Klara Zolcer Skacanova, shecco, will share the latest market and policy trends from around the world on natural refrigerant technologies, including selected statistics from sheccoBase.

2. Global trends by
sheccoBase
Klara Zolcer Skacanova, shecco

3. Policy trends

4. Examples of HFC measures speeding NR uptake
Regulatory measures
Standards
Fiscal measures & incentives
Canada’s
HFC phase-
down plan
U.S.
Climate
Alliance
EU F-Gas
Regulation
Japan’s
F-Gas Law
Australia’s
HFC phase-
down
NZ HFC
phase-
down

5. Examples of HFC measures speeding NR uptake
Regulatory measures
Standards
Fiscal measures & incentives
France,
Spain,
Norway,
Denmark
HFC tax
South Africa:
HFC tax
proposal
Japan:
Natural
refrigerants
incentives
New
Zealand:
levy on
imported
HFCs
California
incentive
program for
green
refrigeration

6. Examples of HFC measures speeding NR uptake
Regulatory measures
Standards
Fiscal measures & incentives
Colombia:
revised
standard on
flammable
refrigerants
Philippines:
revised
standard on
flammable
refrigerants
Indonesia:
revised
standard on
flammable
refrigerants
CARB2018-1
NH3 safety
assessments
methods in
China
Ongoing
risk
assessment
of HC in LCR
in Japan

7. Kigali Amendment status - 87 countries ratified
Developed countries
Developing countries

8. Market trends:
CO2 refrigeration

9. 11 years ago… 140 CO2 TC installations

10. 1 years ago… 20,000 CO2 TC installations

11. TODAY: close to 30,000 CO2 TC installations globally

12. Europe: CO2 TC by application
3%
89%
8%
Small stores
Supermarkets
Industrial sites
CO2 TC refrigeration systems
are still used to a large
extent in supermarkets
—> this represents around
18% of all supermarkets
(> 400m2)
Industrial projects with CO2
TC are becoming
increasingly popular - over
700 known installations
23,000+

13. Projected CO2 TC stores in Europe
continued exponential
growth of CO2 TC in Europe
4,000 – 7,000 new stores
annually between 2020 –
2030
expected to reach 73,000 –
92,000 CO2 TC stores in
Europe by 2030 0
25,000
50,000
75,000
100,000
2013 2015 2017 2019* 2021* 2023* 2025* 2027* 2029*
2001: 1st
CO2 TC
store in
Italy
2014: F-
Gas
Regulation
adopted
Currently
growing at
40%

14. North America: CO2 TC by application
7%
93%
Supermarkets
Industrial sites
USA
16%
84%
Supermarkets
Industrial sites
CANADA
550+ 320+

15. Japan: CO2 TC by application
1%
5%
94%
Small stores
Supermarkets
Industrial sites
CO2 in small stores has
traditionally been the most
popular
Strong interest in larger
installations in the last 2
years, thanks to eased
restrictions on CO2
Government incentives play
a big role for CO2 TC growth
in all applications
4,500+

16. Key trends in refrigeration
Towards zero net energy stores: growing
trend towards integration of refrigeration
with heating & AC systems to further reduce
energy bills
Supermarkets have an opportunity to go
from green grocers to green energy
providers – connect to energy system
CO2 offers great opportunities in this
regard and has no legal uncertainties
Integration of smart systems - IoT
Alternative financing models to reduce /
avoid initial cost barrier

17. World GUIDE to CO2 TC Refrigeration
Three-part report focusing on:
1. Supermarkets
2. Industrial refrigeration
3. Small stores
Market trends
Technology trends
Policy updates
Survey coming soon

18. Market trends:
Low-charge ammonia

19. Low-charge ammonia installations > 4,000 in 2019

20. Low-charge ammonia installations, 2019
First commercially available ultra-
low-charge ammonia system in 2008
in Japan
Today > 4,000 installations
Europe, US and Japan - hotspots for
low-charge ammonia
US - strong trend towards packaged
systems
Europe - chillers, centralised systems
Key drivers: regulatory requirements,
safety, energy efficiency

21. Low-charge ammonia use
Share of low-charge ammonia
systems on overall projects per
company is currently low for
most of the companies
Close to ½ of respondents
indicated low-charge ammonia
represents less than 5% of their
projects
Only 15% respondents said it is
more than half of their projects
Global survey for the “World Guide to Low-Charge Ammonia”

22. Which world region do you expect to experience the
fastest growth in low charge ammonia installations in
the next 5 years?
Low-charge NH3 tomorrow
Europe identified as the
fastest growing market
for low-charge ammonia
technology
36.4% of respondents
expect North America to
experience fast growth

23. World GUIDE to Low-Charge Ammonia
Market & technology trends
Codes & standards
Case studies
New applications
Part 1 and 2 released,
part 3 coming soon

24. Market trends for
hydrocarbons

25. HC light commercial refrigeration
Increasing number of consumer brands
choosing HCs for their point of sale
equipment
8+ million units using natural refrigerants
installed
Industry reports 10-20% energy savings
(avg.) versus traditional technology due to
refrigerant change, inverter technology and
improved controls, etc.

26. HC in food retail
Globally, more than 3.2 million (est.)
HC refrigerated display showcases
have been placed on the market
2,500+ installations using HC
waterloop technology
Use of HCs in larger equipment key
for future growth & to reach policy
objectives
—> updated IEC 60335-2-89 needs to
be urgently translated into national
standards

27. Small food retailers
EU project focused on supporting
small organic food retailers in
transition towards energy-efficient
climate-friendly cooling
8 partners, incl. three OFR associations
Guidance, support, training, technical
specifications

28. HC heat pumps (domestic hot water)
Strong interest in Europe
—> from 12 HC heat pump manufacturers in 2017
to around 30 today
240,000 units in the market
Production level currently low, but potential for
strong growth
BARRIER: Standards not allowing high enough
hydrocarbon charges

29. HC room air conditioning
CHINA:
18 RAC production lines to R290 with a
production capacity of 4,500,000 units per
year
Eight major Chinese room air conditioner
(RAC) makers committed to selling no less
than 220,000 propane split-type RAC units in
the domestic Chinese market by mid-2019 ->
160,000 units sold (August 2019)
INDIA:
RAC manufacturer Godrej sold 650,000 R290
split type RAC systems (September 2019)

30. Removing barriers for hydrocarbons
Funded by the EU LIFE Programme
Improve standards & product design
for their safe use
Conduct field study on leak hole size
and type per application + set up
public databases
Conduct quantitative risk assessment
and develop prototypes with
enhanced product safety features for
5 different types of equipment

31. You can contribute!
Visit: http://lifefront.eu/databases/
Join us for LIFE FRONT workshop
on Thursday, 17 Oct at 1:15pm
Largest leakage size database launched
Public & free to access
➡ Improve overall safety measures for systems flammable refrigerants
➡ Statistical approach with information on leak flow rate in relation to the
leak cause
➡ Basis for standard-making process
➡ Enables to adapt mitigation measures to the identified leak causes &
improve overall safety of products