Climate Change
From Kyoto Protocol to COP 26
Sampe L. Purba
November 2021
Behaviour of the Giants
• Kyoto Protocol 1997
➔ Under UNFCCC : Industrialized Countries and economies in transition to
limit and reduce greenhouse gases (GHG)
➔Market Based Mechanism [International Emission Trading, Clean
Development Mechanism, Joint Implementation]
➔US refused to ratify the Kyoto Protocol
• Paris Agreement 2015
➔Legally binding international treaty on climate change
➔Limit the global warming to below 2 – 1.5 degree C
➔Nationally determined Contributions
➔US under Trump check out from Paris Agreement (the world keep silent)
➔Joe Biden rehails the Climate Change ISSUES (THE World Glorifies)
Nov-21 2
Climate Change Campaign Consciousnesses
History of Climate Change Human Influence on Climate Change
https://www.pnas.org/content/pnas/115/52/13288.full.pdf https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/blogs/climateqa
Nov-21 3
Let the data talk : Your Footprint was and is there
✓Industrialization and
CO2 Emission
positively correlated
✓The Current Global
Heating was gradually
and built up
exponentionally
✓Who will pay this
greedy imbalances
https://ourworldindata.org/contributed-most-global-co2
Nov-21 4
Global GHG emissions from all sources
UNEP : Emission Gap Report 2020
Nov-21 5
The Magnificent six World Polluter Countries
Nov-21 6
When everybody’s talking about Climate Change
✓Business as Usual
✓Ambitious Target
✓Who help who
✓Who suffer from who
✓Who get benefit from
who
✓JAS MERAH ➔ Do not
Forget the History ➔
Who’s Footprint on
CO2 more to damage
the environment
Nov-21 7
Walk – Talk – Bark – Dark ✓ Any compensation
when away from forest
?
✓ Attacking methan
(CH4) ➔ coal, natural
gas, oil, livestock,
agricultural
➔Why not talking
Industrial CO2 waste ?
✓The Giants ? Talk and
Bark
✓Money to help ? Or to
fix damage and loss ?
Who brings the
damage ?
@Matt McGrath https://www.bbc.com/news/science-
environment-59220687.amp
Nov-21 8
Stop Talking and Barking : Fix the damage
https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/overview-greenhouse-gases
Nov-21 9
Carbon Credit – Carbon Trading ➔ compliance market
✓ Carbon Credit : License/ permit to
emit CO2 so long as you can buy
from the one who has excess
✓Excess can be tradeable
- Auction
- Direct trading/ swap
- Keep banking
✓ Emission Trading Scheme
✓Gov’t regulation – global standard
apply
➔Regulated market – cap and trade
➔Voluntary market
✓Fine, tax, green certificate
Nov-21 10
Is this really a genuine or artificial solution to keep pressure the developing countries
Voluntary Carbon market – to offset
✓ Voluntary to announce
- Renewable energy projects
- Improving energy efficiency ➔
technology
- Carbon and methane capture
and sequestration
- Land use and reforestation
✓ Third party verification
✓ Reputation do take part
Nov-21 11
Global Carbon Market
Nov-21 12
All become commoditizes
Nov-21 13
Commoditizes
Nov-21 14
Lithium Battery Value Chain Investment
• Lithium Battery
Value Chain
✓ Mining is a start
row
✓Most of investment
required in Cell
industries
✓Need Priority
Assessment
➔Ecology
➔Indigeneous people
➔Global dependency
Mining
3%
Refining
24%
Active
materials
8%
Cell
45%
Pack
16%
Reuse and
Recycle
4%
LITHIUM BATTERY VALUE CHAIN
Nov-21 15
Effort to tapping the better added value
Added Value Along the Value Chain - From Nickel to Electric Vehicle
• How can we tap
the most :
✓involve in almost
all value chain
✓Strategic
Partnering
✓Transfer of
Knowledge and
Technology
✓Reciprocal Open
Market
✓Cross ownership
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1
Product Per Ton Ni
Ni MHP NiSO4 Precursor Cathode Cell Module Pack Elect. Vechicle
sp, 2021
Nov-21 16
EVEN Developed Countries keep producing and consuming FOSSIL BASED ENERGY
Nov-21 17
Who should bother … Why the burden of the world be put on our shoulders ?
bp Statistical Review of World Energy 2020
SDG : In theory and practice
How can the developing countries alleviate
poverty, when there is no level playing field,
and lack of affirmation policy
Nov-21 18
Climate Change : NEW JARGON to PRESS THE
WORLD ➔ Neo Technology and market imperialism
✓ Imbalance Exchange Value : Raw materials –
Technology – Market
➔You can keep pollute the nature provided that
you can buy the carbon credit ➔ artificial CO2
reduction
✓ Footprint in the past as if neglected, and charged
against the poorer and weaker
✓Squeezing and limit of market, fund, technology
✓Enforce to early retirement of Coal based power
plant
Nov-21 19
The World Order :
The objective remains no change, style does
Old Style Up to WW II
Approach
Cold war style New Order Jargon approach
Slavery Bretton woods system :
Monetary, Commerce, Legal,
standardization ➔ WTO
Climate Change :
War Globalization ✓ Energy Transition ➔ Carbon
neutral
✓ Green Certificate ➔ Access to
global market
✓ Green Fund ➔ Say no to fossil
based power generation
✓ Carbon Trade
✓ Technology dependence
✓ Sustainable Development Goals
Colonialism Human rights
Annexation Democratization
Liberation Arm Race
Nov-21 20
Climate Change or Change the Climate
Nov-21 21
➔ Collaboration is better than confrontation.
➔ While we show our global responsibilities , we keep
defend our right as well.
Concluding Remarks
1. Do not let the big giant polluters Countries walk away
from the footprint they made, wash hands and preach
like a holy priest
2. Collaboration and Cooperation among nations is far
better and productive rather than keep talking, pointing
fingers and barking towards the not-so-strong countries
3. The Sustainable Development Goals should be a basis to
a genuine collaborative effort to a more prosperous
humanity
4. While Climate Change issues is at the hotspot of the
globe mantra, we keep to measure our balance position
to the best interest of our nation
Nov-21 22
References :
✓ https://carboncredits.com/the-ultimate-guide-to-understanding-carbon-
credits/?gclid=Cj0KCQjw8p2MBhCiARIsADDUFVFm3X_feh6RQM_dy1skjlZJR2g1mOpFIGcJ2B_Q4zEJdsBH05Df
FQgaAvwkEALw_wcB
✓https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-59220687.amp
✓https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/overview-greenhouse-gases
✓UNEP : Emission Gap Report 2020
✓https://unfccc.int/kyoto_protocol
✓https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings/the-paris-agreement/the-paris-
agreement
Nov-21 23
Brief CV
• Sampe L. Purba is Senior Advisor to Minister of EMR Indonesia on Economy of Natural
Resources. His main role is to provide strategic advisory on the policy formulation and
management of natural resources, discuss and help solve issues across the concerned
stakeholders and functions. He is also Chair of Committee Audit in Ministry of Energy and
Mineral Resources.
• He has been experiencing 30 years assignment with private, semi and government institution in
several technical and managerial positions mainly related to commercial, finance, legal and
audit of oil and gas business management.
• He holds bachelor and master degrees in Economics, Accounting, Finance and Law, from some
domestic Universities and The University of New South Wales. Currently he pursues his study in
doctoral degree in Indonesia Defense University, concentrating in Energy Policy.
• Mr Purba is a member of professional organization, such as IAI, AIPN, PERADI, IPA. He also
serves as Board member of EITI representing implementing country and south east Asia region
Nov-21 24

Cop26 Rowing between global and national interest

  • 1.
    Climate Change From KyotoProtocol to COP 26 Sampe L. Purba November 2021
  • 2.
    Behaviour of theGiants • Kyoto Protocol 1997 ➔ Under UNFCCC : Industrialized Countries and economies in transition to limit and reduce greenhouse gases (GHG) ➔Market Based Mechanism [International Emission Trading, Clean Development Mechanism, Joint Implementation] ➔US refused to ratify the Kyoto Protocol • Paris Agreement 2015 ➔Legally binding international treaty on climate change ➔Limit the global warming to below 2 – 1.5 degree C ➔Nationally determined Contributions ➔US under Trump check out from Paris Agreement (the world keep silent) ➔Joe Biden rehails the Climate Change ISSUES (THE World Glorifies) Nov-21 2
  • 3.
    Climate Change CampaignConsciousnesses History of Climate Change Human Influence on Climate Change https://www.pnas.org/content/pnas/115/52/13288.full.pdf https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/blogs/climateqa Nov-21 3
  • 4.
    Let the datatalk : Your Footprint was and is there ✓Industrialization and CO2 Emission positively correlated ✓The Current Global Heating was gradually and built up exponentionally ✓Who will pay this greedy imbalances https://ourworldindata.org/contributed-most-global-co2 Nov-21 4
  • 5.
    Global GHG emissionsfrom all sources UNEP : Emission Gap Report 2020 Nov-21 5
  • 6.
    The Magnificent sixWorld Polluter Countries Nov-21 6
  • 7.
    When everybody’s talkingabout Climate Change ✓Business as Usual ✓Ambitious Target ✓Who help who ✓Who suffer from who ✓Who get benefit from who ✓JAS MERAH ➔ Do not Forget the History ➔ Who’s Footprint on CO2 more to damage the environment Nov-21 7
  • 8.
    Walk – Talk– Bark – Dark ✓ Any compensation when away from forest ? ✓ Attacking methan (CH4) ➔ coal, natural gas, oil, livestock, agricultural ➔Why not talking Industrial CO2 waste ? ✓The Giants ? Talk and Bark ✓Money to help ? Or to fix damage and loss ? Who brings the damage ? @Matt McGrath https://www.bbc.com/news/science- environment-59220687.amp Nov-21 8
  • 9.
    Stop Talking andBarking : Fix the damage https://www.epa.gov/ghgemissions/overview-greenhouse-gases Nov-21 9
  • 10.
    Carbon Credit –Carbon Trading ➔ compliance market ✓ Carbon Credit : License/ permit to emit CO2 so long as you can buy from the one who has excess ✓Excess can be tradeable - Auction - Direct trading/ swap - Keep banking ✓ Emission Trading Scheme ✓Gov’t regulation – global standard apply ➔Regulated market – cap and trade ➔Voluntary market ✓Fine, tax, green certificate Nov-21 10 Is this really a genuine or artificial solution to keep pressure the developing countries
  • 11.
    Voluntary Carbon market– to offset ✓ Voluntary to announce - Renewable energy projects - Improving energy efficiency ➔ technology - Carbon and methane capture and sequestration - Land use and reforestation ✓ Third party verification ✓ Reputation do take part Nov-21 11
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
    Lithium Battery ValueChain Investment • Lithium Battery Value Chain ✓ Mining is a start row ✓Most of investment required in Cell industries ✓Need Priority Assessment ➔Ecology ➔Indigeneous people ➔Global dependency Mining 3% Refining 24% Active materials 8% Cell 45% Pack 16% Reuse and Recycle 4% LITHIUM BATTERY VALUE CHAIN Nov-21 15 Effort to tapping the better added value
  • 16.
    Added Value Alongthe Value Chain - From Nickel to Electric Vehicle • How can we tap the most : ✓involve in almost all value chain ✓Strategic Partnering ✓Transfer of Knowledge and Technology ✓Reciprocal Open Market ✓Cross ownership - 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 900,000 1 Product Per Ton Ni Ni MHP NiSO4 Precursor Cathode Cell Module Pack Elect. Vechicle sp, 2021 Nov-21 16
  • 17.
    EVEN Developed Countrieskeep producing and consuming FOSSIL BASED ENERGY Nov-21 17 Who should bother … Why the burden of the world be put on our shoulders ? bp Statistical Review of World Energy 2020
  • 18.
    SDG : Intheory and practice How can the developing countries alleviate poverty, when there is no level playing field, and lack of affirmation policy Nov-21 18
  • 19.
    Climate Change :NEW JARGON to PRESS THE WORLD ➔ Neo Technology and market imperialism ✓ Imbalance Exchange Value : Raw materials – Technology – Market ➔You can keep pollute the nature provided that you can buy the carbon credit ➔ artificial CO2 reduction ✓ Footprint in the past as if neglected, and charged against the poorer and weaker ✓Squeezing and limit of market, fund, technology ✓Enforce to early retirement of Coal based power plant Nov-21 19
  • 20.
    The World Order: The objective remains no change, style does Old Style Up to WW II Approach Cold war style New Order Jargon approach Slavery Bretton woods system : Monetary, Commerce, Legal, standardization ➔ WTO Climate Change : War Globalization ✓ Energy Transition ➔ Carbon neutral ✓ Green Certificate ➔ Access to global market ✓ Green Fund ➔ Say no to fossil based power generation ✓ Carbon Trade ✓ Technology dependence ✓ Sustainable Development Goals Colonialism Human rights Annexation Democratization Liberation Arm Race Nov-21 20
  • 21.
    Climate Change orChange the Climate Nov-21 21 ➔ Collaboration is better than confrontation. ➔ While we show our global responsibilities , we keep defend our right as well.
  • 22.
    Concluding Remarks 1. Donot let the big giant polluters Countries walk away from the footprint they made, wash hands and preach like a holy priest 2. Collaboration and Cooperation among nations is far better and productive rather than keep talking, pointing fingers and barking towards the not-so-strong countries 3. The Sustainable Development Goals should be a basis to a genuine collaborative effort to a more prosperous humanity 4. While Climate Change issues is at the hotspot of the globe mantra, we keep to measure our balance position to the best interest of our nation Nov-21 22
  • 23.
  • 24.
    Brief CV • SampeL. Purba is Senior Advisor to Minister of EMR Indonesia on Economy of Natural Resources. His main role is to provide strategic advisory on the policy formulation and management of natural resources, discuss and help solve issues across the concerned stakeholders and functions. He is also Chair of Committee Audit in Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources. • He has been experiencing 30 years assignment with private, semi and government institution in several technical and managerial positions mainly related to commercial, finance, legal and audit of oil and gas business management. • He holds bachelor and master degrees in Economics, Accounting, Finance and Law, from some domestic Universities and The University of New South Wales. Currently he pursues his study in doctoral degree in Indonesia Defense University, concentrating in Energy Policy. • Mr Purba is a member of professional organization, such as IAI, AIPN, PERADI, IPA. He also serves as Board member of EITI representing implementing country and south east Asia region Nov-21 24