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Holiday Insights Playbook
Overview of
Kristina Lasenko,
Activation Client Partner
2
We have entered the most
competitive advertising season of
the year…
3
With purchase intent increasing and new devices
coming online, there are big opportunities for
mobile gaming advertisers to steal efficiency in
Q4.
02 03
Agenda
01
Q4 Holiday Trends & Planning Top Product Considerations Summary Checklist
01
Q4 Holiday Trends & Planning
6
Plan around period of high demand
Holiday Timeline
Pre-Holiday push
Traditional marketers
typically take 4-6 weeks to
start their holiday push
Costs
Stabilize
Holiday Push
The influx of demand from marketers
looking to capitalize on the holiday buying
season begins and peaks on Black
Friday/Cyber Monday
Oct 1st – Nov 14th Dec 4th
Dec 23rd
Dec 25th Jan 15thNov 15th – Dec 2nd
3rd
*May vary by retailer
Last ship date & ‘Q5’
The last day shoppers can buy
products online to ensure they arrive
by Christmas
Post-Christmas period of reduced
CPMs, high number of devices and
inventory
Q1 Demand
Traditional marketers
typically take 2 weeks to
begin buying in the new
year
7
CPMs come down steadily after Black Friday
10/1
10/3
10/5
10/7
10/9
10/11
10/13
10/15
10/17
10/19
10/21
10/23
10/25
10/27
10/29
10/31
11/2
11/4
11/6
11/8
11/10
11/12
11/14
11/16
11/18
11/20
11/22
11/24
11/26
11/28
11/30
12/2
12/4
12/6
12/8
12/10
12/12
12/14
12/16
12/18
12/20
12/22
12/24
12/26
12/28
12/30
Q4 ’18 Daily App Installs CPM
NA Mobile Gaming CPM
Black Friday
Halloween
Thanksgiving
Last Ship DateDiwali
Pre-Holiday Push Holiday Push Cost Stabilize ‘Q5’
Even in peak, don’t panic – whilst costs rise, so do conversion rates
CPM CPA CVR
21/11
23/11
26/11
• Potentially still value during peak period
• Monitor and scale ROAS-positive campaigns at
the beginning of the peak week
• Complete tests and exit learning phase before
Black Friday to give those and other campaigns
the best chance of success
Q4 ‘18 Cost & Conversion Trends - EMEA Mobile Gaming Advertisers
Combat high demand with Geo-diversification
During high demand period focus on less competitive markets
Q4 ‘18 CPM Trends for Mobile Gaming Advertisers
APAC EMEA LATAM NA
• Leverage data from International campaigns to
scale EMEA, APAC, LATAM - competition is less
pronounced
• Scale Worldwide targeting with Value
Optimization or consider country bundling
10
Combat high demand with OS, Placement & Creative Diversification
• Allocate more budget to Android which sees a less
pronounced increase in prices in the US
• Use Automatic Placements
• Plan for your creative refreshes to fight fatigue, consider
adding creative to ad sets ahead of the peak
1111
Capitalise on ‘Q5’ - Capture low
cost inventory after Christmas
Source: *bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-09-10/apple-cuts-prices-to-spur-gadget-sales-and-lure-new-subscribers
• Capitalise on ‘Auction Sale’ - CPM/CPI/CPA drop
sharply from 23rd December but purchase intent
(CVR) remains remains fairly constant
• iPhones expected to have a strong Q4 with new
price point*
• Target ‘’New Smartphone Device Users’’ and
consider testing device-specific creative
31 Dec24 Dec
02
Q4 Top Products
13
Top Product Opportunities in Q4
Your holiday testing checklist
Optimization
Structure For Scale
Optimization goal Diversification
International Expansion
Creative
Placement Asset Customization
Playable ads + AN
Holiday themed assets
Bidding
Minimum ROAS Bidding
Smart Bidding – lowest cost with bid
cap or cost cap
Campaign Structure Optimization
Structure for Scale (S4S)
• FB research has shown ad set delivery stabilizes when an ad set
achieves at least 50 unique conversions per week. There is a direct
correlation between ad sets that achieve this volume , reduced CPAs and
stronger ROAS (+25%).
• This holiday season, be sure to structure your campaigns an ad sets to
maximize the amount of conversions attributed to each ad set to combat
rising CPMs.
International Expansion
• Test ideas: Country bundles; Continent test; Country Clusters; LAL with
Continent & Country Bundles
1. ≥20% of ad-sets are generating ≤50 unique conversions/week?
2. Do these ad-sets have ≥25% audience overlap? If yes, consolidate
and/or add exclusions
3. Do these ad-sets have ≤1MM audience? If yes, consolidate and/or
consider broadening audience
4. Are ad-set/campaign daily budgets high enough to accumulate 50
conversions/ad-set/week? If no, compute ideal daily budget using
historical CPAs and consider Campaign Budget Optimization (CBO)
5. Are ad-sets leveraging multiple creatives (static, videos, playables etc)
per ad-set to consolidate signals?
6. Are ad-sets leveraging manual bidding? Check if cost/bid cap is high
enough to accumulate 50 conversions/
ad-set/week
7. Evaluate if new ad-sets can be consolidated into existing ones at the time
of new campaigns creation
8. If all above is checked, how often are ad-sets being refreshed (that reset
the learning phase) in a week? If this is ≥1x/week, consider testing to
identify the ideal cadence
Diversifying your Optimization Goals
Optimization Diversification
• Rising costs can put additional pressure on VO and Min
ROAS campaigns. Consider diversifying your
optimization goals by rotating in MAI and AEO.
• Tests Ideas: Determine the incremental impact of MAI
and AEO by utilizing Facebook’s conversion lift test. (See
example)
There may be overlap between the AEO and VO campaigns in cell 1. The lift study will reveal if there is incremental
value in including this extra optimization goal.
Conversion Lift Test
Blended ROAS Blended ROAS
AEO Campaign VO Campaign VO Campaign
BAU (targeting, creative, etc.)
BAU (targeting,
creative, etc.)
BAU (targeting,
creative, etc.)
Cell 1 Cell 2
What We’ll
Measure
Campaign
Structure
Creative
Placement Asset Customization
• Customize creatives by placement
Playable Ads + Audience Network
• Playable ads help advertisers drive higher-intent installs - people have
experimented and are more likely to play after installing
Holiday & Geo influenced Creative
• Relevant creative can contribute to a more competitive eCTR, a KPI in Facebook’s
auction that factors into what your pay for an impression. Make time to invest in
holiday assets to boost your efficiency.
• Consider creating Stories creatives for Instagram when diversifying in markets like
Japan, Russia
03
Summary Checklist
18
• Scale strong campaigns to take advantage of conditions
• Ensure new ads exit learning phase by w/c 25th November
• Complete all your testing initiatives in the next week or so
• Setup ad sets in advance to speed up activation and approvals
• CPMs increase but so do Conversion rates - leverage high ROAS campaigns
• To combat high demand, consider:
• Setup in paused state for creative refreshes and leverage Playables
• Be prepared to scale from mid-December and especially after last ship date to
capitalise on new device users, more inventory and drops in CPI/CPA
 Before ‘Holiday push’
 During ‘Holiday push’ & heightened competition
 Capitalise on post-holiday push and ‘Q5’
Holiday Checklist
• distributing budget to APAC/LATAM/EMEA
• distributing budget to Android, using Automatic Placements and AN Only
• rotation between AEO & VO and manual bidding (cost-cap)
03
Appendix
Key Dates
27 28 29 30 31
Halloween
01 02
03 04 05 06 07 08 09
10 11
11:11
12 13 14 15 16
17 18 19 20 21 22 23
24 25
Start Black Friday
Campaigns
26 27 28
Thanksgiving
(US)
29
Black Friday
30
Shop Local
Saturday (US)
Black week
November 2019
Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday
Key Dates
01 02 03
Giving Tuesday
(US)
04 05
St. Nicholas Eve
(Netherlands)
06 07
08 09 10 11 12 13
Last standard
international
shipping day for
Christmas
14
Free shipping day
(mostly US, some
UK & NL)
15 16
11:11
17 18
Last standard
shipping day for
Christmas
19 20
Last express
shipping day for
Christmas
21
Super Saturday
22
Hanukkah Starts
23 24
Christmas Eve
25
Christmas Day
26
Boxing Day Sales
(UK, Canada,
Australia)
27 28
29 30
Hanukkah Ends
31
New Years Eve
01
Sales Official Start
(traditionally)
02 03 04
Cyber Monday
December 2019
Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday
Thank You!
Facebook Gaming Activation,
EMEA

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Gaming Holiday Playbook

  • 1. Holiday Insights Playbook Overview of Kristina Lasenko, Activation Client Partner
  • 2. 2 We have entered the most competitive advertising season of the year…
  • 3. 3 With purchase intent increasing and new devices coming online, there are big opportunities for mobile gaming advertisers to steal efficiency in Q4.
  • 4. 02 03 Agenda 01 Q4 Holiday Trends & Planning Top Product Considerations Summary Checklist
  • 5. 01 Q4 Holiday Trends & Planning
  • 6. 6 Plan around period of high demand Holiday Timeline Pre-Holiday push Traditional marketers typically take 4-6 weeks to start their holiday push Costs Stabilize Holiday Push The influx of demand from marketers looking to capitalize on the holiday buying season begins and peaks on Black Friday/Cyber Monday Oct 1st – Nov 14th Dec 4th Dec 23rd Dec 25th Jan 15thNov 15th – Dec 2nd 3rd *May vary by retailer Last ship date & ‘Q5’ The last day shoppers can buy products online to ensure they arrive by Christmas Post-Christmas period of reduced CPMs, high number of devices and inventory Q1 Demand Traditional marketers typically take 2 weeks to begin buying in the new year
  • 7. 7 CPMs come down steadily after Black Friday 10/1 10/3 10/5 10/7 10/9 10/11 10/13 10/15 10/17 10/19 10/21 10/23 10/25 10/27 10/29 10/31 11/2 11/4 11/6 11/8 11/10 11/12 11/14 11/16 11/18 11/20 11/22 11/24 11/26 11/28 11/30 12/2 12/4 12/6 12/8 12/10 12/12 12/14 12/16 12/18 12/20 12/22 12/24 12/26 12/28 12/30 Q4 ’18 Daily App Installs CPM NA Mobile Gaming CPM Black Friday Halloween Thanksgiving Last Ship DateDiwali Pre-Holiday Push Holiday Push Cost Stabilize ‘Q5’
  • 8. Even in peak, don’t panic – whilst costs rise, so do conversion rates CPM CPA CVR 21/11 23/11 26/11 • Potentially still value during peak period • Monitor and scale ROAS-positive campaigns at the beginning of the peak week • Complete tests and exit learning phase before Black Friday to give those and other campaigns the best chance of success Q4 ‘18 Cost & Conversion Trends - EMEA Mobile Gaming Advertisers
  • 9. Combat high demand with Geo-diversification During high demand period focus on less competitive markets Q4 ‘18 CPM Trends for Mobile Gaming Advertisers APAC EMEA LATAM NA • Leverage data from International campaigns to scale EMEA, APAC, LATAM - competition is less pronounced • Scale Worldwide targeting with Value Optimization or consider country bundling
  • 10. 10 Combat high demand with OS, Placement & Creative Diversification • Allocate more budget to Android which sees a less pronounced increase in prices in the US • Use Automatic Placements • Plan for your creative refreshes to fight fatigue, consider adding creative to ad sets ahead of the peak
  • 11. 1111 Capitalise on ‘Q5’ - Capture low cost inventory after Christmas Source: *bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-09-10/apple-cuts-prices-to-spur-gadget-sales-and-lure-new-subscribers • Capitalise on ‘Auction Sale’ - CPM/CPI/CPA drop sharply from 23rd December but purchase intent (CVR) remains remains fairly constant • iPhones expected to have a strong Q4 with new price point* • Target ‘’New Smartphone Device Users’’ and consider testing device-specific creative 31 Dec24 Dec
  • 13. 13 Top Product Opportunities in Q4 Your holiday testing checklist Optimization Structure For Scale Optimization goal Diversification International Expansion Creative Placement Asset Customization Playable ads + AN Holiday themed assets Bidding Minimum ROAS Bidding Smart Bidding – lowest cost with bid cap or cost cap
  • 14. Campaign Structure Optimization Structure for Scale (S4S) • FB research has shown ad set delivery stabilizes when an ad set achieves at least 50 unique conversions per week. There is a direct correlation between ad sets that achieve this volume , reduced CPAs and stronger ROAS (+25%). • This holiday season, be sure to structure your campaigns an ad sets to maximize the amount of conversions attributed to each ad set to combat rising CPMs. International Expansion • Test ideas: Country bundles; Continent test; Country Clusters; LAL with Continent & Country Bundles 1. ≥20% of ad-sets are generating ≤50 unique conversions/week? 2. Do these ad-sets have ≥25% audience overlap? If yes, consolidate and/or add exclusions 3. Do these ad-sets have ≤1MM audience? If yes, consolidate and/or consider broadening audience 4. Are ad-set/campaign daily budgets high enough to accumulate 50 conversions/ad-set/week? If no, compute ideal daily budget using historical CPAs and consider Campaign Budget Optimization (CBO) 5. Are ad-sets leveraging multiple creatives (static, videos, playables etc) per ad-set to consolidate signals? 6. Are ad-sets leveraging manual bidding? Check if cost/bid cap is high enough to accumulate 50 conversions/ ad-set/week 7. Evaluate if new ad-sets can be consolidated into existing ones at the time of new campaigns creation 8. If all above is checked, how often are ad-sets being refreshed (that reset the learning phase) in a week? If this is ≥1x/week, consider testing to identify the ideal cadence
  • 15. Diversifying your Optimization Goals Optimization Diversification • Rising costs can put additional pressure on VO and Min ROAS campaigns. Consider diversifying your optimization goals by rotating in MAI and AEO. • Tests Ideas: Determine the incremental impact of MAI and AEO by utilizing Facebook’s conversion lift test. (See example) There may be overlap between the AEO and VO campaigns in cell 1. The lift study will reveal if there is incremental value in including this extra optimization goal. Conversion Lift Test Blended ROAS Blended ROAS AEO Campaign VO Campaign VO Campaign BAU (targeting, creative, etc.) BAU (targeting, creative, etc.) BAU (targeting, creative, etc.) Cell 1 Cell 2 What We’ll Measure Campaign Structure
  • 16. Creative Placement Asset Customization • Customize creatives by placement Playable Ads + Audience Network • Playable ads help advertisers drive higher-intent installs - people have experimented and are more likely to play after installing Holiday & Geo influenced Creative • Relevant creative can contribute to a more competitive eCTR, a KPI in Facebook’s auction that factors into what your pay for an impression. Make time to invest in holiday assets to boost your efficiency. • Consider creating Stories creatives for Instagram when diversifying in markets like Japan, Russia
  • 18. 18 • Scale strong campaigns to take advantage of conditions • Ensure new ads exit learning phase by w/c 25th November • Complete all your testing initiatives in the next week or so • Setup ad sets in advance to speed up activation and approvals • CPMs increase but so do Conversion rates - leverage high ROAS campaigns • To combat high demand, consider: • Setup in paused state for creative refreshes and leverage Playables • Be prepared to scale from mid-December and especially after last ship date to capitalise on new device users, more inventory and drops in CPI/CPA  Before ‘Holiday push’  During ‘Holiday push’ & heightened competition  Capitalise on post-holiday push and ‘Q5’ Holiday Checklist • distributing budget to APAC/LATAM/EMEA • distributing budget to Android, using Automatic Placements and AN Only • rotation between AEO & VO and manual bidding (cost-cap)
  • 20. Key Dates 27 28 29 30 31 Halloween 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 11:11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Start Black Friday Campaigns 26 27 28 Thanksgiving (US) 29 Black Friday 30 Shop Local Saturday (US) Black week November 2019 Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday
  • 21. Key Dates 01 02 03 Giving Tuesday (US) 04 05 St. Nicholas Eve (Netherlands) 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 Last standard international shipping day for Christmas 14 Free shipping day (mostly US, some UK & NL) 15 16 11:11 17 18 Last standard shipping day for Christmas 19 20 Last express shipping day for Christmas 21 Super Saturday 22 Hanukkah Starts 23 24 Christmas Eve 25 Christmas Day 26 Boxing Day Sales (UK, Canada, Australia) 27 28 29 30 Hanukkah Ends 31 New Years Eve 01 Sales Official Start (traditionally) 02 03 04 Cyber Monday December 2019 Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday
  • 22. Thank You! Facebook Gaming Activation, EMEA

Editor's Notes

  1. Всем привет ! Столько знакомых лиц в зале, так приятно. Ноадля тех, кто меня еще не знает (вы конечно многое потеряли). Меня зовут Кристина, я веду развитие новых геймтинг студий в Европе в команде глобаг лейминг. Другими словами, я охочусь за талантливыми студиями , которые еще не занимались закупкой трафика на FB или закупались, но пока не особо удачно и помогаю им выстроить стратегию гейм лонча. Так что, если вы сейчас подумали про себя, о это мы. Найдите меня ) Однако сегодняшний доклад актуален не только для нового бизнеса, но и для партнеров, с которыми мы работаем на протяжении долгих лет. Чтобы мне пониматься на каком контенте лучше сфокусироваться, поднимите руки те, кто делает UA на FB, а теперь оставьте руки те, кто закупал в это же время год назад, а теперь пусть остануться только те, кто считает, что им это сделать удалось хорошо.
  2. Существует мнение, что Q4 это один из самых сложных кварталов в году для гейминга, однако, так ли страшен зверь, как его малюют Если вы занимаетесь маркетингом для электронной коммерции, возможности успешной закупки для вас сейчас конечно НА ПИКЕ, но вот гейминг рекламодатели, чувствуется себя Гричем, которому надо как-то перетерпеть это рождество
  3. Однако, при наличии сложностей возникает и ПЕРСПЕКТИВА преобразовать их в возможности, и говоря про возможности в Q4 это однозначно количество новых дивайсов, которые получают в подярки и меняющаяся модель поведения, люди становятся больше подверженны покупкам в этом сезоне.
  4. Итак сеголня мы поговорим о Какие тренды мы как Facebook видим со своей стороны и как учесть их при планировании Какие продуктыFB максимально заточены на данные условия Мы так же составили для вас некий чек-лист, пройдемся по нему тоже
  5. Итак, когда мы говорим холидей периоде мы подразумеваем 4 основных периода, 1/ подготовка. Она занимает 4-6 недели, которая не сильно ощущается и выглядит как Business as usual. 2/ основной holiday push начинается с 15 ноября. Он провоцируется притоком спроса из которого маркетологи извлекают выгоду в сезон покупок и достигнув пика в на черную пятницу/ cyber Monday Сегодня 21ое, а это значит, что мы как раз в эпицентре. 3/Мнгогие догадываются и это верно, тк мы видим, что стоимость закупки снижаются после cyber Monday и стабилизируются где-то в период: в этом году это выпадает на 4 по середину декабря 4/ И самый сочный период для гейминга это конец декабря: когда появляется огромная возможность. мы пропускаем дату последнего онлайн-отправки, что приводит к тому, что мы называем «Q5» - период после даты последней отправки и после Рождества, когда мы наблюдаем резкое падение стоимости закупки, но при этом спрос и конверсия покупок остается сильной
  6. И если же вв все же не верите мне на слово, давайте посмотрим: на CPM в северной америке в прошлом году Четко прослеживается рост CPMов прям перед днем благодарения 15го числа , пик выпадает на черную пятницу И практически сразу падает после cyber Monday до уровня октябрьских CPM и продолжая снижаться к концу декабря и снова резко падает в так называемом 5м квартале Из этого следует, что в декабре не стоит быть настолько чувствительными к CPM А что насчет пикового периода ..
  7. Дело в том, что даже не пике не стоит паниковать. Неделю назад, готовясь к ежегодному мероприятию для топовых партнеров, которые мы проводили в Лондоне мы вытащили данные дляЕвропейских рекламодателей Здесь на графике вы видите CPM- стоиость за 1000 показов синим цветом, желтым CPA – стоимость за конверсию а так же серым конверсия в покупку Мы уже поняли, что стоимость закупки CPM и CPA растет на пике, однако обратите внимание, что уровень самой конверсии растет так же и потом так же снижается имея зеркальную тенденцию Какие здесь могут выводы : 1/ по агрегированным данным мы видим не только стоимость но и высокую ценность 2/ если вы цже дошли до уровня закупки AO и VO, мы рекомендуем повышать бюджеты , если ROAS ведет себя хорошо, вместо того чтобы стушевываться из-за повышения цен 3/ на этом периоде можно не только идти в оборону, но и в наступление, если вы снабдили себя креативами 4/ конкуренция однозначно высокая и чтобы понять, и для того, чтобы с ней справиться надо предпринять определенны меры
  8. 1/ Первая мера – гео-диверсификация. Как мы знаем Штаты , это самый дорогостоящий рынок и он так же проходит самый высокий рост цен, что увеливает неравенство еще больше Однако помимо закупки в Штатах, так как она приносит и хорошую конверсию в том числе, самое время чтобы сфокусироваться так же на европе, азии и южной америке Япония и Южная корея подвержены этим всплескам совершенно минимально Что здесь можно сделать 1 / убедиться что сидовые аудитории и креативы готовы 2/ скайлить WW кампании с VO или создавать кампании по отдельным тирам базируясь на языке или LTV страны
  9. Второй мерой является так скажем «поверхностная» диверсификация – которая относится к дивайсам и площадкам и так же диверсификация креативов 1/ что касается устройств , мы видим меньше роста стоимости на Андроиде, чем на iOS – есть смысл релоцировать бюджет в сторону Андроида 2/Placements – мы видим самый маленький рост на Audience Network , это значит , что просто необходимо использовать атоматизацию плейсментов 3/ и последнее – да это уже клише, сказать, что креативы залог успеха- но что делать , если это так?! Показатль того, как пользователь реагирует, когда видит рекламу , CTR одна из самых весовых критериев CTR и для того, чтобы его добиться, надо 1/ больше креативов 2/ создавать тематические креативы 3/ обновлять креативы чаще, раз в 4-5 дня
  10. Итак, что мы зовем Q5 1/ период после того, как последняя посылка отправлена и до 31 декабря Это как на аукционе, меньше кконкуренции с большими брендами , падение CPM с рождеста до нового года составляет 25% в цене Огромное колличество новых устройст Особенно в этом году связано с падением цен на iPhone по причине выхода новой модели И постоянная конверсия , которую никто не отменял Реко- Скейлить бюджеты агресивно Настроивать таргетинг – на New Smartphone Device Users, дополнительно, но не переключая таргетинг существующий Креативы, которые заточены не только под платформу но и под дивайсы
  11. - Bypass approved