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August 2016
Consumer Snapshot
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sentiment strategy
Disclaimer: Prosper Business Development and its affiliated companies (“Prosper”) make no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning: data gathered or
obtained from any source; the present or future methodology employed in producing the statistics; or the data and estimates represent only the opinion of
Prosper and reliance thereon and use thereof shall be at the user’s own risk.
August 2016
back-to-school
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sentiment
consumer sentiment
sentiment rebounds somewhat from its Brexit-
influenced low in July to a current 44.0% feeling
confident or very confident in the U.S.
economy
very confident/confident in chances for a strong economy
{adults 18+}
Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics
while on an upswing this month, August’s
reading remains just below the 13 month
average (44.9%)
47.2%
44.0%
36%
38%
40%
42%
44%
46%
48%
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sentiment
very confident/confident in chances for a strong economy
{adults 18+}
Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics
historical perspective
while current sentiment remains 3+ points below
Aug-15, this month’s reading is in line with pre-
recession Aug-07
historically, Aug-16 is the first August y/y decline
since recession-riddled Aug-11 – following the
same pattern we’ve recorded since February
consumer sentiment
43.9%
47.2%
44.0%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
sentiment rebounds somewhat from its Brexit-
influenced low in July to a current 44.0% feeling
confident or very confident in the U.S.
economy
while on an upswing this month, August’s
reading remains just below the 13 month
average (44.9%)
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strategy
practicality & focus on needs
{adults 18+}
practical purchases
despite rising confidence, practicality when
purchasing holds steady m/m
focus on needs
likewise, shoppers’ focus on just what they need
increases marginally from July
Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics
in August, 39.1% indicate that they’ve become
more practical with purchasing, up nearly half a
point from July and resting higher than the 13
month average (37.3%)
43.8% indicate they are zeroing in on just what
they need when at the store, up a point from
July and residing just above the 13 month
average (42.4%)
38.0%
39.1%
43.6% 43.8%
30%
32%
34%
36%
38%
40%
42%
44%
46%
48%
50%
I have become more practical and realistic in my purchases
I focus more on what I NEED rather than what I WANT
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back-to-school
Source: National Retail Federation/Prosper Insights & Analytics™
back-to-school historical planned spending
{adults 18+}
back-to-school at-a-glance
consumers are expected to spend about 6%
more for Back-to-School compared to last year,
making 2016 a “replenishment” year for parents
who cut back their budgets last year
$563
$594
$549
$606 $604
$689
$635
$669
$630
$674
$300
$350
$400
$450
$500
$550
$600
$650
$700
$750
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
historically since the recession, BTS planned
spending has exhibited an up/down pattern, so
this year’s “up” continues the trend
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back-to-school
Source: National Retail Federation/Prosper Insights & Analytics™
top 5 retail formats planned to shop for Back-to-School
{adults 18+}
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2016 Y/Y Change
online grows, discount falters
while discounters and department stores remain
top destinations for BTS shoppers, nearly half
(46.0%) plan to shop online, up almost 30% y/y
back-to-school at-a-glance
consumers are expected to spend about 6%
more for Back-to-School compared to last year,
making 2016 a “replenishment” year for parents
who cut back their budgets last year
historically since the recession, BTS planned
spending has exhibited an up/down pattern, so
this year’s “up” continues the trend
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back-to-school
Source: National Retail Federation/Prosper Insights & Analytics™
shipping services plan to use for Back-to-School
{online shoppers}
shoppers seeking free shipping
while 9 out of 10 BTS online shoppers plan to take
advantage of free shipping deals, BOPIS and
reserve online see significant gains y/y – good
news for brick & mortar
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Free
shipping
Buy online,
pick-up in
store / Ship
to store
Expedited
shipping
Reserve
online
Same-day
delivery
2016 Y/Y Change
online grows, discount falters
while discounters and department stores remain
top destinations for BTS shoppers, nearly half
(46.0%) plan to shop online, up almost 30% y/y
back-to-school at-a-glance
consumers are expected to spend about 6%
more for Back-to-School compared to last year,
making 2016 a “replenishment” year for parents
who cut back their budgets last year
historically since the recession, BTS planned
spending has exhibited an up/down pattern, so
this year’s “up” continues the trend
no
chg
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Pam Goodfellow
Consumer Insights Director
Prosper Insights & Analytics™
pam@goProsper.com
ProsperDiscovery.com
thanks
visit ______________________ to access:
Consumer Snapshot InsightCenter™
PowerPoint Slides
…and more
ConsumerSnapshot.com

Consumer Snapshot - August 2016

  • 1.
    www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2016,Prosper®www.ProsperDiscovery.com August 2016 Consumer Snapshot
  • 2.
    www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2016,Prosper®www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2016, Prosper® sentiment strategy Disclaimer: Prosper Business Development and its affiliated companies (“Prosper”) make no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning: data gathered or obtained from any source; the present or future methodology employed in producing the statistics; or the data and estimates represent only the opinion of Prosper and reliance thereon and use thereof shall be at the user’s own risk. August 2016 back-to-school
  • 3.
    www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2016,Prosper®www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2016, Prosper® sentiment consumer sentiment sentiment rebounds somewhat from its Brexit- influenced low in July to a current 44.0% feeling confident or very confident in the U.S. economy very confident/confident in chances for a strong economy {adults 18+} Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics while on an upswing this month, August’s reading remains just below the 13 month average (44.9%) 47.2% 44.0% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48%
  • 4.
    www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2016,Prosper®www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2016, Prosper® sentiment very confident/confident in chances for a strong economy {adults 18+} Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics historical perspective while current sentiment remains 3+ points below Aug-15, this month’s reading is in line with pre- recession Aug-07 historically, Aug-16 is the first August y/y decline since recession-riddled Aug-11 – following the same pattern we’ve recorded since February consumer sentiment 43.9% 47.2% 44.0% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% sentiment rebounds somewhat from its Brexit- influenced low in July to a current 44.0% feeling confident or very confident in the U.S. economy while on an upswing this month, August’s reading remains just below the 13 month average (44.9%)
  • 5.
    www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2016,Prosper®www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2016, Prosper® strategy practicality & focus on needs {adults 18+} practical purchases despite rising confidence, practicality when purchasing holds steady m/m focus on needs likewise, shoppers’ focus on just what they need increases marginally from July Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics in August, 39.1% indicate that they’ve become more practical with purchasing, up nearly half a point from July and resting higher than the 13 month average (37.3%) 43.8% indicate they are zeroing in on just what they need when at the store, up a point from July and residing just above the 13 month average (42.4%) 38.0% 39.1% 43.6% 43.8% 30% 32% 34% 36% 38% 40% 42% 44% 46% 48% 50% I have become more practical and realistic in my purchases I focus more on what I NEED rather than what I WANT
  • 6.
    www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2016,Prosper®www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2016, Prosper® back-to-school Source: National Retail Federation/Prosper Insights & Analytics™ back-to-school historical planned spending {adults 18+} back-to-school at-a-glance consumers are expected to spend about 6% more for Back-to-School compared to last year, making 2016 a “replenishment” year for parents who cut back their budgets last year $563 $594 $549 $606 $604 $689 $635 $669 $630 $674 $300 $350 $400 $450 $500 $550 $600 $650 $700 $750 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 historically since the recession, BTS planned spending has exhibited an up/down pattern, so this year’s “up” continues the trend
  • 7.
    www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2016,Prosper®www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2016, Prosper® back-to-school Source: National Retail Federation/Prosper Insights & Analytics™ top 5 retail formats planned to shop for Back-to-School {adults 18+} -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 2016 Y/Y Change online grows, discount falters while discounters and department stores remain top destinations for BTS shoppers, nearly half (46.0%) plan to shop online, up almost 30% y/y back-to-school at-a-glance consumers are expected to spend about 6% more for Back-to-School compared to last year, making 2016 a “replenishment” year for parents who cut back their budgets last year historically since the recession, BTS planned spending has exhibited an up/down pattern, so this year’s “up” continues the trend
  • 8.
    www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2016,Prosper®www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2016, Prosper® back-to-school Source: National Retail Federation/Prosper Insights & Analytics™ shipping services plan to use for Back-to-School {online shoppers} shoppers seeking free shipping while 9 out of 10 BTS online shoppers plan to take advantage of free shipping deals, BOPIS and reserve online see significant gains y/y – good news for brick & mortar -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Free shipping Buy online, pick-up in store / Ship to store Expedited shipping Reserve online Same-day delivery 2016 Y/Y Change online grows, discount falters while discounters and department stores remain top destinations for BTS shoppers, nearly half (46.0%) plan to shop online, up almost 30% y/y back-to-school at-a-glance consumers are expected to spend about 6% more for Back-to-School compared to last year, making 2016 a “replenishment” year for parents who cut back their budgets last year historically since the recession, BTS planned spending has exhibited an up/down pattern, so this year’s “up” continues the trend no chg
  • 9.
    www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2016,Prosper®www.ProsperDiscovery.com © 2016, Prosper® Pam Goodfellow Consumer Insights Director Prosper Insights & Analytics™ pam@goProsper.com ProsperDiscovery.com thanks visit ______________________ to access: Consumer Snapshot InsightCenter™ PowerPoint Slides …and more ConsumerSnapshot.com