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CHARGED 2020
The Global Energy Storage Forum 2010
               30 June-1 July, San Diego-USA

 Driving sustainable innovation along the energy storage and
                    smart-grid value chain


Driving economic competitiveness through Energy
        Storage and Smart Grid innovation
                       Reyad Fezzani
                        CEO of BP Solar
Driving economic competitiveness
through Energy Storage and Smart Grid
innovation
Reyad Fezzani, CEO, BP Solar
Charged2020, June 30, 2010
BP Solar International, Inc.

• A customer focused, branded products and project
  development company providing highest lifetime
  value by serving residential, small and large
  commercial, and utility customers
• Industry leader since 1973
• Multicrystalline silicon PV
  pioneer
• Over 10 million modules sold,
  1 GW installed in more than
  160 countries
                                   BP Solar Sail at Guangdong Science Center
U.S. Renewable Portfolio Standards

                                                           www.dsireusa.org / June 2010
                                                                                                         VT: (1) RE meets any increase      ME: 30% x 2000
 WA: 15% x 2020*                                                                                                                            New RE: 10% x 2017
                                                                    MN: 25% x 2025                            in retail sales x 2012;
                               MT: 15% x 2015                           (Xcel: 30% x 2020)                 (2) 20% RE & CHP x 2017          NH: 23.8% x 2025
OR: 25% x 2025 (large utilities)*                     ND: 10% x 2015                         MI: 10% + 1,100 MW                              MA: 22.1% x 2020
                                                                                                  x 2015*                                     New RE: 15% x 2020
 5% - 10% x 2025 (smaller utilities)
                                                                                                                                             (+1% annually thereafter)
                                                       SD: 10% x 2015       WI: Varies by utility;
                                                                                                         NY: 29% x 2015                     RI: 16% x 2020
                                                                             10% x 2015 statewide
         NV: 25% x 2025*                                                                                                                    CT: 23% x 2020
                                                                           IA: 105 MW           OH: 25% x 2025†
                                       CO: 30% by 2020 (IOUs)                                                                               PA: ~18% x 2021†
                                  10% by 2020 (co-ops & large munis)*
                                                                                     IL: 25% x 2025         WV: 25% x 2025*†                NJ: 22.5% x 2021
CA: 33% x 2020          UT: 20% by 2025*                KS: 20% x 2020                                       VA: 15% x 2025*                MD: 20% x 2022
                                                                           MO: 15% x 2021
                                                                                                                                            DE: 20% x 2020*
                 AZ: 15% x 2025
                                                              OK: 15% x 2015                     NC: 12.5% x 2021 (IOUs)             DC     DC: 20% x 2020
                                                                                                 10% x 2018 (co-ops & munis)
                                 NM: 20% x 2020 (IOUs)
                                        10% x 2020 (co-ops)


                                                   TX: 5,880 MW x 2015

                     HI: 40% x 2030



     State renewable portfolio standard                         Minimum solar or customer-sited requirement                          29 states +
     State renewable portfolio goal
     Solar water heating eligible                         *
                                                          †
                                                                Extra credit for solar or customer-sited renewables
                                                                 Includes non-renewable alternative resources
                                                                                                                                         DC have an RPS
                                                                                                                                         (7 states have goals)

 Source: DSIRE
U.S. Renewable Resources




  Source: NREL
Grid Architecture
Issues for Increased Renewable
Generation

• Variability
• Uncertainty
• Distributed Generation
• Economics
Flexibility Supply Curve




  Source: NREL
Time Scales of Interest




  Source: UWIG
Demand and Supply Flexibility to
Reduce Curtailment




  Source: NREL
Storage Impact on Generation Profile
Storage Technology Operating Regimes
Global Installed Electricity Storage
Energy Storage Development
Energy Storage

 • Large-scale energy storage will significantly increase
   PV value to Smart Grid, better managing:
    − Voltage variation
    − Reverse power flow
    − Power fluctuations
 • BP invested in flow
   battery research and
   development
Revenue Projection – North American
Grid Storage Market
North American Electricity Storage
Market Projection by Technology
PV and Smart Grid
While the PV market has entered a time of robust growth, electric utilities and
others have begun to implement the Smart Grid

                                                                              Issues
                                        Does the PV-
    Issues                                                                     Driving
                                         Smart Grid
   Driving PV                           create value?                          Smart
                                                                                Grid
• Increased PV cost                                     • Energy reliability and security
  competitiveness and lower                             • Integration of renewable
  price volatility relative to fossil                     energy
  fuels                                                 • Facilitation of higher energy
• Large scale investment in                               efficiency and consumption of
  technologies, projects and new                          less fossil-based energy
  business models                                       • Increased involvement of end-
• Consumer demand for clean                               users as energy partners
  energy
• Climate change concerns and
  limits on CO2 emissions
Cumulative Grid-Tied US Solar Capacity


            1500



            1125
    MW-dc




             750



             375



               0
                   2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009




                                                 Chart courtesy of Solar Energy Industries Association
Does PV-Smart Grid Create Value?


 • Navigant Consulting study issued in January 2009
 • Clients included solar companies, utilities,
   regulators, environmentalists


 Conclusion:
  Convergence of solar PV and Smart
  Grid will create significant value and
  opportunities
PV Penetration


 • Smart Grid will enable increased PV penetration on
   the distribution grid
   − Helps address T&D challenges of high PV
     penetration, resulting in:
      − Simplified interconnections, improved PV
        economics
   − By 2020, rooftop PV capacity could
     increase by over 60%
Grid Benefits

                        • Smart Grid will help PV provide grid benefits,
                          particularly with strategic energy storage integration
Cumulative Benefits to Grid from Rooftop PV-Smart Grid – Total U.S. (Present Value MM$2008)
    Value of Benefits (millions $2008)




                                        8,000   Without SmartGrid
                                                Scenario 1 (PV-SG)                60% increase due
                                                Scenario 2 (PV-SG w/ DR)          to Energy Storage
                                        6,000
                                                Scenario 3 (PV-SG w/ ES)
                                                Scenario 4 (PV-SG w/ DR & ES)
                                        4,000   Mixed Feedstock $20/wet ton tipping fee
                                                Column 7
                                        2,000

                                           0
                                                      2010                      2015                  2020


                                                                                                       ©2009 Navigant Consulting, Inc.
Business Opportunities


 • PV-Smart Grid will create new business
   opportunities in the short- and medium-term
   − Distributed Generation Power Plant
   − Smart Capacity Firming
   − Distribution Optimization
Next Steps

 • Coordinated effort of all stakeholders
   − Utilities*
   − Distributed generators
   − Customers
   − Equipment suppliers
   − Regulators
   − Investors
 * Utilities championing PV-Smart Grid increase odds
   of success

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Driving Economic Competitiveness Through Energy Storage And Smart Grid Innovation

  • 1. CHARGED 2020 The Global Energy Storage Forum 2010 30 June-1 July, San Diego-USA Driving sustainable innovation along the energy storage and smart-grid value chain Driving economic competitiveness through Energy Storage and Smart Grid innovation Reyad Fezzani CEO of BP Solar
  • 2. Driving economic competitiveness through Energy Storage and Smart Grid innovation Reyad Fezzani, CEO, BP Solar Charged2020, June 30, 2010
  • 3. BP Solar International, Inc. • A customer focused, branded products and project development company providing highest lifetime value by serving residential, small and large commercial, and utility customers • Industry leader since 1973 • Multicrystalline silicon PV pioneer • Over 10 million modules sold, 1 GW installed in more than 160 countries BP Solar Sail at Guangdong Science Center
  • 4. U.S. Renewable Portfolio Standards www.dsireusa.org / June 2010 VT: (1) RE meets any increase ME: 30% x 2000 WA: 15% x 2020* New RE: 10% x 2017 MN: 25% x 2025 in retail sales x 2012; MT: 15% x 2015 (Xcel: 30% x 2020) (2) 20% RE & CHP x 2017 NH: 23.8% x 2025 OR: 25% x 2025 (large utilities)* ND: 10% x 2015 MI: 10% + 1,100 MW MA: 22.1% x 2020 x 2015* New RE: 15% x 2020 5% - 10% x 2025 (smaller utilities) (+1% annually thereafter) SD: 10% x 2015 WI: Varies by utility; NY: 29% x 2015 RI: 16% x 2020 10% x 2015 statewide NV: 25% x 2025* CT: 23% x 2020 IA: 105 MW OH: 25% x 2025† CO: 30% by 2020 (IOUs) PA: ~18% x 2021† 10% by 2020 (co-ops & large munis)* IL: 25% x 2025 WV: 25% x 2025*† NJ: 22.5% x 2021 CA: 33% x 2020 UT: 20% by 2025* KS: 20% x 2020 VA: 15% x 2025* MD: 20% x 2022 MO: 15% x 2021 DE: 20% x 2020* AZ: 15% x 2025 OK: 15% x 2015 NC: 12.5% x 2021 (IOUs) DC DC: 20% x 2020 10% x 2018 (co-ops & munis) NM: 20% x 2020 (IOUs) 10% x 2020 (co-ops) TX: 5,880 MW x 2015 HI: 40% x 2030 State renewable portfolio standard Minimum solar or customer-sited requirement 29 states + State renewable portfolio goal Solar water heating eligible * † Extra credit for solar or customer-sited renewables Includes non-renewable alternative resources DC have an RPS (7 states have goals) Source: DSIRE
  • 7. Issues for Increased Renewable Generation • Variability • Uncertainty • Distributed Generation • Economics
  • 9. Time Scales of Interest Source: UWIG
  • 10. Demand and Supply Flexibility to Reduce Curtailment Source: NREL
  • 11. Storage Impact on Generation Profile
  • 15. Energy Storage • Large-scale energy storage will significantly increase PV value to Smart Grid, better managing: − Voltage variation − Reverse power flow − Power fluctuations • BP invested in flow battery research and development
  • 16. Revenue Projection – North American Grid Storage Market
  • 17. North American Electricity Storage Market Projection by Technology
  • 18. PV and Smart Grid While the PV market has entered a time of robust growth, electric utilities and others have begun to implement the Smart Grid Issues Does the PV- Issues Driving Smart Grid Driving PV create value? Smart Grid • Increased PV cost • Energy reliability and security competitiveness and lower • Integration of renewable price volatility relative to fossil energy fuels • Facilitation of higher energy • Large scale investment in efficiency and consumption of technologies, projects and new less fossil-based energy business models • Increased involvement of end- • Consumer demand for clean users as energy partners energy • Climate change concerns and limits on CO2 emissions
  • 19. Cumulative Grid-Tied US Solar Capacity 1500 1125 MW-dc 750 375 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Chart courtesy of Solar Energy Industries Association
  • 20. Does PV-Smart Grid Create Value? • Navigant Consulting study issued in January 2009 • Clients included solar companies, utilities, regulators, environmentalists Conclusion: Convergence of solar PV and Smart Grid will create significant value and opportunities
  • 21. PV Penetration • Smart Grid will enable increased PV penetration on the distribution grid − Helps address T&D challenges of high PV penetration, resulting in: − Simplified interconnections, improved PV economics − By 2020, rooftop PV capacity could increase by over 60%
  • 22. Grid Benefits • Smart Grid will help PV provide grid benefits, particularly with strategic energy storage integration Cumulative Benefits to Grid from Rooftop PV-Smart Grid – Total U.S. (Present Value MM$2008) Value of Benefits (millions $2008) 8,000 Without SmartGrid Scenario 1 (PV-SG) 60% increase due Scenario 2 (PV-SG w/ DR) to Energy Storage 6,000 Scenario 3 (PV-SG w/ ES) Scenario 4 (PV-SG w/ DR & ES) 4,000 Mixed Feedstock $20/wet ton tipping fee Column 7 2,000 0 2010 2015 2020 ©2009 Navigant Consulting, Inc.
  • 23. Business Opportunities • PV-Smart Grid will create new business opportunities in the short- and medium-term − Distributed Generation Power Plant − Smart Capacity Firming − Distribution Optimization
  • 24. Next Steps • Coordinated effort of all stakeholders − Utilities* − Distributed generators − Customers − Equipment suppliers − Regulators − Investors * Utilities championing PV-Smart Grid increase odds of success