATION
Public realm
Hatchery and
visitor orientation
National Boating Centre &
sports facilitates
Eco-hotel
Luxury
accommodation
National
aquaculture
The Oyster: offshore visitor
centre
BLUEPRINT APPROACH
HENDRY REVIEW
Key conclusions
Deliver low carbon, competitive and secure energy
Real and substantial supply chain opportunities
Establish a TPA, NPS and competition
Learning ‘pause’ before full-scale fleet
Start Swansea now as the ‘no regrets’ pathfinder
INDEPENDENT GOVERNMENT REPORT
SWANSEA BAY: UPDATE
• The right size
• A template for future
lagoons
• The opportunity to
learn
Key 1st-of-a-kind characteristics:
Breakwater
Turbine house & sluice gates
Lagoon
Sea
THE PATHFINDER PROJECT
SWANSEA BAY – NEXT STEPS
• Development Consent Order – granted June 2015
• Hendry Review – published January 2017
• We still need:
• Marine Licence – NRW
• Harbour Revision Order / Boundary Review – MMO, WG
• Lease - Crown Estate
• Contract for Difference (CfD) – UK Gov
• Discharge of requirements and conditions
• Start on site – 2018
• First power - 2022
Path to starting construction
SWANSEA BAY UPDATE
FROM PATHFINDER TO FLEET
A range of potential sites
FLEET LAGOONS
FLEET LAGOONS
Cardiff Tidal Lagoon
EARLY DEVELOPMENT PHASE
Indicative design:
• Breakwater: 22km
• Area: 70km2
• Turbines: 60-90
• Average tidal range: 9.21m
• Installed capacity: 1,800MW-
2,800MW
• Annual output: 4TWh-
6Twh pa
• Design life: 120 years
• Generating power: 14 hours each day
Figures are based on a single indicative design iteration and are not necessarily
representative of any scheme that may be developed
ENVIRONMENT - CHALLENGE &
OPPORTUNITY
TLP’s approach
• EIA
• AEMP
• Evidence Plan
• Consultants
• Expert Topic
Groups
• Peer Review
• EEP
ENVIRONMENTAL INITIATIVES
ECOSYSTEMS ENHANCEMENT
European Eel
Redshank
Species-based
restoration and EU
enhancement
initiatives
(eg. eel, shad,
waterbird)
A network of
new wetland
habitat sites
(marsh/mudflat)
under long term
management
Improved land
management
practices (e.g. PES,
i.e. diffuse pollution
control)
Global
biodiversity
hotspot
conservation
Net
positive
impact
Mudflat Creation
DIOLCH YN FAWR
www.tidallagoonpower.com

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Graham Hillier - Sustainable Severn Forum 2017

  • 1. ENERGY OPPORTUNITY TIDAL LAGOON POWER 27TH APRIL 2017 GRAHAM HILLIER, MANAGING DIRECTOR OF DEVELOPMENT
  • 2. WHAT ARE WE GOING TO COVER? • Why tidal lagoons and why now? – Environment (post COP21) – Energy – Economy (post Brexit) • Hendry Review update • Update on TLP’s plans • Why TLP’s approach is different OVERVIEW
  • 3. THE CLIMATE CHALLENGE • Paris COP21 – need for greater decarbonisation commitments • Climate change impacts and the ‘do nothing’ scenario • “The greatest threat to our planet is the belief that someone else will save it” CLIMATE CHANGE CHALLENGES Ambitious climate targets 80% reduction in CO2 emissions by 2050 Robert Swan, polar explorer
  • 4. ENERGY - DECARBONISATION TARGET Shortfall of 100TWh to hit decarbonisation targets by 2030 RENEWABLE TECHNOLOGY THAT DELIVERS AT SCALE 66 -58 9 39 -4 35 26 2 30 18 16 33 10 4 12 97 97 158 -61 21 215 0 50 100 150 200 250 2016 zero carbon production Known retirements Known additions 2030 gap 2030 zero carbon production target TWh The 100TWh problem Nuclear Other renewables Onshore wind Offshore wind Solar PV Note: the 97TWh gap includes a potential estimated 25.5TWh from Hinkley Point C
  • 5. ENERGY – THE SUPPLY GAP • 2012 capacity = 100GW • 18 major closures • 2017 capacity = 85GW • Spare capacity = 1.2% • Further closures by 2030 POWER STATION CLOSURES AND NET NEW DEMAND Expected Plant Closures UK power market
  • 6. ENERGY - COST COMPARABILITY LAGOONS AS A KEY COMPONENT OF THE UK’S AFFORDABLE ENERGY MIX
  • 7. ECONOMIC GROWTH A NEW TIDAL LAGOON INDUSTRY Domestic market for turbines and generators £17bn UK Construction jobs 71,000 GVA from construction phases £10bn The tidal lagoon sector can become a key driver of industrial growth in Wales and across the UK
  • 8. A NEW BRITISH INDUSTRY Turbine components A GLOBAL INDUSTRY LED BY THE UK Supply chain Draft Tube 40 tonnes Turbine Housing 90 tonnes Bulb Nose 20 tonnes Hatch Cover 30 tonnes Shaft 40 tonnes Runner Runner blade 18 tonne Runner hub 45 tonnes Distributor 90 tonnes Discharge ring Generator
  • 9. MORE THAN A POWER STATION Public realm Hatchery and visitor orientation National Boating Centre & sports facilitates Eco-hotel Luxury accommodation National aquaculture The Oyster: offshore visitor centre BLUEPRINT APPROACH
  • 10. HENDRY REVIEW Key conclusions Deliver low carbon, competitive and secure energy Real and substantial supply chain opportunities Establish a TPA, NPS and competition Learning ‘pause’ before full-scale fleet Start Swansea now as the ‘no regrets’ pathfinder INDEPENDENT GOVERNMENT REPORT
  • 11. SWANSEA BAY: UPDATE • The right size • A template for future lagoons • The opportunity to learn Key 1st-of-a-kind characteristics: Breakwater Turbine house & sluice gates Lagoon Sea THE PATHFINDER PROJECT
  • 12. SWANSEA BAY – NEXT STEPS • Development Consent Order – granted June 2015 • Hendry Review – published January 2017 • We still need: • Marine Licence – NRW • Harbour Revision Order / Boundary Review – MMO, WG • Lease - Crown Estate • Contract for Difference (CfD) – UK Gov • Discharge of requirements and conditions • Start on site – 2018 • First power - 2022 Path to starting construction SWANSEA BAY UPDATE
  • 13. FROM PATHFINDER TO FLEET A range of potential sites FLEET LAGOONS
  • 14. FLEET LAGOONS Cardiff Tidal Lagoon EARLY DEVELOPMENT PHASE Indicative design: • Breakwater: 22km • Area: 70km2 • Turbines: 60-90 • Average tidal range: 9.21m • Installed capacity: 1,800MW- 2,800MW • Annual output: 4TWh- 6Twh pa • Design life: 120 years • Generating power: 14 hours each day Figures are based on a single indicative design iteration and are not necessarily representative of any scheme that may be developed
  • 15. ENVIRONMENT - CHALLENGE & OPPORTUNITY TLP’s approach • EIA • AEMP • Evidence Plan • Consultants • Expert Topic Groups • Peer Review • EEP ENVIRONMENTAL INITIATIVES
  • 16. ECOSYSTEMS ENHANCEMENT European Eel Redshank Species-based restoration and EU enhancement initiatives (eg. eel, shad, waterbird) A network of new wetland habitat sites (marsh/mudflat) under long term management Improved land management practices (e.g. PES, i.e. diffuse pollution control) Global biodiversity hotspot conservation Net positive impact Mudflat Creation