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• 	
  When	
  you	
  operate	
  on	
  film	
  photography	
  you	
  are	
  opera1ng	
  on	
  material	
  basis,	
  the	
  cost	
  of	
  film,	
  
of	
  processing…	
  	
  
• 	
  	
  When	
  we	
  move	
  from	
  the	
  material	
  to	
  the	
  digital	
  world,	
  the	
  marginal	
  cost	
  of	
  an	
  addi1onal	
  
photograph	
  goes	
  to	
  zero	
  and	
  you	
  can	
  apply	
  machine	
  learning	
  and	
  algorithms	
  that	
  drive	
  the	
  
pace	
  of	
  change	
  even	
  faster	
  >	
  opera1ng	
  from	
  an	
  abundance	
  model	
  	
  
Shi?	
  from	
  material	
  to	
  digital	
  
McKinsey’s	
  predic1on	
  1984	
  
•  World	
  wide	
  market	
  of	
  mobile	
  phones	
  would	
  not	
  exceed	
  1	
  million	
  units	
  and	
  advised	
  AT&T	
  to	
  get	
  out	
  
of	
  the	
  mobile	
  business	
  and	
  AT&T	
  le?	
  because	
  if	
  you	
  had	
  one	
  of	
  those	
  big	
  huge	
  phones	
  you	
  wouldn’t	
  
sell	
  more	
  than	
  a	
  million	
  
•  Key	
  mistake:	
  They	
  didn’t	
  compute	
  that	
  the	
  phones	
  were	
  shrinking	
  in	
  half	
  the	
  size	
  every	
  year	
  
All	
  of	
  our	
  business	
  structures	
  are	
  built	
  upon	
  scalable	
  efficiency	
  in	
  a	
  linear	
  basis	
  
Yet	
  the	
  world	
  is	
  moving	
  at	
  an	
  exponen1al	
  basis	
  that	
  all	
  of	
  our	
  exis1ng	
  structures	
  
simply	
  cannot	
  manage	
  
video	
  
Immune	
  system	
  paradox:	
  
Large	
  companies	
  are	
  built	
  to	
  
withstand	
  change	
  
New	
  breed	
  of	
  organiza1ons	
  crea1ng	
  
a	
  massive	
  impact	
  with	
  a	
  very	
  small	
  
footprint	
  
Instead	
  of	
  bringing	
  everything	
  
internally	
  is	
  tapping	
  into	
  the	
  
resources	
  externally	
  
Leveraging	
  	
  
Disrup1ve	
  	
  
Technologies	
  
Hoarding	
  the	
  
STOCK	
  
Imbedded	
  in	
  the	
  
FLOW	
  
TEDx	
  events	
  :	
  8000/	
  5	
  years	
  
Let	
  it	
  be	
  run	
  by	
  the	
  community	
  
Vrs	
  Linear	
  planning	
  
20	
  in	
  Q1	
  /	
  40	
  in	
  Q4	
  
Problem	
  with	
  Tradi1onal	
  Linear	
  Planning	
  
-­‐	
  If	
  you	
  do	
  exponen1al	
  =	
  scared	
  team	
  
-­‐	
  If	
  you	
  do	
  linear	
  =	
  leave	
  a	
  lot	
  on	
  the	
  table	
  
Collabora1ve	
  Technologies	
  
Mul1-­‐skilled	
  teams	
  
Fast	
  itera1ons	
  
Transforma1ve	
  Purpose	
  
Scalable	
  Processes	
  
Disrup1on	
  from	
  the	
  side	
  /	
  unprecedented	
  blind	
  spots	
  
80	
  revolu1onary	
  startups	
  looking	
  to	
  disrupt	
  CPG’s	
  
In	
  each	
  industry	
  there	
  are	
  at	
  least	
  3-­‐4	
  very	
  disrup1ve	
  startups	
  
WEALTH	
  CREATION	
  
1990	
  –	
  Second	
  Economy	
  –	
  Detroit	
  
Chrysler	
  +	
  GM	
  +	
  Ford	
  
1.200.000	
  employees	
  
1.600	
  BUSD	
  in	
  revenue	
  
2014	
  –	
  Third	
  Economy	
  –	
  California	
  
Facebook	
  +	
  Apple	
  +	
  Google	
  
130.000	
  employees	
  
1.400	
  BUSD	
  in	
  revenue	
  
300X	
  
50	
  million	
  users	
  
#outbox	
  
80%	
  of	
  what	
  doctors	
  do	
  today	
  will	
  be	
  replaced	
  by	
  technology	
  within	
  10	
  years	
  	
  
Google’s	
  chief	
  execu1ve	
  Larry	
  Page	
  has	
  admimed	
  that	
  the	
  company	
  has	
  
outgrown	
  its	
  mission	
  statement	
  to	
  “organise	
  the	
  world’s	
  informa1on	
  and	
  
make	
  it	
  universally	
  accessible	
  and	
  useful”	
  from	
  the	
  launch	
  of	
  the	
  company	
  in	
  
1998,	
  but	
  has	
  said	
  he	
  doesn’t	
  yet	
  know	
  how	
  to	
  redefine	
  it.	
  
2.5% 34% 34% 16%
All	
  State	
  –	
  7	
  years	
  vrs	
  3	
  days	
  /	
  340x	
  bemer	
  =	
  net	
  savings	
  of	
  USD	
  50	
  millon/	
  year	
  	
  
FORD	
  –	
  USD	
  3	
  billion	
  from	
  concept	
  to	
  produc1on	
  /	
  LM	
  –	
  totally	
  new	
  car	
  in	
  USD	
  3	
  million	
  	
  
Crowd	
  source	
  every	
  element	
  of	
  the	
  car	
  and	
  can	
  create	
  a	
  brand	
  new	
  model	
  totally	
  outsourced	
  	
  
• 	
  Open	
  and	
  leverage	
  your	
  data	
  
10	
  years	
  ago:	
  400,000	
  
TODAY:	
  8	
  billion	
  connected	
  devices	
  
2020:	
  50	
  billion	
  
2030:	
  1	
  trillion	
  
#	
  of	
  connected	
  devices	
  
•  zero marginal cost
•  zero friction to move
•  zero friction to copy
•  apply computation
•  data correlations
•  machine learning
•  modeling / simulations
100% Democratização do Esforço e da Inovação
Era da
Exponencialidade
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Expo organizations

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  • 6. •   When  you  operate  on  film  photography  you  are  opera1ng  on  material  basis,  the  cost  of  film,   of  processing…     •     When  we  move  from  the  material  to  the  digital  world,  the  marginal  cost  of  an  addi1onal   photograph  goes  to  zero  and  you  can  apply  machine  learning  and  algorithms  that  drive  the   pace  of  change  even  faster  >  opera1ng  from  an  abundance  model    
  • 7. Shi?  from  material  to  digital  
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  • 10. McKinsey’s  predic1on  1984   •  World  wide  market  of  mobile  phones  would  not  exceed  1  million  units  and  advised  AT&T  to  get  out   of  the  mobile  business  and  AT&T  le?  because  if  you  had  one  of  those  big  huge  phones  you  wouldn’t   sell  more  than  a  million   •  Key  mistake:  They  didn’t  compute  that  the  phones  were  shrinking  in  half  the  size  every  year  
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  • 17. All  of  our  business  structures  are  built  upon  scalable  efficiency  in  a  linear  basis   Yet  the  world  is  moving  at  an  exponen1al  basis  that  all  of  our  exis1ng  structures   simply  cannot  manage  
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  • 22. Immune  system  paradox:   Large  companies  are  built  to   withstand  change  
  • 23. New  breed  of  organiza1ons  crea1ng   a  massive  impact  with  a  very  small   footprint   Instead  of  bringing  everything   internally  is  tapping  into  the   resources  externally   Leveraging     Disrup1ve     Technologies  
  • 24. Hoarding  the   STOCK   Imbedded  in  the   FLOW  
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  • 26. TEDx  events  :  8000/  5  years   Let  it  be  run  by  the  community   Vrs  Linear  planning   20  in  Q1  /  40  in  Q4  
  • 27. Problem  with  Tradi1onal  Linear  Planning   -­‐  If  you  do  exponen1al  =  scared  team   -­‐  If  you  do  linear  =  leave  a  lot  on  the  table  
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  • 29. Collabora1ve  Technologies   Mul1-­‐skilled  teams   Fast  itera1ons   Transforma1ve  Purpose   Scalable  Processes  
  • 30. Disrup1on  from  the  side  /  unprecedented  blind  spots  
  • 31. 80  revolu1onary  startups  looking  to  disrupt  CPG’s  
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  • 33. In  each  industry  there  are  at  least  3-­‐4  very  disrup1ve  startups  
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  • 38. WEALTH  CREATION   1990  –  Second  Economy  –  Detroit   Chrysler  +  GM  +  Ford   1.200.000  employees   1.600  BUSD  in  revenue   2014  –  Third  Economy  –  California   Facebook  +  Apple  +  Google   130.000  employees   1.400  BUSD  in  revenue   300X  
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  • 77. 80%  of  what  doctors  do  today  will  be  replaced  by  technology  within  10  years    
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  • 85.
  • 86. Google’s  chief  execu1ve  Larry  Page  has  admimed  that  the  company  has   outgrown  its  mission  statement  to  “organise  the  world’s  informa1on  and   make  it  universally  accessible  and  useful”  from  the  launch  of  the  company  in   1998,  but  has  said  he  doesn’t  yet  know  how  to  redefine  it.  
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  • 110. 2.5% 34% 34% 16%
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  • 127. All  State  –  7  years  vrs  3  days  /  340x  bemer  =  net  savings  of  USD  50  millon/  year    
  • 128. FORD  –  USD  3  billion  from  concept  to  produc1on  /  LM  –  totally  new  car  in  USD  3  million     Crowd  source  every  element  of  the  car  and  can  create  a  brand  new  model  totally  outsourced    
  • 129.
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  • 132. •   Open  and  leverage  your  data  
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  • 143. 10  years  ago:  400,000   TODAY:  8  billion  connected  devices   2020:  50  billion   2030:  1  trillion   #  of  connected  devices  
  • 144. •  zero marginal cost •  zero friction to move •  zero friction to copy •  apply computation •  data correlations •  machine learning •  modeling / simulations 100% Democratização do Esforço e da Inovação Era da Exponencialidade