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@theEdgeNHS | #EdgeTalks
Fixing flow
Sasha Karakusevic
Friday 4th November 2016 at 9.30am
BST
Joining in today and beyond
• Please use the chat box to contribute continuously
during the web seminar
• Please tweet using hashtag #EdgeTalks and the
handle @School4Radicals @theEdgeNHS
• Send a request to join our Facebook group School
for Health and Care Radicals and The Edge NHS
The Team Today
Twitter and Chat
Room Monitor
Dom Cushnan
@DomCushnan
Session Chair
Janet Wildman
@Jwildman1
Our Presenter
Sasha Karakusevic
@karas01
Today’s discussion
• Key points from my recent Nuffield Trust
report
• Decision making in complex
environments
• What to do when the data doesn’t fit
Are you stuck?
Wasjig “ Cone-gestion”
How different are the achievers?
Stand back to see the big picture
Flow depends on
Linking:
Defined population
Appropriate capacity
An efficient process
Source: Sara Adi Kreindler BMJ Qual Saf 2016 doi:10.1136/bmjqs-2016-
005438
Population change
Mind the gap
Demand and capacity aren’t
matched
Which line would you like to change?
Which line can you change?
Leading to congestion
Fixing flow
•Measure and
manage
•Transform
•Avoid
Measure
Midnight is not a
good time to
measure
operational
demand in the
modern hospital
Peak occupancy and peak flow
Peak occupancy
occurs in the
morning but peak
flow occurs
between 2 and 7
pm
Can your systems
keep up? Where
are the constraints?
Queues build up rapidly if supply
and demand are not matched
Almost 2
hours
waiting
time is
added to
arrivals in
the early
evening
Does your bed change team look
like this?
Solutions
• Start with what you have got
• Actively involve support services
• Is your control and command centre set
up for the volume of activity?
• Move to real time data
Managing demand
58% of patients are treated through 10% of the used space
This group has grown by 17% over the 6 years to 2014/15
How easy is it to reverse the
changes that got us here?
• European Working Time Directive
• Day surgery
• Admission on the day of surgery
• 12 hour shifts
• Changes in general practice
• Protected meal times
• Pressure on medicine (especially)
• Changes in social care
Re-thinking long stay
More patients appear to leave hospital to residential
and nursing care.
Decision making in a complex
environment
Listen very carefully to stories
Put the elements together
Adopt a structured and non-
hierarchical approach
When the data doesn’t fit
Check the data and the reliability of the existing
system (Head)
Use your intuition (Gut)
Listen carefully to what people are saying
Remember your values (Heart)
Unless there is an error in the data it is likely
there is a change in the environment that will
need new thinking and new approaches to
resolve
Lasted news
In conclusion
• The environment is changing rapidly with
an increasingly large elderly and complex
population
• Resources are not available to tackle this
new demand on a business as usual basis
• There are opportunities to manage flow
better and redesign systems to expand
care out of hospital
Time to remove the
blockages
Next EdgeTalk Session
Empowering people to be heard and
helping leaders to listen
Creating the #AHPsMandate
Dr Joanne FillinghammDr Peter Thomond

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Edge Talks November 2016: Fixing Patient Flow

  • 1. @theEdgeNHS | #EdgeTalks Fixing flow Sasha Karakusevic Friday 4th November 2016 at 9.30am BST
  • 2. Joining in today and beyond • Please use the chat box to contribute continuously during the web seminar • Please tweet using hashtag #EdgeTalks and the handle @School4Radicals @theEdgeNHS • Send a request to join our Facebook group School for Health and Care Radicals and The Edge NHS
  • 3. The Team Today Twitter and Chat Room Monitor Dom Cushnan @DomCushnan Session Chair Janet Wildman @Jwildman1
  • 5. Today’s discussion • Key points from my recent Nuffield Trust report • Decision making in complex environments • What to do when the data doesn’t fit
  • 6. Are you stuck? Wasjig “ Cone-gestion”
  • 7.
  • 8. How different are the achievers?
  • 9. Stand back to see the big picture
  • 10. Flow depends on Linking: Defined population Appropriate capacity An efficient process Source: Sara Adi Kreindler BMJ Qual Saf 2016 doi:10.1136/bmjqs-2016- 005438
  • 13. Demand and capacity aren’t matched Which line would you like to change? Which line can you change?
  • 16. Measure Midnight is not a good time to measure operational demand in the modern hospital
  • 17. Peak occupancy and peak flow Peak occupancy occurs in the morning but peak flow occurs between 2 and 7 pm Can your systems keep up? Where are the constraints?
  • 18. Queues build up rapidly if supply and demand are not matched Almost 2 hours waiting time is added to arrivals in the early evening
  • 19. Does your bed change team look like this?
  • 20. Solutions • Start with what you have got • Actively involve support services • Is your control and command centre set up for the volume of activity? • Move to real time data
  • 21. Managing demand 58% of patients are treated through 10% of the used space This group has grown by 17% over the 6 years to 2014/15
  • 22. How easy is it to reverse the changes that got us here? • European Working Time Directive • Day surgery • Admission on the day of surgery • 12 hour shifts • Changes in general practice • Protected meal times • Pressure on medicine (especially) • Changes in social care
  • 23. Re-thinking long stay More patients appear to leave hospital to residential and nursing care.
  • 24. Decision making in a complex environment Listen very carefully to stories Put the elements together Adopt a structured and non- hierarchical approach
  • 25. When the data doesn’t fit Check the data and the reliability of the existing system (Head) Use your intuition (Gut) Listen carefully to what people are saying Remember your values (Heart) Unless there is an error in the data it is likely there is a change in the environment that will need new thinking and new approaches to resolve
  • 27. In conclusion • The environment is changing rapidly with an increasingly large elderly and complex population • Resources are not available to tackle this new demand on a business as usual basis • There are opportunities to manage flow better and redesign systems to expand care out of hospital
  • 28. Time to remove the blockages
  • 29. Next EdgeTalk Session Empowering people to be heard and helping leaders to listen Creating the #AHPsMandate Dr Joanne FillinghammDr Peter Thomond