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Digital transformation
Frank Schwab, January 2017
German banking industry
Year 2000
2002 2015
ING*DiBa benefits from 1st digital wave
Customers
1.8 millions
8.5 millions
Profits
-4 millions EUR
1,115 millions EUR
Employees
914
3.749
FrankSchwabSpeaks.com Source: annual reports ING*DiBa
ING*DiBa – 10x business volume
2002 2015
Deposits in billion EUR
19.2
121.1
Loans in billion EUR
4.6
98.0
2002 2015
FrankSchwabSpeaks.com Source: annual reports ING*DiBa
PayPal 2x Deutsche Bank
Market cap, Nov 2016
[in billion EUR]
17
Deutsche Bank
44
PayPal
Deutsche Bank PayPal
Customers 25,000,000 169,000,000
APIs 0 > 25
Employees 100,000 8,000
1st Welle
But
No
Business model
2017
IBM Mainframe
Sun Server
Intel blade
Thin clients
Fat clients
AIX Server Server Farm
Investment
needs
No interest rate business
Profits
Roland	Berger	FinTech Study,	March	2016
Alipay
2015
289	millions	mobile	user	/	month
8.5	millions	merchants
52orders	per	user	per	year
24,000	employees
> 400 FinTechs
Crowd
1 million EUR in 9 minutes and 23 seconds
Fidor: Facebook Like Interest Rate
Peer to peer
Crypto
642 currencies
703 exchanges
10 %
-8
Blockchain
Blockchain
time
Public register
Transaction blocks
Smart Contracts
Public register Transaction block with
conditions
Condition
Example
Shares: dividend payment
Smart Contracts – Example car finance
AI
^
Amelia, Source: IPSoft
IT Service Desk Agent
SEB Bank
3 weeks
700 employees
4,000 calls
Robo
advisory
Over rated
Gartner Hype Cycle
Over rated
Under rated
Gartner Hype Cycle
Mobile
Proceses
100% STP
< 60 seconds
Cloud
API
Plattform
All just hype?
36
BPO; 396
Insurance; 1.515
FinHCIT; 2.087
FinMgmtSol; 4.173
IB / Wealth; 4.702
Banking/Lending; 9.296
Payments/Ecommerce;
13.543
36 billions USD in FinTech investments in 2016
[in million USD]
1.525 transactions
337
432
293
186
141
10531
FrankSchwabSpeaks.com Source: Financial Technology Partners
D.A.CH FinTech scene overtook the UK
- with over $1,3B investments (VC + venture debt) in 2015
2.50%
13.9%
150%
Banking%
9.40%
20% 0,7% 5.5%2%
Lending%
358% 1% 0.5%
10% 20% 14.20% 5% 230%
49.8% 0.5%
Insurance%
1% 3.5% 7%
Investment%
5.5% 10% 0.27% 2% 4%
0.6% 1.6%
Blockchain%/%Other%
*%Source:%%TechFluence%
Payment%
150%
Chart shows funding in € mn. Estimates based on disclosed deals only- no liability for errors.
Customer
paymentsSecurities
Loans
Deposits
PayPal further develops its business step by step
2000 2006 2010 2015
Online payments
P2P
Account
Cards
Loans
POS
Cash
FrankSchwabSpeaks.com Source: annual reports PayPal
IT defines retail
banking of the future
= new KPIs
IT costs per user per year in USD
200
Tier 1/2 Bank eBay
7,4
Facebook
3,8
Google
3,4
FinTech
10
FrankSchwabSpeaks.com Source: annual reports
Customer acquisition costs in EUR
50 - 200
Traditional banks FinTech
5 - 25
What do
German banks
do?
Commerzbank
Startup-Garage
Comdirect
Venture Capital
CommerzVentures
Main Incubator
Commerzbank
UniCredit / HVB
45 millions EUR invested in 2016
DZ Bank / German union banks: Hackathon, March 2016
Source: https://twitter.com/dzbank/status/705424223838146560/photo/1?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
Quo vadis?
2030
Loans
Assets
Payments
Banking Services
R I P
New banking products build on new technologies
Crowd P2P Crypto
Cloud API
^
AI MobileBlockchain Plattform
FrankSchwabSpeaks.com
Diffusion of innovation
Longer than we think
Faster
than we
think
time
diffusion
Banking disrupted
New
Traditional
BankingService
NewTechnologyLegacy
Niche
Financial
infrastructure
provider
Er
Successful
disruptors
FrankSchwabSpeaks.com
German retail banking 2030
2015 2030
Saving banksPrivate banks Union banks FinTechs Non Banks
FrankSchwabSpeaks.com
Frank@FrankSchwab.de

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