Dr Ewald Breunesse, Manager Energy Transitions, Shell Nederlands How to make STEM teaching more attractive to students
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This document discusses scenarios for energy transitions in the EU as mountains and oceans take over electricity production from renewables. By 2050, renewables such as solar, wind, hydroelectricity, and other renewables are projected to dominate electricity production in the EU, providing over 12 exajoules per year, according to the scenarios. The document addresses how to make STEM teaching attractive and cites a quote about how things will have to change if they are to stay the same, referring to the major transitions underway in the energy system of the EU and worldwide.
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Dr Ewald Breunesse, Manager Energy Transitions, Shell Nederlands How to make STEM teaching more attractive to students
- 1. NEW LENS SCENARIOS A SHIFT IN PERSPECTIVE FOR A WORLD IN TRANSITION Dr. Ewald Breunesse, manager energy transitions ‘How to make STEM teaching attractive?’ Scientix 2 Conference, Brussels,25 October 2014
- 2. IF WE WANT THINGS TO STAY AS THEY ARE, THINGS WILL HAVE TO CHANGE.” “ GIUSEPPE TOMASI DI LAMPEDUSA The Leopard 2
- 4. MOUNTAINS - Electricity OCEANS - Electricity Renewables take over 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 EU - Total Final Consumption - By Source - Total Electricity 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 EJ / year (Energy carrier) Year Oil Biofuels Natural Gas Biomass Gasified Coal Biomass / Waste Solids Nuclear Hydro-electricity Geothermal Solar Wind Other Renewables FSB Energy - Shell WEM v2.5.14 - Oceans - EU_v1 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 EU - Total Final Consumption - By Source - Total Electricity 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 EJ / year (Energy carrier) Year Oil Biofuels Natural Gas Biomass Gasified Coal Biomass / Waste Solids Nuclear Hydro-electricity Geothermal Solar Wind Other Renewables FSB Energy - Shell WEM v2.5.14 -Mountains - EU_v1 EU
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Editor's Notes
- Shell has been using scenario planning as part of its strategy process for 40 years. In December 2012 we celebrated four decades of the Scenarios Team in the company during which time the work of the group has contributed to numerous business decisions and external debates. This year we are pleased to be able to share our new scenarios – the New Lens Scenarios – our latest look at the future and consideration of the macroeconomic, socio-political and energy forces that are shaping the decisions of today and the world tomorrow. Unlike forecasting which can be mechanistic and provide only one, short-term view, scenarios enable us to consider a wide range of choices, all of which have an impact, and consider how the consequences of today’s choices play out. The New Lens Scenarios are wider ranging than previous Shell Scenarios - providing an in depth analysis of features of the global economic, political, environmental and social systems across the 21st century. They look further than comparable analyses of other companies – 2060 for the energy system and 2100 for some of the implications linked to climate and renewable energy developments. Shortly I will introduce two distinct paths the world might take – Mountains and Oceans.
- From today’s perspective on possible futures we can make one clear assessment of possible paths ahead. In view of the complexity and volatility in the global system. All possible outlooks are messy and patchy and there are no ‘silver bullet’ solutions for government, business or civil society.
- That brings us to our Panorama lenses – our Scenario archetypes – Mountains and Oceans These scenarios have been built around plausible assumptions on the political, economic, environmental and social conditions that the previous lenses have explored in depth. They are plausible views of how the 21st century is shaped and in each case a view of the energy system created by those stories has been developed to show how decisions play out in both energy and environmental terms.
- That brings us to our Panorama lenses – our Scenario archetypes – Mountains and Oceans These scenarios have been built around plausible assumptions on the political, economic, environmental and social conditions that the previous lenses have explored in depth. They are plausible views of how the 21st century is shaped and in each case a view of the energy system created by those stories has been developed to show how decisions play out in both energy and environmental terms.
- That brings us to our Panorama lenses – our Scenario archetypes – Mountains and Oceans These scenarios have been built around plausible assumptions on the political, economic, environmental and social conditions that the previous lenses have explored in depth. They are plausible views of how the 21st century is shaped and in each case a view of the energy system created by those stories has been developed to show how decisions play out in both energy and environmental terms.
- That brings us to our Panorama lenses – our Scenario archetypes – Mountains and Oceans These scenarios have been built around plausible assumptions on the political, economic, environmental and social conditions that the previous lenses have explored in depth. They are plausible views of how the 21st century is shaped and in each case a view of the energy system created by those stories has been developed to show how decisions play out in both energy and environmental terms.