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Changes in the Industry and views on the Mobile Future
Digital Winners 2013
Berit Svendsen | Executive Vice President and Head of Telenor Norway
Fixed Mobile Substitution – not that long ago
20.000

Millions of voice minutes

18.000
16.000
14.000
12.000
10.000
8.000
6.000
4.000
2.000
0

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Traffic from mobile network
Traffic from fixed network (ISDN, PSTN)

2

Traffic brom broadband telephony
Everyone uses Mobile Data Services - everywhere

3
Data explosion in Mobile Networks
Average mobile data usage (GB /month) and smartphone penetration (%)

0.51

0.33
0.20
65%

0.15

74%

50%
34%

2010

4

2011

2012

2013e
The industry faces challenges in the rapid
transition from Voice to Data Centric Pricing

5
Europe falling behind US
Service revenue growth %

10,0
8,9

8,0

5,4

6,0
4,0

5,4

5,8

4,5

6,4

5,5
3,2

US

2,0
0,0
-2,0
-4,0

Sep.11

Dec.11

Mar.12

-3,5
-4,6

-3,2

Jun.12

Sep.12

Dec.12

-6,3

-6,2
-8,9

-10,0
-12,0

Source: Enders Analysis based on company reports.

6

Jun.13

-4,2

-6,0
-8,0

Mar.13

-9,2

Western Europe
TRENDS

7
Multimedia Social Services boosts video traffic

Video

10x
719

526
69
114

2010

2015

Petabyte, Global Traffic Forecast
Source: Sandvine Traffic Forecast.
8

Other
Traffic

5x
Mobile Payment - a long way, but soon it happens

9
Cloud Services – a hit among businesses

10
The customers are the front runners and
continuously adapts or rejects ideas & services

11
Global competition for customers with limited
loyalty
Summing-up
Data consumption, just beginning to
explode
 From voice to data: Monetizing on
heavy investments - a Telco challenge
 Video, new services and cloud
computing will boost demand for
capacity, speed and reliability
Customers adapts or rejects new
services and ideas continuously

Only one thing is for sure every
morning: You have to run!

13
Thank you for your attention!

@BeritSvendsen
14

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Digital Winners 2013: Berit svendsen_final

  • 1. Changes in the Industry and views on the Mobile Future Digital Winners 2013 Berit Svendsen | Executive Vice President and Head of Telenor Norway
  • 2. Fixed Mobile Substitution – not that long ago 20.000 Millions of voice minutes 18.000 16.000 14.000 12.000 10.000 8.000 6.000 4.000 2.000 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Traffic from mobile network Traffic from fixed network (ISDN, PSTN) 2 Traffic brom broadband telephony
  • 3. Everyone uses Mobile Data Services - everywhere 3
  • 4. Data explosion in Mobile Networks Average mobile data usage (GB /month) and smartphone penetration (%) 0.51 0.33 0.20 65% 0.15 74% 50% 34% 2010 4 2011 2012 2013e
  • 5. The industry faces challenges in the rapid transition from Voice to Data Centric Pricing 5
  • 6. Europe falling behind US Service revenue growth % 10,0 8,9 8,0 5,4 6,0 4,0 5,4 5,8 4,5 6,4 5,5 3,2 US 2,0 0,0 -2,0 -4,0 Sep.11 Dec.11 Mar.12 -3,5 -4,6 -3,2 Jun.12 Sep.12 Dec.12 -6,3 -6,2 -8,9 -10,0 -12,0 Source: Enders Analysis based on company reports. 6 Jun.13 -4,2 -6,0 -8,0 Mar.13 -9,2 Western Europe
  • 8. Multimedia Social Services boosts video traffic Video 10x 719 526 69 114 2010 2015 Petabyte, Global Traffic Forecast Source: Sandvine Traffic Forecast. 8 Other Traffic 5x
  • 9. Mobile Payment - a long way, but soon it happens 9
  • 10. Cloud Services – a hit among businesses 10
  • 11. The customers are the front runners and continuously adapts or rejects ideas & services 11
  • 12. Global competition for customers with limited loyalty
  • 13. Summing-up Data consumption, just beginning to explode  From voice to data: Monetizing on heavy investments - a Telco challenge  Video, new services and cloud computing will boost demand for capacity, speed and reliability Customers adapts or rejects new services and ideas continuously Only one thing is for sure every morning: You have to run! 13
  • 14. Thank you for your attention! @BeritSvendsen 14