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FUNDAMENTAL
ANALYSIS
Meaning:
• Fundamental analysis is a method of evaluating the intrinsic value of a security or
asset by analyzing a company's financial and economic fundamentals
• Helps in:
Identifying undervalued assets
Assessing the potential risks
long term investment strategies
Economic analysis:
• GDP
• Inflation
• Monetary Policy
• Import- Export
• Foreign Direct Investment
• Unemployment rate
Industry analysis
• Industry life cycle
• Industry trends (trends of FMCG Industry include: Sustainability, e-Commerce,
Artificial Intelligence, Digitalization)
• Industry drivers(population, income growth, health and wellness, technological
advancement, distribution channel etc)
Year GDP Growth rate
2013 6.39%
2014 7.41%
2015 8.00%
2016 8.26%
2017 6.80%
2018 6.45%
2019 3.74%
2020 -6.60%
2021 8.95%
2022 7.00%
GDP Growth rate
Graph 1:
-8.00%
-6.00%
-4.00%
-2.00%
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
GDP Growth rate
Year Inflation Rate (%)
2012 9.48%
2013 10.02%
2014 6.67%
2015 4.91%
2016 4.95%
2017 3.33%
2018 3.94%
2019 3.73%
2020 6.62%
2021 5.13%
2022 6.50%
Inflation
Graph 2:
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
12.00%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Inflation Rate (%)
Year Repo (In %) Reverse Repo (In %)
2012 8 7
2013 7.75 6.75
2014 8 7
2015 6.75 5.75
2016 6.25 5.75
2017 6 5.75
2018 6.5 6.25
2019 5.15 4.9
2020 4 3.35
2021 4 3.35
2022 6.25 3.35
Monetary Policy
Graph: 3
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Monetary Policy
Repo (In % ) Reverse Repo (In %)
Year
Import of India (In USD
Billion)
Export of India (In USD
Billion)
2013 38.27 23.2
2014 34.21 28.2
2015 35.21 26.2
2016 32.1 21.98
2017 28.5 23.32
2018 37.05 28.84
2019 33.1 33.12
2020 37.69 26.02
2021 30.52 27.56
2022 56.39 33.79
Import-Export
Graph 4:
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
IMPORT -EXPORT
Import of India (In USD Billion) Export of India (In USD Billion)
Year
Foreign direct Investment
(In USD Billion)
2011 36.5
2012 24
2013 28.15
2014 34.58
2015 44.01
2016 44.46
2017 39.97
2018 42.12
2019 50.61
2020 64.36
2021 83.6
2022(Forecas
ted) 100
Foreign Direct Investment
Graph 5:
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Foreign direct Investment ( In USD Billion)
Year Exchange Rate
2013 54.45
2014 60.5
2015 61.15
2016 65.46
2017 67.09
2018 64.45
2019 69.89
2020 70.49
2021 73.2
2022 74.42
Exchange Rate
Graph 6:
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Exchange Rate
Year
Unemployment Rate
(%)
2012 5.41%
2013 5.42%
2014 5.44%
2015 5.44%
2016 5.42%
2017 5.36%
2018 5.33%
2019 5.27%
2020 8.00%
2021 5.98%
2022 8.30%
Unemployment Rate
Graph 7:
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
5.00%
6.00%
7.00%
8.00%
9.00%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Unemployment Rate (%)
Company analysis
• Qualitative(Business model, management, corporate culture etc)
• Quantitative
Year HUL Nestle Britannia Dabur Godrej
2012-13 0.99 1.32 0.82 1.5 1.14
2013-14 1.03 1.71 0.9 1.73 0.72
2014-15 1.05 1.45 1.19 1.25 0.89
2015-16 1.03 1.68 1.06 1.32 1.01
2016-17 1.31 2.01 1.84 1.48 1.04
2017-18 1.29 2.64 2.03 1.59 1.26
2018-19 1.36 2.55 1.94 1.4 1.12
2019-20 1.31 1.78 1.45 2.26 1.2
2020-21 1.26 1.68 1.21 1.39 1.55
2021-22 1.34 1.05 0.93 1.14 2.62
Current Ratio
Graph 8:
Year HUL Nestle Britannia Dabur Godrej
2012-13 0.18 0.58 0.66 1.39 0.09
2013-14 0.09 0.5 0.2 0.02 0
2014-15 0.05 0.01 0.16 0.06 0
2015-16 0.06 0.01 0.13 0.03 0
2016-17 0.01 0.01 0.06 0.08 0.03
2017-18 0.02 0.01 0.04 0.07 0
2018-19 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.03 0
2019-20 0 0.03 0.32 0.02 0.06
2020-21 0 0.02 0.59 0.03 0
2021-22 0 0.02 0.91 0.09 0
Debt-Equity Ratio
Year HUL Nestle Britannia Dabur Godrej
2012-13 141.98% 59.38% 36.75% 33.91% 18.50%
2013-14 118.02% 47.16% 43.33% 35.33% 18.68%
2014-15 115.85% 41.76% 50.37% 32.64% 19.34%
2015-16 110.71% 19.99% 44.90% 32.72% 19.35%
2016-17 69.18% 30.51% 32.68% 27.29% 19.28%
2017-18 74.02% 35.82% 29.30% 25.36% 21.54%
2018-19 78.81% 43.74% 27.78% 31.86% 35.63%
2019-20 83.90% 102.58% 34.72% 25.59% 23.01%
2020-21 16.77% 103.12% 53.02% 25.63% 19.25%
2021-22 18.08% 102.90% 66.73% 24.44% 18.84%
Return on Equity
Graph 10:
Year HUL Nestle Britannia Dabur Godrej
2012-13 10.8 11.14 16.79 8.7 6.68
2013-14 10.76 12.31 16.99 8.7 8.27
2014-15 12.57 11.62 20.54 9.84 9.05
2015-16 13.61 9.62 20.49 9.32 8.66
2016-17 14.6 9.98 14.24 8.96 9.06
2017-18 14.93 11.23 15.61 7.96 9.29
2018-19 15.78 11.62 14.45 8.56 9.23
2019-20 14.71 9.58 17.08 7.8 8.32
2020-21 13.6 9.38 12.22 6.45 8.9
2021-22 13.16 9.26 10.52 6.61 8.79
Inventory Turnover Ratio
Graph 11:
Year HUL Nestle Britannia Dabur Godrej
2012-13 26.6 47.67 13.41 40.39 17.28
2013-14 33.86 55.11 13.67 46.61 17.26
2014-15 43.8 47.43 20.8 61.17 18.05
2015-16 46.09 103.19 21.51 46.79 21.19
2016-17 43.95 75.79 23.99 48.94 22.38
2017-18 55.11 87.23 31.48 53.96 49.69
2018-19 61.21 88.72 66.07 57.11 39.96
2019-20 73.85 90.08 43.56 67.95 45.13
2020-21 71.82 91.24 49.61 69.13 60.94
2021-22 54.58 88.14 48.17 66.15 51.66
PE Ratio
Graph 12:
Year HUL Nestle Britannia Dabur Godrej
2012-13 3124.73 719.01 252 622.53 419.42
2013-14 3213 1468.17 416.2 620.09 698.67
2014-15 2609.01 1464.74 336.21 743.07 678.27
2015-16 3229.67 948.76 444.43 862.92 419.29
2016-17 3934 1352.58 442.61 519.31 1074.44
2017-18 5085 1621.94 672.53 714.64 1122.4
2018-19 5070 1889.67 484.32 1002.37 1001.6
2019-20 6603 2081.47 71.66 901.75 834.91
2020-21 8425 1980.36 1821.23 1456.38 1308.9
2021-22 8194 1540.55 1612.65 1025.4 804.57
Free Cash Flow
Graph 13:
Year HUL Nestle Britannia Dabur Godrej
2012-13 17.56 110.76 19.57 3.39 15.01
2013-14 17.88 115.86 30.84 3.85 16.59
2014-15 19.95 122.87 51.91 4.34 19.22
2015-16 18.87 58.42 63.66 5.34 21.72
2016-17 20.75 103.86 70.31 5.67 24.9
2017-18 24.19 127.07 78.99 6.09 14.67
2018-19 27.88 166.66 46.7 7.16 17.17
2019-20 31.13 204.15 61.64 6.62 11.54
2020-21 33.85 215.97 73.09 7.82 11.97
2021-22 37.53 222.45 66.69 8.11 14.46
EPS
Graph 14:
Year HUL Nestle Britannia Dabur Godrej
2012-13 105.37% 43.79% 43.43% 44.24% 33.31%
2013-14 72.70% 41.86% 38.91% 45.40% 31.64%
2014-15 75.20% 51.27% 30.83% 46.07% 28.62%
2015-16 84.81% 83.02% 32.03% 42.13% 26.48%
2016-17 81.94% 60.66% 31.29% 39.70% 60.25%
2017-18 82.66% 67.68% 31.67% 123.23% 61.33%
2018-19 78.90% 69.00% 32.12% 38.42% 87.37%
2019-20 110.84% 167.53% 56.70% 45.30% 69.31%
2020-21 91.57% 92.60% 215.55% 60.75% 0.00%
2021-22 90.59% 89.91% 84.89% 64.16% 0.00%
Dividend Pay-out Ratio
Graph 15:
1 2
Current Ratio Nestle Dabur
Debt to Equity ratio Nestle HUL
ROE Nestle Britannia
Inventory Turnover
ratio HUL Britannia
PE ratio Britannia HUL
Free Cashflow HUL Britannia
EPS Nestle Britannia
Dividend Pay-out
Ratio HUL Nestle
CAGR Britannia Nestle

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Fundamental analysis.pptx

  • 2. Meaning: • Fundamental analysis is a method of evaluating the intrinsic value of a security or asset by analyzing a company's financial and economic fundamentals • Helps in: Identifying undervalued assets Assessing the potential risks long term investment strategies
  • 3. Economic analysis: • GDP • Inflation • Monetary Policy • Import- Export • Foreign Direct Investment • Unemployment rate
  • 4. Industry analysis • Industry life cycle • Industry trends (trends of FMCG Industry include: Sustainability, e-Commerce, Artificial Intelligence, Digitalization) • Industry drivers(population, income growth, health and wellness, technological advancement, distribution channel etc)
  • 5. Year GDP Growth rate 2013 6.39% 2014 7.41% 2015 8.00% 2016 8.26% 2017 6.80% 2018 6.45% 2019 3.74% 2020 -6.60% 2021 8.95% 2022 7.00% GDP Growth rate Graph 1: -8.00% -6.00% -4.00% -2.00% 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 GDP Growth rate
  • 6. Year Inflation Rate (%) 2012 9.48% 2013 10.02% 2014 6.67% 2015 4.91% 2016 4.95% 2017 3.33% 2018 3.94% 2019 3.73% 2020 6.62% 2021 5.13% 2022 6.50% Inflation Graph 2: 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Inflation Rate (%)
  • 7. Year Repo (In %) Reverse Repo (In %) 2012 8 7 2013 7.75 6.75 2014 8 7 2015 6.75 5.75 2016 6.25 5.75 2017 6 5.75 2018 6.5 6.25 2019 5.15 4.9 2020 4 3.35 2021 4 3.35 2022 6.25 3.35 Monetary Policy Graph: 3 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Monetary Policy Repo (In % ) Reverse Repo (In %)
  • 8. Year Import of India (In USD Billion) Export of India (In USD Billion) 2013 38.27 23.2 2014 34.21 28.2 2015 35.21 26.2 2016 32.1 21.98 2017 28.5 23.32 2018 37.05 28.84 2019 33.1 33.12 2020 37.69 26.02 2021 30.52 27.56 2022 56.39 33.79 Import-Export Graph 4: 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 IMPORT -EXPORT Import of India (In USD Billion) Export of India (In USD Billion)
  • 9. Year Foreign direct Investment (In USD Billion) 2011 36.5 2012 24 2013 28.15 2014 34.58 2015 44.01 2016 44.46 2017 39.97 2018 42.12 2019 50.61 2020 64.36 2021 83.6 2022(Forecas ted) 100 Foreign Direct Investment Graph 5: 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Foreign direct Investment ( In USD Billion)
  • 10. Year Exchange Rate 2013 54.45 2014 60.5 2015 61.15 2016 65.46 2017 67.09 2018 64.45 2019 69.89 2020 70.49 2021 73.2 2022 74.42 Exchange Rate Graph 6: 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Exchange Rate
  • 11. Year Unemployment Rate (%) 2012 5.41% 2013 5.42% 2014 5.44% 2015 5.44% 2016 5.42% 2017 5.36% 2018 5.33% 2019 5.27% 2020 8.00% 2021 5.98% 2022 8.30% Unemployment Rate Graph 7: 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% 8.00% 9.00% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Unemployment Rate (%)
  • 12. Company analysis • Qualitative(Business model, management, corporate culture etc) • Quantitative
  • 13. Year HUL Nestle Britannia Dabur Godrej 2012-13 0.99 1.32 0.82 1.5 1.14 2013-14 1.03 1.71 0.9 1.73 0.72 2014-15 1.05 1.45 1.19 1.25 0.89 2015-16 1.03 1.68 1.06 1.32 1.01 2016-17 1.31 2.01 1.84 1.48 1.04 2017-18 1.29 2.64 2.03 1.59 1.26 2018-19 1.36 2.55 1.94 1.4 1.12 2019-20 1.31 1.78 1.45 2.26 1.2 2020-21 1.26 1.68 1.21 1.39 1.55 2021-22 1.34 1.05 0.93 1.14 2.62 Current Ratio Graph 8:
  • 14. Year HUL Nestle Britannia Dabur Godrej 2012-13 0.18 0.58 0.66 1.39 0.09 2013-14 0.09 0.5 0.2 0.02 0 2014-15 0.05 0.01 0.16 0.06 0 2015-16 0.06 0.01 0.13 0.03 0 2016-17 0.01 0.01 0.06 0.08 0.03 2017-18 0.02 0.01 0.04 0.07 0 2018-19 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.03 0 2019-20 0 0.03 0.32 0.02 0.06 2020-21 0 0.02 0.59 0.03 0 2021-22 0 0.02 0.91 0.09 0 Debt-Equity Ratio
  • 15. Year HUL Nestle Britannia Dabur Godrej 2012-13 141.98% 59.38% 36.75% 33.91% 18.50% 2013-14 118.02% 47.16% 43.33% 35.33% 18.68% 2014-15 115.85% 41.76% 50.37% 32.64% 19.34% 2015-16 110.71% 19.99% 44.90% 32.72% 19.35% 2016-17 69.18% 30.51% 32.68% 27.29% 19.28% 2017-18 74.02% 35.82% 29.30% 25.36% 21.54% 2018-19 78.81% 43.74% 27.78% 31.86% 35.63% 2019-20 83.90% 102.58% 34.72% 25.59% 23.01% 2020-21 16.77% 103.12% 53.02% 25.63% 19.25% 2021-22 18.08% 102.90% 66.73% 24.44% 18.84% Return on Equity Graph 10:
  • 16. Year HUL Nestle Britannia Dabur Godrej 2012-13 10.8 11.14 16.79 8.7 6.68 2013-14 10.76 12.31 16.99 8.7 8.27 2014-15 12.57 11.62 20.54 9.84 9.05 2015-16 13.61 9.62 20.49 9.32 8.66 2016-17 14.6 9.98 14.24 8.96 9.06 2017-18 14.93 11.23 15.61 7.96 9.29 2018-19 15.78 11.62 14.45 8.56 9.23 2019-20 14.71 9.58 17.08 7.8 8.32 2020-21 13.6 9.38 12.22 6.45 8.9 2021-22 13.16 9.26 10.52 6.61 8.79 Inventory Turnover Ratio Graph 11:
  • 17. Year HUL Nestle Britannia Dabur Godrej 2012-13 26.6 47.67 13.41 40.39 17.28 2013-14 33.86 55.11 13.67 46.61 17.26 2014-15 43.8 47.43 20.8 61.17 18.05 2015-16 46.09 103.19 21.51 46.79 21.19 2016-17 43.95 75.79 23.99 48.94 22.38 2017-18 55.11 87.23 31.48 53.96 49.69 2018-19 61.21 88.72 66.07 57.11 39.96 2019-20 73.85 90.08 43.56 67.95 45.13 2020-21 71.82 91.24 49.61 69.13 60.94 2021-22 54.58 88.14 48.17 66.15 51.66 PE Ratio Graph 12:
  • 18. Year HUL Nestle Britannia Dabur Godrej 2012-13 3124.73 719.01 252 622.53 419.42 2013-14 3213 1468.17 416.2 620.09 698.67 2014-15 2609.01 1464.74 336.21 743.07 678.27 2015-16 3229.67 948.76 444.43 862.92 419.29 2016-17 3934 1352.58 442.61 519.31 1074.44 2017-18 5085 1621.94 672.53 714.64 1122.4 2018-19 5070 1889.67 484.32 1002.37 1001.6 2019-20 6603 2081.47 71.66 901.75 834.91 2020-21 8425 1980.36 1821.23 1456.38 1308.9 2021-22 8194 1540.55 1612.65 1025.4 804.57 Free Cash Flow Graph 13:
  • 19. Year HUL Nestle Britannia Dabur Godrej 2012-13 17.56 110.76 19.57 3.39 15.01 2013-14 17.88 115.86 30.84 3.85 16.59 2014-15 19.95 122.87 51.91 4.34 19.22 2015-16 18.87 58.42 63.66 5.34 21.72 2016-17 20.75 103.86 70.31 5.67 24.9 2017-18 24.19 127.07 78.99 6.09 14.67 2018-19 27.88 166.66 46.7 7.16 17.17 2019-20 31.13 204.15 61.64 6.62 11.54 2020-21 33.85 215.97 73.09 7.82 11.97 2021-22 37.53 222.45 66.69 8.11 14.46 EPS Graph 14:
  • 20. Year HUL Nestle Britannia Dabur Godrej 2012-13 105.37% 43.79% 43.43% 44.24% 33.31% 2013-14 72.70% 41.86% 38.91% 45.40% 31.64% 2014-15 75.20% 51.27% 30.83% 46.07% 28.62% 2015-16 84.81% 83.02% 32.03% 42.13% 26.48% 2016-17 81.94% 60.66% 31.29% 39.70% 60.25% 2017-18 82.66% 67.68% 31.67% 123.23% 61.33% 2018-19 78.90% 69.00% 32.12% 38.42% 87.37% 2019-20 110.84% 167.53% 56.70% 45.30% 69.31% 2020-21 91.57% 92.60% 215.55% 60.75% 0.00% 2021-22 90.59% 89.91% 84.89% 64.16% 0.00% Dividend Pay-out Ratio Graph 15:
  • 21. 1 2 Current Ratio Nestle Dabur Debt to Equity ratio Nestle HUL ROE Nestle Britannia Inventory Turnover ratio HUL Britannia PE ratio Britannia HUL Free Cashflow HUL Britannia EPS Nestle Britannia Dividend Pay-out Ratio HUL Nestle CAGR Britannia Nestle