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FORECASTING OF RENEWABLE ENERGY PRODUCTION BY USING GENETIC ALGORITHM (GA) FOR DETERMINING HYDROGEN PRODUCTION POTENTIAL University of Jyv äskylä Renewable Energy Master Programme   Reporter :  Lin Tzu Chao 24/11/2006
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction  (cont.) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction  (cont.) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction  (cont.) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Hybrid System ,[object Object]
Hybrid System  (cont.) ,[object Object]
Forecasting ,[object Object],[object Object]
Forecasting  (cont.) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Artificial Neural Network
Artificial Neural Network  (cont.) ,[object Object],[object Object]
Note:  All you need to construct the functional model are the discrete data points. Artificial Neural Network  (cont.)
Fuzzy Logic ,[object Object],IF THEN INFERRED Combined& Defuzzified T T V V V V 0.2 0.8 Defuzzified  output T=80  input R 1 R 2
Genetic Algorithm ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Genetic Algorithm  (cont.) ,[object Object],[object Object]
Genetic Algorithm  (cont.) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],parents offspring
[object Object],Model and Process
Model and Process ,[object Object]
[object Object],Comparison Mean square error of ANN prediction in [1]
Table 1. Comparison results of RMSE of various forecasting models [4] ,[object Object],Comparison  (cont.) 0.007 500 ANFIS 0.06 500 Cascade Correlation NN 0.55 500 Linear Predictive Method 0.0907 500 Product operator 0.09 500 Min operator 0.19 500 Auto Regressive Model 0.04 500 6th-order Polynomial 0.02 500 BP ANN 0.038011 (9 partition) 500 FL&GA Prediction Error (RMSE) Training Method
[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Q&A ,[object Object]

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FORECASTING OF RENEWABLE ENERGY PRODUCTION BY USING GENETIC ALGORITHM (GA) FOR DETERMINING HYDROGEN PRODUCTION POTENTIAL

  • 1. FORECASTING OF RENEWABLE ENERGY PRODUCTION BY USING GENETIC ALGORITHM (GA) FOR DETERMINING HYDROGEN PRODUCTION POTENTIAL University of Jyv äskylä Renewable Energy Master Programme Reporter : Lin Tzu Chao 24/11/2006
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  • 13. Note: All you need to construct the functional model are the discrete data points. Artificial Neural Network (cont.)
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