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Estimating residential public transport trip
generation rates
Jihyung Kim – Integrated Transport Planning, WSP
Alexa Delbosc, Chris De Gruyter – Monash University
2
— Lack of consideration for measuring public transport is an issue in
Australian traffic impact assessment guidelines.
— Public transport trip generation rates in inner and middle Melbourne
were higher than outer Melbourne.
— The rates for apartments and townhouses were not necessarily higher
than detached houses.
— Developments with good provision of public transport services can
generate a significant amount of public transport trips, comparable
to the trips generated by vehicles.
Current traffic impact assessment guidelines in
Australia
3
• Estimate residential trip generation rates fur bus, tram and
train in Melbourne
Research aim
4
1. Data used
2. Determination of Melbourne’s home-based public transport
trips
3. AM and PM peak trips
4. Categorisation of trips by location and housing type
Methodology
5
— Victorian Integrated Survey of Travel and Activity (VISTA09)
— Survey conducted between 2009-2010 financial years
— Survey areas: Melbourne Statistical Divisions (MSD) & Regional cities
— Data overview:
1. Data used
Household location Number of households Number of individual
trips data
Inner Melbourne 1,236 8,653
Middle Melbourne 5,535 40,938
Outer Melbourne 4,138 30,765
Entire Melbourne 10,909 80,356
Table 1: Sample size households and individual trips data categorised by location (Source: VISTA09)
6
1. The residence of the person taking the trip must be located within the
MSD.
2. Either the trip’s origin or destination must be home.
 If the origin of the trip is home:
2. Determination of Melbourne’s home-based
public transport trips
Figure 1: Examples of home-based public transport trips from the origin perspective
7
 If the origin of the trip is home:
2. Determination of Melbourne’s home-based
public transport trips
Figure 2: Examples of home-based public transport trips from the destination perspective
8
— AM peak trips:
 If the origin of the trip is home, the start time must be within
7am-9am
 If the destination of the trip is home, the arrival time must be within
7am–9am
— PM peak trips:
 If the origin of the trip is home, the start time must be within
4pm-6pm
 If the destination of the trip is home, the arrival time must be within
4pm–6pm
3. AM and PM peak trips
9
4. Categorisation of trips by location and housing
type
Figure 3: Inner, middle and outer Melbourne categorised based on the Local Government
Areas (LGAs)
10
Results (AM peak)
Separate house Terrace/townhouse Flat or apartment
<400m bus 0.01 0.01 0.01
>400m bus 0.01 0.00 0.00
<400m train 0.09 0.11 0.09
400-800m train 0.06 0.03 0.05
>800m train 0.01 0.01 0.01
<400m tram 0.04 0.06 0.06
>400m tram 0.00 0.00 0.01
Total 0.23 0.22 0.23
Table 2: Weekday AM peak residential public transport trip generation rates for inner Melbourne in
trips per household
Separate house Terrace/townhouse Flat or apartment
<400m bus 0.02 0.01 0.02
>400m bus 0.01 0.01 0.01
<400m train 0.06 0.05 0.10
400-800m train 0.04 0.03 0.09
>800m train 0.01 0.01 0.01
<400m tram 0.04 0.05 0.05
>400m tram 0.00 0.00 0.00
Total 0.18 0.16 0.28
Table 4: Weekday AM peak residential public transport trip generation rates for middle Melbourne in
trips per household
Separate house Terrace/townhouse Flat or apartment
<400m bus 0.01 0.01 0.01
>400m bus 0.01 0.03 0.00
<400m train 0.04 0.17 0.05
400-800m train 0.02 0.03 0.05
>800m train 0.00 0.00 0.01
<400m tram - - -
>400m tram 0.00 0.00 0.00
Total 0.08 0.24 0.11
Table 3: Weekday AM peak residential public transport trip generation rates for outer Melbourne in
trips per household
11
— Bus <400m (0.01 trips per household)
— Tram <400m (0.06 trips per household)
— Train <800m (0.05 trips per household)
Case Study 1: Apartment development in inner
Melbourne (200 households)
Mode of transport Trip generation rate
(trips per household)
Number of weekday
AM peak trips
Bus 0.01 2
Tram 0.06 12
Train 0.05 10
Public transport total 0.12 24
Private vehicle 0.19 38
Table 5: Number of weekday AM peak trips (by mode) generated by an inner Melbourne apartment
development with 200 households
12
— Bus >400m (0.01 trips per household)
— Tram <400m (0.05 trips per household)
— Train >800m (0.01 trips per household)
Case Study 2: Apartment development in middle
Melbourne (40 households)
Mode of transport Trip generation rate
(trips per household)
Number of weekday
AM peak trips
Bus 0.01 1
Tram 0.05 2
Train 0.01 1
Public transport total 0.07 4
Private vehicle 0.19 8
Table 6: Number of weekday AM peak trips (by mode) generated by a middle Melbourne
apartment development with 40 households
13
— Bus <400m (0.01 trips per household)
— Train <400m (0.05 trips per household)
Case Study 3: Apartment development in outer
Melbourne (24 households)
Mode of transport Trip generation rate
(trips per household)
Number of weekday
AM peak trips
Bus 0.01 1
Train 0.05 1
Public transport total 0.06 2
Private vehicle 0.19 5
Table 7: Number of weekday AM peak trips (by mode) generated by an outer Melbourne apartment
development with 24 households
14
— Lack of consideration for measuring public transport is an issue in
Australian traffic impact assessment guidelines.
— Public transport trip generation rates in inner and middle Melbourne
were higher than outer Melbourne.
— The rates for apartments and townhouses were not necessarily higher
than detached houses.
— Developments with good provision of public transport services can
generate a significant amount of public transport trips, comparable
to the trips generated by vehicles.
Conclusion
15
— Several limitations:
 VISTA09 survey was undertaken many years ago.
 Public transport use varies considerably within each of inner, middle
and outer Melbourne.
 However, further dividing the main regions into smaller areas would
the sample size.
— Potential area of future research is to calculate trip generation rates
for other land uses, such as offices or schools.
— To capture the full impact of developments of the transport network,
inclusion of public transport trip generation rates in traffic impact
assessment guidelines is recommended.
Conclusion
Thank you
Questions?

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Estimating residential public transport trip generation rates

  • 1. Estimating residential public transport trip generation rates Jihyung Kim – Integrated Transport Planning, WSP Alexa Delbosc, Chris De Gruyter – Monash University
  • 2. 2 — Lack of consideration for measuring public transport is an issue in Australian traffic impact assessment guidelines. — Public transport trip generation rates in inner and middle Melbourne were higher than outer Melbourne. — The rates for apartments and townhouses were not necessarily higher than detached houses. — Developments with good provision of public transport services can generate a significant amount of public transport trips, comparable to the trips generated by vehicles. Current traffic impact assessment guidelines in Australia
  • 3. 3 • Estimate residential trip generation rates fur bus, tram and train in Melbourne Research aim
  • 4. 4 1. Data used 2. Determination of Melbourne’s home-based public transport trips 3. AM and PM peak trips 4. Categorisation of trips by location and housing type Methodology
  • 5. 5 — Victorian Integrated Survey of Travel and Activity (VISTA09) — Survey conducted between 2009-2010 financial years — Survey areas: Melbourne Statistical Divisions (MSD) & Regional cities — Data overview: 1. Data used Household location Number of households Number of individual trips data Inner Melbourne 1,236 8,653 Middle Melbourne 5,535 40,938 Outer Melbourne 4,138 30,765 Entire Melbourne 10,909 80,356 Table 1: Sample size households and individual trips data categorised by location (Source: VISTA09)
  • 6. 6 1. The residence of the person taking the trip must be located within the MSD. 2. Either the trip’s origin or destination must be home.  If the origin of the trip is home: 2. Determination of Melbourne’s home-based public transport trips Figure 1: Examples of home-based public transport trips from the origin perspective
  • 7. 7  If the origin of the trip is home: 2. Determination of Melbourne’s home-based public transport trips Figure 2: Examples of home-based public transport trips from the destination perspective
  • 8. 8 — AM peak trips:  If the origin of the trip is home, the start time must be within 7am-9am  If the destination of the trip is home, the arrival time must be within 7am–9am — PM peak trips:  If the origin of the trip is home, the start time must be within 4pm-6pm  If the destination of the trip is home, the arrival time must be within 4pm–6pm 3. AM and PM peak trips
  • 9. 9 4. Categorisation of trips by location and housing type Figure 3: Inner, middle and outer Melbourne categorised based on the Local Government Areas (LGAs)
  • 10. 10 Results (AM peak) Separate house Terrace/townhouse Flat or apartment <400m bus 0.01 0.01 0.01 >400m bus 0.01 0.00 0.00 <400m train 0.09 0.11 0.09 400-800m train 0.06 0.03 0.05 >800m train 0.01 0.01 0.01 <400m tram 0.04 0.06 0.06 >400m tram 0.00 0.00 0.01 Total 0.23 0.22 0.23 Table 2: Weekday AM peak residential public transport trip generation rates for inner Melbourne in trips per household Separate house Terrace/townhouse Flat or apartment <400m bus 0.02 0.01 0.02 >400m bus 0.01 0.01 0.01 <400m train 0.06 0.05 0.10 400-800m train 0.04 0.03 0.09 >800m train 0.01 0.01 0.01 <400m tram 0.04 0.05 0.05 >400m tram 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.18 0.16 0.28 Table 4: Weekday AM peak residential public transport trip generation rates for middle Melbourne in trips per household Separate house Terrace/townhouse Flat or apartment <400m bus 0.01 0.01 0.01 >400m bus 0.01 0.03 0.00 <400m train 0.04 0.17 0.05 400-800m train 0.02 0.03 0.05 >800m train 0.00 0.00 0.01 <400m tram - - - >400m tram 0.00 0.00 0.00 Total 0.08 0.24 0.11 Table 3: Weekday AM peak residential public transport trip generation rates for outer Melbourne in trips per household
  • 11. 11 — Bus <400m (0.01 trips per household) — Tram <400m (0.06 trips per household) — Train <800m (0.05 trips per household) Case Study 1: Apartment development in inner Melbourne (200 households) Mode of transport Trip generation rate (trips per household) Number of weekday AM peak trips Bus 0.01 2 Tram 0.06 12 Train 0.05 10 Public transport total 0.12 24 Private vehicle 0.19 38 Table 5: Number of weekday AM peak trips (by mode) generated by an inner Melbourne apartment development with 200 households
  • 12. 12 — Bus >400m (0.01 trips per household) — Tram <400m (0.05 trips per household) — Train >800m (0.01 trips per household) Case Study 2: Apartment development in middle Melbourne (40 households) Mode of transport Trip generation rate (trips per household) Number of weekday AM peak trips Bus 0.01 1 Tram 0.05 2 Train 0.01 1 Public transport total 0.07 4 Private vehicle 0.19 8 Table 6: Number of weekday AM peak trips (by mode) generated by a middle Melbourne apartment development with 40 households
  • 13. 13 — Bus <400m (0.01 trips per household) — Train <400m (0.05 trips per household) Case Study 3: Apartment development in outer Melbourne (24 households) Mode of transport Trip generation rate (trips per household) Number of weekday AM peak trips Bus 0.01 1 Train 0.05 1 Public transport total 0.06 2 Private vehicle 0.19 5 Table 7: Number of weekday AM peak trips (by mode) generated by an outer Melbourne apartment development with 24 households
  • 14. 14 — Lack of consideration for measuring public transport is an issue in Australian traffic impact assessment guidelines. — Public transport trip generation rates in inner and middle Melbourne were higher than outer Melbourne. — The rates for apartments and townhouses were not necessarily higher than detached houses. — Developments with good provision of public transport services can generate a significant amount of public transport trips, comparable to the trips generated by vehicles. Conclusion
  • 15. 15 — Several limitations:  VISTA09 survey was undertaken many years ago.  Public transport use varies considerably within each of inner, middle and outer Melbourne.  However, further dividing the main regions into smaller areas would the sample size. — Potential area of future research is to calculate trip generation rates for other land uses, such as offices or schools. — To capture the full impact of developments of the transport network, inclusion of public transport trip generation rates in traffic impact assessment guidelines is recommended. Conclusion

Editor's Notes

  1. The review of current traffic impact assessment guidelines identified lack of consideration on the measurement of development’s impact on public transport. This created an issue where developers may underestimate the direct impact of development on public transport. In order to resolve this issue, public transport trip generation rates for Melbourne’s residential developments were derived using VISTA09 survey data. It was found that public transport trip generation rates in inner and middle Melbourne were comparable with each other and the rates from both regions were higher than outer Melbourne, which reflect the level of public transport services available to each region. It was also observed that public transport trip generation rates were higher the closer the development is accessible to the public transport services. Interestingly, public transport trip generation rates were not necessarily higher in apartments and townhouses compared to detached houses. Vehicle trip generation rates are significantly lower in apartment and townhouses, and we expected public transport trips to make up for these differences. It is likely that instead, houses in apartments and townhouses are travelling less overall and/or using more walking and cycling. The case studies of apartment developments from the earlier section highlighted that developments with good provision of public transport services can generate a significant amount of public transport trips, comparable to the trips generated by vehicles. Therefore, it is recommended that large scale developments in close proximity to public transport undertake an assessment of the impacts on public transport.
  2. The data from VISTA09 (Victorian Integrated Survey of Travel and Activity) was used. It is a household travel survey conducted by the Victorian State Government. It contains travel information for Victorian households between 2009-2010 financial years. Although this data is relatively old, it was still deemed suitable for use, since at the time this study was taken it was the latest household travel survey data available to us. The VISTA data was used because it paints a detailed picture of travel such as the number of trips made in a household in a given day, the origin and destination of the trip, the mode choices made, and the time of the day the trip was made. While the VISTA covers Melbourne Statistical Division (MSD) as well as other regional cities in Victoria, only data with their residency located within the MSD was used as the scope of the project was limited to estimating trip generation rates for Melbourne only. We had a large sample size with the VISTA data (around 10,000 households 80,000 individual trips in Melbourne). The table here shows the sample size households and individual trips data categorized by location.
  3. The objective of the residential public transport trip generation rates is to measure the direct impact of the residential developments on the public transport network. Therefore, it was necessary to determine the trips that are home-based trips where their mode of transport being public transport. To be considered Melbourne’s home-based trip, the residence of the person taking the trip must be located within the MSD and either the trip’s origin or destination must be home. If the origin of the trip is home, either the first mode of transport used during the trip must be by public transport (train, tram or a bus), or the first mode is by walk and the second mode is by public transport.
  4. If the destination of the trip is home, either the last mode of transport used during the trip must by public transport, or the last mode is walk and the mode preceding that by public transport. For the purpose of this analysis, trips were not classified as ‘public transport trips’ if they began with cycling or a motorized mode before continuing to a public transport mode. This definition was chosen because the public transport trip generation rate is meant to capture trips in the immediate vicinity of the residential development. Out of 80,356 individual trips in the MSD, 3393 trips were residential public transport trips. Of these, 2,952 took place on weekdays.
  5. Melbourne’s residential public transport trips were then categorised into AM peak. PM peak and all-day trips. To be considered AM peak home-based public transport trip in Melbourne, one of the following conditions must be met: If the origin of the trip is home, the start time of the trip must be within 7am-9am. If the destination of the trip is home, the arrival time must be within 7am-9am. To be considered PM peak home-based public transport trip in Melbourne: If the origin of the trip is home, the start of the trip has to be within 4pm-6pm If the destination of the trip is home, the arrival time of the trip has to be within 4pm-6pm. The number of trips identified as AM peak or PM peak was halved to derive 1-hour peak trip generation rates for simplicity.
  6. Mode use is strongly influenced by the location of trip and the type of housing. For this reason, public transport trip generation rates were calculated by distance from a public transport service, home location within Melbourne (inner, middle and outer) and housing type (separate house, townhouse and apartment). All trips were categorized based on their home location by their Local Government Areas (LGAs). Table 2 shows a list of councils which are classified as inner, middle and outer Melbourne suburbs. A ‘rule of thumb’ is that people are willing to walk up to 400m to a bus, 400m to a tram and 800m to a train. For this reason, trip generation rates were calculated separately for residences less than or greater than 400m for bus and tram. For train, three rates were calculated: <400m, 400m to 800m and >800m.
  7. Residential public transport trip generation rates for Melbourne’s inner, middle and outer suburbs during the weekday AM peak are displayed in Table 2, 3 and 4 respectively. The AM peak time period has been specifically chosen for discussion since it is period within a day that public transport services experience the highest demand. The remaining weekday residential public transport trip generation rates data can be found in the paper. The results show that the rates for inner and middle Melbourne are comparable with each other and rates from both regions are higher than outer Melbourne. This reflects the level of public transport services available to each region, where properties in inner and middle Melbourne often have close access to most modes of public transport (train, tram and bus) while residents in outer Melbourne have a limited access to public transport. It was observed that the trip generation rates were higher the closer the development is accessible to public transport.
  8. The review of current traffic impact assessment guidelines identified lack of consideration on the measurement of development’s impact on public transport. This created an issue where developers may underestimate the direct impact of development on public transport. In order to resolve this issue, public transport trip generation rates for Melbourne’s residential developments were derived using VISTA09 survey data. It was found that public transport trip generation rates in inner and middle Melbourne were comparable with each other and the rates from both regions were higher than outer Melbourne, which reflect the level of public transport services available to each region. It was also observed that public transport trip generation rates were higher the closer the development is accessible to the public transport services. Interestingly, public transport trip generation rates were not necessarily higher in apartments and townhouses compared to detached houses. Vehicle trip generation rates are significantly lower in apartment and townhouses, and we expected public transport trips to make up for these differences. It is likely that instead, houses in apartments and townhouses are travelling less overall and/or using more walking and cycling. The case studies of apartment developments from the earlier section highlighted that developments with good provision of public transport services can generate a significant amount of public transport trips, comparable to the trips generated by vehicles. Therefore, it is recommended that large scale developments in close proximity to public transport undertake an assessment of the impacts on public transport.
  9. There are several limitations to this study. The VISTA survey used to derive the trip generation rates was conducted in 2009-2010, which is many years ago. Melbourne’s public transport infrastructure has improved and the travel behaviours of commuters have changed since then. Therefore, the derived rates may not accurately represent the most up to date results. Also, it should be noted that the Guide to Traffic Generating Developments which was used to derive vehicle trip generation is not up to date. Future analysis should employ recent survey data to derive up-to-date trip generation rates. Furthermore, the study has divided Melbourne into three main regions for simplicity (inner, middle and outer Melbourne). However, there are limitations to this approach as the public transport use varies considerably within each of these areas. Better accuracy of the results could be obtained by further dividing the main regions into Local Government Areas or suburbs, although this would significantly reduce the sample size. Another potential area of future research is to calculate trip generation rates for other land uses, such as offices or schools. However, within the VISTA database, this may once again run into issues with sample size. Ideally, public transport trip generation rates would be developed using local surveys. However unlike vehicle surveys, these surveys would have to intercept and question people entering or leaving a similar development. Intercept surveys require considerable resources and can suffer from sampling bias. To capture the full impact of developments of the transport network, inclusion of public transport trip generation rates in Australian traffic impact assessment guidelines is recommended.