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DELLINEATING EFFICIENT PORTFOLIOS
THE EFFICIENT SET
The portfolios that have the same return at the lower risks, or the same risk at
higher returns.
COMBINATION OF TWO RISKY ASSETS: SHORT SALES NOT ALLOWED
1. Expected Return of Two Assets:
)
R
X
(
)
R
X
(
R B
B
A
A
p +
=
Since:
XA + XB = 1 → X
B
BB = 1- XA
Thus:
B
A
A
A
p R
)
X
1
(
)
R
X
(
R −
+
=
2. Standard Deviation
σ2
p = XA
2
σ2
A + XB
2
σ2
B + 2XAXBσ
B
AB
σp = (XA
2
σ2
A+ X2
Bσ2
B + 2XAXBσAB)1/2
Recall that:
B
A
AB
AB
σ
σ
σ
=
ρ
Thus: σAB = ρABσAσB
The equation becomes:
σp = [X2
Aσ2
A+ (1 – XA)2
σ2
B + 2XA(1 – XA)ρABσAσB]1/2
Efficient port/Ivan 1
Example:
Expected Return Standard Deviation
Colonel Motor (C) 14% 6%
Separated Edison (S) 8% 3%
Case 1: Perfect Positive Correlation (ρ = +1)
• Standard Deviation
σp = [X2
Cσ2
C + (1-XC)2
σ2
S + 2XC(1-XC)σCσS]1/2
The square of the bracket has the form:
X2
+ 2XY + Y2
→ (X + Y)2
Can be written as: [XCσC + (1-XC)σS]2
Since σ = √σ2
, so that:
σp = XCσC + (1-XC)σS
σp = 6XC + 3(1-XC)= 3 + XC
• Expected return
S
C
C
C
p R
)
X
1
(
)
R
X
(
R −
+
=
C
C
C
p X
6
8
)
X
1
(
8
)
X
14
(
R +
=
−
+
=
Table for ρ = +1
XC 0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0
Rp 8.0 9.2 10.4 11.0 11.6 12.8 14.0
σp 3.0 3.6 4.2 4.5 4.8 5.4 6.0
• Conclusion
At ρ = +1, there is no reduction in risk for portfolio
Efficient port/Ivan 2
Case 2: Perfect Negative Correlation (ρ = -1)
• Standard Deviation
σp = [X2
Cσ2
C + (1-XC)2
σ2
S + 2XC(1-XC)ρCSσCσS]1/2
σp = [X2
Cσ2
C + (1-XC) 2
σ2
S - 2XC(1-XC)σCσS]1/2
The square of the bracket is equivalent:
[XCσC - (1-XC)σS]2
or [-XCσC + (1-XC)σS]2
Thus, σp is either:
σp = XCσC - (1-XC)σS …… (a) or
σp = -XCσC + (1-XC)σS ……(b)
Since σ = √σ2
and square roots of a negative number is imaginary, the
equation is valid when the right hand side is positive:
σp = -XCσC + (1-XC)σS
σp = 6XC - 3(1-XC) or
σp = -6XC + 3(1-XC)
Table for ρ = -1
XC 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
σp 3.0 1.2 0.6 2.4 4.2 6.0
• Minimum Risk
Set equation (a) or (b) equal to zero
-XCσC + (1-XC)σS = 0
-XCσC - XCσS + σS = 0
XCσC + XCσS = σS
XC(σC + σS ) = σS → XC = σS/(σC + σS )
Minimum risk: XC = 3/(6 + 3) = 1/3
Efficient port/Ivan 3
Case 3: No Relationship (ρ = 0)
σp = [X2
Cσ2
C + (1-XC)2
σ2
S]1/2
σp = [62
X2
C + (32
)(1-XC) 2
]1/2
= [45X2
C - 18XC + 9]1/2
Table at ρ = 0
XC 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
σp 3.0 2.68 3.00 3.79 4.84 6.0
• Minimum Risk
XC = σ2
S/(σ2
C + σ2
S )
XC = 9/(9 + 36)= 1/5 = 0.20
Case 4 : Intermediate Risk (ρ = 0.5)
• Standard Deviation
σp = [X2
Cσ2
C+ (1-XC)2
σ2
S+2XC(1-XC)ρCSσCσS]1/2
σp = [(62
)X2
C + (32
)(1-XC)2
+ 2XC(1-XC)(3)(6)(1/2)]1/2
= [27X2
C + 9]1/2
Table at ρ = 0.5
XC 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
σp 3.0 3.17 3.65 4.33 5.13 6.0
• Minimum Risk
CS
S
C
S
2
C
2
CS
S
C
S
2
C
2
X
ρ
σ
σ
−
σ
+
σ
ρ
σ
σ
−
σ
=
Efficient port/Ivan 4
INTRODUCING THE RISK-FREE RATE (RF)
• Characteristic
Certain return and zero standard deviation
• Expected return
A
F
C R
X
R
)
X
1
(
R +
−
=
• Standard Deviation
σC = [(1-X)2
σ2
F + X2
σ2
A+ 2X(1-X)ρFAσAσF]1/2
Since σF = 0, so that:
σC = (X 2
σ2
A)1/2
= XσA
Solving expression for X:
X = σC/σA
Substituting for expected return:
C
C
C
C
C
)
R
R
(
R
R
R
R
)
1
(
R
A
F
A
F
A
A
F
A
σ
σ
−
=
σ
σ
+
σ
σ
−
=
The equation is the equation of straight line.
--- End ---
Efficient port/Ivan 5

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Delineating Efficient Portfolio

  • 1. DELLINEATING EFFICIENT PORTFOLIOS THE EFFICIENT SET The portfolios that have the same return at the lower risks, or the same risk at higher returns. COMBINATION OF TWO RISKY ASSETS: SHORT SALES NOT ALLOWED 1. Expected Return of Two Assets: ) R X ( ) R X ( R B B A A p + = Since: XA + XB = 1 → X B BB = 1- XA Thus: B A A A p R ) X 1 ( ) R X ( R − + = 2. Standard Deviation σ2 p = XA 2 σ2 A + XB 2 σ2 B + 2XAXBσ B AB σp = (XA 2 σ2 A+ X2 Bσ2 B + 2XAXBσAB)1/2 Recall that: B A AB AB σ σ σ = ρ Thus: σAB = ρABσAσB The equation becomes: σp = [X2 Aσ2 A+ (1 – XA)2 σ2 B + 2XA(1 – XA)ρABσAσB]1/2 Efficient port/Ivan 1
  • 2. Example: Expected Return Standard Deviation Colonel Motor (C) 14% 6% Separated Edison (S) 8% 3% Case 1: Perfect Positive Correlation (ρ = +1) • Standard Deviation σp = [X2 Cσ2 C + (1-XC)2 σ2 S + 2XC(1-XC)σCσS]1/2 The square of the bracket has the form: X2 + 2XY + Y2 → (X + Y)2 Can be written as: [XCσC + (1-XC)σS]2 Since σ = √σ2 , so that: σp = XCσC + (1-XC)σS σp = 6XC + 3(1-XC)= 3 + XC • Expected return S C C C p R ) X 1 ( ) R X ( R − + = C C C p X 6 8 ) X 1 ( 8 ) X 14 ( R + = − + = Table for ρ = +1 XC 0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 Rp 8.0 9.2 10.4 11.0 11.6 12.8 14.0 σp 3.0 3.6 4.2 4.5 4.8 5.4 6.0 • Conclusion At ρ = +1, there is no reduction in risk for portfolio Efficient port/Ivan 2
  • 3. Case 2: Perfect Negative Correlation (ρ = -1) • Standard Deviation σp = [X2 Cσ2 C + (1-XC)2 σ2 S + 2XC(1-XC)ρCSσCσS]1/2 σp = [X2 Cσ2 C + (1-XC) 2 σ2 S - 2XC(1-XC)σCσS]1/2 The square of the bracket is equivalent: [XCσC - (1-XC)σS]2 or [-XCσC + (1-XC)σS]2 Thus, σp is either: σp = XCσC - (1-XC)σS …… (a) or σp = -XCσC + (1-XC)σS ……(b) Since σ = √σ2 and square roots of a negative number is imaginary, the equation is valid when the right hand side is positive: σp = -XCσC + (1-XC)σS σp = 6XC - 3(1-XC) or σp = -6XC + 3(1-XC) Table for ρ = -1 XC 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 σp 3.0 1.2 0.6 2.4 4.2 6.0 • Minimum Risk Set equation (a) or (b) equal to zero -XCσC + (1-XC)σS = 0 -XCσC - XCσS + σS = 0 XCσC + XCσS = σS XC(σC + σS ) = σS → XC = σS/(σC + σS ) Minimum risk: XC = 3/(6 + 3) = 1/3 Efficient port/Ivan 3
  • 4. Case 3: No Relationship (ρ = 0) σp = [X2 Cσ2 C + (1-XC)2 σ2 S]1/2 σp = [62 X2 C + (32 )(1-XC) 2 ]1/2 = [45X2 C - 18XC + 9]1/2 Table at ρ = 0 XC 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 σp 3.0 2.68 3.00 3.79 4.84 6.0 • Minimum Risk XC = σ2 S/(σ2 C + σ2 S ) XC = 9/(9 + 36)= 1/5 = 0.20 Case 4 : Intermediate Risk (ρ = 0.5) • Standard Deviation σp = [X2 Cσ2 C+ (1-XC)2 σ2 S+2XC(1-XC)ρCSσCσS]1/2 σp = [(62 )X2 C + (32 )(1-XC)2 + 2XC(1-XC)(3)(6)(1/2)]1/2 = [27X2 C + 9]1/2 Table at ρ = 0.5 XC 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 σp 3.0 3.17 3.65 4.33 5.13 6.0 • Minimum Risk CS S C S 2 C 2 CS S C S 2 C 2 X ρ σ σ − σ + σ ρ σ σ − σ = Efficient port/Ivan 4
  • 5. INTRODUCING THE RISK-FREE RATE (RF) • Characteristic Certain return and zero standard deviation • Expected return A F C R X R ) X 1 ( R + − = • Standard Deviation σC = [(1-X)2 σ2 F + X2 σ2 A+ 2X(1-X)ρFAσAσF]1/2 Since σF = 0, so that: σC = (X 2 σ2 A)1/2 = XσA Solving expression for X: X = σC/σA Substituting for expected return: C C C C C ) R R ( R R R R ) 1 ( R A F A F A A F A σ σ − = σ σ + σ σ − = The equation is the equation of straight line. --- End --- Efficient port/Ivan 5