Politically connected firms (PCFs) in Lebanon create more jobs than non-PCFs, but also reduce overall job creation in their sectors. The study finds that for every additional PCF in a sector, net job creation is reduced by 6.8% on average in that sector annually. Additionally, PCFs are larger, less productive, pay higher wages, and dominate the sectors they operate in compared to non-PCFs. The negative effect of PCFs on sector job creation is driven by their impact on reducing the growth of non-PCFs through unfair competitive advantages.
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With government technology increasingly a team sport, Route Fifty partnered with the National Association of State Chief Information Officers to see how government leaders perceive collaborating across state and local agencies and jurisdictions.
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The number of law firms and the total headcount of lawyers both have failed to keep pace with the growth observed in other professional and business service sectors, the majority of which have sharply rebounded in the wake of the recession. We suggest several reasons why the headcount of lawyers has stagnated over the past several years, and submit that the square footage currently occupied by law firms is likely to continue to decline over the next several years, though perhaps at a slower pace than has been the case recently.
The German Chamber Business Confidence Survey is a key gauge measuring the business sentiment of German companies operating in China. As of 2014 the German Chamber of Commerce in China has nearly 2,400 member companies, representing about 50% of German business in the Middle Kingdom. The survey was conducted between May and June 2014.
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Presentation by OECD Chief Economist, Laurence Boone, on Inclusive Growth at the farewell conference in honor of Governor Karnit Flug, The Van Leer Institute in Jerusalem, 4 November 2018
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For further information on EY's fraud investigation and dispute services, please visit: http://www.ey.com/IN/en/Services/Assurance/Fraud-Investigation---Dispute-Services
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Most of these micro-enterprises operate without registering as legal entities and, as a result, are a part of what is commonly referred to as the informal sector. Informal activity is estimated to comprise a much larger share of the economies of low-income countries – on average around 42% of GDP in a sample of 31 low-and lower-middle-income countries – than a comparable sample of 32 higher-income countries (22% of GDP) in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).1 Why is such a high proportion of the labour force in lower-income countries employed in the informal sector? De Soto (1989) famously proposed that governments – and Peru’s specifically – push firms into the informal sector by raising the barriers and costs of formalization.
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The Indian Dental Academy is the Leader in continuing dental education , training dentists in all aspects of dentistry and
offering a wide range of dental certified courses in different formats.for more details please visit
www.indiandentalacademy.com
China has accumulated an unprecedented debt pile in the 10 years since the global financial crisis. What are the potential consequences of this debt buildup for China and for the global economy?
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A report based on a survey conducted to understand the fraud scenario in India. This study aims to understand how businesses have coped with increasing fraud and corruption risk last year, what the emerging fraud risks in the industry are and the measures taken by various organizations to mitigate these risks.
For further information on EY's fraud investigation and dispute services, please visit: http://www.ey.com/IN/en/Services/Assurance/Fraud-Investigation---Dispute-Services
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See details on the data, including demographic, geographic and industry breakdowns, in this report featuring research from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and JLL.
World Bank Report 2014 on Doing business in European Union Shiv ognito
Doing Business sheds light on how easy or difficult it is for a local entrepreneur to open and run a small to medium-size business when complying with relevant regulations. It measures and tracks changes in regulations affecting 11 areas in the life cycle of a business: starting a business, dealing with construction permits, getting electricity, registering property, getting credit, protecting investors, paying taxes, trading across borders, enforcing contracts, resolving insolvency and employing workers.
Sources; IFC & World Bank
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Roughly half of all non-agricultural workers in developing countries work in very small enterprises with fewer than five employees. Indeed, between one-quarter and one-third of the non-agricultural workforce in most low- and lower-middle-income countries is self-employed (Gollin 2002).
Most of these micro-enterprises operate without registering as legal entities and, as a result, are a part of what is commonly referred to as the informal sector. Informal activity is estimated to comprise a much larger share of the economies of low-income countries – on average around 42% of GDP in a sample of 31 low-and lower-middle-income countries – than a comparable sample of 32 higher-income countries (22% of GDP) in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).1 Why is such a high proportion of the labour force in lower-income countries employed in the informal sector? De Soto (1989) famously proposed that governments – and Peru’s specifically – push firms into the informal sector by raising the barriers and costs of formalization.
By excluding firms from the formal sector, these barriers stifle entrepreneurship and reduce the dynamism of the private sector. Others (Levy 2008) have claimed that the high levels of informality represent an escape by small firms. This ‘exit’ view leads to a vicious cycle: firms escape because the state does not make formal status appealing. For example, financial markets and courts may be dysfunctional, and public procurement processes may be corrupt.
But by being in the informal sector, firms avoid paying taxes that would provide resources the state might use to improve the provision of these goods, or to force firms to become formal. In this view, informality may still stifle entrepreneurship, as firms sometimes remain small deliberately to avoid attracting the attention of regulators and tax collectors. If high rates of taxation push economic activity out of the formal economy, one would expect to see more informal activity in countries with higher tax collections.
However, just the opposite is the case. Across countries, there is a strong negative correlation between state revenue and informal activity. Indeed, another characteristic of low-income countries is that tax collec-tion by governments is very low. Government revenue 1 Estimates from Schneider, Buehn and Montenegro (2010). Taxes as a % of GDP 0 Shadow economy as a % of GDP Australia Austria Belgium Canada Chile Czech Republic Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Japan Korea, Republic of Netherlands New Zealand Norway Slovenia Spain Sweden Turkey United Kingdom United States Italy Figure 1: Taxes and informality, OECD countries Source: World Bank (2013)
The Indian Dental Academy is the Leader in continuing dental education , training dentists in all aspects of dentistry and
offering a wide range of dental certified courses in different formats.for more details please visit
www.indiandentalacademy.com
The Indian Dental Academy is the Leader in continuing dental education , training dentists in all aspects of dentistry and
offering a wide range of dental certified courses in different formats.
The Indian Dental Academy is the Leader in continuing dental education , training dentists in all aspects of dentistry and
offering a wide range of dental certified courses in different formats.for more details please visit
www.indiandentalacademy.com
a modified approach for obtaining cephalogramsin the natural head position. j...Indian dental academy
The Indian Dental Academy is the Leader in continuing dental education , training dentists in all aspects of dentistry and
offering a wide range of dental certified courses in different formats.for more details please visit
www.indiandentalacademy.com
The Indian Dental Academy is the Leader in continuing dental education , training dentists in all aspects of dentistry and
offering a wide range of dental certified courses in different formats.for more details please visit
www.indiandentalacademy.com
Growth prediction (2) /certified fixed orthodontic courses by Indian dental a...Indian dental academy
The Indian Dental Academy is the Leader in continuing dental education , training dentists in all aspects of dentistry and offering a wide range of dental certified courses in different formats.
Indian dental academy provides dental crown & Bridge,rotary endodontics,fixed orthodontics,
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saat ini pendidikan Agama Islam dalam pendidikan Perguruan Tinggi negri ataupun swasta sangat dibutuhkan untuk menuntuk para mahasiswa untuk beradaptasi dalam dunia baru yaitu dunia perkuliahan. maka ketika tidak ada pendidikan kemungkinan besar para mahasiswa harus benar benar belajar mandiri belajar untuk mendalami agama Islam.
classification of Malocclusion /certified fixed orthodontic courses by India...Indian dental academy
The Indian Dental Academy is the Leader in continuing dental education , training dentists in all aspects of dentistry and offering a wide range of dental certified courses in different formats.
Indian dental academy provides dental crown & Bridge,rotary endodontics,fixed orthodontics,
Dental implants courses.for details pls visit www.indiandentalacademy.com ,or call
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Aims, scope & global history of orthodontics /certified fixed orthodontic cou...Indian dental academy
Welcome to Indian Dental Academy
The Indian Dental Academy is the Leader in continuing dental education , training dentists in all aspects of dentistry and offering a wide range of dental certified courses in different formats.
Indian dental academy has a unique training program & curriculum that provides students with exceptional clinical skills and enabling them to return to their office with high level confidence and start treating patients
State of the art comprehensive training-Faculty of world wide repute &Very affordable.
Central Institute for Economic Management (CIEM) and UNU-WIDER co-organized a seminar to present and discuss the findings of the 2015 Small and Medium Enterprises Survey.
Presentation by: Kasper Brandt, John Rand, Smriti
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To help you improve SBO customer experience — and as a result, acquisition, retention and revenue — we recently surveyed 500 U.S. small business principals. The findings are instructive; there are some great learnings on what SBOs want from their bank – and how they feel about your company.
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Jennifer Schaus and Associates hosts a complimentary webinar series on The FAR in 2024. Join the webinars on Wednesdays and Fridays at noon, eastern.
Recordings are on YouTube and the company website.
https://www.youtube.com/@jenniferschaus/videos
This session provides a comprehensive overview of the latest updates to the Uniform Administrative Requirements, Cost Principles, and Audit Requirements for Federal Awards (commonly known as the Uniform Guidance) outlined in the 2 CFR 200.
With a focus on the 2024 revisions issued by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), participants will gain insight into the key changes affecting federal grant recipients. The session will delve into critical regulatory updates, providing attendees with the knowledge and tools necessary to navigate and comply with the evolving landscape of federal grant management.
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- Understand the rationale behind the 2024 updates to the Uniform Guidance outlined in 2 CFR 200, and their implications for federal grant recipients.
- Identify the key changes and revisions introduced by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) in the 2024 edition of 2 CFR 200.
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- Develop strategies for effectively implementing the new guidelines within the grant management processes of their respective organizations, fostering efficiency and accountability in federal grant administration.
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Thumbnail picture is by MediaZona, you may read their report on anti-war arson attacks in Russia here: https://en.zona.media/article/2022/10/13/burn-map
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Autonomous Action
http://Avtonom.org
Anarchist Black Cross Moscow
http://Avtonom.org/abc
Solidarity Zone
https://t.me/solidarity_zone
Memorial
https://memopzk.org/, https://t.me/pzk_memorial
OVD-Info
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RosUznik
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Uznik Online
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Russian Reader
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http://Prisonmail.online
YouTube: https://youtu.be/c5nSOdU48O8
Spotify: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/libertarianlifecoach/episodes/Russian-anarchist-and-anti-war-movement-in-the-third-year-of-full-scale-war-e2k8ai4
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Do Political Connections Reduce Job Creation? Evidence from Lebanon
1. Do Political Connections Reduce Job Creation?
Evidence from Lebanon
Ishac Diwan and Jamal Ibrahim Haidar
Harvard University
Economic Research Forum
December 21, 2016
2. Motivation
• Why do firms in some countries not create more jobs?
• Do political connections affect job creation at the firm-level?
• An assessment is needed for two opposing mechanisms:
• Privileged firms may have an obligation to pay back the favor by providing jobs for their constituencies
• Unfair privileges to particular firms can reduce the incentives of their competitors to innovate and grow
• The case of Lebanon serves the purpose of this study:
• Sectarian oligarchs whose power rests on the distribution of clientelistic rents
• Politicians in Lebanon find employment for their constituents in exchange for votes
• Three quarters of university students surveyed by LCPS thought political connections were
important to find jobs; 20% said that they had used them.
• This paper:
• Analyzes the micro foundations of employment growth in Lebanon
• Examines whether PCFs affect job creation by similar non-PCFs
3. Related literature
• Regulatory rents are at the basis of political settlements (Shleifer and Vishny, 1994).
• Deals rather than rules characterize corporate environments in developing countries
(Hallward-Driemeier and Pritchett, 2016).
• Political connections of firms affect firm value, behavior of lenders, corporate
transparency, tariff evasion, state capture, and capital controls:
• China (Cull and Lixin, 2005), Malaysia (Johnson and Mitton, 2003), Pakistan (Khwaja and
Mian, 2005), Indonesia (Fisman, 2001, Leuz and Oberholzer-Gee, 2006), Brazil (Claessens et
al., 2008), Tunisia (Rijkers et al., forthcoming), and Egypt (Diwan et al., 2015)
• Inverted U-shape relation between competition and growth (Aghion et al., 2001)
• The effect of privileges on job creation has not been studied yet.
4. Main findings
• Large firms account for the bulk of net job creation in Lebanon.
• The transition of firms between size groups, after starting-up, is
limited.
• PCFs are larger and create more jobs, but are also less productive and
pay higher wages, than non-PCFs within their sectors.
• PC firms dominate the sectors in which they operate.
• PCFs reduce net job creation at the sector level by affecting growth of
non-PCFs.
• For every additional PCF in a sector, 6.8 % less jobs are created each year on
average in that sector.
6. Dataset
• Firm-level census data (MoF)
• Time period: 2005-2010
• Comprehensive coverage: all (141000) formal firms and sectors on annual
basis: no size threshold
• Quality check: compare MoF data to the CR data
• Variables:
- ID, sector, date of birth, capital, output, wages, and number of employees
• Data on names and owners of firms (CR)
7. Dataset
• Only formal firms that pay taxes and declare labor that pay social
security contributions
• In 2010: 775,540 compared to 777,000 workers (ILO) in TLF in formal sector
• ILO report 613,000 informal workers, mainly in micro enterprises in Lebanon
• To correct for weaknesses related to reporting errors, we dropped:
• false firms: ones with high volatility in output per worker
• firms with reporting errors – i.e., born in 2007 but paying taxes in earlier years
• a total of 4.6% of the firms originally reported, 1.1% of which are false firms
8. Identifying politically-connected firms
• Developed a list of PC individuals
• Defined a person as PC if she or he is:
• a parliament member, minister, or president who was in office between 1992 and
2010; a direct family member; or a publicly-known friend of any of the above
• Used the Commercial Register at the MoJ to identify PCFs
• CR: sector, date of birth, paid in capital, and owners of firms
• Matched all the PCFs that we found in the CR with the MoF dataset
• Focused on all firms with at least 50 employees in at least one year between 2005-
2010 and that include at least one owner that is in our list of PC individuals
• Identified 497 PCFs in 29 out of 289 4-digit sectors
9. Identifying PCFs
• No way to capture ALL PCFs, but unlikely that any what we call PCF is not
• Two types of errors
• Incorrect exclusion (Type I) error, i.e., due to different spellings of names
• Ignore titles and allow for common spelling variants
• False inclusion (Type II) error, i.e., due to matching a firm to a politician but
the match is incorrect as, for instance, different people may share the same
name.
• Match on the owner’s first, middle, and last names before classifying a firm as PC
• Under-match if firms are PC through indirect means
• underestimates of the true effect
• Ownership does not change in our database
10. Large share of labor works in relatively large firms
Firm size and employment distribution (annual average, 2005-2010)
Number of
employees
Number of
firms
% of firms Number of jobs % of employment Age
1* 93370 76.38 93370 13.78 5.98
2 5674 4.64 11349 1.67 6.86
3 4332 3.54 12996 1.92 6.74
4 3287 2.69 13148 1.94 6.80
5 2317 1.90 11583 1.71 6.90
6-9 4974 4.07 35944 5.30 7.00
10-19 3915 3.20 52093 7.69 7.45
20-49 2535 2.07 76733 11.32 7.81
50-99 933 0.76 64364 9.50 8.31
100-199 469 0.38 65253 9.63 8.65
200-999 391 0.32 150573 22.21 8.80
>=1000 41 0.04 90407 13.34 9.32
Total 122237 100 677812 100
* represent self-employed firms
11. There is a trend toward larger sizes
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
1
2
3
4
5
6-9
10-19
20-49
50-99
100-199
200-999
>=1000
Percent of firms (2005-2010)
0
5
10
15
20
25
1
2
3
4
5
6-9
10-19
20-49
50-99
100-199
200-999
>=1000
Percent of jobs (2005-2010)
20. The effect of political connections on net job creation at the sector level
NJC
PCFs -0.081*** -0.076*** -0.068***
(0.000) (0.000) (0.004)
2009 -0.090* -0.091* -0.078*
(0.056) (0.061) (0.052)
PCFs*2009 -0.041** -0.039** -0.026**
(0.023) (0.034) (0.017)
Size_P -0.043*** -0.024**
(0.009) (0.032)
Age_P -0.038** -0.019*
(0.046) (0.072)
Size_N 0.028*** 0.019**
(0.002) (0.021)
Age_N 0.021** 0.014**
(0.011) (0.033)
HHI -0.011
(0.138)
Entry rate 0.0183
(0.265)
Capital 0.014*
(0.066)
2-digit Sector fixed effects Yes Yes Yes
Number of observations 910 910 910
R-squared 0.531 0.604 0.611
21. The effect of political connections on wages at the sector level
Wage
PCFs 0.058** 0.055** 0.046**
(0.017) (0.019) (0.013)
2009 0.126 0.129 0.122
(0.208) (0.135) (0.301)
PCFs*2009 0.029* 0.022* 0.011**
(0.062) (0.051) (0.043)
Size_P 0.021* 0.016**
(0.072) (0.027)
Age_P 0.028 0.019
(0.125) (0.215)
Size_N 0.023 0.016
(0.178) (0.140)
Age_N 0.007 0.013
(0.413) (0.122)
HHI 0.027
(0.188)
Entry rate 0.011
(0.273)
Capital 0.018*
(0.064)
2-digit Sector fixed effects Yes Yes Yes
Number of observations 910 910 910
R-squared 0.582 0.553 0.602
22. The effect of political connections on output per firm at the sector level
Output per firm
PCFs -0.041*** -0.038** -0.033**
(0.000) (0.011) (0.010)
2009 0.013 0.017 0.041
(0.129) (0.133) (0.281)
PCFs*2009 -0.019* -0.020* -0.017**
(0.052) (0.075) (0.036)
Size_P -0.026** -0.032***
(0.015) (0.008)
Age_P -0.045** -0.029**
(0.026) (0.015)
Size_N 0.041** 0.033*
(0.039) (0.061)
Age_N 0.022* 0.024*
(0.081) (0.053)
HHI -0.038
(0.168)
Entry rate 0.019
(0.117)
Capital 0.012**
(0.024)
2-digit Sector fixed effects Yes Yes Yes
Number of observations 910 910 910
R-squared 0.531 0.604 0.611
23. The effect of political connections on at the sector level
Output per worker
PCFs -0.048** -0.042** -0.036***
(0.013) (0.022) (0.005)
2009 0.068 0.060 0.044
(0.155) (0.125) (0.253)
PCFs*2009 -0.017** -0.012** -0.016*
(0.042) (0.027) (0.045)
Size_P -0.039** -0.036**
(0.031) (0.011)
Age_P -0.028** -0.017*
(0.010) (0.053)
Size_N 0.019* 0.024**
(0.061) (0.018)
Age_N 0.025** 0.014**
(0.042) (0.037)
HHI -0.024*
(0.056)
Entry rate 0.022**
(0.028)
Capital 0.078
(0.141)
2-digit Sector fixed effects Yes Yes Yes
Number of observations 910 910 910
R-squared 0.582 0.551 0.651
24. In a nutshell
• We find:
• Large firms account for the bulk of net job creation in Lebanon.
• PCFs are larger and create more jobs, but are also less productive and pay
higher wages, than non-PCFs in their sectors.
• For every additional PCF in a sector, 6.8 % less jobs are created each year on
average in that sector
• Policy recommendations:
• Yes, competition could lead to more growth and job creation
• But, competition may not support the current oligarchic political equilibrium,
would possibly lead to political chaos