Know First • Be First • Profit First
Craig Rispin
Business Futurist & Innovation Expert
www.FutureTrendsGroup.com
Karl Fisch - Educational Futurist
Discuss with a Partner:
What Did You Find Most
Surprising in the Video
“Did You Know”?
“If change is
happening on the
outside faster than
on the inside
the end is in sight.”
-Jack Welch
WHAT,
ME
WORRY?
Innovator’s Dilemma:
The incumbent technology gets
knocked out when the disruptor
is good enough - not better.
At Least Wide Format
Is Still Big!
Strategy & Open Innovation
5 Questions to Win
What is your winning aspiration?
Where will you play?
How will you win?
What capabilities must be in place?
What management systems are required?
Open Innovation
A.G. Lafley on Open Innovation
Up
10 Types of Innovation
Business
Model
Networks
& Alliances
Human
Capital
Core
Processes
s
Channel
Management
Service
Offering
Product
System
Product &
Performance
Brand
Promise
Customer
Experience
Space Elevator
Up
People
Business Technology
Life
SciencesW
ork/Life
Shift
Globalised
Acceleration
Age Gap
Education
Re-Engineering
Global
Mobility
Free
Agency
End of
Retirement
Un-Bell Curve
Outrageous
Outsourcing
Marketing
Megatrend
Virtual
Business
Innovation
Imperative
Speed & Size
Cloud
Computing
CoIT
Robots
Rise
Coworking
Unbreakable
Tech
Mobile
Madness
Your mobile phone has
all of NASA in 1969.
more computing power than
How Big is Mobile Today?
How Big is Mobile Today?
7B People in the World
How Big is Mobile Today?
7B People in the World
6B Mobile Subscribers
How Big is Mobile Today?
7B People in the World
6B Mobile Subscribers
1B 3G/LTE Subscribers
20
40
60
80
100
120
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
Subscribers(MM)
iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
8
iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users
First 20 Quarters Since Launch
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates
~65MM+ netbooks have shipped in first 11 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch + iPad
Launched 6/07
~120MM+
~32MM
~9MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~27MM
Apple iPhone + iTouch + iPad Ramp –
The Likes of Which We Haven’t Seen Before
20
40
60
80
100
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
Subscribers(MM)
iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
7
iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users
First 20 Quarters Since Launch
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates
~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch
Launched 6/07
~85MM
~31MM
~8MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~18MM
Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did –
Apple Leading Charge
380M
20
40
60
80
100
Q1 Q3 Q5 Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19
Quarters Since Launch
Subscribers(MM)
iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape
7
iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users
First 20 Quarters Since Launch
Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates
~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research.
Desktop Internet
AOL*
v 2.0 Launched 9/94
Mobile Internet
NTT docomo i-mode
Launched 6/99
Mobile Internet
iPhone + iTouch
Launched 6/07
~85MM
~31MM
~8MM
Desktop Internet
Netscape*
Launched 12/94
~18MM
Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did –
Apple Leading Charge
468M
Money
Access
Body
Engines
Metering
Control
Security
Partner Questions:
What’s your favorite smartphone app and
why?
Do you have a mobile strategy at your
organisation and what is it?
Books to Read:
Download My eBook Free!
Go to:
http://
is.gd/
think

Craig Rispin speaker for Fuji Xerox Dinner 22 April 2013

  • 1.
    Know First •Be First • Profit First Craig Rispin Business Futurist & Innovation Expert www.FutureTrendsGroup.com
  • 5.
    Karl Fisch -Educational Futurist
  • 7.
    Discuss with aPartner: What Did You Find Most Surprising in the Video “Did You Know”?
  • 8.
    “If change is happeningon the outside faster than on the inside the end is in sight.” -Jack Welch
  • 12.
  • 13.
    Innovator’s Dilemma: The incumbenttechnology gets knocked out when the disruptor is good enough - not better.
  • 17.
    At Least WideFormat Is Still Big!
  • 22.
    Strategy & OpenInnovation
  • 24.
    5 Questions toWin What is your winning aspiration? Where will you play? How will you win? What capabilities must be in place? What management systems are required?
  • 25.
  • 26.
    A.G. Lafley onOpen Innovation
  • 27.
    Up 10 Types ofInnovation Business Model Networks & Alliances Human Capital Core Processes s Channel Management Service Offering Product System Product & Performance Brand Promise Customer Experience
  • 30.
  • 31.
    Up People Business Technology Life SciencesW ork/Life Shift Globalised Acceleration Age Gap Education Re-Engineering Global Mobility Free Agency Endof Retirement Un-Bell Curve Outrageous Outsourcing Marketing Megatrend Virtual Business Innovation Imperative Speed & Size Cloud Computing CoIT Robots Rise Coworking Unbreakable Tech Mobile Madness
  • 32.
    Your mobile phonehas all of NASA in 1969. more computing power than
  • 33.
    How Big isMobile Today?
  • 34.
    How Big isMobile Today? 7B People in the World
  • 35.
    How Big isMobile Today? 7B People in the World 6B Mobile Subscribers
  • 36.
    How Big isMobile Today? 7B People in the World 6B Mobile Subscribers 1B 3G/LTE Subscribers
  • 37.
    20 40 60 80 100 120 Q1 Q3 Q5Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19 Quarters Since Launch Subscribers(MM) iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape 8 iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users First 20 Quarters Since Launch Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~65MM+ netbooks have shipped in first 11 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research. Desktop Internet AOL* v 2.0 Launched 9/94 Mobile Internet NTT docomo i-mode Launched 6/99 Mobile Internet iPhone + iTouch + iPad Launched 6/07 ~120MM+ ~32MM ~9MM Desktop Internet Netscape* Launched 12/94 ~27MM Apple iPhone + iTouch + iPad Ramp – The Likes of Which We Haven’t Seen Before
  • 38.
    20 40 60 80 100 Q1 Q3 Q5Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19 Quarters Since Launch Subscribers(MM) iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape 7 iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users First 20 Quarters Since Launch Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research. Desktop Internet AOL* v 2.0 Launched 9/94 Mobile Internet NTT docomo i-mode Launched 6/99 Mobile Internet iPhone + iTouch Launched 6/07 ~85MM ~31MM ~8MM Desktop Internet Netscape* Launched 12/94 ~18MM Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did – Apple Leading Charge 380M
  • 39.
    20 40 60 80 100 Q1 Q3 Q5Q7 Q9 Q11 Q13 Q15 Q17 Q19 Quarters Since Launch Subscribers(MM) iPhone + iTouch NTT docomo i-mode AOL Netscape 7 iPhone + iTouch vs. NTT docomo i-mode vs. AOL vs. Netscape Users First 20 Quarters Since Launch Note: *AOL subscribers data not available before CQ3:94; Netscape users limited to US only. Morgan Stanley Research estimates ~50MM netbooks have shipped in first 10 quarters since launch (10/07). Source: Company Reports , Morgan Stanley Research. Desktop Internet AOL* v 2.0 Launched 9/94 Mobile Internet NTT docomo i-mode Launched 6/99 Mobile Internet iPhone + iTouch Launched 6/07 ~85MM ~31MM ~8MM Desktop Internet Netscape* Launched 12/94 ~18MM Mobile Internet Ramping Faster than Desktop Internet Did – Apple Leading Charge 468M
  • 44.
  • 46.
    Partner Questions: What’s yourfavorite smartphone app and why? Do you have a mobile strategy at your organisation and what is it?
  • 47.
  • 48.
    Download My eBookFree! Go to: http:// is.gd/ think