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GENDER	
  EQUALITY	
  AND	
  MITIGATION:	
  COP21	
  
IMPLICATIONS	
  FOR	
  IMPLEMENTING	
  MITIGATION	
  
ACTIVITIES	
  
WEBINAR,	
  FRIDAY,	
  FEBRUARY	
  5,	
  2016	
  
	
  
COP	
  21,	
  INDCs	
  and	
  Future	
  
Implementation	
  Tools	
  
Alexander	
  Ochs	
  
Senior	
  Director	
  Climate	
  &	
  
Energy,	
  Worldwatch	
  
COP	
  21	
  	
  
|	
  a	
  historical	
  milestone?	
  
|	
  all	
  the	
  right	
  goals,	
  all	
  aboard,	
  all	
  in	
  the	
  box	
  
|	
  a	
  framework	
  for	
  future	
  action	
  
INDCs	
  	
  
|	
  what	
  they	
  are	
  
|	
  what’s	
  in	
  them	
  
|	
  where	
  they	
  get	
  us	
  
IMPLEMENTATION	
  TOOLS	
  
|	
  indcs,	
  leds,	
  namas	
  
|	
  sectoral	
  strategies,	
  roadmaps	
  &	
  implementation	
  plans	
  
|	
  toolkits	
  for	
  strategy	
  design	
  and	
  implementation	
  
	
  
OVERVIEW	
  
2/17	
  
COP	
  21	
  	
  
|	
  a	
  historical	
  milestone?	
  
|	
  all	
  the	
  right	
  goals,	
  all	
  aboard,	
  all	
  in	
  the	
  box	
  
|	
  a	
  framework	
  for	
  future	
  action	
  
	
  
3/17	
  
HISTORICAL	
  MILESTONE	
  
31-­‐pages	
  agreement	
  
•  All	
  the	
  right	
  goals	
  
•  All	
  aboard	
  
•  All	
  in	
  the	
  box	
  
A	
  framework	
  for	
  
action	
  
•  Now	
  or	
  never	
  -­‐	
  
action	
  is	
  needed	
  
	
  
4/17	
  
UNFCCC:	
  EVOLVING	
  
CLIMATE	
  REGIME	
  
•  Paris	
  the	
  latest	
  step	
  in	
  the	
  UN	
  Climate	
  Change	
  
Regime	
  originating	
  in	
  1992	
  –	
  Prevent	
  dangerous	
  
climate	
  change	
  
•  1997	
  Kyoto	
  Protocol—”top-­‐down”	
  approach,	
  
established	
  highly	
  differentiated	
  responsibilities	
  
•  2009	
  Copenhagen	
  Accord	
  &	
  2010	
  Cancun	
  
Agreement—Parallel	
  “bottom-­‐up”	
  approach	
  
•  Durban	
  COP17	
  and	
  Warsaw	
  COP19—Legal	
  
Protocol	
  and	
  INDCs	
  
	
  
5/17	
  
ALL	
  THE	
  RIGHT	
  GOALS	
  
6/17	
  
•  Based	
  on	
  science	
  
•  Prevent	
  dangerous	
  future	
  limiting	
  global	
  temperature	
  increase	
  
“well	
  below”	
  2°C,	
  	
  with	
  an	
  eye	
  toward	
  1.5	
  °C	
  
•  Peaking	
  as	
  soon	
  as	
  possible	
  
•  Regular	
  reviews	
  of	
  science	
  informing	
  process;	
  e.g.	
  IPCC	
  to	
  deliver	
  
report	
  by	
  2018	
  scenarios	
  for	
  how	
  to	
  reach	
  1.5 °C	
  
•  Targeting	
  economic,	
  social,	
  environmental	
  sustainability	
  
•  Equitable	
  access	
  to	
  sustainable	
  development,	
  eradication	
  of	
  
poverty,	
  	
  
•  Empowerment	
  of	
  women,	
  intergenerational	
  equity	
  
•  Conservation	
  of	
  ecosystems	
  &	
  biodiversity	
  
	
  
ALL	
  ABOARD	
  
7/17	
  
•  Representing	
  consensus	
  of	
  all	
  196	
  parties	
  present	
  at	
  the	
  
Conference	
  
•  Common	
  but	
  differentiated	
  responsibilities	
  and	
  respective	
  
capabilities	
  
•  Wealthy	
  nations	
  to	
  take	
  lead	
  
•  Developing/emerging	
  countries	
  to	
  decarbonize	
  economic	
  
growth	
  
•  Support	
  for	
  least	
  developed	
  countries	
  
•  Legally	
  binding	
  and	
  non-­‐mandatory	
  components	
  
	
  
ALL	
  IN	
  THE	
  BOX	
  
8/17	
  
•  Mitigation	
  –	
  reduces	
  emissions	
  fast	
  enough	
  to	
  achieve	
  
temperature	
  goal	
  
•  Adaptation	
  –	
  strengthens	
  ability	
  of	
  countries	
  to	
  deal	
  with	
  
climate	
  impacts	
  
•  Loss	
  and	
  damage	
  –	
  strengthens	
  ability	
  to	
  recover	
  from	
  cc	
  impacts	
  
•  Support	
  –	
  includes	
  financial	
  &	
  technical	
  assistance	
  to	
  build	
  
clean,	
  resilient	
  futures	
  
•  Transparency	
  &	
  accountability	
  –	
  MRV	
  of	
  climate	
  action	
  
	
  
	
  
INDCs:	
  intended	
  nationally	
  determined	
  
	
   	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  contributions	
  	
  
|	
  what	
  they	
  are	
  
|	
  what’s	
  in	
  them	
  
|	
  where	
  they	
  get	
  us	
  
9/17	
  
INDCS	
  |	
  WHAT	
  THEY	
  ARE	
  
•  Climate	
  change	
  actions	
  a	
  national	
  government	
  intends	
  to	
  
undertake	
  to	
  deal	
  with	
  climate	
  change	
  
•  Collected	
  and	
  submitted	
  to	
  the	
  UNFCCC	
  prior	
  to	
  COP21	
  in	
  a	
  
manner	
  that	
  “facilitates	
  the	
  clarity,	
  transparency,	
  and	
  
understanding	
  of	
  the	
  intended	
  contributions”	
  (COP20)	
  
•  Allow	
  tracking	
  of	
  collective	
  progress	
  towards	
  2C	
  goal	
  
•  Future	
  plans	
  must	
  	
  not	
  be	
  less	
  ambitious	
  
•  Next	
  round	
  due	
  9-­‐12	
  month	
  prior	
  to	
  2020	
  COP	
  (contributions	
  for	
  	
  
timeframe	
  to	
  2030)	
  
	
  
10/17	
  
INDCS	
  |	
  WHAT	
  ‘S	
  IN	
  THEM	
  
•  Tremendous	
  variety	
  allowed	
  in	
  INDCs	
  
•  Types	
  include:	
  absolute	
  economy-­‐wide	
  emissions	
  target,	
  
deviation	
  from	
  a	
  BAU	
  scenario,	
  intensity	
  target,	
  or	
  a	
  set	
  of	
  
general	
  policies	
  and	
  actions.	
  
VARIED	
  GOAL	
  METRICS	
  
•  Chile:	
  Unconditional	
  INDC	
  target	
  of	
  30%	
  reduction	
  of	
  GHG	
  
emissions-­‐intensity	
  per	
  unit	
  GDP	
  below	
  2007	
  levels	
  by	
  2030.	
  
	
  
•  Bhutan:	
  Aims	
  to	
  maintain	
  GHG	
  emissions	
  below	
  its	
  total	
  
carbon	
  sink	
  from	
  land	
  use,	
  land	
  use	
  change,	
  and	
  forestry	
  
	
  
•  Turkey:	
  Economy-­‐wide	
  target	
  to	
  reduce	
  emissions	
  by	
  21%	
  
below	
  BAU	
  in	
  2030	
  
11/17	
  
INDCS	
  |	
  WHERE	
  THEY	
  GET	
  US	
  
•  Submitted	
  pledges	
  account	
  for	
  94%	
  of	
  global	
  emissions	
  
•  If	
  all	
  158	
  pledging	
  states	
  meet	
  their	
  target:	
  2.7C	
  
temperature	
  increase	
  by	
  2100	
  (Climate	
  Action	
  Tracker)	
  
•  0.9C	
  lower	
  than	
  what	
  was	
  projected	
  from	
  policies	
  pre-­‐
INDCs	
  
•  More	
  ambitious	
  action	
  needed	
  
•  Gap	
  from	
  target	
  can	
  be	
  reduced	
  by	
  increased	
  effort	
  from	
  
countries	
  with	
  “conditional	
  targets”	
  
•  Co-­‐benefits	
  can	
  offset	
  costs	
  of	
  stronger	
  action	
  
12/17	
  
Implementation	
  Tools	
  
|	
  indcs,	
  leds,	
  namas	
  
|	
  sectoral	
  strategies,	
  roadmaps	
  
|	
  toolkits	
  
	
  
13/17	
  
INDCS,	
  NAMAS,	
  LEDS	
  
LEDS	
  Transportation	
  
Toolkit	
  
14/17	
  
WORLDW	
  
SECTORAL	
  STRATEGIES:	
  SUSTAINABLE	
  ENERGY	
  ROADMAPS	
  
15/17	
  
•  Collection	
  of	
  leading	
  
instruments	
  and	
  
methodologies	
  for	
  LEDS	
  in	
  the	
  
energy	
  sector	
  
•  Quick	
  reference	
  guide	
  for	
  well	
  
established	
  tools	
  available	
  at	
  
low	
  or	
  no	
  cost	
  
TOOLKITS	
  
	
  
16/17	
  
THANK	
  YOU!	
  
Contact:	
  aochs@worldwatch.org	
  	
  
	
  
Worldwatch	
  Institute:	
  http://www.worldwatch.org/	
  	
  
	
  
LEDS	
  Energy	
  Working	
  Group:	
  
http://en.openei.org/wiki/LEDSGP/sector/energy	
  	
  
	
  
17/17	
  

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COP21, INDCs and Future Implementation Tools

  • 1. GENDER  EQUALITY  AND  MITIGATION:  COP21   IMPLICATIONS  FOR  IMPLEMENTING  MITIGATION   ACTIVITIES   WEBINAR,  FRIDAY,  FEBRUARY  5,  2016     COP  21,  INDCs  and  Future   Implementation  Tools   Alexander  Ochs   Senior  Director  Climate  &   Energy,  Worldwatch  
  • 2. COP  21     |  a  historical  milestone?   |  all  the  right  goals,  all  aboard,  all  in  the  box   |  a  framework  for  future  action   INDCs     |  what  they  are   |  what’s  in  them   |  where  they  get  us   IMPLEMENTATION  TOOLS   |  indcs,  leds,  namas   |  sectoral  strategies,  roadmaps  &  implementation  plans   |  toolkits  for  strategy  design  and  implementation     OVERVIEW   2/17  
  • 3. COP  21     |  a  historical  milestone?   |  all  the  right  goals,  all  aboard,  all  in  the  box   |  a  framework  for  future  action     3/17  
  • 4. HISTORICAL  MILESTONE   31-­‐pages  agreement   •  All  the  right  goals   •  All  aboard   •  All  in  the  box   A  framework  for   action   •  Now  or  never  -­‐   action  is  needed     4/17  
  • 5. UNFCCC:  EVOLVING   CLIMATE  REGIME   •  Paris  the  latest  step  in  the  UN  Climate  Change   Regime  originating  in  1992  –  Prevent  dangerous   climate  change   •  1997  Kyoto  Protocol—”top-­‐down”  approach,   established  highly  differentiated  responsibilities   •  2009  Copenhagen  Accord  &  2010  Cancun   Agreement—Parallel  “bottom-­‐up”  approach   •  Durban  COP17  and  Warsaw  COP19—Legal   Protocol  and  INDCs     5/17  
  • 6. ALL  THE  RIGHT  GOALS   6/17   •  Based  on  science   •  Prevent  dangerous  future  limiting  global  temperature  increase   “well  below”  2°C,    with  an  eye  toward  1.5  °C   •  Peaking  as  soon  as  possible   •  Regular  reviews  of  science  informing  process;  e.g.  IPCC  to  deliver   report  by  2018  scenarios  for  how  to  reach  1.5 °C   •  Targeting  economic,  social,  environmental  sustainability   •  Equitable  access  to  sustainable  development,  eradication  of   poverty,     •  Empowerment  of  women,  intergenerational  equity   •  Conservation  of  ecosystems  &  biodiversity    
  • 7. ALL  ABOARD   7/17   •  Representing  consensus  of  all  196  parties  present  at  the   Conference   •  Common  but  differentiated  responsibilities  and  respective   capabilities   •  Wealthy  nations  to  take  lead   •  Developing/emerging  countries  to  decarbonize  economic   growth   •  Support  for  least  developed  countries   •  Legally  binding  and  non-­‐mandatory  components    
  • 8. ALL  IN  THE  BOX   8/17   •  Mitigation  –  reduces  emissions  fast  enough  to  achieve   temperature  goal   •  Adaptation  –  strengthens  ability  of  countries  to  deal  with   climate  impacts   •  Loss  and  damage  –  strengthens  ability  to  recover  from  cc  impacts   •  Support  –  includes  financial  &  technical  assistance  to  build   clean,  resilient  futures   •  Transparency  &  accountability  –  MRV  of  climate  action      
  • 9. INDCs:  intended  nationally  determined                  contributions     |  what  they  are   |  what’s  in  them   |  where  they  get  us   9/17  
  • 10. INDCS  |  WHAT  THEY  ARE   •  Climate  change  actions  a  national  government  intends  to   undertake  to  deal  with  climate  change   •  Collected  and  submitted  to  the  UNFCCC  prior  to  COP21  in  a   manner  that  “facilitates  the  clarity,  transparency,  and   understanding  of  the  intended  contributions”  (COP20)   •  Allow  tracking  of  collective  progress  towards  2C  goal   •  Future  plans  must    not  be  less  ambitious   •  Next  round  due  9-­‐12  month  prior  to  2020  COP  (contributions  for     timeframe  to  2030)     10/17  
  • 11. INDCS  |  WHAT  ‘S  IN  THEM   •  Tremendous  variety  allowed  in  INDCs   •  Types  include:  absolute  economy-­‐wide  emissions  target,   deviation  from  a  BAU  scenario,  intensity  target,  or  a  set  of   general  policies  and  actions.   VARIED  GOAL  METRICS   •  Chile:  Unconditional  INDC  target  of  30%  reduction  of  GHG   emissions-­‐intensity  per  unit  GDP  below  2007  levels  by  2030.     •  Bhutan:  Aims  to  maintain  GHG  emissions  below  its  total   carbon  sink  from  land  use,  land  use  change,  and  forestry     •  Turkey:  Economy-­‐wide  target  to  reduce  emissions  by  21%   below  BAU  in  2030   11/17  
  • 12. INDCS  |  WHERE  THEY  GET  US   •  Submitted  pledges  account  for  94%  of  global  emissions   •  If  all  158  pledging  states  meet  their  target:  2.7C   temperature  increase  by  2100  (Climate  Action  Tracker)   •  0.9C  lower  than  what  was  projected  from  policies  pre-­‐ INDCs   •  More  ambitious  action  needed   •  Gap  from  target  can  be  reduced  by  increased  effort  from   countries  with  “conditional  targets”   •  Co-­‐benefits  can  offset  costs  of  stronger  action   12/17  
  • 13. Implementation  Tools   |  indcs,  leds,  namas   |  sectoral  strategies,  roadmaps   |  toolkits     13/17  
  • 14. INDCS,  NAMAS,  LEDS   LEDS  Transportation   Toolkit   14/17  
  • 15. WORLDW   SECTORAL  STRATEGIES:  SUSTAINABLE  ENERGY  ROADMAPS   15/17  
  • 16. •  Collection  of  leading   instruments  and   methodologies  for  LEDS  in  the   energy  sector   •  Quick  reference  guide  for  well   established  tools  available  at   low  or  no  cost   TOOLKITS     16/17  
  • 17. THANK  YOU!   Contact:  aochs@worldwatch.org       Worldwatch  Institute:  http://www.worldwatch.org/       LEDS  Energy  Working  Group:   http://en.openei.org/wiki/LEDSGP/sector/energy       17/17