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GlobalDemography:Population,
Urbanization,andEcology
What is Population?
Population and Ecology are closely
related to each other. The growth of
population can be a burden to the
environment, depleting its resources
and threatening human and animal
life.
2
What is demography?
Demography refers to the scientific
study of the size, composition,
distribution and changes in human
population. Demographic studies
describe the composition of a
population by its distribution of
population categories such as race,
age, marital status, gender,
socioeconomic status, and religion.
3
What is demography?
Demographers seek to know the
levels and trends in population size
and its component. They search for
explanations of demographic change
and their implication for society. They
use census birth and death records,
surveys, visa records, even motor
vehicle and school registration.
4
Thetoolsof
Demography
5
Count
This refers to the absolute
number of a population or
any demographic event
occurring in a specified area
in a specified time period (for
example, 1,200,500 live
births occurred in Japan in
1977). The raw quantities of
demographic events are the
basis of all other statistical
refinements and analyses. 6
Rate
The frequency of demographic events
in a population during a specified time
period (usually a year) divided by the
population “at risk” of the event
occurring during that time period.
Rates tell how common it is for a
given event to occur (for example, in
1997 in Papua New Guinea, there
were 34 live births per 1,000
population). Most rates are expressed
per 1,000 population.
7
Ratio
The relation of one population
subgroup to the total population or to
another subgroup, that is, one
subgroup divided by another (for
example, the sex ratio in Iran in 1996
was 103 males per 100 females).
8
Proportion
The relation of population subgroup
to the entire population, that is, a
population subgroup divided by the
entire population (for example, the
proportion of Malaysia’s population
classified as urban was .57 or 57%).
9
Constant
An unchanging, arbitrary number by
which rates, ratios, or proportions can
be multiplied to express these
measures in a more understandable
fashion.
10
Cohort Measure
A statistic about measures events
occurring to a cohort (a group of
people sharing a common
demographic experience) who are
observed through time. The most
common used cohort is the birth
cohorts– people born in the same
year or period. Other kinds of cohorts
include marriage cohorts and school
class cohorts.
11
Period Measure
A statistic that measures events
occurring to all part or part of a
population during one period of time,
this measure “takes a snapshot of a
population, in effect (For example, the
death rate of the entire Canadian
population in 1997 was 7 per 1,000).
12
About
Population
13
Population Composition and
Density
Population density can be expressed as a ratio
between the number of people and a particular unit
of measure. The most common of such measures is
crude or arithmetic density. To arrive at the crude
population density of a place, it is necessary to divide
the total number of people who live there by the
total land area. The United States, for example, has
an average population density of about 84 people per
square mile. New York City, however, has a population
density of 23,671 people per square mile, whereas
some parts of Alaska have population densities of
near zero people per square mile. Therefore, crude
density is a very general measurement of population
distribution. In order to get a more accurate picture
of the population densities and the significance of
variance in demographic characteristics throughout
the world, we must turn to other measures such as
agricultural density, nutritional density, age-sex
pyramids, and birth/mortality rates.
14
Fertility,
Mortality,and
Migration
15
Fertility
In terms of populations rather than individuals,
fertility is usually expressed using the proxy measure
of birth rate, either crude or standardized for age and
sex. Worldwide, there are significant differences
between birth rates. A major study in the 1980s,
carried out by the Population Division of the
Department of International Economic and Social
Affairs of the UN Secretariat, studied the relationship
between population age and sex distribution and
crude fertility rates for twenty-one countries in the
developing world. They concluded The higher the
birthrate the more markedly the birthrate is
depressed by the age structure. All other things being
equal, fertility should decline more rapidly in the
countries where it is currently lowest since the age
structure appears to favor such a course.
16
Fertility
The mean number of children ever born also ranged
widely among the twenty one countries. Differences
in completed family size range from 8.6 children in
Jordan to 5.2 children in Indonesia. 1 In the
developed world, though, there is a global tendency
for family sizes on average to be smaller than the
replacement level. The “replacement level of fertility”
is the number that causes a country’s population to
slow down and eventually stabilize. According to the
CIA World Factbook's 2014 data the Total Fertility
Rate for women is below 2 children for North
America, Brazil, all the EU states except France,
Russia, China, and Australasia, while women in most
of sub-Saharan Africa has between 3 and 7 children
on average.
17
Mortality
The effect of mortality on population structures is to
reduce the component of the population in which the
mortality occurs. Historically, the most dangerous
ages were infancy and old age (variously reckoned
according to circumstances). In addition, some
epidemics of infectious diseases (e.g. Spanish 'flu)
had their highest mortality among young adults,
whose immune systems were presumably
insufficiently primed. It is expected that the forecast
bird 'flu epidemic will behave similarly. War
differentially reduces the proportion of younger men.
The majority of infectious diseases of early childhood
have been reduced by immunization, and improved
nutrition and hygiene have rendered childhood safer.
18
Mortality
Antibiotics, welfare state, and improvements in
medical, surgical, and palliative care have resulted in
great increases in life expectancy in the developed
world, where life expectancy is now in the middle to
upper 70s or lower 80s, and rising every year. The
effect of this is to raise the population in the upper
age groups substantially. Women have higher life
expectancy than men wherever they live. The
tendency of people to retire to particular resorts
means that in some parts of the South Coast of
England the average (arithmetic mean) age of the
population is only just below retirement age.
The down side of this is that the extended lives are
often lived in bad health, as the treatments people
receive may keep them alive but do little to
ameliorate the underlying pain or disability brought
on by the diseases, and virtually nothing for the
various forms of senile dementia that are increasingly 19
Migration
This has been less studied. In areas where natural
disasters or politico-military concerns lead to entire
populations being displaced the initial population
structure will be unchanged, though post-migration
the population will have altered to reflect those who
have survived the process, typically showing
increases in older children and younger adults.
Opportunistic migration tends to occur mostly among
younger adults, and may be permanent or temporary.
Some studies have shown increased fertility levels in
migrants, so the effect of migration on population
structure is to deplete the population emigrated from
in the young adult groups, to augment this group in
the immigrated-to population, and to increase the
fertility/birthrate in the new population.
20
World Population
(As of July 1, 2019)
21
World Population
7,610,184,021
Source:
https://www.census.gov/popclock/print.p
hp?component=counter
Country Population
China 1,389,618,778
India 1,311,559,204
United States 331,883,986
Indonesia 264,935,824
Pakistan 210,797,836
Brazil 210,301,591
Nigeria 208,679,114
Bangladesh 161,062,905
Russia 141,944,641
Mexico 127,318,112
22
23
Philippines 2023 population is estimated
at 117,337,368 people at mid year. the Philippines
population is equivalent to 1.46% of the total world
Thank You

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Global Demography-The tools of demography

  • 2. What is Population? Population and Ecology are closely related to each other. The growth of population can be a burden to the environment, depleting its resources and threatening human and animal life. 2
  • 3. What is demography? Demography refers to the scientific study of the size, composition, distribution and changes in human population. Demographic studies describe the composition of a population by its distribution of population categories such as race, age, marital status, gender, socioeconomic status, and religion. 3
  • 4. What is demography? Demographers seek to know the levels and trends in population size and its component. They search for explanations of demographic change and their implication for society. They use census birth and death records, surveys, visa records, even motor vehicle and school registration. 4
  • 6. Count This refers to the absolute number of a population or any demographic event occurring in a specified area in a specified time period (for example, 1,200,500 live births occurred in Japan in 1977). The raw quantities of demographic events are the basis of all other statistical refinements and analyses. 6
  • 7. Rate The frequency of demographic events in a population during a specified time period (usually a year) divided by the population “at risk” of the event occurring during that time period. Rates tell how common it is for a given event to occur (for example, in 1997 in Papua New Guinea, there were 34 live births per 1,000 population). Most rates are expressed per 1,000 population. 7
  • 8. Ratio The relation of one population subgroup to the total population or to another subgroup, that is, one subgroup divided by another (for example, the sex ratio in Iran in 1996 was 103 males per 100 females). 8
  • 9. Proportion The relation of population subgroup to the entire population, that is, a population subgroup divided by the entire population (for example, the proportion of Malaysia’s population classified as urban was .57 or 57%). 9
  • 10. Constant An unchanging, arbitrary number by which rates, ratios, or proportions can be multiplied to express these measures in a more understandable fashion. 10
  • 11. Cohort Measure A statistic about measures events occurring to a cohort (a group of people sharing a common demographic experience) who are observed through time. The most common used cohort is the birth cohorts– people born in the same year or period. Other kinds of cohorts include marriage cohorts and school class cohorts. 11
  • 12. Period Measure A statistic that measures events occurring to all part or part of a population during one period of time, this measure “takes a snapshot of a population, in effect (For example, the death rate of the entire Canadian population in 1997 was 7 per 1,000). 12
  • 14. Population Composition and Density Population density can be expressed as a ratio between the number of people and a particular unit of measure. The most common of such measures is crude or arithmetic density. To arrive at the crude population density of a place, it is necessary to divide the total number of people who live there by the total land area. The United States, for example, has an average population density of about 84 people per square mile. New York City, however, has a population density of 23,671 people per square mile, whereas some parts of Alaska have population densities of near zero people per square mile. Therefore, crude density is a very general measurement of population distribution. In order to get a more accurate picture of the population densities and the significance of variance in demographic characteristics throughout the world, we must turn to other measures such as agricultural density, nutritional density, age-sex pyramids, and birth/mortality rates. 14
  • 16. Fertility In terms of populations rather than individuals, fertility is usually expressed using the proxy measure of birth rate, either crude or standardized for age and sex. Worldwide, there are significant differences between birth rates. A major study in the 1980s, carried out by the Population Division of the Department of International Economic and Social Affairs of the UN Secretariat, studied the relationship between population age and sex distribution and crude fertility rates for twenty-one countries in the developing world. They concluded The higher the birthrate the more markedly the birthrate is depressed by the age structure. All other things being equal, fertility should decline more rapidly in the countries where it is currently lowest since the age structure appears to favor such a course. 16
  • 17. Fertility The mean number of children ever born also ranged widely among the twenty one countries. Differences in completed family size range from 8.6 children in Jordan to 5.2 children in Indonesia. 1 In the developed world, though, there is a global tendency for family sizes on average to be smaller than the replacement level. The “replacement level of fertility” is the number that causes a country’s population to slow down and eventually stabilize. According to the CIA World Factbook's 2014 data the Total Fertility Rate for women is below 2 children for North America, Brazil, all the EU states except France, Russia, China, and Australasia, while women in most of sub-Saharan Africa has between 3 and 7 children on average. 17
  • 18. Mortality The effect of mortality on population structures is to reduce the component of the population in which the mortality occurs. Historically, the most dangerous ages were infancy and old age (variously reckoned according to circumstances). In addition, some epidemics of infectious diseases (e.g. Spanish 'flu) had their highest mortality among young adults, whose immune systems were presumably insufficiently primed. It is expected that the forecast bird 'flu epidemic will behave similarly. War differentially reduces the proportion of younger men. The majority of infectious diseases of early childhood have been reduced by immunization, and improved nutrition and hygiene have rendered childhood safer. 18
  • 19. Mortality Antibiotics, welfare state, and improvements in medical, surgical, and palliative care have resulted in great increases in life expectancy in the developed world, where life expectancy is now in the middle to upper 70s or lower 80s, and rising every year. The effect of this is to raise the population in the upper age groups substantially. Women have higher life expectancy than men wherever they live. The tendency of people to retire to particular resorts means that in some parts of the South Coast of England the average (arithmetic mean) age of the population is only just below retirement age. The down side of this is that the extended lives are often lived in bad health, as the treatments people receive may keep them alive but do little to ameliorate the underlying pain or disability brought on by the diseases, and virtually nothing for the various forms of senile dementia that are increasingly 19
  • 20. Migration This has been less studied. In areas where natural disasters or politico-military concerns lead to entire populations being displaced the initial population structure will be unchanged, though post-migration the population will have altered to reflect those who have survived the process, typically showing increases in older children and younger adults. Opportunistic migration tends to occur mostly among younger adults, and may be permanent or temporary. Some studies have shown increased fertility levels in migrants, so the effect of migration on population structure is to deplete the population emigrated from in the young adult groups, to augment this group in the immigrated-to population, and to increase the fertility/birthrate in the new population. 20
  • 21. World Population (As of July 1, 2019) 21 World Population 7,610,184,021 Source: https://www.census.gov/popclock/print.p hp?component=counter Country Population China 1,389,618,778 India 1,311,559,204 United States 331,883,986 Indonesia 264,935,824 Pakistan 210,797,836 Brazil 210,301,591 Nigeria 208,679,114 Bangladesh 161,062,905 Russia 141,944,641 Mexico 127,318,112
  • 22. 22
  • 23. 23 Philippines 2023 population is estimated at 117,337,368 people at mid year. the Philippines population is equivalent to 1.46% of the total world